v[Ɛ ryv[e]riedvowelmergers inthe pacific northwest · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of cowlitz...

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V[Ɛ]RY V[e]RIED VOWEL MERGERS IN THE P ACIFIC NORTHWEST Diversity and Variation in Language Conference (DiVar1) Emory University Conference Center, Atlanta, Georgia February 11, 2017 Joey Stanley University of Georgia [email protected] @joey_stan joeystanley.com

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Page 1: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

V[Ɛ]RY V[e]RIED VOWEL MERGERS

IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST

Diversity and Variation in Language Conference (DiVar1)Emory University Conference Center, Atlanta, Georgia

February 11, 2017

Joey StanleyUniversity of Georgia

[email protected] @joey_stan

joeystanley.com

Page 2: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

The West

“low homogeneity” and “low consistency”

(Labov, Ash, Boberg 2006:277)

cot-caught merger

fronting of /u/

lack of Southern, Midland, and Canadian features

2Background

Page 3: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

PACIFIC NORTHWEST ENGLISH

3Background

o

æg

ɛg

eg

(Wassink et al. 2009, Freeman 2014,

Riebold 2015, Wassink 2016, etc.)

(Ward 2003, Becker et al. 2013,

McLarty & Kendall 2014,

Becker et al. 2016, etc.)

(bag, dragon, snag)

(leg, egg, beg)

(vague, flagrant, Reagan)

Page 4: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

SAME VOWELS: OTHER MERGERS

4Background

ulʊl

ol

ærV

ɛrV

erV

MARY-MERRY-MARRY

variable in New England(Labov, Ash, & Boberg 2006, Nagy 2001,

Coye 2009, Bauman 2013)

ANAE: “This query was not pursued in most areas of the West and Midwest.”

(Labov, Ash, & Boberg 2006:54, note 6)

Merging in PNW 1960s, but merged today

(Reed 1961, Wassink 2016)

ʌl

POOL-PULL, PULL-POLE, PULL-PULP, etc.

ANAE: “deserve further study” (Labov, Ash, & Boberg 2006:73)

variable in Maryland (Bowie

2000), Ohio (Arnold 2014), Missouri (Strelluf 2016), and Utah(Baker & Bowie 2010)

Variable in PNW 1960s(Reed 1961)

dairy, hairy, fairy, vary

heritage, numeric,sheriff, ferry,

terrible

arrow, carry, narrate, parrot, sparrow, parish,

Harry

cool, school, rule, stool, who’ll, fool

fulcrum, pulpit, wool, bull, full

stroll, whole, stole,bowl, goal, foal

adult, cultprit, vulture, gull, cult,

skull, hull

Page 5: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

MARY-MERRY-MARRY historically variable, but likely merged today

Status of pre-lateral mergers is unknown, though impressionistically less clear cut

Hypothesis 1: complete MARY-MERRY-MARRY merger

Hypothesis 2: separation of POOL, PULL, POLE, and PULP

OVERVIEW

5Background

Page 6: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

METHODOLOGY

Page 7: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s

word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides

intuition of own minimal pairs

forced aligned with DARLA (Reddy & Stanford 2015), which uses ProsodyLab (Gorman, Howell, & Wagner,

2011) and FAVE (Rosenfelder, Fruehwald, Evanini, & Yuan 2011)

hand-corrected boundaries and extracted formants myself

DATA COLLECTION

7Methodology

Number of tokens

word list minimal pairs total

pre-laterals 376 842 1,218

pre-rhotics 342 509 851

total 718 1,351 2,069

Page 8: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

boundaries can be arbitrary

formants extracted at 25% into the vowel+liquid duration

(cf. Arnold 2015)

Bark normalized(Traunmüller 1997)

Lobanov not ideal since not all vowels are present

(Thomas & Kendall 2015)

FORMANT EXTRACTION

8Methodology

???

Page 9: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

Mixed-effects models (Baayen 2008, Levshina 2015)

lme() in R package nlme (Pinheiro et al. 2016)

glmer() in the R package lme4 (Bates et al. 2015)

Overlap measured with Pillai scores (Hay, Warren & Drager 2006; Hall-Lew 2010; Nycz & Hall-Lew 2013)

Effects are reported significant if p<0.01.

Appendix slides:more detailed explanation of statistical methodsall model outputsinterpretation of each mode.

ANALYSIS

9Methodology

Page 10: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

RESULTS

Page 11: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

POOL significantly higher

PULP significantly lower and fronter

PULL fronter than POLE in word list, but higher than POLE in minimal pairs

Generation and sex not significant

PRE-LATERALS: MEANS

11Results

fulcrumvulture

stroll

wool

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school

cool

school fulcrumpulpit

control

adult

vulture

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holster

cool

adult

culprit

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vulture

strollwool

pulpit

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adult culprit

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fulcrum

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whole

holster

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culprit

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wordList minimalPairs

8

9

10

11

12

5 6 7 8 9 10 5 6 7 8 9 10F3 - F2 (barks)

F3 -

F1 (b

arks

)Vowela

a

a

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pool

pull

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Pre-lateral tokens by all speakers

Page 12: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

PRE-LATERALS: OVERLAP

12Results

fulcrumvulture

stroll

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culprit

wool

coolschool

gull

goal

bowl

bull

ruleroll

school

skull

cultcolt

stole

stool

polepullpool

who'llholehull

full

fool

foal

fulcrum

pulpit

control

whole

vulture

stroll

holster

adult

culprit

wool

cool

school

gull

goal bowl

bullrule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

polepull

pool

who'll

hole hull

full

fool

foal

gull

goalbowl

bullrule

roll

skullcolt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

holehull

fullfoolfoal

fulcrumpulpit

control

whole

adult

vulture

culprit

holster

stroll

coolschool

wool

gull

goal

bowl

bull

rule

roll

schoolskull

colt

cultstole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hull

full

fool

foal

full

fool

foalcool

school

skull

colt

cult

gullgoal

rule

roll

school bullpole

pull

pool

pole

pool

pull

polepool

pullwho'll

hole

hull

fullstole

stool

bowl

vulture

fulcrumpulpit

control

adult

goal

gull

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

polepull

pool who'll

hole

hull

full

fool

culprit

holster

stroll

cool

school

fulcrum

vulture

strollwool

pulpit

control

whole

holster

cool

adult culprit

school

gull

goal

bowlbull

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stoolpole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hullfull

