uti mf investment process · 2019-01-17 · investment philosophy long term orientation wealth...
TRANSCRIPT
UTI MF Investment Process(Domestic Equity Portfolio)
MUTUAL FUND INVESTMENTS ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET RISKS, READ ALL SCHEME RELATED DOCUMENTS CAREFULLY.
Presentation Flow
Investment Philosophy
Team Structure
Investment Process – Equity Portfolio
Portfolio Construction
22
Investment Philosophy
Long Term
Orientation
Wealth
Creation
Style
Discipline
Alpha-
Generation
Companies that can self
sustain their growth and
have the ability to invest
at high rates of return or
Companies that
experience an
improving trajectory
bought at attractive
valuations
Alpha-not just from
buying the right stocks
but also from not buying
the wrong stock
The essence of asset
management, is to stay
true to the mandate
through the different
moods and seasons of
the market. It also
enables differentiation
between portfolio
strategies.
Clear articulation of
investment beliefs and a
well defined investment
process are key to
sustaining Alpha
generation over long
periods.
333
About Our Investment Management Team
4
Sanjay DongreFM – Domestic EquityTotal Work Exp: 24 Years
With UTI AMC: 24 Years
Kaushik BasuFM – Domestic EquityTotal Work Exp: 34 Years
With UTI AMC: 34 Years
Swati Kulkarni, CFAFM – Domestic EquityTotal Work Exp: 34 Years
With UTI AMC: 26 Years
Ajay Tyagi, CFAFM – Domestic Equity& Offshore FundsTotal Work Exp: 18 Years
With UTI AMC: 18 Years
Sachin Trivedi, CFAFM – Domestic Equity& Head of ResearchTotal Work Exp: 17 Years
With UTI AMC: 17 Years
Tracks Auto, Logistics
Amit Premchandani, CFAFM – Domestic Equity &Senior Research AnalystTotal Work Exp: 13 Years
With UTI AMC: 9 Years
Tracks Banks , NBFCs, Cement
Kamal Gada, CFAFM – Overseas Invest.& Research AnalystTotal Work Exp: 13 Years
With UTI AMC: 10 Years
Tracks Energy, Fertilizer, Media,
Chemicals, Infra construction
Vishal Chopda, CFAFM – Domestic Equity & Research AnalystTotal Work Exp: 11 Years
With UTI AMC: 8 Years
Tracks FMCG, QSR, Retail,
Consumer Durable, Telecom
Parag Chavan, CFAResearch AnalystTotal Work Exp: 8 Years
With UTI AMC: 6 Years
Tracks Metals & Mining, Utilities,
Building Materials, Sugar,
Healthcare, Hotels
Preethi R SResearch AnalystTotal Work Exp: 6 Years
With UTI AMC: 6 Years
Tracks Auto Ancillaries,
Insurance, HFC & NBFCs
Sharwan Goyal, CFA FM – Domestic Equity & Portfolio AnalystTotal Work Exp: 12 Years
With UTI AMC: 12 Years
Lalit Nambiar, CFAFM – Domestic EquityTotal Work Exp: 24 Years
With UTI AMC: 11 Years
Deepesh AgarwalResearch AnalystTotal Work Exp: 6 Years
With UTI AMC: Less than a year
Tracks Capital Goods, Textiles
Vetri SubramaniamHead Equity & Fund ManagerTotal Work Exp: 26 Years
UTI AMC: 1. 5 Years
V SrivatsaFM – Domestic Equity& Offshore FundsTotal Work Exp: 18 Years
With UTI AMC: 16 Years
Rajeev Kumar GuptaFM – Domestic EquityTotal Work Exp: 36 YearsWith UTI AMC: 29 Years
Nitin JainResearch AnalystTotal Work Exp: 10 Years
With UTI AMC: Less than a year
Tracks IT & Internet Sector
Investment Universe & Portfolio Construction
INVESTMENT UNIVERSE
About 320 companies, spanning large, mid & small market
capitalisation
PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
• Based on the Fund Mandate & Internal Prudential
investment norms
• Considerations for Valuations, Sector Weights
• Market Cap bias & Active Share
SCREENING THE UNIVERSE – UTI PROCESS
Objective Factors• Operating Cash Flow
• Return on Capital/Equity
Subjective Factors• Management Competence
• Growth Prospects
SCREENING THE UNIVERSE –
UTI PROCESS
PORTFOLIO
CONSTUCTION
INVESTMENT PROCESS LED BY CONVICTION & STYLE CONSISTENCY
INVESTMENT UNIVERSE
320COMPANIES
This is a comprehensive and ongoing feature of Investment process.
