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Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and Opportunities John W. Ward, MD, Division of Viral Hepatitis U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Division of Viral Hepatitis National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD and TB Prevention

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Page 1: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of

Challenges and Opportunities

John W. Ward, MD, Division of Viral Hepatitis

U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Division of Viral Hepatitis

National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD and TB Prevention

Page 2: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Topics

• Disease burden

• Prevention options and impact • Primary

• Secondary

• Steps in building prevention, care, and treatment capacity

• Setting elimination goals for HBV and HCV transmission and disease

Page 3: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Global HIV, HBV and HCV Estimated Prevalence of Infection

248 millionb HBV HCV

HIV

36.9 milliona

a, c WHO. 2014; b Schweitzer et al. Lancet 2015

130-150 millionc

Page 4: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Burden of HBV and HCV Infection- United States

3.5 M Persons with HCV Seroprevalence Highest for Persons

Born 1945-1965 7.0

6.0

5.0

4.0

3.0

2.0

1.0 0.0

1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990

Year of Birth

Pro

po

rtio

n A

nti

-

HC

V-P

osit

ive,

%

1965

5 fold higher prevalence than others (3.4%)

81% of all HCV-infected adults

73% of HCV-related deaths

740000-2.2M HBsAg+persons

Increasing proportion of foreign born

Page 5: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Number of Deaths/Year from Selected Conditions, 2013

Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 Lozano et al, Lancet 2014

686,000 HBV and 704,000 HCV associated deaths

Page 6: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

HCV Deaths and Deaths from Other Nationally

Notifiable Infectious Diseases,* 2003- 2013

* 60 infectious conditions reported to CDC

Ly K, et al CID 2016

Page 7: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Mortality Rates for Hepatitis B, Hepatitis C

and HIV infection - 2003-2013, United States

Page 8: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Trends in Liver Cancer Deaths – 1990, 2010 Global Burden of Disease

Etiology

1990

2010

Percent Change

All 463,000 752,000 64%

Hepatitis B 210,000 (45%) 341,000 (45%) 62%

Hepatitis C 113,000 (24%)

196,000 (26%) 73%

Alcohol

93,000 (20%)

149,000 (20%) 59%

Other 46,000 (10%) 66,000 (9%)

Lozano R, Lancet 2012

Page 9: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Interventions to HBV and HCV Transmission and Disease

• Primary prevention ( transmission)

‒ Hepatitis B vaccination

‒ Blood donor screening recruitment (e.g., voluntary donors)

‒ Universal practices for infection control

‒ Safer sex practices

‒ Harm reduction/drug treatment

‒ Testing and anti-viral therapy and cure

• Secondary prevention ( disease)

‒ Testing

‒ Linkage to recommended care and treatment

Page 10: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Chronicity and age at HBV infection

Age at infection Chronicity Symptomatic

Perinatal infection: 90% rare

Infection at preschool age: 25% ~10%

Infection at adulthood: < 3% ~30%

Chronicity is related with age when HBV infection occurs.

HBV carriage

%

Newborn

Preschool

Teenager

Adult

0

20

40

60

80

100

Beasley et al.

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Number of Countries Having Introduced Hep B Vaccine* and Global Infant Hep B3 Coverage, 1989-2011

*excluding 3 countries where Hep B administered for adolescence

Source: WHO/UNICEF coverage estimates 2011

revision. July 2012

Immunization Vaccines and Biologicals, (IVB),

World Health Organization.

194 WHO Member States. Date of slide: 22 August

2012.

Page 12: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Deaths Averted Through Investment in Routine Infant Immunization

Hepatitis B vaccination and cancer prevention

• Cited by the United Nations as a best buy

• WHO will soon monitor vaccination as a performance measure

Page 13: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Countries Using Hep B Birth Dose Vaccine in National Immunization Schedule, 2011

Source: WHO/IVB database, 194 WHO Member States.

Data as of October 2012

Date of slide: 01 October 2012

The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply

the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Health

Organization concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its

authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted lines

on maps represent approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full

agreement. © WHO 2012. All rights reserved

Yes (Birth dose) (94 countries or 48%)

Not available

Not applicable

No (7 countries [of which 3 given at adolescence] or 4%)

No (but HepB in schedule for Risk groups) (7 countries or 4%)

No (but HepB in schedule) (86 countries or 44%)

Page 14: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Prevalence of Hbsag by Age Group, China, 1979, 1992 and 2006

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

1~4

5~9

10

~14

15

~19

20

~24

25

~29

30

~34

35

~39

40

~44

45

~49

50

~54

55

~59

HB

sAg

(%)

Age Group (year)

1979

1992

2006

1~4 0.96%

5~14 2.42%

15~59 8.57%

Source: Liang X, et al. Epidemiological serosurvey of hepatitis B in China--declining

HBV prevalence due to hepatitis B vaccination. Vaccine. 2009; 27(47): 6550-7.