fool

foal

fulcrumpulpit

control

whole

adult vulture

culprit

holster

stroll

coolschool

wool

gull

goal

bowlbull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cultstole

stool

polepullpoolwho'll

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

fulcrumvulture

stroll

wool

pulpit

control

whole

holster

cool

adult

culprit school

goal

gullbowl

bull

rule

rollschool

skull

colt cult

stole

stoolpole

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hullfullfool

foal

fulcrum

vulturestroll

wool

pulpit

control

whole

holster

cool

adult

culprit

school

goal

gullbowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

pole

pullpool

holehull

who'll

full

fool

full

fool

fulcrum

vulture

woolpulpit

control

whole

holster

cool

adult

culprit

school

gull

goalbowlbull

rule

roll

school

skull colt

stole

pole

pull

pool

full

fool

fulcrum

vulture

stroll

wool

pulpit

control

whole

holstercool

adultculprit

school

gullgoal

bowl

bullrule

school

skull

cult

coltstole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

fulcrumpulpit

control

whole

vulture

stroll

holster

adult

culprit

woolcool

school

gull

goal bull

rule

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hull

fullfool

foalfulcrum

pulpit

control

wholevulture

strollholster

adult

culprit

wool

school

gull

goal

bowlbull

rule

roll

school

skull

cultcolt

stole

stool

polepull

pool

who'llholehull

full

fool

foal

fulcrum

pulpit

control

whole

adult

vulture

culpritholster

strollcool

school

wool

gull

goal

bowl

bull

ruleroll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

holehullfull

fool

gull goalbowl

bull

ruleschool

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pullpool

who'll

hole

hull

full

foolfulcrum

pulpitcontrol

whole

vulture

strollholster

adult

culprit

wool

coolschool

gull

goal

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cultstole

stool

pole

pull

pool

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

61+ 40-60 <40

8

9

10

11

12

5 6 7 8 9 10 5 6 7 8 9 10 5 6 7 8 9 10F3 - F2 (barks)

F3 -

F1 (b

arks

)

Vowela

a

a

a

pool

pull

pole

pulp

Pre-lateral tokens by generation

POOL converging with PULL, POLE, and PULP while PULL, POLE, and PULP are becoming more distinct from each other in apparent time.

Page 13: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

PRE-LATERALS: SPEAKER INTUITION

13Results

hesitation, deliberation, uncertainty

PULL-POLE (23.4% reported merged)(bull-bowl > pull-pole > full-foal)

POLE-PULP (13.9% reported merged)(goal-gull > colt-cult, hole-hull)

slight correlation between degree of merger and reported merger

POOL-PULL (16.7%), POOL-POLE (3.3%), POOL-PULP(2.6%)—no correlation with production

gull

goal

bowl

bullrule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'llhole

hullfull

fool

foalgull

goal

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cultstole

stool

bowlbullpole

pull

pool

pole

pool

pull

polepool

pullwho'll

hole

hull

full

goal

gull

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

polepull

pool who'll

hole

hull

full

fool

gullgoal bowlbullrule roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

stole

pole

who'll

hole

hull

full

gull

goal

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

pole

pull

poolwho'll

whole

hull

full

fool

gull

goal

bowlbullrule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

holehull

full

foolfoal

gull

goal

bowlbull

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stoolpole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hullfull

fool

foal

goalgull

bowl

bull

rollcolt

cultpole

pull

pool

who'll

holehull

full

fool

gull

goal

bowl

bull

rule roll

school

skull coltcult stole

stool

pole

pullpool who'll

hole

hull

fullfool

foal

gull goal

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stoolpole

pull

pool

pullpool

polewho'll

hole

hull

full

full

fool

foal

gull

goal

gull

goal

bowl

bullroll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hullfull

fool

foalgull

goal

school

skull

bowl

bull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pullpool

who'll

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

gull

goal

bowl

bull

rule

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pullpool

who'll

hole

hull

full

fullfool

foal

gull

goal

bowl

bullrule

ruleschool

skull

colt

cultstole

stool

pole

pull

poolwho'll

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

gull

goal

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hull

full

fool

gull

goal

bowlbull

roll

school

skull

coltcult

stole

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

gull

goal

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cultstole

stool

polepullpool

who'll

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

goal

gullbowl

bull

rule

rollschool

skull

colt cult

stole

stoolpole

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hullfullfool

foal

goal

gull

bowl

bull

rule

rollschool

skull

colt

cultstole stool pole

pull

pool

pole

who'll

holehull

hull

fullfool

foalgull

goal

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pullpool

holehull

full

fool

foal

goal

gullbowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

pole

pullpool

holehull

who'll

full

fool

full

fool

gull

goal

bowl

bull

rule ruleroll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

polepull

poolwho'll

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

gull

goal

bowl

bullrule

roll

school

skull

coltcult

stole

stool

polepull

pool

who'll

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

gull

goal

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cultstole

stool

polepull

poolwho'll

holehullfull

fool

foal

gull

goal

bowlbull

rule

roll

school

skull

coltcult

stole

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

hole

hull

fullfool

foalgull

goalbowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

coltcult

stole

polepull

poolwho'll

hole

hullfull

fool

foal

gull

goalbowlbull

rule

roll

school

skull colt

stole

pole

pull

pool

full

fool

gull

goal

bowl

bull

ruleroll

school

skull

cultcolt

stole

stool

polepull

pool

who'llholehull

full

fool

foal

gull goal

bowl

bullrule

school

skull

cult

coltstole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

gull

goalbowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

polepull

pool

who'll hole

hull

full

fool

foal

gull

goal bowl

bullrule

roll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

polepull

pool

who'll

hole hull

full

fool

foal

gull

goal

bowl

bull

ruleroll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool pole

pull

pool

who'll hole

hull

fullfool

foalgull

goal bull

rule

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hull

fullfool

foal

gull

goal

bowlbull

rule

roll

school

skull

cultcolt

stole

stool

polepull

pool

who'llholehull

full

fool

foal

gull

goal

bowl

bull

ruleroll

school

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

holehullfull

fool

gull

goalbowl

bullrule

roll

skullcolt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hole

hull

fullfoolfoal

gull

goal

bowl

bull

rule

roll

schoolskull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pull

pool

who'll

hull

full

fool

foal

full

fool

foal

gull goalbowl

bull

ruleschool

skull

colt

cult

stole

stool

pole

pullpool

who'll

hole

hull

full

fool

gull

goal

bowl

bull

rule

roll

school

skull

colt

cultstole

stool

pole

pull

pool

hole

hull

full

fool

foal

8

9

10

11

12

5 6 7 8 9 10F3 - F2 (barks)

