vietnam presentation uo c gsb

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BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

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This presentation made at an international business roundtable at the Chicago Booth provides insights into investing in Vietnam from the author who lived and worked in that country for 7 years.

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Page 1: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Page 2: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

THE VIETNAM WAR

Page 3: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Village Children:

Nowhere to run

Page 4: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Then and Now

Same village, new faces

Page 7: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

30 April 1975: The Fall of Saigon

Entering the Presidential Palace

Page 8: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Then and Now

Same palace, same tanks,

but now a tourist attraction

Page 9: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Evacuation of the US Embassy

Page 10: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Then and Now

US embassy building razed and now a

single storey building behind high

concrete walls. A block away, this ultra-

modern glass tower housing a Korean

department store.

Page 11: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

T-shirt for sale, Long Hai beachfront

Page 12: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

The Big Picture

• Vietnam vis-à-vis ASEAN and Other Nations

• Key Vietnam Demographics

• Investment Fundamentals

Where the USA Stands

• Top 20 Investor Nations

• Selected US Companies in Vietnam

• Key Concerns & Issues

General Operating Principles

• Patience & Relationships + Case Studies

• Managing Ambiguity + Case Studies

• Lobby for Change + Case Studies

Plus: Selected Vietnam Consumer Snapshots

Page 13: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

2006 Population GDP Export

Country Mil %Gr $/Cap %Gr Ex:GDP %Gr

Vietnam 84.2 1.3 723.9 8.2 65.0 38.6

Brunei 0.4 3.5 30928.8 3.8 48.7 23.5

Cambodia 14.0 2.5 436.2 5.0 42.6 12.2

Indonesia 222.0 1.3 1640.4 5.6 28.5 21.4

Lao PDR 6.1 2.5 574.9 7.3 7.2 138.0

Malaysia 26.7 2.1 5880.4 5.9 102.8 14.8

Myanmar 57.3 2.3 208.6 7.0 29.4 12.5

Philippines 86.9 2.0 1351.5 5.3 40.0 14.0

Singapore 4.5 3.3 29499.6 7.9 205.3 18.2

Thailand 65.2 0.7 3167.8 5.0 62.9 18.5

ASEAN 567.4 1.5 1889.3 5.8 71.4 18.6

Source: ASEAN Secretariat

N.B. – 2nd largest rice exporter, 2nd largest coffee , largest peppercorn, + shrimp, rubber, wood products

Page 14: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

.

Source: ACNielsen quoting an AT Kearney Study

Page 15: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Age in Yrs 0-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+

% of Pop 21 21 18 15 12 6 7

60% born after the war

% Literacy Male Female Total

15+ Yrs Read & Write 94 87 90

Source: ACNielsen

Literacy slightly skewed towards males

Source: UNESCO

HH Exp F & B Savings Education Trans/Com Utilities Others

% Split 35 32 10 10 7 6

They save as much as they spend on food and beverage

Source: ACNielsen. Data for AB income only. Savings include compulsory social and health insurance (8pp).

High school girls in ao-dai

Page 16: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

STRONG FUNDAMENTALS IN PLACE:

1. Fastest growing economy outside of China

2. Stable political environment

3. Large, literate population with high savings rate

4. Hardworking easily trainable labor force

5. Geo-politically important location Street scene, Hanoi

Page 17: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Rank Nation # of Proj $B Cap* Rank Nation # of Proj $B Cap*

1 Japan 735 4.824 11 USA 306 0.816

2 Singapore 452 3.686 12 UK 79 0.643

3 Taiwan 1550 2.972 13 Russia 47 0.609

4 South Korea 1263 2.606 14 Cayman Is 19 0.570

5 Hong Kong 375 2.132 15 Switzerland 42 0.530

6 Netherlands 74 2.029 16 Australia 124 0.366

7 BVI 275 1.366 17 Bermuda 5 0.193

8 France 178 1.128 18 Germany 80 0.160

9 Malaysia 200 0.995 19 Philippines 27 0.085

10 Thailand 142 0.816 20 Sweden 11 0.014

* Implemented capital in US$ billion. Source: Vietnam Ministry of Planning & Investment (2006 Stats)