Dramatic reduction in childhood

prevalence but 93 million people

with chronic HBV infection

Page 15: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Liver Cancer Rises from 12 to 6 in Rank of Causes of Years of Life Lost in China

1990 and 2010

1990 2010 % Change in prevalence

1. Lower respiratory infections 1. Stroke 21%

2. Stroke 2. Ischemic heart disease 81%

3. COPD 3. COPD 145%

4. Congenital anomalies 4. Road injury 64%

5. Drowning 5. Lung cancer 81%

6. Neonatal encephalopathy 6. Liver cancer 37%

7. Ischemic heart disease 7. Stomach cancer -11%

8. Self harm 8. Self harm -30%

9. Preterm birth complications 9. Lower respiratory infections -81%

10. Road injury 10. Esophageal cancer 1%

11. Stomach cancer 11. Drowning -64%

12. Liver cancer 12. Congenital anomalies -66%

Page 16: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Countries reporting screening of 100% of blood samples

for HBV and HCV 2002-2008

Source: WHO Global Database on Blood Safety (GDBS)

and Blood Safety Indicators

Page 17: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Interventions to Prevent HIV and HCV Among Persons Who Inject Drugs

Intervention Decrease Injection Risks

Prevent HIV Prevent HCV

Syringe exchange ++ + + Pharmacy access + + * Drug preparation equipment

+ * +

Opioid substitution ++ ++ + Education + + + Supervise injection + + +

++: sufficient data; + tentative data; +: Inconclusive; * : no data

MacArthur GJ, Int J Drug Policy 2014

Page 18: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Epidemics of HCV Transmission- United States

• 29,000 new HCV infections in

2013

• 150% increase since 2010

Regional Drug Injection Trends

Among Persons <30 years old in

KY, TN, VA, WV

Suryprasad AG, et al. CID 2014 MMWR 2015; cdc.gov/hepatitis

Page 19: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Proportion of HCV infected Persons by Year of Birth- Part One

15 countries

19 Wedemeyer, et al, J Viral Hepatitis 2014

Page 20: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

HBV and HCV Testing, Care and Treatment Reduce Morbidity/Mortality

• HBV testing and therapy

– 56%-78% reduction in risk of liver cancer

– Benefit for patients with and without cirrhosis

• HCV testing and curative therapy

– 50%- 74% reduction in all cause mortality

– 75% reduction in liver cancer

– 93% reduction in liver –related mortality

Lai, Hepatology, 2013; Gordon, Clin Gastro Hepatol 2014

van der Meer JAMA 2012, Morgan Ann Int Med 2012

*

Page 22: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Forecasted Declines in Liver Related Deaths with Improved HCV Therapies Only Versus Improved

Screening and Treatment

Gane E, JVH 2015,; Alfaleh FZ, JVH 2015; Wedemeyer, JVH 2014

Page 23: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

Steps Toward Building Capacity for Viral Hepatitis Testing, Care, and Treatment

• Strategic data

• Policy development (WHO normative guidance)

• Financing antiviral therapy

• Improved test technologies (FIND, CDC)

• Health system strengthening (Georgia, PEPFAR)

• Goal setting and accountability (elimination targets)

Page 24: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

WHO 2012 Program Budgets Per Disease-specific Deaths (2010 GBD Study)

Lozano et al, Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 Lancet 2012 WHO: unpublished data

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Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection Prevalence, by Country, 2010

248 million HBsAg + individuals worldwide

Schweitzer A et al. Lancet 2015

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Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Infection

Prevalence, by Country, 2010

Gower et al. J. Hepatology 2014; Hanafieh Hepatology 2013

115M anti-HCV + ; 80M current infections ( Gower , 2014)

185M anti-HCV+ ; 130-150 M current infections ( Hanafieh, 2013, WHO)

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Improving Availability of Strategic Data- Vietnam

HIV HBsAg HCV Ag/Ab+

MSM (n=1588)

14.9% 12.4% 28.4%

MWID (n=3010)

28.1% 14.1% 53.8%

• Addition of HBV and HCV testing to Integrated Behavioral and Biologic Survey (IBBS)

• 2009-2010

• IBBS 2012-2013- Data analysis in progress

• Partnerships- PEPFAR, Abbott

Nadol P, PLoS One 2015; CDC unpublished data

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WHO Normative Guidance

HCV (2014, 2016) HBV (2015) HEPATITIS

TESTING

GUIDELINES (2016)

Who to screen?

Populations and setting

How to screen?

Diagnostics for

hepatitis

Linkage to prevention &

treatment

Page 29: Viral Hepatitis: A Global Snapshot of Challenges and ...iapac.org/icvh/presentations/ICVH2016_Plenary1_Ward.pdf · Price (US$) Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir Sofosbuvir Simeprevir Daclatasvir

National Policies for HBV and HCV Testing- United States

• HBV Testing Pregnant Women – June 2009

• HBV Testing – June 2014

- Foreign born- persons from Asia, Africa

- (countries > 2% prevalence)

- MSM, IDU

- For populations > 2% HBsAg+ $31,600/QALY

• HCV Testing - June 2013

- Persons born 1945-1965- one time

- Persons who inject drugs

- Others (e.g., transfusion <1992)

- Birth cohort testing- $ 31-35,000/QALY

MMWR Aug 2012. Moyer VA, Ann Int Med 2013. http://www.hcvguidelines.org ; 3Eckman, MH, CID 2011:52, Rein CID 2015

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Financing HCV Treatment

• Adversely affecting treatment access and drug compliance • Encouraged drug counterfeiting which could create substantial public health hazards

and cause safety concerns

Jayasekera CR, et al. NEJM 2014;370:1869-71. McCarthy M. BMJ 2015;350:h2137. Attaran A. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2015;92:127-32.

