vital - advanced time-line approach for futureatm environmentvital – for a future 4d environment...

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EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre 1 / INO Workshop 2004 INNOVATIVE RESEARCH Vital – advanced time-line approach for future ATM environments Horst Hering Innovative Research Unit, EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre, Bretigny,France [email protected]

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Page 1: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre1 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital – advanced time-line approach for future ATM environments

Horst HeringInnovative Research Unit, EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre, Bretigny,France

[email protected]

Page 2: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre2 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Introduction I

Actual ATC systems are human centred

Technical equipment support the controllersFlight plan data (last update 2 hours prior take off)Sensor data (PSR, SSR, … snapshot of last known situation)Correlation of flight plan and sensor data

Help controller’s to create mental traffic pictureBased on past sensor and flight plan dataTechnical systems have no knowledge of future AC behaviour (feedback from ATC instructions /FMS programming)

Page 3: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre3 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Introduction II

Tendency towards stripless ATM systems

Reduced/limited availability flight plan dataIncrease importance of sensor data

Complex representation on ODS2D data on ODS – 3rdD in label

Humans mental resources are one of the bottlenecks of the actual ATM system

Page 4: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre4 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Possible future ATM Systems

Towards 4D ATM to increase capacityNew ATM concepts like:

Route offsets4D rendezvous pointsStation keeping of two or more ACDelayed or locally fixed climb/descend orders

AC - FMS supports the 4D navigation

Resulting for the humans: Increase of traffic complexityRequire for the humans:

New working conceptsNew ways of presenting data (reducing complexity)Pre-processing of data (mathematical, logical) to reduce workload

Page 5: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre5 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital – Table Concept

Innovation Vital:

Digital and analogue representation of the data (FP/sensor)Pre-processing of these data to support humans rough estimations by exact mathematical, logical predictionsPermanently updated and recalculated

Vital presents data in form of a tableEach AC is represented as one line in the tableLines may be freely placed inside of the table

Example: En-route MONitor (EMON)

Page 6: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre6 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital – AC Artefact

Vital – the artefact line content:Call-sign (indicator for : east-, west-bound, handle to move artefact)Airport of departureAirport of destination Aircraft typeSpeedActual flight level Analogue time-line data (indicator for sector boundary)Exit flight levelExit way point

Adep Ades AC-type

XFLAFL WP-exSpeedCall-sign Analogue Time-line Data

Page 7: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre7 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital – Analogue Time-line

Vital represents the flight path of an AC

On a dynamic time-lineUpdated in real-time from actual and extrapolated sensor data with regard to AC performance

Now

Actual time reference (fix)

Time-line (minutes) moving towards left

DOM HAMOSN TOSPA

10:10 10:20 10:3

Beacons, Waypoints of the AC path moving with time-line

DOM HAMOSN TOSPA

10:10 10:20 10:3

DOM HAMOSN TOSPA

10:10 10:20 10:30

DOM HAMOSN TOSPA

10:10 10:20 10:30

OM HAMOSN TOSPA

10:10 10:20 10:30

IM HAMOSN TOSPA

10:10 10:20 10:30

MII HAMOSN TOSPA

10:10 10:20 10:30

MEGHAMOSN TOSPA

10:10 10:20 10:30

MEGAHAMOSN TOSPA

10:10 10:20 10:30

MEGARHAMOSN TOSPA

:10 10:20 10:30

MEGARHAMOSN TOSPA

0 10:20 10:30

MEGARHAMSN TOSPA

10:20 10:30

MEGARHAMI TOSPA

10:20 10:30

MEGARHAM TOSPA

10:20 10:30

MEGAR

Page 8: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre8 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Benefits of a Time-line Approach

ATCO roughly estimate AC speed from RadarMentally extrapolate future position of each AC

Poor accuracy require large safety marginsPrediction error for 2…3 minutes ~ acceptablePrediction error for 10…15 minutes ?