USA only #11 in terms of implemented capital as of 2006

Page 18: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Abbot Labs Baxter Dow Chem Halliburton Nike

ACNielsen Bloomberg Effem/ Mars IBM Pepsi

AIG Insurance Bristol Myers Eli Lilly Intel Pfizer

AON Ins Cargill Ernst & Young J & J Philip Moris

AT&T Citibank Exxon JPMorgan P & G

Avon Coca Cola Fedex KimberlyClark SCJohnson

B Mckenzie Colgate GE Energy KPMG Time Warner

Bates DHL Gillette Land’OLakes United Airlines

* Registered AmChamVietnam members

Page 19: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

1. Lack of familiarity with the market

• Different culture and language

2. Underdeveloped legal system (“lack of transparency”)

• No written historical precedents

• Laws subject to different interpretations by

ministries and agencies

3. Underdeveloped commercial system

• Banking, finance, and accounting

4. Perceived corruption

5. Short-term: High inflation/ overheated economy

Reunification Day, HCMC

Page 20: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

• Negotiations are the platform for building relationships. • Many long meetings full of polite courtesies and tea.

• Items previously agreed raised and renegotiated. “Nothing is agreed until

everything is agreed.”

• More to build the relationship and test your commitment to it rather than a

negotiating tactic to wear you down

• Case Study 1: Asian vs Western Investments in Vietnam

• Case Study 2: J&J Professional Marketing Program

• Contracts considered to be mere formalities.

• Agreements reached during the meetings are what’s binding,

not the contract.

• Case Study: URC Distributorship Agreement

• Never cause the other to lose “face”. • Case Study 1: Rice Wine + Snake Heart with the My Tho Gen Sec

• Case Study 2: Never Say Never – PS Toothpaste MOU with Peregrine Restored Sword Lake, Hanoi

Page 21: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

• Learn to manage ambiguity.

• Lean on relationship to resolve issues and not on the contract.

• Be flexible. Bend on certain terms of the contract knowing that when it’s your turn to

ask the other party will also bend.

• Case Study: Minh Phuong Minimum Fee

• Negotiate hard but politely.

• Better to overstretch than ask for what’s “reasonable”. • Know what you can give up or when to walk away.

• Case Study: Bargain Shopping at An Dong Market

• Use the “lack of transparency” in the legal system to advantage.

• Case Study: Kraft’s Oreo vs URC’s Cream-O

• Current inflation worries do not upset the fundamentals.• Case Study: Inflation in the ’80s/ sacks of dongs (“Vietnamese have bigger dongs”), 1996 Crisis

At the fruit market

Page 22: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

• With Vietnam’s accession to the WTO (2007), umbrella for actively pushing

for laws to reform legal and commercial systems exists. • Government is pragmatic and listens

• Case Study: Personal Anecdotes Then & Now (2-tier Pay, Travel, Cyclo & Car)

• Government committed to anti-corruption campaign.

• Case Study: Dept of Trade PMU-18

• TDA (Trade & Development Agency), OPIC

(Overseas Private Investment Corporation), and

Exim Bank in Vietnam. Insurance against

sovereign risk available. Family of 5 in a cyclo

Cyclo

Ride

Page 23: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Socio-Eco

Class

% of Pop in

HCMC +

Hanoi

% Product Ownership

Motorbike Car Computer Cellphone Color TV Fridge

AB 31 99 8 82 94 98 99

CD 52 80 3 40 70 98 93

EF 17 55 0 7 36 96 24

Motorbikes are the primary means of

transportation and cell phones have

quickly passed from status symbol to

daily necessity.

