v foro latibex - gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 india 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9...

42
V Foro LATIBEX Latinoamerica en Euros Madrid, November 19-21, 2003

Upload: others

Post on 14-Sep-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

V Foro LATIBEX

Latinoamerica en Euros

Madrid, November 19-21, 2003

Page 2: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Steel Sector

Gerdau S.A. Consolidated

Capital Market

Page 3: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

9M2003 9M2002 Var. %

1 1 China 159,6 131,2 21,6%

2 2 Japan 82,5 79,7 3,5%

3 3 United States 68,1 69,0 -1,3%

4 4 Russia 45,9 43,7 5,1%

5 5 Korea 34,2 33,6 1,8%

6 6 Germany 33,5 33,8 -0,9%

7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8%

8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6%

9 9 Brazil 23,4 21,8 7,3%

10 10 Italy 19,9 19,3 3,0%

Others 182,9 176,1 3,9%

TOTAL 700,9 654,7 7,1%

World ProductionCrude Steel

In 1,000 tons

Sources: IISI and MEPS

In 2002, the

world produced

887 million tons

of steel.

Brazil

contributed

with 3.4% of

this tonnage.

The forecast for

2003 indicates

a world output

of 952 million tons

and 31 million in

Brazil.

03

Page 4: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Largest ProducersCrude Steel 2002

Source: IISI

In million tons

Production

1 Arcelor 44.0

2 LNM Group 34.8

3 Nippon Steel 29.8

4 POSCO 28.1

5 Shangai Baosteel 19.1

6 Corus 16.8

7 Thyssen Krupp 16.4

8 NKK 15.2

Company

(LUX)

(ENG)

(JAP)

(KOR)

(CHI)

(ENG)

(GER)

(JAP) 9 Riva 15.0

10 US Steel 14.4

11 Kawasaki 13.7

12 Nucor 12.4

13 Sumitomo 11.8

14 Gerdau 11.5

15 SAIL 11.4

Company Production

(ITA)

(USA)

(JAP)

(USA)

(JAP)

(BRA)

(ENG)04

Page 5: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

World EconomyGDP growth – 2000 to 2004E

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

2000 2001 2002 2003E 2004E

27% Ukraine 46 51 11%

10% Canada 860 917 7%

2000: base zero

Source: IMF

China: GDP growth may put pressure on world prices for inputs and finished steel products.

CIS and Baltic Countries: accelerated growth between 2000-04E. Greater domestic consumption may reduce subsidized steel exports.

Brazil: positive outlook. The IMF estimates a 3% growth in 2004.

05

34% China 1,372 1,497 9%

22% Russia 429 505 18%

9% USA 10,875 11,437 5% 8% Brazil 507 540 7%

2000-2004ELocal currency

2003EUS$ bi

2004EUS$ bi

Var.%

Page 6: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

US$/ton

100

150

200

250

2

4

6

8

10

12

350

300

50

million tons14

Jan 01 Jun 01 Jan 02 Jun 02 Jan 03 Jun 03

The increase in steel production in China puts pressure on costs of main inputs in the international market.

The increase in apparent consumption in long products in China affects positively the prices of these steel products, such as merchants and rebar, in the international market.

Merchants International Prices

Rebar International Prices

Long Steel Apparent Consumption in China

Sources: MEPS , WSD, IISI, USGS and Metal Bulletin.

China

Scrap export price (Rotterdam - FOB)

Scrap price in USA

Long Steel production in China

MONTHLY CONSUMPTION X LONG STEEL PRICES

STEEL MONTHLY OUTPUT X SCRAP PRICES

US$/tonmillion tons

15

10

520

40

60

80

100

12020

25

30

140

160

180

Jan 01 Jun 01 Jan 02 Jun 02 Jan 03 Jun 0306

Page 7: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

13.8

2.7

3.7

10.1

0.1

2.7

2001 2008

CIS and Baltic CountriesLONG STEEL APPARENT CONSUMPTION 2001-2008E

Russia Ukraine Others

Sources: WSD and BCG Analysis

Between 2001 and 2008E, apparent consumption should increase by 56.6% in the CIS and Baltic Countries reducing subsidized exports.