F3 -

F1 (b

arks

)

Vowela

a

a

a

pool

pull

pole

pulp

Pre-lateral tokens by all speakers (minimal pairs)

Page 14: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

PRE-LATERALS IN OTHER REGIONS

14Results

Texas (Bailey et al. 1991)

POOL=PULL

Pittsburg area(Labov et al. 2006)

POOL=PULL

Waldorf, MD (Bowie 2000)

POOL-PULL, PULL-POLE

distinct in productionmerged in perception (esp. for younger speakers)Kansas City, MO (Strelluf 2016)

PULL-POLE, POLE-PULP most commonno change in production over timeincreased perceptual merging over time

Youngstown, OH (Arnold 2015)

POOL-PULL receding over timePULL-POLE merging over time

Utah County, UT(Baker & Bowie 2010)

POOL-PULL-POLE

and PULL-PULP

more merged among Mormons

Cowlitz County, WAPULL-POLE most commonmore overlap over time

Page 15: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

MERRY = MARRY in the word list

MARY higher than MERRYand MARRY in the word list

three-way split in the minimal pairs

PRE-RHOTICS: PRODUCTION

15Results

heritage

carryarrow

dairy

sheriff

parrot

narrate

sparrowhairy

numeric vary

sheriff

narratevary

sparrow

arrow

heritage

hairy

carry

dairy

parrot

numericsheriff

narratevary

sparrow

arrowheritage

hairy

carry

heritage

carryarrowdairy

sheriffparrot

narrate

sparrow

hairy

numeric

vary

heritage

carry

arrow

dairy

sheriffparrot

narrate

sparrow

hairy

numeric

veryheritage

carry

arrow

dairy

sheriff parrot

narrate

sparrow

hairy

vary

heritagecarry

arrowdairy

sheriffparrot

narrate

sparrowhairy

numeric

vary

heritage

carry

arrow

dairy

sheriffparrot

narrate

sparrowhairy

numeric

varyheritage

carry

arrow

dairysheriff

parrotnarrate

sparrowhairynumeric

vary

heritage

carry

arrow

dairy

sheriffparrot

narrate

sparrow

carry

numeric

vary

heritage

carry

arrow

sparrowhairy

dairy

parrot

numeric

sheriff

narrate

vary

heritage

carry

arrow

sparrowhairy

dairy

parrot

sheriff

narrate

vary

heritage

carryarrow

sparrowhairy

dairy

parrot

sheriffnarrate

vary

heritage

carry

arrow

sparrow

hairy

dairy

parrot

numericsheriff

narrate

vary

sparrow

arrowheritage

hairy

carry

dairy

parrot

numericsheriff

narrate

vary

heritage

carry

arrow

dairy

sheriff

parrot

narrate

sparrow

hairy

numeric

vary

heritage

carry

arrow

dairy

sheriffparrot

narrate

sparrow

hairyvary

heritagecarry

arrow

dairy

sheriff

parrotnarrate

sparrow

hairy

numericvary

heritage

carryarrow

dairysheriff

parrot

narrate

sparrow

hairyvary

heritage

carry

arrow

dairy

sheriffparrot

narrate

sparrow

hairy

numericvary

heritagecarry

arrowdairy

sheriffparrot

narrate

sparrowhairy

numericvary

heritage

carryarrow

dairy

sheriff

parrot

narrate

sparrowhairy

numeric

vary

heritage

carry

arrow

sparrowhairy

dairy

parrot

sheriff

narrate

vary

heritagecarry

arrowdairy

sheriff

parrot

narratesparrowhairy

numeric

vary

heritagecarry

arrowdairy

sheriff

parrot

narrate sparrow

hairy

numeric

vary

heritagecarry

arrow

sparrow

hairy

dairy

parrot

numeric

sheriff narrate

vary

heritage

carryarrow

dairy

sheriff

parrot

narrate

sparrow

hairy

vary

heritage

carryarrow

sparrowhairy

dairy

parrot

numeric

sheriffnarrate

vary

heritage

carry

arrow

sparrow

hairydairy

parrot

numericsheriff

narratevarysparrowarrowheritage

hairy carry

dairy

parrot

numeric

sheriffnarrate

vary

sparrow

arrow

heritage

hairy

carry

dairy

parrot

numericsheriff

narratevary

heritage

carry

arrowsparrow

hairy

dairy

parrotnumeric

sheriffnarrate

very

parrot

vary

very

hairy

harry

perish

parishterrible

fairy

ferry

mary

merry

marry

hairy

harryperish

terrible

fairyferry

parrotvary

very

mary

merry

marry

parrot

varyvery

hairy

harry

perishterrible

fairyferrymary

merrymarry

parrot

vary

very

vary

hairy

harry

perish

parishterribleterrible

fairy

ferrymary

merry

marry

parrot

vary

very

hairyharry

perish parish

terrible

fairy

ferry

marymerrymarry

parrot

varyvery

hairyharry

perish

parish

terrible

fairyferry

marymerry

marryparrot

varyvery

hairyharry

perishparishterrible

fairyferry mary

merrymarry

parrot

hairyharry

perish

parish

terrible fairy

ferry

marymerry

marry

vary

veryhairyharry

perishparishterrible

mary

merry

marryparrot

varyveryhairyharry

perish

parish

terriblefairy

ferry

mary

merry

marry

parrot

vary

very

hairy

harryperish

terrible

fairy

ferry

mary merry

marry

parrotparrot

vary

veryhairy

harry

perishparish

terrible

fairyferry

mary

merry

marry

hairyharry

parrot

varyvery

perish

parish

terrible

mary

merrymarry

parrot

vary

veryhairy

harry

perishparish

terrible

fairy ferrymary

merry

marryparrot

varyveryhairy

harryperishparish

terrible

fairy

ferrymarymerry

marry

parrot

vary

very

hairy

harry

perish

parish

terrible

fairyferry

marymerry

marry

parrot

varyvery

hairy harry

perish

parish

terrible

fairy ferry

mary

merry