Vital - pre-processing of Radar and flight plan dataExtraction of the true AC speed from past positions for Logical mathematical extrapolation of future AC positions

Good accuracy (uncertainty) standard safety marginsPrediction error for 2…3 minutes rather low (similar humans)Prediction error for 10…15 minutes ~ acceptable

(depending on flight steadiness – ATC instruction)Continuously updated

Page 9: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre9 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Hypothetical Benefits of an Analogue Time-line

Vital represents the 4D traffic in a clear and simple mannerTraffic visualisation well adapted to humans mental representation and understanding

Supporting humans 4D trajectory prediction Analogue flight path representation for ease human perception Simpler detection and predictability of potential problemsReduced mental workload caused by difficult estimations (future positions)Better understanding of the traffic in a extended timeframe (~20min)

Reduce mental workload – increase SA

Vital will not affect the existing safety level - in a negative sense at least

Page 10: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre10 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital – Conflict Detection

Detection of conflicts (basic):Opposite traffic (a-b)

Merging traffic (c-d)

Over speeding (b-c)

By vertical comparing of time-lines

DOM HAMOSN TOSPA

10:10 10:20 10:3

DOMOSN ABAMI

10:10 10:20 10:3

DOM ABAMIOSN NOR

10:10 10:20 10:3

KENUM

PAM ARNEM ABAMI NASUM

10:10 10:20 10:3

TEBROTULIP

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

Page 11: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre11 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital – for a future 4D environment

ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories

4D complexity becomes a challenge for the controllers

Vital reduce complexity by innovative analogue information presentation (benefits - similar analogue/digital watch)

Support of new 4D concepts (offset, station keeping, speed control, 4D rendezvous, …)

Page 12: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre12 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital – Representing Route Offsets

Flying offset: right or left in parallel to existing route Safe horizontal separation of parallel routes (i.e. 5 NM)

DOM HAMOSNABAMI

DOM OSNABAMI HAM

HAMDOM OSNABAMI HAM

Offset

Left

Centre

Right

DOM HAMOSNABAMI2 2

Page 13: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre13 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital – Representing Climb/Descend

AC climbing/descending and the related uncertainty

DOM HAMOSNABAMI

330

Now

DOM OSNABAMI HAM250 310

AFLMore

330

310

290

270

310

Now

Time

Waypt

RateClimb

Descend

New CFL

Page 14: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre14 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital – Representing 4D Rendezvous

Creation of a 4D rendezvous pointAC FMS will be able to guarantee the negotiated 4D point as rendezvous

DOM HAMOSNABAMI

4D-OSN

Time

CFL

Offset

Time

CFL

Offset

Kill

4D-HAM

Page 15: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre15 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital – Representing ‘Station Keeping’ AC

Concept of Airborne Separation Assurance System (ASAS)

Two or more AC flying in line (same route/segment, FL, speed)Transfer of separation responsibility to AC (horizontal distance to preceding AC)ATC communicate/control first AC in line only

HAMDOM OSNABAMIAC II AC III

HAM

Page 16: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre16 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital – Representing Speed Envelope

Speed control for ACPresenting safe variations (increase/decrease) from actual speed as time envelope for future waypoints

Now

DOM OSNABAMI HAM

SPEED

Page 17: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre17 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Conclusion I

Actual Radar screen strongly geographical oriented

Actual ODS is complex (3D on a 2D display)Snapshots (static) of traffic with afterglows3rd D through ATCO mental picture4th D – time dimension by human estimation and extrapolation

… Future 4D ATM ?

… there is a need for innovative concepts/tools

Page 18: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre18 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Conclusion II

Vital - logical mathematical algorithm to create an analogue time based representation of the traffic

Strong cognitive support through preliminary treatment of data to ease human perception and predictionReduce mental workload for difficult estimation to support detection and predictability of potential traffic problemsIncrease SA through better traffic understanding in the shown timeframeIntuitive representation of dynamic actions (change FL, offsets,…)

Vital will not affect the existing safety level - in a negative sense at least

Page 19: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre19 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Conclusion III

Vital – real-time time-line concept Human centred approachCompatible with current ATM concepts

Presented for:EMON for future 4D ATM

Adaptable and give benefit for:Current ATC working methods/conceptsNew ATM concepts like ‘tubs’, ‘motorways’, …Monitoring ASAS conceptsNatural interface for CPDLC….