LONG STEEL PRODUCTION 2001-2008E

Russia Ukraine Others14.0

11.6

1.9

13.1

12.3

1.7

2001 2008

Output is not expected to follow the increase in consumption, generating the need to import steel products affecting positively international prices.

In million tons

In million tons

12.9

20.2

27.527.1

07

Page 8: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

North America

Sources: MEPS/ American Metal Market

Shipments should be at the same levels of the last 12 months. Supply and demand remain in balance. Section 201 helped

curb imports.

REBAR

Shipments should be

in the same range of

2002. Imports and

exports remain

unchanged at the

same levels of the

lasts 12 months.

MERCHANTS

LONG STEEL AVERAGE PRICES – LAST 12 MONTHS

SCRAP

Scrap prices increased almost 25% during 3Q2003 due to increases in internal and external demand.

Exports continue to grow and scrap prices delivered to the Asian markets vary from US$ 180 to US$ 200 per ton.

PRICESUS$/TON

9/036/031/039/026/021/029/01

240

260

280

300

320

PRICESUS$/TON

9/036/031/039/026/021/029/01

250

275

300

325

350

200320022001200060

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

USA/Chicago – US$/ton

08

Page 9: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Belgo/CST/Acesita(Arcelor) - 36%2,735 thousand tons

Gerdau/Açominas – 48%3,687 thousand tons

Barra Mansa - 5%367 thousand tons

Aços Villares - 5%421 thousand tons

V&M do Brasil - 6%442 thousand tons

Brazilian Steel Sector2002

LONG STEEL PRODUCERS IN BRAZIL

Source: IBS

CRUDE STEEL PRODUCERS IN BRAZIL

Usiminas/Cosipa

Gerdau/Açominas

Belgo/CST/Acesita (Arcelor)

CSN

Aços Villares

V&M do Brasil

Barra Mansa

8,447

5,999

8,439

5,107

700

500

387

In thousand tons 9M2003

6,486

5,158

6,443

3,968

598

409

299

9M2003

Gerdau/ Açominas 2,876

Belgo/CST/Acesita (Arcelor) 2,002

V&M do Brasil 342

Aços Villares 350

Barra Mansa 278

In thousand tons

TOTAL 5,848

09

Page 10: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Long Steel Exports in Brazil

Source: IBS

In thousand tons

Exports Internal Sales

Domestic Sales2003/2001

-11%

Exports2003/2001

+85%

Monthly Average 84.4 thousand

tons

2001 2002 9M2003

Monthly Average 99.2 thousand tons

Monthly Average 156,3 thousand

tons

Monthly Average 517.2 thousand tons

Monthly Average 528.2 thousand tons

Monthly Average 461.5 thousand tons

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Long steel exports

may overcome

the 2.0 mm ton in 2003

(+72%)

10

Page 11: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Brazilian Steel Competitiveness

Source: IBS

PRICE INCREASES FOR INPUTS FOR BRAZILIAN STEEL PRODUCTION IN 2002

RAW MATERIALIncrease

(%)

Iron Ore 40.8%

Metallurgic Coal (imported) 88.0%

Coke 128.0%

Aço-carbono' scrap 158.0%

Pig Iron 95.8%

Ferro-chromium 42.9%

Ferro-silico 32.4%

Ferro-manganese 39.5%

Nickel 112.1%

Molybdenum trioxide 153.3%

Casting powder 77.9%

Carburantes 61.9%

Electrodes 55.3%

Fuel Oil 94.0%

GLP 116.0%

EBITDA MARGIN - 2002

Brazil Asia** excludes Japan

Japan US North American

World Total

%

5

10

15

20

2530

35

40

In spite of increases in input prices, Brazil is the country which presents the highest operating margin in the world.

Mills operate with up-to-date technology due to a continuous investment program.

