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Virus Yellows – an increasing threat to future sugar beet production? Dr Mark Stevens Head of Science 12/10/18

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Page 1: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Virus Yellows – an increasing threat to future sugar beet production? Dr Mark Stevens Head of Science 12/10/18

Page 2: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Aphid & Virus Yellows control 2015 Virus Yellows

Page 3: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Classic Virus-Vector-Host Interaction

HOST

VIRUS VECTOR

Page 4: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Aerial view of symptoms • At least 3 viruses involved. • Yield loss = up to 49% • Worldwide distribution. • No commercially resistant varieties. • In 2018, 99% of UK crop protected

with neonicotinoid seed treatments

• Preventing yield losses of up to £51M in high risk years.

Virus Yellows

Page 5: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Impact of yellowing viruses on yield

0

10

20

30

40

50

BYV BMYV BChV

Early June infection

Yie

ld d

ecre

ase (

%)

Beet yellows virus

Beet mild yellowing virus

Beet chlorosis virus

Page 6: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732
Page 7: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Circulative

(persistent)

BMYV, BChV

Modes of virus transmission by aphids

Non-circulative

(non-persistent)

Semi-persistent BYV Acquisition hours Retention a few days

Page 8: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Myzus persicae

Virus Transmission

Page 9: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Prevalence of yellowing viruses across

Europe

Poleroviruses

closterovirus

Page 10: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Virus Yellows remains a threat:

• Narrow choice of approved products for beet

• Aphid resistance (MACE, kdr, neonicotinoid)

• Lack of new/novel active ingredients

• Changing insecticide use in other arable crops

• Climate change – mild winters?

• Loss of neonicotinoid seed treatments

Page 11: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Current Decision Support

•Removal of sources of infection General farm hygiene

Seed treatments Risk maps

•Chemicals applied as: Granules at drilling Risk maps +Forecast

Post-emergence Forecasts + Spray

sprays Warning Scheme

Provisos:

Conserve aphid predators

Beware resistant aphids

Options for control

Page 12: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732
Page 13: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Current Decision Support

•Removal of sources of infection General farm hygiene

Seed treatments Risk maps

•Chemicals applied as: Granules at drilling Risk maps +Forecast

Post-emergence Forecasts + Spray

sprays Warning Scheme

Provisos:

Conserve aphid predators

Beware resistant aphids

Future:

•Resistant varieties

Cost

Risk maps

Performance

Options for control

Page 14: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet

Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

)()()())1()1(( xGxQtzYYrYPrdt

dysp

Winter temperature

Growth stage (planting date)

Seed treatment

Page 15: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

*source: British Sugar

Virus Yellows Forecast for 2017

Factory

Area Option

Virus yellows (%) on Sowing Dates

of Intended use

of insecticide

treated seed*

Mean

Temperature

(Jan/Feb) 15 March 30 March 15 April

Bury

No Pest

Control 17.7 23.9 35.2 -

4.66ºC + Pest

Control 0.7 0.8 1.0 99.5%

Cantley

No Pest

Control 14.5 19.8 29.5 -

4.5ºC + Pest

Control 0.6 0.7 0.8 99.3%

Wissington

No Pest

Control 17.7 23.9 35.2 -

4.66ºC + Pest

Control 0.7 0.8 1.0 98.0%

Newark

No Pest

Control 19.8 28.3 43.3 -

4.46ºC + Pest

Control 0.5 0.6 0.7 99.4%

Page 16: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Virus Yellows forecasts

Page 17: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Monitoring

Page 18: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Aphid trapping

Page 19: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

2017 aphid monitoring data

Page 20: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Monitoring aphids and their infectivity

M. persicae distribution

3 May -19 July

3 – 10 May 11 -17 May 18 - 24 May 25 May – 1 June 2 – 7 June 8 - 14 June 15 - 21 June 22 - 28 June 29 June – 5 July 6 - 12 July 13 - 19 July

• Used by Industry as warning system

• Adopted in other crops

• Prevents prophylactic insecticide use.

Page 21: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Virus Yellows Incidence August 2003

Virus Yellows Incidence August 2004

Virus Yellows Incidence August 2005

Evaluating Myzus persicae distribution and subsequent

Virus Yellows incidence.

% plants

infected

% plants

infected

% plants

infected

Page 22: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732
Page 23: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

0

20

40

60

80

100

% s

amp

les

con

tain

ing

resi

stan

t ap

hid

s

MACE

Myzus persicae field samples containing

MACE, kdr and super-kdrne aphids

Year kdr

super-kdrne Tested from 2011 onwards

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Page 24: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

FUTURE CONTROL Is it possible?

Page 25: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Virus Yellows: current options

• No foliar insecticides currently registered for Myzus persicae (one appl. of Teppeki in 2019 permitted)

• Resistance to pyrethroids and carbamates is a major issue (often impacting beneficial insects if applied)

• No resistant varieties currently available • On farm crop hygiene crucial

Page 26: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Protecting the UK sugar beet crop

• Importance for alternative strategies:

- New/novel insecticides

- Resistant/tolerant varieties

- Maximising beneficials

- Biocontrol

Page 27: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Green aphid control

LSD = 0.67

Page 28: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Autumn aphicide trial: Morley 2017

Page 29: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Developing disease resistance strategies

• Conventional resistance

- Beta germplasm evaluation and

analysis

• Alternative resistance - Pathogen-derived using Arabidopsis as

model system.

- CRISPR-cas9

Page 30: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Inoculated breeding trial

Page 31: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732
Page 32: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

BBRO priorities

• Accelerate virus breeding work

• Enhance pest monitoring network • Further assess foliar treatments as seed treatments

• Evaluate plant resistance to aphids

• Field trials to study push-pull and aphid barrier strategies

• Real-time data on dedicated BBRO webpage to assist growers.

Page 33: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

South Lincolnshire: mid-1970s

Page 34: Virus Yellows an increasing threat to future sugar beet ... · Modelling virus yellows in sugar beet Qi, A., Dewar, A.M. and Harrington, R. (2004) Pest Management Science 60, 727-732

Questions?