Rush hour in downtown HCMC

Source: ACNielsen

Page 24: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Countries

(In US$)

Total

Food

Spend

Fresh Food

Amount % of Total

Vietnam 133 92 69

Thailand 152 63 41

Malaysia 142 67 47

Indonesia 89 46 51

Philippines 76 38 50

Compared to their neighbors, the Vietnamese spend a larger

proportion of their food money on fresh stuff suggesting more

traditional, even healthier, eating habits.

Asleep in the market Source: ACNielsen

Page 25: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Source: ACNielsen

Topics/ % Confide In Family Friends

Personal Health 73 23

Sexual Relations 12 56

Money Issues 66 37

Study/ Career Issues 56 77

Personal/ Physical Development 33 44

Trends and Fashion 16 78

Outside of health and money issues Vietnamese youth seem more

likely to confide in their friends when it comes to other personal and

intimate matters such as sexual relations, and study/ career issues.

Teens in scooter hats

Page 26: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

Executive Coaching & Development Company dedicated to transforming

successful executives into great leaders.

• Customized engagement conducted personally by a coach with extensive

experience in leading Fortune 100 organizations in international markets

• Country GM and CMO/ Senior Marketing Exec for P&G, Kraft, J&J, Wrigley

• China, India, SEAsia (Singapore, Philippines, Vietnam), Brazil

• Proven 5-step proprietary process called BanyanSCOPE© starting from

assessment of needs all the way to ensuring that positive changes in leadership

skills and behaviors, once made, become part of habit.

Contact: (312) 618-0206. [email protected]

Page 27: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

“ “Tristan is a rare professional who combines deep content knowledge in strategy, marketing, and executive-level

coaching with significant experience in some of the top companies in the world across a range of countries and

cultures. He is the needle in the haystack when it comes to finding an advisor who can work with the most senior

level executives and getting lasting results.” Andrew Neitlich, President, Center for Executive Coaching, and

Author of Elegant Leadership

Tristan de la Rosa brings an uncommon blend of masterful real-world experience and rich multi-national & multi-cultural

insight to the Executive Coaching field.

He has decades of leadership experience in some of the world’s largest and most respected companies. Starting out as Brand Manager at

Procter & Gamble, Tristan rose to Chief Marketing Officer and eventually Country Managing Director positions in companies that include Kraft

General Foods, Johnson & Johnson, and the Wm Wrigley Jr Company. He has been posted in some of the world’s most important and fastest

growing markets - including China, India, the tiger economies of South East Asia - as well as in the United States. In these assignments,

Tristan has successfully led and managed organizations in meeting every imaginable challenge: from country start-ups to turning around

problem markets; from launching brands in a single market to orchestrating complex marketing and business campaigns simultaneously

across several countries; from transforming organizational culture to overseeing multi-country strategic planning and operations. His most

enduring passion, though, has been the development of people: throughout the course of his professional life, Tristan has coached, guided and

helped shape the careers of hundreds of executives, many of them today acknowledged leaders in their own right.

Tristan has turned this passion for people development into a fulltime practice with his own executive coaching and leadership development

company, Banyan Way. He is a Certified Executive Coach and is in the leadership coaching and corporate consulting faculty of Northwestern

University. He is also in the advisory board of the Institute for Business Growth, an organization providing turnkey coaching and consultancy

skills for professionals. As a recognized thought leader on international business and coaching, Tristan’s white papers and executive briefs on

leadership and management issues appear in special interest publications. He is often invited to lead business roundtables and panel

discussions – in the past, these included being a guest panelist at Voice America’s “Insight on Coaching”, a weekly online radio talk show

(previous guests included Marshall Goldsmith, acknowledged as one of the most influential management thinkers of our time); and as featured

speaker at international business fora hosted by the World Trade Center of Illinois and by the Chicago GSB.

Page 28: Vietnam Presentation Uo C Gsb

BANYAN WAY. TRANSFORMING SUCCESSFUL EXECUTIVES INTO GREAT LEADERS.

[email protected]

(312) 618-0206