marry

parrot

vary

very

hairy

harry

perish

parish

terriblefairyferry

mary merry

marry

parrot

varyvery

hairy

hairy

perish parishterrible

fairyferry

mary

merrymarry

parrotvary

very

hairy

harry

perish

parish terrible

fairy

ferrymary

merry

marry

parrot

varyvery

hairyharryperish

parishterrible

fairyferrymary

merry marry

parrot

varyveryhairy

harry

perish

parish

terrible

fairy

ferry

mary

merry

marry

parrot

vary

very

hairy harryperishparish

terrible

fairy

ferrymary

merry

marry

parrothairyharry

perish

parish

terrible

fairy

ferry

mary

merry

marryparrot

vary

very

hairy

harry

perish

parish

terriblefairy

ferryvary very

hairy

harry

perishparish

terrible

fairy

ferry

marymerry

merry

parrot

varyvery

hairyharry

perish

parish

terrible

fairyferrymary

merrymarry

parrot

very

hairy

harry

perish

terrible

fairyferry mary

merrymarry

parrot

vary

very

hairy

harry

perishparish terrible

fairy

ferry

mary

merry

marry

parrot

varyvery

hairyharry perishparish

terrible

fairy

ferrymarymerry

marry

parrot

vary

veryhairy

harry perish

parish

terrible

fairy

ferry

marymerry

marryparrot

vary

very

hairy

harry

perishparish

terrible

fairy

ferrymary

merry

marry

parrot

vary very

hairy

harryperish

parish

terrible

fairyferry

mary

merrymarry

parrot

vary

very

hairyharry

perish

parishperish

parishterrible

terrible

fairyferry

mary

merry

marry

parrot

parrot

vary

veryharryperish

parishterrible

fairy

ferry

marymerry

marry

parrot

varyvery

hairy

harry

perish

parish

terrible

fairy

ferry mary

merrymarry

parrot

varyveryhairy

harry

perish

parish

terrible

fairy

ferry

marymerry

marry

parrot

vary

very

hairy

harry

perishparish

terrible

fairyferry

mary

merrymarry

parrotparrot

vary

very

hairyharry

perishparish terrible

fairy

ferry

mary

merry

marryparrot

varyvery

hairy

harry

perish

parish terriblefairy

ferry

marymerry

marry

wordList minimalPairs

6

8

10

12

0 1 2 3 0 1 2 3F3 - F2 (barks)

F2 -

F1 (b

arks

)Vowela

a

a

Mary

merry

marry

Pre-rhotic tokens by all speakers

Page 16: V[Ɛ RYV[e]RIEDVOWELMERGERS INTHE PACIFIC NORTHWEST · 2021. 1. 8. · 40 natives of Cowlitz County, ages 18–70s word list (23) and minimal pairs (14) list in appendix slides intuition

PRE-RHOTICS: SPEAKER INTUITION

16Results

quick, confident, no hesistation

MARY-MERRY (98% reported merged)(vary-very, fairy-ferry, Mary-merry)

MARY-MARRY (99% reported merged)(hairy-Harry, Mary-merry)

MERRY-MARRY (97% reported merged)(perish-parish, merry-marry)

No correlation between production and speaker intuition.

parrot

vary

very

hairy

harry

perish

parishterrible

fairy

ferry

mary

merry

marry

hairy

harryperish

terrible

fairyferry

parrotvary

very

mary

merry

marry

parrot

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1 2 3F3 - F2 (barks)

F3 -

F1 (b

arks

)

Vowela

a

a

Mary

merry

marry

Pre-rhotic tokens by all speakers (minimal pairs)

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PRE-RHOTICS IN OTHER REGIONS

17Results

Cowlitz County, WAMARY higher / all distinctmerged in perceptionno change over time

New Hampshire (Nagy 2001)

generally merged, with stable variation

Massachusetts (Nagy 2001)

generally distinct

New Jersey (Coye 2009)

3 patterns: all merged, all distinct, and MARY=MERRY or MARRY

East and South (scattered) (Labov et al. 2006)

MARY=MERRY, MARRY different

Vermont (Stanford et al. 2012)

all merged

MARY

MERRY MARRY

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PRE-RHOTICS IN OTHER REGIONS

18Results

Cowlitz County, WAMARY higher / all distinctmerged in perceptionno change over time

New Hampshire (Nagy 2001)

generally merged, with stable variation

Massachusetts (Nagy 2001)

generally distinct

New Jersey (Coye 2009)

3 patterns: all merged, all distinct, and MARY=MERRY or MARRY

East and South (scattered) (Labov et al. 2006)

MARY=MERRY, MARRY different

Vermont (Stanford et al. 2012)

all merged

MARY

MERRY MARRY

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PRE-RHOTICS IN OTHER REGIONS

19Results

Cowlitz County, WAMARY higher / all distinctmerged in perceptionno change over time

New Hampshire (Nagy 2001)

generally merged, with stable variation

Massachusetts (Nagy 2001)

generally distinct

New Jersey (Coye 2009)

3 patterns: all merged, all distinct, and MARY=MERRY or MARRY

East and South (scattered) (Labov et al. 2006)

MARY=MERRY, MARRY different

Vermont (Stanford et al. 2012)

all merged

MARY

MERRY MARRY

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PRE-RHOTICS IN OTHER REGIONS

20Results

Cowlitz County, WAMARY higher / all distinctmerged in perceptionno change over time

New Hampshire (Nagy 2001)

generally merged, with stable variation

Massachusetts (Nagy 2001)

generally distinct

New Jersey (Coye 2009)

3 patterns: all merged, all distinct, and MARY=MERRY or MARRY

East and South (scattered) (Labov et al. 2006)