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Financing Cost of HCV Therapy Country-By-Country Agreements

• Prices based on company- country negotiations

• Countries can require separate clinical trials

• Results vary and often lack transparency

Germany USA

Mongolia

Turkey

USA Switzerland

Côte d'Ivoire

Malaysia

India

South Africa Brazil

Uganda

Egypt

Italy UK Hong Kong

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

9.5

10.0

10.5

11.0

$0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000

Gro

ss N

atio

nal

Inco

me

(lo

g sc

ale

)

Price (US$)

Ledipasvir-sofosbuvir

Sofosbuvir

Simeprevir

Daclatasvir

2D

Adapted from: Andrieux-Meyer, et al. Disparity in market prices for

hepatitis C virus direct-acting drugs. The Lancet Global Health,

Volume 3 , Issue 11 , e676 - e677

HCV Drug Prices and Gross National Income

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Financing Cost of HCV Therapy Generic Manufacturing

Gilead and Medicines Patent Pool (MPP)

Gilead MPP Announced September 15, 2014 Announced November 23, 2015 101 countries (looking to expand) 112 countries (looking to expand) Production by 11 India companies Broad base of manufacturers worldwide

FOCUS: low-income countries FOCUS: low- and middle-income countries

Drug: sofosbuvir Drug: daclatasvir and looking to expand

• Gilead: ‒ Program could benefit as many as 103 million persons living with HCV ‒ Price for generic Sovaldi (sofosbuvir) = $567 for 12 week treatment course

Signed agreements for in-country production in Egypt and Pakistan

• MPP: Nearly two-thirds of all patients living with hepatitis C in the LMICs reside in the territory covered by this agreement.

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Building HCV Prevention and Treatment Capacity

WORLD BANK

HCV Program

• Focus Countries: Egypt, Georgia, Mongolia

• HCV Area(s)

‒ Injection safety

‒ Safe blood supply

‒ Health IT

‒ Primary care training

‒ Universal health coverage

THE GLOBAL FUND

HCV Program

At the 33rd Board Meeting (April 2015), an interim measure was

approved for the financing of HCV treatment until the approval of a

broader policy on co-infections and co-morbidities of HIV/AIDS,

tuberculosis, and malaria. Financing includes treatment, diagnosis, and lab

and clinic visits.

David Wilson World Bank; personal communications worldbank. org;

global fund.org

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Building HCV Care and Treatment Capacity

UNITAID funded Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) project

• Project launched May 2014

• FOCUS: HCV treatment in MSF HIV treatment sites in 7 LMIC countries

• Demonstrate feasibility of HCV testing and treatment

United Kingdom’s Department for International Development (DFID) funded Clinton Health Access Initiative (CHAI) program

• Project launched in April 2015

• Demonstrate feasibility of public sector hepatitis C treatment programs

• Activities: Simplify diagnosis and treatment

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Promoting New Test Technologies and Strategies

Reference center

District hospital

Clinic Health post

Community health worker

Screening with serological tests

Core HCV antigen test for POC diagnosis

Test of cure

Molecular tests for POC diagnosis & DBS for centralized testing

A

B

D

C

eHealth and connectivity solutions

FIND’s 2015-2020 Hepatitis C Strategy |

http://www.finddiagnostics.org

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World Health Assembly Request of WHO to Develop Elimination Goals (2014)

WHO proposed global targets for eliminating HBV and HCV as public health concerns by 2030

• 60% reduction in HBV incidence

• 70% reduction in HCV incidence

• 60% reduction in mortality for both HBV and HCV

Preparing to present to WHA for adoption in May 2016

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National HCV Elimination Project: Georgia

• ~ 4 million persons

• High burden of HCV (5-7%)

• Mixed infection risks- healthcare, IDU

• Strong political commitment

• Comprehensive elimination plan

• PPP - Gilead provides up to 20,000 treatment courses/yr

• Target: 90% diagnosed/95% treated/95% cured of HCV by 2020

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• Two Phases - Phase I (September 1, 2015 – April 1, 2016)

- Phase II, (April 15,2016 – February 15, 2016)

• Committee Charge: - Determine feasible elimination goals for hepatitis B and hepatitis C

- Recommend a plan of action to reach incidence and mortality elimination goal(s) by 2030

Institute of Medicine Study → A National Strategy for the

Elimination of Hepatitis C and Hepatitis B

As Public Health Threats

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Summary

The disease burden of HBV and HCV Infection is large

Proven interventions have reduced risk of transmission

Expanded access to HBV and HCV testing and treatment can prevent disease and mortality

• Improve surveillance of Incidence and prevalence

• Improve affordability of HCV treatments

• Build capacity to test, care and treat HCV

With greater commitment, HBV and HCV can be eliminated as public health threats H