11

35%

Page 12: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

30 31 29

33 33 34 34 35

40 40

3028 302826 25 25 26 26 25

28 27

31

2423222119181918161617151313

0

10

20

30

40

50

1994 200795 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06

In million tons

forecastrealized

Steel Sector Investments in Brazil

Source: IBS

PAYMENT SCHEDULE

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 TOTAL

FLAT ROLLED STEEL 613.4 694.0 854.4 351.5 117.9 2,631.3

LONG STEEL 290.3 276.2 281.2 185.9 180.1 1,213.8

SPECIAL SECTION 72.8 58.5 50.4 38.1 32.3 252.1

TOTAL 976.5 1,028.8 1,186.0 575.4 330.4 4,097.1

In US$ million

Apparent Consumption in Brazil

Installed Capacity

Crude Steel Production

CAPACITY X OUTPUT X APPARENT CONSUMPTION

12

Page 13: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Source: IBS

Forecasts2004

estimatedVar. %

2004/2003

32,470 2.9%23,009 9.2%14,280 9.0%

8,729 9.5%7,350 -12.2%

16,430 10.5%9,650 7.1%6,780 15.7%

12,750 -6.5%3.5 -10.3%

800 33.3%0.6 20.0%

17,220 11.3%10,140 8.0%

7,080 16.3%

38.6 12.2%

Output (thousand tons)Crude SteelRolled Products

Flat Rolled ProductsLong Steel

Semi-finished for sales

Internal Sales* (thousand tons)Flat Rolled ProductsLong Steel

Comércio Exterior (thousand tons)Exports (103t)

(US$ billion)Imports (103t)

(US$ billion)

Apparent Consumption * (thousand tons)

Flat Rolled ProductsLong Steel

Gross Sales (R$ billion)

2003 estimated

Var. % 2003/2002

31,555 6.6%21,072 10.7%13,103 14.9%

7,969 4.5%8,374 -5.3%

14,874 -6.0%9,014 -0.8%5,860 -13.0%

13,630 16.6%3.9 34%

600 -10.7%0.5

15,474 -6.1%9,386 -1.4%6,088 -12.6%

34.4 30.3%

* Excludes semi-finished products shipped to the Steel Sector13

Page 14: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Steel Sector

Gerdau S.A. Consolidated

Capital Markets

Page 15: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Main Products

BILLETSMERCHANTS AND STRUCTURAL REBARS FABRICATED STEEL

STRUCTURAL SHAPES WIRE-ROD WIRES NAILS

15

Page 16: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Gerdau S.A 4,374 4,071

Açominas 3,000 7402,610

South 510 643America

North 6,567 6,187America

TOTAL 14,451 14,251

Billets, merchant bars, rebars, wire rod,

drawn products, welded meshes, nails,

downstream products and fabricated steel

products.

Installed Capacity

16

Billets, merchant bars, rebars, wire rod,

drawn products, welded wire meshes, nails,

downstream products, fabricated steel

products and specialty steel.

Billets, merchant bars, rebars,slabs, blooms, profiles and structurals.

Billets, merchant bars, rebars and wire rod.

CRUDE STEEL

ROLLED PRODUCTS

Page 17: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Output Evolution

17

AVERAGE GROWTH RATE

1980 - 2003Crude Steel 10.2% year

Rolled Products 9.2% year

14th largest world steel producer according to the IISI and the bestranked Brazilian company.

Largest long steel producer in the Americas.

CRUDE STEEL12 million ton

ROLLED PRODUCTS9 million ton

AzaChile1992

MRMCanada1995

Part. Açominas

1997AmeriSteel

USA1999

CearenseGuaíra1982

LaisaUruguay

1981

Hime1985

Barão de Cocais1988

CourticeCanada1989

Usiba1989

Piratini1992

Pains1994

Sipsa Argentina

1997

Açominas(control)

2002

Co-Steel2002

2003*1980 1984 199619921988 2000* 9 months annualized

Part. Sipar

Argentina1998

Page 18: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Geographical Distribution

18

(2) Rolling mill, 38% owned JV

(1) Flat steel mill, 50% owned JV

SOUTH AMERICA

2 mills and 1 strategic shareholding (Sipar)

3 fabrication shops

BRAZIL

10 mills

9 fabrication shops

5 downstream operations and special sections

73 sales points (Comercial Gerdau).