Page 20: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre20 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

Vital –Sample for a MN-Sector EMON

09:55

09:55

10:00

10:00

10:05

10:05

10:10

10:10

10:15

10:15

EM ON - V ital

D

ABAM I DO M W SR

240

O SN BASUMLFPG EDDH 330430B737AFR452 W SR240

STADE O SNLBE300

BASUMEDDH LFPG 140↑430B737AFR453 ABAM I240

EDEGA RKNSUVO XBIGGE FLEVOTENLILO W W EGCC 320440A320AUA724 FLEVO240

RENNE HM MM O HNE TENLI FLEVO SPY290 320

RKNARPEDDF KLAX 250↑480B747DLH4563 FLEVO240

H M MBIGGE ROSO NSAAM SANEDEGAM ASEK

240LHBP EHAM 300430B737KLM 123 ROBIS240

STADBASUMM EVEL250 330

ARTERVALSUEDDL EKCH 217↑440A320DLH234A STADE240

DLE PIRO T EXO BA NEBAR ABAM I RM AREKEDDT LFPO 320430B737EZY123 NEBAR240

DLE PIRO T

240 100

M AREK NEBAR ABAM IEXO BAEDDB EDDK 300440A320HLF876 NEBAR240

ABAM I NEBAR M AREK EXO BA PIRO T DLENUMCCP253AEBBR EDDB 310450B757DHL56A PIROT240

SUPAM ARNEM O SN RO BEG310

SO NEB SUVO XEHAM EPW A 255↑430B737KLM 2357 ROBEG240

EVEL O SN RO BEG DLE HLZ290

EVELEDDL EPW A 289↑440A320DLH122 ROBEG240

STADE DO MO SN

300 240

BASUM.BE BO TESSA EDDL 320440M D80SAS344 DOM240

TADE BASUM DO MO SNESSA EHEH 300380C550PHLNX BOT240

ABAM I DO M

240

O SN VISKI

100

TIM ENLFPB EDDV 310410FA42FGLXX VISKI240

250 330VALKIO SNDO MNEBARW YPEDDK EFHK 160↑440A320FIN890 VALKI240

N OW

N OW

09:55

09:55

09:55

09:55

10:00

10:00

10:00

10:00

10:05

10:05

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10:10

10:10

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10:15

10:15

10:15

10:15

EM ON - V ital

DD

ABAM I DO M W SR

240

O SN BASUMLFPG EDDH 330430B737AFR452 W SR240ABAM I DO M W SR

240

O SN BASUMABAM I DO M W SR

240

O SN BASUMLFPG EDDH 330430B737AFR452 LFPG EDDH 330430B737AFR452 W SR240 W SR240

STADE O SNLBE300

BASUMEDDH LFPG 140↑430B737AFR453 ABAM I240STADE O SNLBE300

BASUMSTADE O SNLBE300

BASUMEDDH LFPG 140↑430B737AFR453 EDDH LFPG 140↑430B737AFR453 ABAM I240 ABAM I240

EDEGA RKNSUVO XBIGGE FLEVOTENLILO W W EGCC 320440A320AUA724 FLEVO240EDEGA RKNSUVO XBIGGE FLEVOTENLIEDEGA RKNSUVO XBIGGE FLEVOTENLILO W W EGCC 320440A320AUA724 LO W W EGCC 320440A320AUA724 FLEVO240 FLEVO240