5 Data as on December 31, 2018
97% 87% 82% 71% 57%99% 96% 95%
75% 90%
S&P BSE 100 S&P BSE 200 Nifty LargeMicap
250
Nifty Midcap 150 Nifty 500
Coverage vs Major Indices
% of Cos. Covered % of Market Cap Covered
122
111
95
3,951
17,986
100,454
Small Cap
Mid Cap
Large Cap
Coverage based on Market cap
Market Cap. Rs in bn No of Cos. Covered
- If a company cannot earn returns in excess of its cost of capital it
destroys value
- A company with healthy capital return ratios creates value by investing
its profits in its business and that creates the magic of compounding
- Profits are an opinion, cash is a fact
- Profits in financial statements could be distorted by accrual, amortization
and non cash items and It does not account for changes in inventory,
debtors and creditors.
- In the absence of operating cash flow a company needs to continuously
borrow money or dilute equity to fund its operations
Screening the Universe
Cash Flow from
Operations
(CFO)
Factors Why it matters?
Return on Capital/
Equity
(RoCE / ROE)
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Are these factors Persistent?
Analysis
It is much easier
to analyze the past and
present than predict
the future
Return Expectation
We invest based on analysis
of historical data but returns
depend on what happens in
the future
Persistency
Our emphasis on these two
factors –operating cash and
return on Capital/ Equity is
underlined by the high
degree of persistency
exhibited by these factors
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Methodology – Persistency analysis
Sectors C1 C2 C3
All companies (excluding Financials)
Positive CFOIn all previous 5
years
in 3 or 4 of the
previous 5 years
In 2 or less of the
previous 5 years
R1 R2 R3
RoCE> 18%
(5 year average)
> 10% - 18%
(5 year average)
< 10%
(5 year average)
R1 R2 R3
Banks & HFCs
ROA > 0.8 &
Leverage < 18x
In all previous 5
years
in 3 or 4 of the
previous 5 years
In 2 or less of the
previous 5 years
NBFCsROA > 2 &
Leverage < 8x
In all previous 5
years
in 3 or 4 of the
previous 5 years
In 2 or less of the
previous 5 years
Companies are divided into
Cash Flow Tiers (C): 3 Tiers based on the number of years in which they have generated positive
operating cash flows in the previous 5 years (for manufacturing cos)
RoCE/ implied ROE Tiers (R): 3 Tiers based on the previous 5 year average return on capital
(for manufacturing cos) & consistency in implied ROE (RoA X Leverage) for Financials over 5 years
Period of Analysis – 22 years
(FY 1997 to 2018)
Universe of companies
analyzed - 1280 companies
(includes MF industry holdings,
S&P BSE 500 Index companies
since 2002)
CFO – Cash Flow from
Operations
RoCE – Pre tax RoCE
(EBIT/Avg capital employed)
RoA – Return on Asset, RoE – Return on Equity, CFO – Cash Flow from Operations, RoCE – Return on Capital Employed,
EBIT – Earnings before Interest and Taxes. Data as of 31st March, 20188
Persistency Analysis
Probability of companies migrating across the buckets
FY 2008-13 Change in Bucket FY 2013-18(Next 5 Years)
Probability
C1 REMAINING IN C1 85%
C1 DETERIORATING TO C3 2%
C3 IMPROVING TO C1 18%
R1 REMAINING IN R1 61%
R1 DETERIORATING TO R3 13%
R3 IMPROVING TO R1 10%
9
Persistency Analysis
Probability of companies migrating across the buckets
FY 1998-03 Change in Bucket FY 2003-08(Next 5 Years)
Probability
C1 REMAINING IN C1 73%
C1 DETERIORATING TO C3 5%
C3 IMPROVING TO C1 15%
R1 REMAINING IN R1 68%
R1 DETERIORATING TO R3 8%
R3 IMPROVING TO R1 29%
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Persistency Analysis over 5 year buckets
Cash Flow from Operations (CFO) based performance
How likely is it that the performance in the preceding 5 years will persist in the next 5 years?