5 service centers for flat steel (ComercialGerdau).

NORTH AMERICA

10 mills and 1 strategic shareholding (Gallatin Steel)

14 fabrication shops

12 downstream operations and special sections

Gerdau AmeriSteel Corp.

Sipar (2)

Laisa

Gerdau S.A.

Açominas

AZA

Gallatin Steel (1)

Page 19: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Competitive Edge

Focus on long steel products manufacturing and distribution

Market mill approach

Up-to-date technology

Competitive production costs

Diversified production processes

Multiple raw materials sourcing

Vertical and horizontal integration

Relevant market share in every country in which the company has operations

Financial soundness and access to international capital markets

Confirmed experience in turning around distressed operations19

Page 20: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Results

In R$ million

20

GROSS SALES REVENUE

Net Sales Revenue

Cost of Sales

Gross Profit

SG&A

Net Financial Expenses

Other Operating Results

Equity pick-up

Operating Profit

Non-operating result

Provision for income tax and social contrib.

Statutory participation

Net Income

Controlling ShareholdersMinority Shareholders

9M2003 9M2002

11,614 8,062

9,851 6,595

(7,429) (4,717)

2,422 1,878

(848) (729)

(490) (1,141)

(1) 101

(285) 588

798 697

(14) (28)

24 (37)

(13) (9)

795 623

679 623 116 (0)

3Q2003 2Q2003

4,132 3,558

3,494 3,030

(2,688) (2,246)

806 784

(291) (276)

(240) (141)

2 (4)

26 (222)

303 141

(4) (9)

(50) 134

(4) (4)

245 262

234 199 11 63

Page 21: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Main Variations

COST OF SALES

Scheduled stoppages for technological

updates in North America – cost 8.2

million.

Four mills affected by the outage in

August in North America.

Greater revenue (expressed in reais) of

results from operations abroad due to

the 1.8% devaluation of the real vis-à-

vis the US dollar

2Q2003 3Q2003

In R$ million

- 2,246

- 2,688

NET SALES REVENUE

6% growth in shipments.

Greater revenue (expressed in reais) of

results from operations abroad due to the

1.8% devaluation of the real vis-à-vis the

US dollar.

2Q2003 3Q2003

In R$ million

+3,030+3,494

21

Page 22: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

In R$ millionNET INCOME EXPENSES

Effect of the 1.8% devaluation of the real

vis-à-vis the US dollar in the quarter.

If monetary and FX variations are excluded,

net financial expenses of the third quarter

are R$ 161 million.

Financial Expenses 281Monetary and FX variations 85Fin. Expenses without Variations 196

Financial Revenues 41Monetary and FX variations 6Fin. Revenues without Variations 35

Net Financial Expenses 240Monetary and FX variations 79Net Financial Expenses 161(without variations)

3Q2003

22

Main Variations

-240

-141

2Q2003 3Q2003

Page 23: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

EQUITY PICK-UP

PROVISION FOR INCOME TAX AND SOCIAL CONTRIBUTION

In R$ million

In R$ million

Equity pick up was positive in the third

quarter this year as a result of the FX

impact over investments abroad.

In the 3Q2003 were no relevant facts,

whereas in 2Q2003 the full accrual of R$

198.0 million of deferred fiscal assets based

on fiscal losses and a negative social

contribution by its subsidiary Açominas in

that period was accounted.