MARY=MERRY, MARRY different

Vermont (Stanford et al. 2012)

all merged

MARY

MERRY MARRY

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PRE-RHOTICS IN OTHER REGIONS

21Results

Cowlitz County, WAMARY higher / all distinctmerged in perceptionno change over time

New Hampshire (Nagy 2001)

generally merged, with stable variation

Massachusetts (Nagy 2001)

generally distinct

New Jersey (Coye 2009)

3 patterns: all merged, all distinct, and MARY=MERRY or MARRY

East and South (scattered) (Labov et al. 2006)

MARY=MERRY, MARRY different

Vermont (Stanford et al. 2012)

all merged

MARY

MERRY MARRY

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CONCLUSION

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✗ Hypothesis 1: complete MARY-MERRY-MARRY mergerNot only distinct, but unusual pattern of MARY being the different one

✗ Hypothesis 2: separation of POOL, PULL, POLE, and PULP

PULL-POLE most merged, and POOL becoming less distinct in apparent time

Vowel mergers are indeed v[ɛ]ry v[e]ried in the Pacific NorthwestNot all of the Pacific Northwest is the same (urban/rural divide)Don’t make assumptions about a community’s spech

CONCLUSION

23Conclusion

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Arnold, Lacey. 2015. Multiple Mergers: Production and Perception of Three Pre-/l/Mergers in Youngstown, Ohio. University of Pennsylvania Working Papers in Linguistics 21(2). 2.

Baayen, R. H. 2008. Analyzing Linguistic Data: A Practical Introduction to Statistics using R. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Bailey, Guy, Tom Wikle & Lori Sand. 1991. The focus of linguistic innovation in Texas. English World-Wide 12(2). 195–214.Baker, Wendy & David Bowie. 2010. Religious affiliation as a correlate of linguistic behavior. University of Pennsylvania Working

Papers in Linguistics 15(2). 2.

Bates, Douglas, Martin Maechler, Ben Bolker & Steve Walker. 2015. Fitting Linear Mixed-Effects Models Using lme4. Journal of Statistical Software 67(1). 1–48. doi:doi:10.18637/jss.v067.i01.

Bauman, Carina. 2013. An acoustic study of the MARY-MERRY-MARRY vowels in the Mid-Atlantic United States. Proceedings of Meetings on Acoustics 19(1). 60255. doi:10.1121/1.4800989.

Bowie, David. 2000. The Effect of Geographic Mobility on the Retention of a Local Dialect. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvannia Dissertation.

Becker, Kara, Anna Aden, Katelyn Best, Rena Dimes, Juan Flores & Haley Jacobson. 2013. Keep Portland weird: Vowels in Oregon English. Paper presented at the New Ways of Analyzing Variation (NWAV) 42, Pittsburgh.

Becker, Kara, Anna Aden, Katelyn Best & Haley Jacobson. 2016. Variation in West Coast English: The case of Oregon. In ValerieFridland, Betsy E. Evans, Tyler Kendall & Alicia Beckford Wassink (eds.), Speech in the Western States, Vol. 1: The Pacific Coast, 107–134. (Publication of the American Dialect Society 101). Durham, NC: Duke University Press. doi: 10.1215/00031283-3772923.

Coye, Dale F. 2009. Dialect Boundaries in New Jersey. American Speech 84(4). 414–452. doi:10.1215/00031283-2009-032.Freeman, Valerie. 2014. Bag, beg, bagel: Prevelar raising and merger in Pacific Northwest English. University of Washington

Working Papers in Linguistics 32.

Gorman, Kyle, Jonathan Howell & Michael Wagner. 2011. Prosodylab-Aligner: A Tool for Forced Alignment of Laboratory Speech. Canadian Acoustics 39(3). 192–193.

Hall-Lew, Lauren. 2010. Improved representation of variance in measures of vowel merger. Paper presented at the 159th Meeting Acoustical Society of America/NOISE-CON 2010, Baltimore, MD.

Hay, Jennifer, Paul Warren & Katie Drager. 2006. Factors influencing speech perception in the context of a merger-in-progress. Journal of Phonetics 34(4). (Modelling Sociophonetic Variation). 458–484. doi:10.1016/j.wocn.2005.10.001.

Labov, William, Sharon Ash & Charles Boberg. 2006. The Atlas of North American English: Phonetics, Phonology and Sound Change. Walter de Gruyter.

Levshina, Natalia. 2015. How to do Linguistics with R: Data exploration and statistical analysis. Amsterdam: John Benjamins Publishing Company.

McLarty, Jason & Tyler Kendall. 2014. The relationship between the high and mid back vowels in Oregonian English. Paper presented at the New Ways of Analyzing Variation (NWAV) 43, Chicago.

Nagy, Naomi. 2001. “Live Free or Die” as a Linguistic Principle. American Speech 76(1). 30–41. doi:10.1215/00031283-76-1-30.

Nycz, Jennifer & Lauren Hall-Lew. 2013. Best practices in measuring vowel merger. Proceedings of Meetings on Acoustics 20(1). 60008. doi:10.1121/1.4894063.

Pinheiro, J., D. Bates, S. DebRoy, D. Sarkar & R Core Team. 2016. nlme: Linear and Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models. http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=nlme.

Reed, Carroll E. 1961. The Pronunciation of English in the Pacific Northwest. Language 37(4). 559–564. doi:10.2307/411357.

Reddy, Sravana & James N. Stanford. 2015. Toward completely automated vowel extraction: Introducing DARLA. Linguistics Vanguard 0(0). doi:10.1515/lingvan-2015-0002

Riebold, John Matthew. 2015. The Social distribution of a regional change: /æg, ɛg, eg/ in Washington State. Seattle: University of Washington PhD dissertation.

Rosenfelder, Ingrid; Fruehwald, Joe; Evanini, Keelan and Jiahong Yuan. 2011. FAVE (Forced Alignment and Vowel Extraction) Program Suite. http://fave.ling.upenn.edu.

Strelluf, Christopher. 2016. Overlap among back vowels before /l/ in Kansas City. Language Variation and Change 28(3). 379–407. doi:10.1017/S0954394516000144.

