vladimir rybakin genreal director december 2002

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1 Prospects and objectives Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December 2002

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Prospects and objectives. Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December 2002. Moscow. Consolidated company of Urals region. Territory 1 949 ,5 thous. sq. km Population 15 44 3,9 thosand Natural resources 65% of Russian oil , 90% of gas , gold , diamonds - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

1

Prospects and objectives

Vladimir RybakinGenreal Director

December 2002

Page 2: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

2

Moscow

Consolidated company of Urals region

Territory 1 949,5 thous. sq. kmPopulation 15 443,9 thosandNatural resources 65% of Russian oil, 90% of gas, gold, diamonds

Industrial output in 2001 USD37,4 bln. (18,5% of industrial output of RF)

Average annual USD rate of exchange as of 2001 - RUR29,2

September 30, 2002 highlights the completion of merger of Urals region telecoms and

JSC UralsvyazinformPerm regionSverdlovsk regionChelyabinsk region Kurgan regionTyumen regionKhanty-Mansi Autonomous DistrictYamalo-Nenetski Autonomous District

As of September 1, 2002 • Lines – 3,167 mln• Subscribers – 2,931 mln• Emloyees – 35.7 thous.

Perm

Khanty-Mansyisk

Yamal

EkaterinburgTyumen

Chelyabinsk Kurgan

Kazakhstan

Kara Sea

Page 3: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

3

• Joint Shareholders Meeting (December 17, 2002);

• Registration of changes to Articles of Association (January 2003);

• Disclosure of consolidated financial report under Russian accounting standards (April 2003);

• Auditor’s opinion under Russian and international accounting standards (June 2003).

Merger completion schedule

Page 4: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

4

Shaping and meeting customers’ needs in telecommunication and information

services, integration into the Global Information Community of 21st century

Mission

Page 5: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

5

Shareholder’s equityas of December 1, 2002

USD Rate of exchange – RUR 31,84

Book Capital USD 151 mln Number of shares 40 134 723 306 Share of preferred stock 19,5%Number of stockholders 23 379Market capitalization USD 460 mln

Svyazinvest41,38%

(51,42% of voting shares)

Individual shareholders49,95%

(38,91% of voting shares)

ADR4,03%

(3,91% of voting shares)

Federal Property Fund4,64%

(5,76% of voting shares)

Page 6: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

6

2001 9M2002.

Population Businesses Population Businesses

International/Domestic Long-Distance telephony

92 % 89 % 92 % 89%

Local Telephony 86 % 57 % 86 % 57 %

Internet 57 % 56 % 57 % 57 %

Mobile Telephony GSM900/1800

30 % 30 % 57 % 57 %

Paging 29 % 31 % 31 % 30 %

Market position of consolidated Uralsvyazinformin Urals region

Page 7: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

7

Installed capacity by regional branchesas of 01.01.2002

655

871

716

273

326

97

173

585

803

649

242

293

85

160

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Perm Ekaterinburg Chelyabinsk Tyumen Khanty-mansyisk Salekhard Kurgan

Th

ou

sa

nd

lin

es

Installed capacity In use

Overall capacity:• Installed – 3 112 thous. lines• Equipped – 2 817 thous. lines

Page 8: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

8

Digitalizationas of December 1, 2002

54

34,6

43,7

20,2

52,6

93,9

70

60

18

4,6

18,5

68

95,06

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perm Ekaterinburg Chelyabinsk Kurgan Tyumen Khanty-Mansyisk Salekhard

%

Switching systems Intrazone lines

Page 9: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

9

Fixed-line penetration(lines per 100 inhabitants)

26,7

19,8621,6

26,12

19,5

34,31

17,8

9,2 8,6

11,9

6,38,6

12,410,1

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Perm Ekaterinburg Chelyabinsk Tyumen Khanty-Mansyisk

Salekhard Kurgan

URBAN RURAL

Total:

• Urban – 21,66

• Rural – 10,24

Waiting list (as of december 1, 2002) – 581 645

95 387 209 722 129 108 58 059 49 288 7 399 32 682

Page 10: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

10

Overall CAPEX

2584

5509

74417702

4876

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

2001 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E

RU

R m

ln

Page 11: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

11

Investment Sources

47%

36%

42%

35%

51%

53%

3%

15%

15%

53%

33%

49%

7%

11%

1%

13%

36%

2001

2002E

2003E

2004E

2005E

Depreciation Profit Credits Bonds Shares

Page 12: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

12

Investment Priorities

• Capacity extension and network upgrade:– digital switches;– optical access netwoks;– intrazone digital transport networks;– wireless loop;

• Mobile telephony of GSM-900/1800 standard;• Packet switching network:

– multiservice network build-up;– Internet;

• Intelligent network;• Cable TV.

