utah’s economic climate presented by natalie gochnour wells fargo economic summit for nonprofits...

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Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

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Page 1: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

Utah’s Economic Climate

Presented byNatalie Gochnour

Wells FargoEconomic Summit for Nonprofits

May 4, 2010

Page 2: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010
Page 3: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010
Page 4: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services

Page 5: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

Job GrowthMarch 2009-March 2010

Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services

Page 6: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

Utah Job Growth

Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services

Page 7: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

UnemploymentMarch 2010

Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services

Page 8: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services

Page 9: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

Anatomy of Recovery

Corporate Profits

Increase

CompaniesBegin to

Hire

WorkersReceiveWages

ConsumerSentimentRebounds

ConsumersSpendAgain

Page 10: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

U.S. Corporate ProfitsYear-Over Percent Change

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 11: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

Utah Unemployment ClaimsPast Five Years

Initial Claims 4 week Rolling average for selected County

0.00

500.00

1000.00

1500.00

2000.00

2500.00

3000.00

3500.00

4000.00

4500.00

5000.00

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Source: Utah Dept. of Workforce Services

Page 12: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

U.S. Consumer Confidence

Source: Conference Board Index

Page 13: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 14: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

Utah Economy Positive News• Marquee expansions - Goldman Sachs, Microsoft, eBay, and NSA Data

Center bode well for Utah’s recovery.

• Internal population growth - Utah’s population growth rate of 2.1% leads the country.

• Downtown Rising - Investment in downtown SLC exceed $1.6 million per day. An estimated 1600 construction workers are employed at City Creek Center.

• Best Managed State – Fiscal discipline and responsibility are Utah hallmarks.

• Location – Utah is at the center of the New American West.

• Economic diversity – Utah ranks sixth among states in economic diversity.

Source: Salt Lake Chamber

Page 15: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

Better Days Ahead …• Job growth returns – Utah and the nation will return to positive side of the job ledger later this

year.

• Pent up savings – People will begin to spend pent up savings and make delayed purchases.

• Soft, but respectable revenue growth – Sales and income tax collections will recover, albeit slowly.

• Business will rescale – Start with temp jobs, expand to others and unemployment will inch down.

• Revival of confidence – People will spend again.

• Productivity will pay dividends – Every facet of the economy is leaner and meaner.

• Animal spirits take hold – Self interest serves common interest (hopefully for a long while).

• Utah’s strong economic fundamentals take root – Utah emerges once again as a top performing economy.

Source: Salt Lake Chamber

Page 16: Utah’s Economic Climate Presented by Natalie Gochnour Wells Fargo Economic Summit for Nonprofits May 4, 2010

Follow me on Twitter at twitter.com/gochnour