Thomas, Erik R. & Tyler Kendall (2015). “NORM's Vowel Normalization Methods (v. 1.1)” Webpage. Accessed November 16, 2016. http://lingtools.uoregon.edu/norm/ norm1_methods.php.

Traunmüller, Hartmut. 1997. Auditory scales of frequency representation. Stockholms universitet: Instituionen för lingvistik. http://www2.ling.su.se/staff/hartmut/bark.htm.

Wassink, Alicia Beckford. 2016. The Vowels of Washington State. In Betsy Evans, Valerie Fridland, Tyler Kendall & Alicia Wassink(eds.), Speech in the Western States: Volume 1: The Coastal States, 77–105. (Publication of the American Dialect Society 101). Durham, NC: Duke University Press. 10.1215/00031283-3772912.

Ward, Michael. 2003. Portland dialect study: The fronting of/ow, u, uw/ in Portland, Oregon. Portland State University Master’s Thesis.

Wassink, Alicia Beckford, Robert Squizzero, Mike Scanlon, Rachel Schirra & Jeff Conn. 2009. Effects of Style and Gender on Fronting and Raising of /æ/, /e:/ and /ε/ before /ɡ/ in Seattle English. Paper presented at the New Ways of Analyzing Variation (NWAV) 38, Ottawa.

REFERENCES

24Conclusion

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Special thanks to Cathy Jones for invaluable help in finding research participants, to the University of Georgia Graduate School Dean’s Award for funding the fieldwork,

and to both the UGA Linguistics Program and the UGA Graduate School for travel funding.

These slides available atjoeystanley.com/divar1

25

Joey StanleyUniversity of Georgia

[email protected] @joey_stan

joeystanley.com

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APPENDIX A: WORD LIST AND MINIMAL PAIRS

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WORD LIST ITEMS

27Appendices

/er/ dairy, hairy, vary

/ɛr/ heritage, numeric, sheriff

/ær/ arrow, carry, narrate, parrot, sparrow

/ul/ cool, school

/ʊl/ fulcrum, pulpit, wool

/ol/ control, holster, stroll, whole

/ʌl/ adult, culprit, vulture

These were embedded psuedorandomly in a 160-item word list, with words targeting other research questions acting as fillers.

Participants often commented on how random the words seemed, so they likely did not catch on to the research questions these words targeted.

The following words were excluded because they did not satisfy the required syllable type for their particular merger (open syllables for Mary-merry-marryand closed syllables for the pre-laterals), which was only learned after data-collection:

bullet, (Coca-)Cola, gullible,hooligan, polar (bear), pulley, sullen, tulips, yuletide,

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MINIMAL PAIRS & TRIPLETS

28Appendices

/ul/ /ʊl/ /ol/ /ʌl/rule rolestool stole

bull bowlgoal gullcolt cult

whole/holebolder/boulder

school skullwho’ll hole hullpool pull polefool full foal

/er/ /ɛr/ /ær/fairy ferry

perish parishvary very

terriblehairy HarryMary merry marry

The pairs bear~bare, hair~hare, and stares~stairs were excluded because the targeted vowel was not before an intervocalic /r/.

The word terrible was paird with the invented word “tear-able” (as in ’able to be torn’), but participants didn’t respond well to that, and it was excluded.

Pairs from the same class are assumed to be homophonous for all speakers and were included to test speakers’ attention.

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APPENDIX B: STATISTICAL TESTS

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Restricted maximum liklihood (REML) mixed-effects model (Levshina 2015) using the function lme() in R package nlme (Pinheiro et

al. 2016) for predicting categorical variables (i.e. vowel class distinctions).

Generalized linear mixed-effects model (Baayen 2008) using the function glmer() in the R package lme4 (Bates et al. 2015) for predicting continuous variables (degree of height/backness). Generation, sex, place of articulation (aveolar/non-alveolar), and vowel class as fixed effects.

Speaker as random effect in these models. If adding this random effect did not improve the model, a simple linear regression was used instead.

Overlap measured with Pillai scores, an output of MANOVA tests (Hay, Warren & Drager

2006; Hall-Lew 2010; Nycz & Hall-Lew 2013)

Effects are reported significant if p<0.01.

All model outputs are in appendix slides.

ANALYSIS

30Methodology

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31Appendices

Fixed effects

Value Std.Error DF t-value p-value

(Intercept) 10.510 0.204 1170 51.575 < 0.001

variable: pull -0.494 0.059 1170 -8.366 < 0.001

variable: pulp -1.159 0.056 1170 -20.779 < 0.001

variable: pole -0.590 0.049 1170 -12.122 < 0.001

sex: M -0.312 0.165 36 -1.888 0.067

generation: 40–60 0.219 0.225 36 0.975 0.336

generation: <40 0.269 0.239 36 1.124 0.268

prevPlace: non-alveolar 0.339 0.049 1170 6.987 < 0.001

Interpretation: POOL significantly higher than PULL, POLE, and PULP with sex and generation as non-significant factors.

Random effect

(Intercept) Residual

StdDev: 0.493 0.650

(1) Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML of bark-normalized height of all pre-lateral vowels (both styles) with variable (POOL*, PULL, POLE, PULP), sex (F, M), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and previous place of articulation (alveolar, non-alveolar) as fixed effects and speaker as a random effect.

* Underlined values are the reference levels

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32Appendices

Fixed effects

Value Std.Error DF t-value p-value

(Intercept) 6.019 0.234 1170 25.704 < 0.001

variable: pool 0.599 0.065 1170 9.177 < 0.001

variable: pull 0.807 0.071 1170 11.441 < 0.001

variable: pole 1.060 0.061 1170 17.356 < 0.001

sex: M -0.283 0.187 36 -1.509 0.140

generation: 40–60 0.270 0.255 36 1.059 0.297

generation: <40 0.367 0.271 36 1.355 0.184

prevPlace: non-alveolar 0.879 0.057 1170 15.476 < 0.001

Interpretation: PULP significantly fronter than POOL, PULL, and POLE with sex and generation as non-significant factors.