23

Main Variations

134

-502Q2003 3Q2003

-222

26

2Q2003 3Q2003

Page 24: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

NORTH SOUTHBRAZIL AMERICA AMERICA TOTAL

In R$ million

Net Sales 1,933 1,441 120 3,494

Gross Profit 712 53 40 805

EBITDA 585 49 37 671

Net Income 254 (30) 21 245

R$ / ton

Net Sales 1,094 1,117 1,216 1,107

Gross Profit 403 41 404 255

EBITDA 331 38 371 212

Net Income 144 (23) 212 78

%

Gross Margin 36.8% 3.7% 33.2% 23.0%

EBITDA Margin 30.3% 3.4% 30.5% 19.2%

Net Margin 13.1% -2.0% 17.4% 7.0%

Results by Region3Q2003

24

Page 25: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Sales Track Record

In 1,000 tons

1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03

876 932 1,086 980 854 798 875

625695

6471,067 1,271 1,284 1,29084

76

86

106107 101

99

536 280

495 580 657 793 892

Calpers stoppage at Açominas’ blast

furnace

Full Consolidation of Co-Steel in North

America

2,121 1,983 2,314 2,733 2,889 2,976 3,156 TOTAL SHIPMENTS

Brazil (Domestic Sales)

Brazilian Exports

North America

South America

Resumption of domestic sales in the 3Q2003. Positive trend for 4Q2003.

Increasing exports since 3Q2003. Counterbalancing the reduction of domestic sales. International prices and US dollar attractive to exports.

Growth after 4Q2002 due to the merger with Co-Steel.Higher sales during 2003.

Demand in Chile and Argentina improving.

25

Page 26: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Brazilian Exports

Asia46%

Africa11%

South America9%

North America 10%

Europe12%

Central America12%

Exports from Brazil increased 81% in 9M2003 compared to 9M2002.

Europe, Africa and South America are buying to buy more steel products.

Gerdau S.A. negotiates its exports through trading companies, whereas Açominas delivers

its products directly to the end consumer.

Asia54%

Africa3%South America

8%

North America13%

Europe8%

Central America14%

DESTINATION OF EXPORTS 9M2002

DESTINATION OF EXPORTS 9M2003

26

Page 27: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

1Q03 2Q03 3Q03

Output

Gerdau S.A. Açominas North America South America

ROLLED PRODUCTSIn 1,000 tons

905

107

1,197

90

855

85

1,216

90

830

91

1,122

92 272 363 57%

3,535 4,713 76%

283 377 51%

2,590 3,453 85%

6,680 8,906 77%

2,2992,2462,135

CRUDE STEEL

In 1,000 tons

253 337 66%

9M2003ANNUALIZED

9M2003 ACUMULATED

3,766 5,021 76%

2,203 2,937 98%

2,954 3,939 90%

9,176 12,234 85%

3,1233,0852,968

1,050

740

1,250

83

963

716

1,321

85

941

747

1,195

85

INSTALLED CAPACITY

UTILIZATION

27

9M2003ANNUALIZED

9M2003 ACUMULATED

INSTALLED CAPACITY

UTILIZATION

1Q03 2Q03 3Q03

Page 28: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

TOTAL DEBT 7,168 100% 6,944 100%

SHORT TERM 3,708 52% 3,153 45%

Local currency (Brazil) 481 7% 736 10%

Foreign corrency 1,639 23% 1,576 23%

Companies abroad 1,588 22% 841 12%

LONG TERM 3,460 48% 3,791 55%

Local currency (Brazil) 1,096 15% 763 11%

Foreign corrency 898 13% 1,047 15%

Companies abroad 1,466 20% 1,981 29%

CASH & EQUIVALENTS 1,431 100% 1,498 100%

Local currency (Brazil) 499 35% 798 53%

Foreign corrency 932 65% 700 47%

NET DEBT 5,737 - 5,446 -

SEPT.03DEC.02

IndebtednessIn R$ million

SENIOR SECURED CREDIT FACILITY US$ 350 SENIOR UNSECURED NOTES US$ 450 (June)Total volume: US$ 755 mmAverage cost: 7.7%Average term: 6.6 years

SECURED EXPORT NOTES PROGRAM(September)Total volume: US$ 400 mm 1st tranche: US$ 105 mmCost: 7.37% p.a.Term: 7 years – Grace period: 2 years

EURO-COMMERCIAL PAPER PROGRAM(October)Total volume: US$ 300 mm1st tranche: US$ 100 mmCost: 4.125% p.a.Term: 1 year