The probability of a C1 company remaining C1 at the end of the next 5 years is quite high
The probability of a C1 company moving down to C3 or a C3 company moving up to C1 is
quite low.
% of Cos Trend of 5 Years Persistency
Mar-01 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13
From To Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
C1 C1 79 73 73 70 70 73 73 72 72 73 78 81 85
C1 C2 21 25 23 25 26 25 24 24 24 23 19 15 12
C1 C3 1 2 5 6 5 2 3 4 4 3 3 4 2
C2 C1 61 53 43 41 44 38 37 42 44 43 45 48 53
C2 C2 35 36 42 39 35 40 42 39 40 38 39 41 39
C2 C3 4 12 15 21 21 23 21 19 17 19 17 11 8
C3 C1 16 20 15 11 13 9 4 12 15 15 14 15 18
C3 C2 62 50 48 46 40 40 46 47 40 44 41 43 45
C3 C3 22 30 37 42 47 51 50 41 45 41 45 42 37
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Persistency Analysis over 5 year buckets
How likely is it that the performance in the preceding 5 years will persist in the next 5 years?
RoCE/ROE based performance
The bar in terms of RoCE/ ROE is more stringent than cash flow. But this metric has cyclical
movements
R1 companies have a tendency to remain R1 and R3 companies display a high probability of
remaining R3
Movement down, from R1 to R3 or up, from R3 to R1 has lower probability, but identification of such
migration can either prevent value destruction or create value respectively
% of Cos Trend of 5 Years Persistency
From Mar-01 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13
From To Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
R1 R1 72 65 68 66 66 67 63 54 55 53 50 52 61
R1 R2 18 26 24 27 26 25 23 28 25 26 25 28 25
R1 R3 10 10 8 7 8 9 14 18 20 20 25 20 13
R2 R1 38 38 40 34 37 31 25 20 21 17 18 20 23
R2 R2 43 40 41 42 45 45 46 42 42 39 37 32 42
R2 R3 19 22 20 24 19 23 29 39 37 45 46 48 35
R3 R1 18 25 29 29 25 20 16 13 14 13 12 10 10
R3 R2 32 30 28 23 25 22 23 20 21 16 17 17 21
R3 R3 50 45 43 48 51 58 61 67 65 71 71 73 69
RoA – Return on Asset, RoE – Return on Equity12
Movement/distribution of companies among tiers
Movement/distribution of companies within CFO tiers
Movement/distribution of companies within RoCE tiers
CFO Tiers
period
ending
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY18
C1 49% 47% 49% 52% 52% 52% 51% 49% 48% 49% 48% 48% 49% 50% 52% 55% 58% 65%
C2 37% 40% 39% 36% 36% 36% 35% 34% 33% 32% 33% 34% 33% 33% 31% 30% 29% 26%
C3 14% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 14% 18% 18% 19% 18% 18% 18% 17% 17% 16% 13% 9%
ROCE Tiers
period
ending
FY 01 FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY18
R1 32% 32% 30% 31% 34% 38% 42% 47% 45% 44% 43% 40% 34% 34% 32% 31% 31% 34%
R2 41% 39% 38% 35% 32% 31% 30% 29% 29% 30% 29% 29% 30% 29% 27% 26% 26% 29%
R3 26% 28% 32% 34% 33% 31% 28% 24% 26% 26% 28% 31% 36% 37% 41% 43% 44% 37%
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How is Wealth created?
