Visions and Scenarios for Territorial Development

First results fromthe ESPON SEMIGRA project

November 2011

SEMIGRA – Selective Migration and Unbalanced Sex Ratio in Rural Regions

Project partners - Case Study Regions

Kainuu

Västernorrland

Sachsen-Anhalt

Észak AlföldÉszak Magyaror-szág

AIKOPA, Kajaani,Finland

KTH, Stockholm,Sweden

IfL, Leipzig, Germany

University of Miskolc, HungaryRRK, Hungary

Sex ratio: Age Group 20-24 years

A link between labour market structures and unbalanced sex ratios?

Reasons to migrate: women and the life course (Sachsen)

Getting an education foothold on the labour market/Founding a family

Evaluation of the home region

(results online survey with pupils; Sachsen-Anhalt)

„You can‘t stay here!“ – the role of the parents

„Yes, it‘s sad somehow, my daughter is eleven, an age you normally don‘t have to worry about. But I as a mother I tell her, [name] you won‘t stay here. You‘ll have to go sometime, because you won‘t get happy. You surely want to say one day I‘ll fly on holiday… she will accept it, she is eleven.“

(Woman, looking for a job, Havelberg)

Measures that …

- target the (male and female) labour market

- are suitable to improve the Image (target group: young women)

- Focus on the social infrastructure for families

- Aim to exploit the possibilities new communication technologies offer

- Promote In- and Remigration

Different measures for different types of rural regions in Europe?

Different perspectives of demographic development in Europe 2025

2025

(NUTS 2)

Scenarios – Macro Processes with regard to rural development

• Socio-demographic polarization between urban and rural regions

• Narrowing of the financial scope of public budgets

• Growing role of Information and Communication Technologies

• Increasing Mobility

• Overaging

Holiday idylls? Areas of decay? Middle of nowhere? Facets of rural Europe