Random effect

(Intercept) Residual

StdDev: 0.558 0.761

(3) Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML of bark-normalized backness of all pre-lateral vowels (both styles) with variable (POOL, PULL, POLE, PULP), sex (F, M), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and previous place of articulation (alveolar, non-alveolar) as fixed effects and speaker as a random effect.

Fixed effects

Value Std.Error DF t-value p-value

(Intercept) 9.350 0.206 1170 45.424 < 0.001

variable: pool 1.159 0.056 1170 20.779 < 0.001

variable: pull 0.666 0.060 1170 11.047 < 0.001

variable: pole 0.570 0.052 1170 10.922 < 0.001

sex: M -0.312 0.165 36 -1.888 0.067

generation: 40–60 0.219 0.225 36 0.975 0.336

generation: <40 0.269 0.239 36 1.124 0.268

prevPlace: non-alveolar 0.339 0.049 1170 6.987 < 0.001

Interpretation: PULP significantly lower than POOL, PULL, and POLE with sex and generation as non-significant factors.

Random effect

(Intercept) Residual

StdDev: 0.493 0.650

(2) Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML of bark-normalized height of all pre-lateral vowels (both styles) with variable (POOL, PULL, POLE, PULP*), sex (F, M), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and previous place of articulation (alveolar, non-alveolar) as fixed effects and speaker as a random effect.

* Underlined values are the reference levels

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33Appendices

Fixed effects

Value Std.Error DF t-value p-value

(Intercept) 6.879 0.316 336 21.777 < 0.001

variable: pool -0.146 0.111 336 -1.316 0.189

variable: pole 0.572 0.105 336 5.464 < 0.001

variable: pulp -0.690 0.105 336 -6.598 < 0.001

sex: M -0.056 0.217 28 -0.257 0.799

generation: 40–60 -0.243 0.325 28 -0.747 0.461

generation: <40 -0.270 0.336 28 -0.803 0.429

prevPlace: non-alveolar 1.115 0.095 336 11.782 < 0.001

Interpretation: PULL is significantly fronter than POLE, though it’s not different from POOL. Sex and generation are not significant factors.

Random effect

(Intercept) Residual

StdDev: 0.545 0678

(5) Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML of bark-normalized backness of pre-lateral vowels in the word list with variable (POOL, PULL, POLE, PULP), sex (F, M), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and previous place of articulation (alveolar, non-alveolar) as fixed effects and speaker as a random effect.

Fixed effects

Value Std.Error DF t-value p-value

(Intercept) 9.945 0.296 336 33.642 < 0.001

variable: pool 0.567 0.107 336 5.300 < 0.001

variable: pole 0.117 0.101 336 1.157 0.248

variable: pulp -0.479 0.101 336 -4.752 < 0.001

sex: M -0.187 0.202 28 -0.927 0.362

generation: 40–60 -0.117 0.303 28 -0.387 0.701

generation: <40 0.014 0.314 28 0.044 0.965

prevPlace: non-alveolar 0.565 0.091 336 6.203 < 0.001

Interpretation: PULL not significantly different in height from POLE in the word list, with sex and generation as non-significant factors.

Random effect

(Intercept) Residual

StdDev: 0.505 0.653

(4) Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML of bark-normalized height of pre-lateral vowels in the word list with variable (POOL, PULL*, POLE, PULP), sex (F, M), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and previous place of articulation (alveolar, non-alveolar) as fixed effects and speaker as a random effect.

* Underlined values are the reference levels

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34Appendices

Fixed effects

Value Std.Error DF t-value p-value

(Intercept) 7.023 0.251 798 28.026 < 0.001

variable: pool -0.346 0.087 798 -3.961 < 0.001

variable: pole 0.085 0.082 798 1.028 0.304

variable: pulp -0.852 0.091 798 -9.355 < 0.001

sex: M -0.322 0.194 36 -1.663 0.105

generation: 40–60 0.326 0.263 36 1.237 0.224

generation: <40 0.498 0.280 36 1.779 0.084

prevPlace: non-alveolar 0.756 0.073 798 10.347 < 0.001

Interpretation: PULL is not significantly different in backness with POLE, with sex and generation as non-significant factors.

Random effect

(Intercept) Residual

StdDev: 0.571 0.766

(7) Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML of bark-normalized backness of pre-lateral vowels in the minimal pairs with variable (POOL, PULL, POLE, PULP), sex (F, M), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and previous place of articulation (alveolar, non-alveolar) as fixed effects and speaker as a random effect.

Fixed effects

Value Std.Error DF t-value p-value

(Intercept) 10.186 0.214 798 47.658 < 0.001

variable: pool 0.381 0.073 798 5.198 < 0.001

variable: pole -0.202 0.069 798 -2.929 0.004

variable: pulp -0.749 0.076 798 -9.799 < 0.001

sex: M -0.313 0.166 36 -1.890 0.067

generation: 40-–60 0.251 0.225 36 1.116 0.272

generation: <40 0.298 0.239 36 1.248 0.220

prevPlace: non-alveolar 0.234 0.061 798 3.814 < 0.001

Interpretation: PULL significantly higher than POLE in the minimal pairs, with sex and generation as non-significant factors.

Random effect

(Intercept) Residual

StdDev: 0.489 0.644

(6) Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML of bark-normalized height of pre-lateral vowels in the minimal pairs with variable (POOL, PULL*, POLE, PULP), sex (F, M), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and previous place of articulation (alveolar, non-alveolar) as fixed effects and speaker as a random effect.

* Underlined values are the reference levels

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35Appendices

Coefficients

Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)

(Intercept) 0.701 0.016 44.503 < 0.001

pairs merged: 1 0.047 0.021 2.233 0.026

generation: 40–60 -0.053 0.018 -2.929 0.003

generation: <40 -0.121 0.018 -6.636 < 0.001

sex: M 0.050 0.014 3.69 0.000

Adjusted R2 = 0.06171

F(4, 1153) = 20.04

p < 0.001

Interpretation: The overlap between POOL and PULLincreases with each successive generation, with women leading the change. Reporting more merged pairs did not mean there was more overlap.

(8) Linear regression model of the overlap between POOL and PULL (measured by individuals’ Pillai scores) in both styles with number of pairs reported merged (0*, 1), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and sex (F, M) as predictor variables.