Our process design enables us to
distinguish between companies.
Our wide range of strategies and
diverse Fund Managers can use
these inputs in the manner
appropriate to the fund mandate.
Companies that
experience an
improving trajectory
bought at attractive
valuations
Companies that can
self sustain their growth
and have the ability to
invest at high rates of
return
VALUEGROWTH
PROCESS
STRATEGIES
TEAM
14
Portfolio Construction
Fund Mandate: The fund mandate will dictate the overall portfolio strategy and the endeavor
would be to adhere to the mandate across economic scenarios & market moods
Impact of the screening mechanism: Preference for companies in ‘C1’, ‘C2’ and ‘R1’, ‘R2’
Investment strategies may invest in ‘C3’ and ‘R3’ companies, but risk management would be key
(probability v/s return)
Valuations
Sector weights
Market capitalization bias
Active share
15
Portfolio Characteristics- OCF & Return ratio Tiers
Portfolio as of December 31, 2018. Wtd. Avg. Mcap – Weighted Average Market Capitalization (Rs. In Crores)16
Scheme Fund ManagerAUM Wtd. Avg.
Mcap
CFO ROCE
(Rs. In Crs) C1 C2 C3 R1 R2 R3
UTI Equity Fund Ajay Tyagi 8,583 1,32,522 97 3 0 96 4 0
UTI MNC Fund Swati Kulkarni 2,147 82,256 95 5 0 75 17 8
UTI Mastershare Unit
SchemeSwati Kulkarni 5,570 2,24,529 86 9 5 68 24 8
UTI Dividend Yield Fund Swati Kulkarni 2,487 1,46,981 98 1 1 65 24 11
UTI Value Opportunities
Fund
Vetri Subramaniam
& Amit
Premchandani
4,374 1,85,570 90 10 0 59 28 13
UTI Long Term Equity Fund
(Tax Saving)
Vetri Subramaniam
& Lalit Nambiar1,086 1,32,073 87 11 2 51 35 14
UTI Core Equity Fund V Srivatsa 899 1,09,314 79 10 11 50 34 16
UTI Hybrid Equity Fund V Srivatsa 6,007 1,30,356 78 12 10 50 34 16
UTI Mid Cap Fund Lalit Nambiar 3,783 17,066 76 21 3 36 43 21
Active Management
Data as on December 31, 201817
Scheme Fund ManagerAUM
BenchmarkActive
Share (%)(Rs. In Crs)
UTI Mid Cap Fund Lalit Nambiar 3,783 Nifty Midcap 150 72.35
UTI Core Equity Fund V Srivatsa 899 Nifty LargeMidcap 250 69.79
UTI Equity Fund Ajay Tyagi 8,583 S&P BSE 200 66.68
UTI Long Term Equity Fund (Tax Saving)Vetri Subramaniam &
Lalit Nambiar1,086 S&P BSE 200 61.79
UTI Hybrid Equity Fund V Srivatsa 6,007 S&P BSE 200 62.86
UTI Value Opportunities FundVetri Subramaniam &
Amit Premchandani 4,374 S&P BSE 200 54.16
UTI MNC Fund Swati Kulkarni 2,147 Nifty MNC 34.83
UTI Dividend Yield Fund Swati Kulkarni 2,487 Nifty Dividend Opp. 50 47.82
UTI Mastershare Unit Scheme Swati Kulkarni 5,570 S&P BSE 100 42.10
Diverse Strategies – Style Discipline
MarketCapitalisation(` In Crores)
Return on
Equity