RENNE HM MM O HNE TENLI FLEVO SPY290 320

RKNARPEDDF KLAX 250↑480B747DLH4563 FLEVO240RENNE HM MM O HNE TENLI FLEVO SPY290 320

RKNARP RENNE HM MM O HNE TENLI FLEVO SPY290 320

RKNARPEDDF KLAX 250↑480B747DLH4563 EDDF KLAX 250↑480B747DLH4563 FLEVO240 FLEVO240

H M MBIGGE ROSO NSAAM SANEDEGAM ASEK

240LHBP EHAM 300430B737KLM 123 ROBIS240H M MBIGGE ROSO NSAAM SANEDEGAM ASEK

240

H M MBIGGE ROSO NSAAM SANEDEGAM ASEK

240LHBP EHAM 300430B737KLM 123 LHBP EHAM 300430B737KLM 123 ROBIS240 ROBIS240

STADBASUMM EVEL250 330

ARTERVALSUEDDL EKCH 217↑440A320DLH234A STADE240STADBASUMM EVEL250 330

ARTERVALSU STADBASUMM EVEL250 330

ARTERVALSUEDDL EKCH 217↑440A320DLH234A EDDL EKCH 217↑440A320DLH234A STADE240 STADE240

DLE PIRO T EXO BA NEBAR ABAM I RM AREKEDDT LFPO 320430B737EZY123 NEBAR240DLE PIRO T EXO BA NEBAR ABAM I RM AREKDLE PIRO T EXO BA NEBAR ABAM I RM AREKEDDT LFPO 320430B737EZY123 EDDT LFPO 320430B737EZY123 NEBAR240 NEBAR240

DLE PIRO T

240 100

M AREK NEBAR ABAM IEXO BAEDDB EDDK 300440A320HLF876 NEBAR240

ABAM I NEBAR M AREK EXO BA PIRO T DLENUMCCP253AEBBR EDDB 310450B757DHL56A PIROT240

DLE PIRO T

240 100

M AREK NEBAR ABAM IEXO BADLE PIRO T

240 100

M AREK NEBAR ABAM IEXO BAEDDB EDDK 300440A320HLF876 EDDB EDDK 300440A320HLF876 NEBAR240 NEBAR240

ABAM I NEBAR M AREK EXO BA PIRO T DLENUMCCP253AEBBR EDDB 310450B757DHL56A PIROT240ABAM I NEBAR M AREK EXO BA PIRO T DLENUMCCP253A

ABAM I NEBAR M AREK EXO BA PIRO T DLENUMCCP253AEBBR EDDB 310450B757DHL56A EBBR EDDB 310450B757DHL56A PIROT240 PIROT240

SUPAM ARNEM O SN RO BEG310

SO NEB SUVO XEHAM EPW A 255↑430B737KLM 2357 ROBEG240SUPAM ARNEM O SN RO BEG310

SO NEB SUVO XSUPAM ARNEM O SN RO BEG310

SO NEB SUVO XEHAM EPW A 255↑430B737KLM 2357 EHAM EPW A 255↑430B737KLM 2357 ROBEG240 ROBEG240

EVEL O SN RO BEG DLE HLZ290

EVELEDDL EPW A 289↑440A320DLH122 ROBEG240EVEL O SN RO BEG DLE HLZ290

EVELEVEL O SN RO BEG DLE HLZ290

EVELEDDL EPW A 289↑440A320DLH122 EDDL EPW A 289↑440A320DLH122 ROBEG240 ROBEG240

STADE DO MO SN

300 240

BASUM.BE BO TESSA EDDL 320440M D80SAS344 DOM240STADE DO MO SN

300 240

BASUM.BE BO TSTADE DO MO SN

300 240

BASUM.BE STADE DO MO SN

300 240

BASUM.BE BO TESSA EDDL 320440M D80SAS344 ESSA EDDL 320440M D80SAS344 DOM240 DOM240

TADE BASUM DO MO SNESSA EHEH 300380C550PHLNX BOT240TADE BASUM DO MO SNTADE BASUM DO MO SNESSA EHEH 300380C550PHLNX ESSA EHEH 300380C550PHLNX BOT240 BOT240

ABAM I DO M

240

O SN VISKI

100

TIM ENLFPB EDDV 310410FA42FGLXX VISKI240ABAM I DO M

240

O SN VISKI

100

TIM ENABAM I DO M

240

O SN VISKI

100

TIM ENLFPB EDDV 310410FA42FGLXX LFPB EDDV 310410FA42FGLXX VISKI240 VISKI240

250 330VALKIO SNDO MNEBARW YPEDDK EFHK 160↑440A320FIN890 VALKI240

250 330VALKIO SNDO MNEBARW YP

250 330VALKIO SNDO MNEBARW YPEDDK EFHK 160↑440A320FIN890 EDDK EFHK 160↑440A320FIN890 VALKI240 VALKI240

N OW

N OW

N OW

N OW

Page 21: Vital - advanced time-line approach for futureATM environmentVital – for a future 4D environment ATM and AC FMS going towards 4D trajectories Î4D complexity becomes a challenge

EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre21 / INO Workshop 2004

INNOVATIVE RESEARCH

MN-Sector of UAC Maastricht