* Underlined values are the reference levels

(10) Linear regression model of the overlap between POOL and PULP (measured by individuals’ Pillai scores) in both styles with number of pairs reported merged (0, 1), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and sex (F, M) as predictor variables.

Coefficients

Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)

(Intercept) 0.676 0.016 42.52 < 0.001

pairs merged: 1 0.082 0.019 4.389 < 0.001

pairs merged: 2 -0.176 0.028 -6.304 < 0.001

generation: 40-60 -0.022 0.018 -1.197 0.232

generation: <40 -0.130 0.019 -6.999 < 0.001

sex: M 0.090 0.014 6.273 < 0.001

Adjusted R2 = 0.1629

F(5, 1152) = 46.03

p < 0.001

Interpretation: The overlap between POOL and POLE is the same for the oldest and middle generation, but significantly increases in the youngest group, with women leading the change. Speakers who reported one pair as merged actually had greater separation than those who reported none, but speakers who reported two merged pairs did have greater overlap.

(9) Linear regression model of the overlap between POOL and POLE (measured by individuals’ Pillai scores) in both styles with number of pairs reported merged (0, 1, 2), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and sex (F, M) as predictor variables.

Coefficients

Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)

(Intercept) 0.800 0.014 56.594 < 0.001

pairs merged: 1 0.004 0.034 0.133 0.895

generation: 40-60 -0.051 0.016 -3.196 0.001

generation: <40 -0.178 0.017 -10.394 < 0.001

sex: M 0.051 0.012 4.328 < 0.001

Adjusted R2 = 0.1225

F(4, 1153) = 41.37

p < 0.001

Interpretation: The overlap between POOL and PULPincreases with each successive generation, with women leading the change. Reporting more merged pairs did not mean there was more overlap.

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36Appendices

Coefficients

Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)

(Intercept) 0.318 0.015 21.326 < 0.001

pairs merged: 1 -0.216 0.028 -7.666 < 0.001

pairs merged: 2 -0.123 0.019 -6.576 < 0.001

pairs merged: 3 -0.108 0.020 -5.342 < 0.001

generation: 40-60 0.089 0.017 5.306 < 0.001

generation: <40 0.074 0.018 4.220 < 0.001

sex: M 0.031 0.012 2.626 0.009

Adjusted R2 = 0.1278

F(6, 1151) = 29.06

p < 0.001

Interpretation: The overlap between PULL and POLEincreases with each successive generation, with women leading the change. If speakers reported one or more pairs merged, there was more overlap in their production.

(11) Linear regression model of the overlap between PULL and POLE (measured by individuals’ Pillai scores) in both styles with number of pairs reported merged (0*, 1, 2, 3), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and sex (F, M) as predictor variables.

* Underlined values are the reference levels

(13) Linear regression model of the overlap between POLE and PULP (measured by individuals’ Pillai scores) in both styles with number of pairs reported merged (0, 1, 2), generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and sex (F, M) as predictor variables.

Coefficients

Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)

(Intercept) 0.618 0.017 35.441 < 0.001

generation: 40-60 0.057 0.020 2.88 0.004

generation: <40 -0.019 0.021 -0.908 < 0.001

sex: M 0.095 0.014 6.733 < 0.001

Adjusted R2 = 0.0577

F(3, 1210) = 25.74

p < 0.001

Interpretation: The middle generation had the greatest overlap between PULL and PULP, followed by the oldest group, and then the youngest, with women having more overlap overall. Since there are no known minimal pairs contrasting these vowels in English, speaker intuition was not included.

(12) Linear regression model of the overlap between PULL and PULP (measured by individuals’ Pillai scores) in both styles with generation (61+, 40–60, <40), and sex (F, M) as predictor variables.

Coefficients

Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)

(Intercept) 0.371 0.019 19.721 < 0.001

pairs merged: 1 -0.124 0.021 -5.777 < 0.001

pairs merged: 2 0.060 0.029 2.066 0.0391

generation: 40-60 0.165 0.021 7.736 < 0.001

generation: <40 0.028 0.023 1.215 0.2245

sex: M -0.003 0.016 -0.166 0.8685

Adjusted R2 = 0.1188

F(5, 1175) = 32.81

p < 0.001

Interpretation: There is less overlap between POLE and PULPin the middle generation compared to the oldest and youngest groups. People who reported one merged pair had greater overlap. There was not difference between the sexes.

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37Appendices

Fixed effects

Value Std.Error DF t-value p-value

(Intercept) 8.186 0.292 303 28.014 < 0.001

variable: Mary 0.878 0.105 303 8.344 < 0.001

variable: marry 0.164 0.094 303 1.751 0.081

generation: 40-60 0.029 0.314 28 0.093 0.927

generation: <40 0.352 0.325 28 1.083 0.288

sex: M -0.144 0.209 28 -0.687 0.498

Interpretation: MARY is significantly higher than MERRY and there’s no difference in height between MERRY and MARRY, with sex and generation as non-significant factors.

Random effect

(Intercept) Residual

StdDev: 0.517 0.704

(14) Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML of bark-normalized height of all pre-rhotic vowels in the word list with variable (MARY, MERRY*, MARRY), sex (F, M), and generation (61+, 40–60, <40) as fixed effects and speaker as a random effect.

* Underlined values are the reference levels

Fixed effects

Value Std.Error DF t-value p-value

(Intercept) 8.732 0.232 467 37.560 < 0.001

variable: Mary 0.379 0.076 467 5.014 < 0.001

variable: marry -0.305 0.083 467 -3.675 < 0.001

generation: 40-60 -0.107 0.262 36 -0.408 0.686

generation: <40 0.174 0.278 36 0.625 0.536

sex: M -0.333 0.192 36 -1.734 0.092

Interpretation: There is a three-way split in the height of MARY, MERRY, and MARRY, but there is no difference between the generations or the sexes.

Random effect

(Intercept) Residual

StdDev: 0.554 0.731

(15) Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML of bark-normalized height of all pre-rhotic vowels in the minimal pairs with variable (MARY, MERRY, MARRY), sex (F, M), and generation (61+, 40–60, <40) as fixed effects and speaker as a random effect.