Price to
Earnings
Price to
Book
UTI Mastershare Unit Scheme UTI Equity Fund UTI Value Opportunities Fund
Return on
Equity
Price to
Earnings
Price to
Book
UTI Core Equity Fund UTI LTEF (Tax Saving) UTI Hybrid Equity Fund
Fund Benchmark
18 PE and PB is based on Trailing (TTM), Data as on December 31, 2018
MarketCapitalisation(` In Crores)
6.01 4.97
26.47 27.77
18.81 17.31
265,856 224,529
6.04 7.38
27.30 38.21
18.52 20.71
239,135 132,522
6.04 4.35
27.30 26.50
18.52 15.56
239,135 185,570
5.99 3.49
29.22 22.78
17.24 15.12
145,165 109,314
6.04 3.82
27.30 25.53
18.52 14.14
239,135 132,073
6.04 3.28
27.30 23.00
18.52 14.46
239,135 130,356
Diverse Strategies – Style Discipline
Return on
Equity
Price to
Earnings
Price to
Book
UTI Mid Cap Fund UTI MNC Fund
Fund Benchmark
19
UTI Dividend Yield Fund
PE and PB is based on Trailing (TTM), Data as on December 31, 2018
MarketCapitalisation(` In Crores)
5.86 4.62
31.76 26.25
15.28 13.48
18,565 17,066
9.29 6.22
22.30 22.35
27.60 20.69
221,072 146,981
13.61 13.36
39.87 44.14
26.28 22.80
94,488 82,256
UTI Holdings, UTI Universe and S&P BSE 500 Index Positioning
Companies which have been not part of S&P BSE 500 Index since 2003 are excluded, Aggregated based on Equity and Hybrid
Funds, Cash flow analysis is excluding Financial Services Sector
Data as on December 31, 2018
CFO
UTI Holdings UTI Universe S&P BSE 500 Index
UTI Holdings Rs bn
No. of Cos
% of AUM
% of CosMarket
cap Rs bnNo. of Cos
% of Mcap
% of CosMarket
cap Rs bnNo. of Cos
% of Mcap
% of Cos
C1 282 182 84% 79% 81,380 216 89% 80% 86,934 311 86% 75%
C2 32 25 9% 11% 5,193 32 6% 12% 7,845 67 8% 16%
C3 12 7 4% 3% 3,076 9 3% 4% 3,926 21 4% 5%
IPOs/NA 10 15 3% 6% 2,021 12 2% 4% 2,760 18 3% 4%
Total 336 230 100% 100% 91,670 269 100% 100% 1,01,465 417 100% 100%
ROCE
UTI Holdings UTI Universe S&P BSE 500 Index
UTI HoldingsRs bn
No. of Cos
% of AUM
% of CosMarket
cap Rs bnNo. of Cos
% of Mcap
% of CosMarket
cap Rs bnNo. of Cos
% of Mcap
% of Cos
R1 291 127 63% 46% 73,091 149 59% 46% 77,640 222 57% 45%
R2 112 90 24% 33% 31,418 102 25% 31% 33,363 133 25% 27%
R3 45 41 10% 15% 13,727 57 11% 17% 17,902 120 13% 24%
IPOs/NA 12 18 3% 7% 5,482 19 4% 6% 6,372 25 5% 5%
Total 460 276 100% 100% 1,23,719 327 100% 100% 1,35,277 500 100% 100%
20
UTI Aggregate vs MF Industry
Aggregated based on Equity and Hybrid Funds
Data as on December 31, 2018
CFO ROCE
C1 C2 C3 IPOs/NA R1 R2 R3 IPOs/NA
UTI MF 84% 9% 4% 3% 63% 24% 10% 3%
MF Industry 83% 8% 6% 3% 56% 25% 16% 4%
S&P BSE 500 Index 86% 8% 4% 3% 57% 25% 13% 5%
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