TOTAL DEBT REDUCTION AND MATURITY EXTENTION

HEDGE

Local currency 2.623

Swap operation 1.469

Cash & equi. US$ 700

HEDGE / EXPORSURE 1.2X

DEBT COST

Brazil - R$ 21%

Brazil - R$ + FX 6%

Companies abroad - US$ 7%

28

Page 29: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Debt BreakdownSHORT TERM – R$ 3.2 billion

Companies abroad(US$)27%

Açominas (US$)16%

BNDES (R$) 3%

Working Capital(R$) 6%

Others 1%

Açominas (R$) 3%

Debentures (R$) 10%

Eurobonds (US$) 12%

Import loans (US$)11%

Working Capital (R$)11%

LONG TERM – R$ 3.8 billion

Companies abroad

51%

Açominas (US$) 7%

Others 3%

BNDES (R$) 7%

Açominas (R$) 4%

Debentures (R$) 7%

Import loans(US$) 1%Working

Capital (US$)6%

ACC/Pre-Export (US$)13%

29

Page 30: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Amortization Flow

In R$ million

4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 2005 2006 After2007

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

700 681

355

146

539 396

2,337

1,417

2007

373

Debentures 336Banco do Brasil 151Eurobonds Interest 21

Eurobonds 380Banco do Brasil 49

Secured Export Notes ProgramSenior Secured Credit Facility

Senior Unsecured Notes

30

Page 31: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Investments9M2003

Gerdau S.A.US$ 71.7 mm

AçominasUS$ 89.3 mm

South AmericaUS$ 4.7 mm

North AmericaUS$ 40.5 mm

NEW WIRE-ROD MILLInstalled capacity: 550 thousand tons/year

Beginning of the tests at the end of November 2003

Total investment: US$ 75 mm

SCHEDULED STOPPAGES FOR TECHNOLOGICAL

UPDATE IN 6 MILLS IN THE 3Q2003.

Investments in EnvironmentUS$ 38,2 mm in 2002

TOTAL 9M2003: US$ 206.1 mm31

Page 32: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Operational Integration

Merger of power of both companies: higher competitiveness

Project developed in partnership between Gerdau e CEA (partner-contributor)

Headquarter in Ouro Branco - MG

Gerdau Açominas S.A.Gerdau S.A. Aço Minas Gerais S.A.Açominas

NEW CORPORATE GOVERNANCE

Met. Gerdau S.A.

Gerdau Açominas S.A.

Brazil NorthAmerica

SouthAmerica

Gerdau Ameristeel

Gerdau AZA

Gerdau Laisa

Sipar

Gerdau S.A.

32

Page 33: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Demand pick up in Brazil;

Declining trend in interest rates in Brazil;

Brazil’s economic and political stability results in a better country risk;

Social Security Reform under way;

International prices trend: stable to upward;

North American operations pursuing better results;

US economy recovering, but slowly;

South American operations in very good shape and improving.

Outlook

33

Page 34: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Steel Sector

Gerdau S.A. Consolidated

Capital Market

Page 35: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Other investors16%

Foreign Inst. Investors21%Brazilian Inst. Investors

11%

Gerdau Companies52%

METALÚRGICA GERDAU S.A.

GERDAU S.A.

Shareholders StructureSeptember 2003

35

Other investors 34%

Foreign Inst. Investors17%

Brazilian Inst. Investors24%

Gerdau ControllingGroup

25%

Page 36: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Adjusted Net Income Dividends paid

Payout of 30% of the Adjusted Net Income.

Since March 2003, dividend payments are being made on a quarterly basis.

Dividend Policy

1998

32.0% 33.1% 32.6% 52.5% 33.9% PAYOUT

YIELD16.4% 6.0% 7.9% 17.0% 12.4 %

32.8% 32.0% 32.8% 35.6% 34.9%

11.7% 3.6% 6.1% 6.8 % 7.1%

METALÚRGICA GERDAU S.A.In US$ million

GERDAU S.A.In US$ million

2000

8929

8828

1999

9130

2001*

10153

2002

11740

2001

19971

2000

19564

1999

17155

1998

15049

2002

21675

36

* Higher amount due to a one-time supplementary dividend payment.