Page 13: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

13

Capital investment schedule

Capacity extension 2001

Introduced 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E Introduced in 2002 – 2005

Fixed-line network, thous. lines 3 112 330 360 380 360 1 430

Mobile network, thous. lines 261 172 270 280 276 998

Intrazone/trunk fiber optical links, thous. km

1,4 1,0 1,8 2,5 2,1 7,4

Intrazone/trunk radio microwave links, thous. km

2,0 0,5 1,3 1,8 1,3 4,9

Page 14: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

14

Domestic and international long-distance traffic

1,3

1,6

1,9

2,3

2,7

0

1

2

3

2001 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E

bln

. m

inu

tes

Page 15: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

15

Financial results

14,6

18,9

27,0

30,8

10,8 10,9

13,1

16,8

19,1

3,6 3,7

5,6

10,211,7

14,4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2002 plan 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E 2006E

RU

R b

ln

Revenues

Expenses

Operating profit

Page 16: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

16

31%

31%

32%

33%

35% 30%

35%

41%

50%

53%

24%

23%

16%

9%

6%

6%

5%

4%

3%

1%

5%

4%

7%

7%

9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

2001

2002E

2003E

2004E

2005E

Urban Telephone Network МТС Mobile Telephony New Services (DSL Network, IN) Other (Data transmission)

Revenue structure

Page 17: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

17

Expenditure structure

42%

45%

35%

40%

44%

30%

30%

24%

28%

30%

16%

11%

13%

17%

14%

12%

12%

13%

28%

16%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

1999

2000

2001

2002E

2003E

Operating expenses Wages Depreciation Taxes & deductions

Page 18: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

18

EBITDA and Net Profit

0,61,1

1,6

5,5

6,8

2,53,2

5,8

11,3

14,1

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2002 plan 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E

RU

R b

ln

Net profit EBITDA

Page 19: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

19

Debt

192201

166

124

5341 37

28 24

214

0

50

100

150

200

250

01.01.2002 01.01.03E 01.01.04E 01.01.05E 01.01.06E

US

D, m

ln

Liability as of beginning of the year in foreign currency

USD exchange rate as of 01.01.02 - RUR30,14 ; 01.01.03 - RUR32,86; 01.01.04 - RUR33,54; 01.01.05 - RUR37,06; 01.01.06 - RUR37,34

Page 20: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

20

Number of lines per 1 employee

74,283,6

93,0

149,6

83,8

125,0

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2001 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E

Lin

es

Plan Estimated

Page 21: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

21

Digitalization

49%

62%66%

70%

19%

90%

57% 55%

37%

27%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2001 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E

Switching Systems Intrazone Lines

Page 22: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

22

Wire-line penetration(telephones per 100 inhabitants)

18,219,3

20,9

23,2

25,3

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2001 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E

• Waiting list as of January 1, 2002 – 581 645• Number of locations not covered with wire-line services – 2 916 • Including those with population under 50 – 1 760

Page 23: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

23

TBB introduction plan for 2002 - 2003

• Sverdlovsk region

• Chelyabinsk region

• Kurgan region

• Khanty-Mansyisky autonomous district

• Yamalo-Nenetski autonomous district

Time-based billing

TBB is introduced in:

• Perm region - 87,5% of installed capacity

• Tyumen region - 75,0% of installed capacity

Page 24: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

24

Multi-Service Network General Structure

Optical AccessNetwork

Content-Providers

PSTN

InternetManagementSub-Systems

ServiceSelectionGateway

IP Backbone

Corportion AOffice 1 Corportion B

Office 2

Corportion BOffice 2

Corportion AOffice 1

Corporate VirtualPrivate Networks

High- speedInternetAccess

Small office

InternetAccess Virtual

PrivateNetwork

OLT

Exchange

Page 25: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

25

2,4 - 64 kbpsnx64 kbps

Optical access network

ОПТС

10/100 ВТ

ADSL

COAX

POTS /ISDN

OLT

ONU 6ONU 4

ONU 3

ONU 2

ONU 5

ONU 1

PC

TV

ISDN

IPnetwok

VODServer

Cable TV

Cable TV/Internet

УПАТС

Е1

VPN

STB

Video ondemand

ADSL

Optical access network build-up

Page 26: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

26

max 1000N

ОК

С №

7

V5.2, EDSS1

EDSS1, CAS

ОПТС

SSP

ST

M-1

/4

Local RTN

Local RTN

LocalRTN

City boundaries

Intrazone Network

Local ATS

ONU

ONU ONU

ONU

Accessnetwork

BS

Local hub configuration

Page 27: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

27

Digital transport network development

Salekhard

Perm

Khanty-Mansyisk

Chelyabinsk

Kurgan

Tyumen

Ekaterinburg

Existing lines

Planned lines

Page 28: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

28

Thousand subscribers as

of 01.12.02

«Uralsvyazinform» 131,4

«South-Urals Cellular Phone» 128,5

«Eramk RMS» 71,5

TOTAL 331,4

Екатеринбург

Perm

Khanty-Mansyisk

Chelyabinsk

Kurgan

Salekhard

Ekaterinburg

Tyumen

GSM-900/1800 NetworkAs of 01.12.2002

Page 29: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

29

GSM900/1800 Network Development

261

433

703

983

1259

2022

2325

31

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2001 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

installed capacity ARPU

Page 30: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

30

Subscribers

«Uralsvyazinform» Perm Division 14 354

«UralWestCom» 20 889

«Kurgan Cellular Phone» 400

Total 35 643

Екатеринбург

Tyumen

Perm

Ekaterinburg

Khanty-Mansyisk

ChelyabinskKurgan

Salekhard

NMT – 450 Networkas of 01.12.2002

Prospects – transition to digital standard

Page 31: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

31

Intelligent Network setup in Urals Region

Max. Virtual network capacity is 12 mln. numbers

PSTN PSTN PSTN PSTN PSTNPSTNEkaterinburg Tumen Chelyabinsk Kurgan Yamal Khanty-Mansiysk

Perm SMP

SCPSSPToll Exchange

INAP - RSSP

Toll Exch.

SSP

Toll Exch.

SSP

Toll Exch.

SSP

Toll

Exch.

SSP

Toll

Exch.

SSP

Toll Exch.

Uralsvyazinform

Services

Freephone; Premium access; Account card access; Pre-paid card access; Televote; Pre-paid access to Internet; Pre-paid access to mobile network; Personal number service; Virtual private networks.

INAP - R INAP - R INAP - R INAP - R INAP - R

Page 32: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

32

Market capitalization of Uralsvyazinform

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

350%

07.0

1.20

01

22.0

1.20

01

06.0

2.20

01

21.0

2.20

01

08.0

3.20

01

23.0

3.20

01

07.0

4.20

01

22.0

4.20

01

07.0

5.20

01

22.0

5.20

01

06.0

6.20

01

21.0

6.20

01

06.0

7.20

01

21.0

7.20

01

05.0

8.20

01

20.0

8.20

01

04.0

9.20

01

19.0

9.20

01

04.1

0.20

01

19.1

0.20

01

03.1

1.20

01

18.1

1.20

01

03.1

2.20

01

18.1

2.20

01

02.0

1.20

02

17.0

1.20

02

01.0

2.20

02

16.0

2.20

02

03.0

3.20

02

18.0

3.20

02

02.0

4.20

02

17.0

4.20

02

02.0

5.20

02

17.0

5.20

02

01.0

6.20

02

16.0

6.20

02

01.0

7.20

02

16.0

7.20

02

31.0

7.20

02

15.0

8.20

02

30.0

8.20

02

14.0

9.20

02

29.0

9.20

02

14.1

0.20

02

29.1

0.20

02

13.1

1.20

02

Market Cap RTS Index АКМ Telecoms Index

MAP affirms reorganization

Shares of merging companies are swapped

Page 33: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

33

• IAS accounting since 1995

• Annual international audit since 1995

• Level 1 ADR Program

• Fitch credit rating at “B”

• Standard & Poor’s credit rating at “B-”

• Corporate governance score of Standard & Poor’s at «6,0»Prospects

• Additional share issuance

• Level 3 ADR program

• Shares are traded at:

- RTS, MICEX

- Berlin, Frankfurt Stock Exchange

- USA Over-the-counter market

Investor Relations

Page 34: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

34

2003 Objectives

• Relationship Agreement between regional authorities and Uralsvyazinform

• Streamlinig the budgeting process and investment planning;

• Implementation of ISO 9000 quality standards;• Realization of “Electronic Russia” fedreal project• Introduction of new services;• Implementation of time-bases billing;• Optimization of management structure and personnel

quantity

Page 35: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

35

Uralsvyazinform has a solid potential to accomplish the national objective to

develop up-to-date telecommunications infrastructure within Urals federal district

Page 36: Vladimir Rybakin Genreal Director December  2002

36

Contacts:

ph.: +7 3422 341 200

fax: +7 3422 343 336

e-mail: [email protected]

www.uralsviazinform.ru

www.uralsviazinform.com

Ticker symbols:

Russian Trading System - URSI

ADR - UVYZY