Page 37: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Stock Price Performance

USA (NYSE)

BRAZIL (Bovespa)

100

200

300

400

2001 2002 2003

Met. Gerdau S.A GOAU4

Gerdau S.A.GGBR4

Ibovespa

500

100

200

300

2001 2002 2003

Gerdau S.AGGB

Dow Jones

37

Source: Economática – Period: Jan 2nd, 2001 to Oct 31st, 2003 (Base 100)

Page 38: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Appreciation ChartReturns in US$

1 YEAR 3 YEARS 5 YEARS

BRAZIL (Bovespa)

GGBR4+123%

Ibov+125%

GGBR4+505%

Ibov+7%

Ibov-19%

GGBR4+129%

GOAU4+174%

GOAU4+629%

GOAU4+135%

GGB + 109%Dow Jones + 17%

GGB + 84%Dow Jones - 11%

GGB +340%Dow Jones + 0.3%

USA (NYSE)

38Source: Economática - October 31st, 2003

Page 39: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Liquidity

Avg / Daily number of transactions

Avg / Daily Dollar trading volume

METALÚRGICA GERDAU S.A. (GOAU4)

Avg / Daily number of transactions

Avg / Daily Dollar trading volume

GERDAU S.A. (GGBR4)

Source : Economática39

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

01/02 04/02 07/02 10/02 01/03 04/03 07/03 10/030

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

R$ 1,000 Number of transactions

Jan.02 Apr.02 Jul.02 Oct.02 Jan.03 Apr.03 Jul.03 Oct.03

Page 40: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

CSN USIMINAS

1,720

3,815

3,560

1,148

3,626

1,060

2,951

5,505

178.6

8.0

286.9

41.3

3.1 3.4

2.8 1.5

NUCORSTEEL

DYNAMICS

8.5 3.8

30.4

5.4

886

1,252

18.6

232

ND

4,286

ND

4,207

502

8.4

54.8

42.2

GERDAU BELGO

2.3 3.4

444

271.8

1,359

4.3

14.6

3,936

923

1,407

2,159

2,885

3.5

402

156.5

194.5

Source : Economática, Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg and company websites

Note 1: Gerdau, Nucor and Steel Dynamics: on 09.30.03Belgo, CSN and Usiminas: on 30.06.03

Note 2: Gerdau: 9M2003 annualizedBelgo, CSN and Usiminas: 6M2003 annualizedNucor and Steel Dynamics: TTM (Trailing Twelve Months)

Note 3: Gerdau, Nucor and Steel Dynamics: 9M2003Belgo, CSN and Usiminas: 6M2003

Belgo and CSN data in lots of thousand shares

FX - 06.30.2003: US$ 1.00 = R$ 2.8720

09.30.2003: US$ 1.00 = R$ 2.9232

10.31.2003: US$ 1.00 = R$ 2.8562

EV = Market Capital + Net Debt

Market Capitalization(US$ mm) - 10.31.03

Avg / Daily Trad. Vol.(US$ thousand) - 2003

Enterprise Value - EV (US$ mm) - note 1

EBITDA annualized(US$ mm) - note 2

EV/EBITDA annualized( X )

Stock Price(US$) - 10.31.2003

Net Income(US$ mm) - note 3

Market Cap./EBITDAannualized ( X )

Comparative Data

40

Page 41: V Foro LATIBEX - Gerdau · 2003. 12. 5. · 7 7 Ukraine 27,5 25,2 8,8% 8 8 India 23,5 21,3 10,6% 9 l i z a 9Br 4 , 8 3%, ... 8% Brazil 507 540 7% 2000-2004E Local currency 2003E US$

Satisfied CUSTOMERS

Accomplished PEOPLE

SAFE Work Environment

QUALITY in everything we do

SOLIDITY and SECURITY

COMMITMENT to all stakeholders

PROFIT as a measure of performance

Gerdau’s Value

41