volcanism and volcanic hazards

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    Volcanism and Volcanic

    Hazards

    Bill Menke

    September 21, 2005

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    Questions to think about

    Which is the most dangerous volcano in

    the world?

    What group of people are most

    endangered by volcanoes

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    Summary

    What is a volcano?

    Where does lava come from and why do

    volcanoes erupt?

    How is size quantified?

    Where are volcanoes occur?

    How frequently do volcanoes erupt? How do volcanoes cause damage?

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    What is an volcano ?

    An volcano is a mountain from which lavaand hot gasses erupt

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    But I have a semantic problem here

    But I dont like the word mountain,

    because sometimes lava erupts from

    places that have little, if any, topographic

    relief

    And I dont like the definition leaving out

    the notion of temporal persistence, that the

    eruptive activity is long-lasting

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    So maybe I should use the phrase

    Volcanic Center

    A region of the earth in which lava and hotgasses have persistently erupted from the

    ground over many thousands, or evenmillions, of years.

    A single volcanic center may includeseveral related and closely-spacedvolcanoes, or it may contain none.

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    Why do Volcanoes Erupt ?

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    What is Magma ?

    Molten rock with in earth

    Chemical composition matters!

    Low silica rocks (e.g. basalts) very fluid

    High silica rocks (e.g. rhyolites) very viscous

    Concentration of gasses (main H20 and CO2)

    matters!Gasses under pressure cause explosions

    Gasses are poisonous

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    Volcano Size

    The Volcanic Explosivity

    Index, or VEI, was

    proposed in 1982 as away to describe the

    relative size or magnitude

    of explosive volcanic

    eruptions. It is a 0-to-8

    index of increasing

    explosivity. Each increase

    in number represents an

    increase around a factor

    of ten. The VEI uses

    several factors to assign a

    number, including volume

    of erupted pyroclastic

    material (for example,ashfall, pyroclastic flows,

    and other ejecta), height

    of eruption column,

    duration in hours, and

    qualitative descriptive

    terms.

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    V

    EI

    Descriptio

    n

    Plume

    HeightVolume Classification How often Example

    0non-

    explosive< 100 m 1000s m3 Hawaiian daily Kilauea

    1 gentle 100-1000 m 10,000s m3Haw/Stromboli

    andaily Stromboli

    2 explosive 1-5 km 1,000,000s m3Strom/Vulcani

    anweekly Galeras, 1992

    3 severe 3-15 km10,000,000s

    m3Vulcanian yearly Ruiz, 1985

    4 cataclysmic 10-25 km100,000,000s

    m3Vulc/Plinian 10's of years

    Galunggung,

    1982

    5 paroxysmal >25 km 1 km3 Plinian 100's of yearsSt. Helens,

    1981

    6 colossal >25 km 10s km3Plin/Ultra-

    Plinian100's of years Krakatau, 1883

    7super-

    colossal>25 km 100s km3 Ultra-Plinian

    1000's of

    yearsTambora, 1815

    8mega-

    colossal>25 km 1,000s km3 Ultra-Plinian

    10,000's of

    years

    Yellowstone, 2

    Ma

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    Global distribution of Volcanoes

    About 1500 volcanoes worldwide

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    How long do eruptions

    last?

    Most eruptions

    last 10 - 1000days

    Less than 20%

    over within 72

    hours

    Median is 7

    weeks (1176

    hours)

    0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000

    Duration (days)

    Eruptions 600

    1000

    200

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    How Often do Eruptions Occur?

    Eruptions obey Gutenberg-Richter

    Statistics: lots of small ones, just

    a few big ones.

    The graph at the left are for

    Explosive eruptions in Kamchatka

    During the last 10,000 years

    Cumulat

    ivenumberoferuptions

    Witheru

    ptivevolumesequaltoor

    Greaterthanthegivena

    mount

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    Divergent Plate Boundaries

    Mid-ocean ridges

    strong mantle upwelling to fill in hole, so

    lots of basaltic magmatism (almost all of

    which is under water)

    Continental RiftingThicker crust suppresses mantle melting

    somewhat, but can add volatiles

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    Convergent Plate Boundaries

    Subduction Zones

    dewatering of subducted lithosphere (string at100-150 km depth) suppresses the melting point

    of mantle rock to produce basaltic magma

    Continental Collision

    Strong thickening of crust can cause once-

    shallow, water-rich crustal rocks to be buried.They can heat up and melt to produce graniticmelts

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    Mantle Plumes

    Oceanic Hotspots

    rising mantle plumes lead to melting that

    produces basaltic magmas and Hawaii-

    type volcanic islands

    Continental Hotspots

    Thick lithosphere leads to greater degreeof chemical variability, broader range oflava types.

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    Hazard 1: Lava Inundation(rare, but it happens)

    Case of Goma, Congo

    a city with a population 500,000, locatednear Rwanda border, on shore of Lake

    Kivu, affected by lava from NyiragongoVolcano

    Jan 17, 2002, 45 people died, 50,000displaced. Eruptions with deaths in 1977,too.

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    African Rift

    Valley

    Continental

    Divergent

    Plate

    BoundaryNyiragongo Volcano

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    Lake

    Kivu

    City of

    Goma

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    Lava from Nyiragongo volcano,

    inundates Goma, Congo

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    Goma airport closed by lava flow

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    Reasons for deaths

    Burns from coming in contact with lava or

    hot rock, or from buildings set afire.

    High concentrations of poison gases that are

    being emitted from the lava.

    Destruction of infrastructure that supplies

    vital services (water, etc)

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    Hazard 2:Mudflow = Lahar

    Mt. Rainier, Washington State

    Lots of water locked up in that

    summit glacier

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    Crate Lake, Oregon

    lots of water in that lake ...

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    If all that ice

    on Mt. Ranier

    suddenlymelted, where

    would the

    water andmud go?

    Tacoma, Wa

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    Nevado del Ruis Volcano

    Note glacier at summit, valley that channels water

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    Part of town that was in river valley

    Was innundated by several meters

    of mud

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    Reason for Deaths

    Being buried alive in thick, gooey mud

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    Hazard 3: Pyroclastic Flow

    = Nuee Ardente

    Hot gasses and dust burp out of the

    volcanos summit and cascade downhill at

    speeds of 50-100 mph.

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    St. Pierre, Martinique

    Town of 29,000 people on the shore of a

    volcanic island in the Carribean

    May 8, 1902: Pyroclastic flow from Mt.

    Pele volcano destroys the entire town,

    leaning only 1 survivor (a guy in jail)

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    Martinique

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    May 8, 1902:Pyroclastic flow

    Destroying the

    town of St. Pierre

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    St. Pierre

    After the

    Pyroclastic flow

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    (Aside) The famous Pelean Spine,

    350 meters high, was a rock spire

    that was pushed up outOf the crater of Mt. Pele in 1902 as

    new lava rose beneath the volcano.

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    Hazard 4: Tsunami

    Explosive volcanism at volcanic island

    caused a tsunami in nearby water

    Local tsunamis, like the one following the

    Krakatau eruption, are the most common.

    But ocean-crossing tsunamis are possible.

    The ca. 1625 BCE eruption of the Ageanisland of Thera is an example.

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    Krakatau

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    Note location of

    volcano: island in

    center of narrow

    straight between

    two populated land

    masses, Java and

    Sumatra

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    August 27, 1883:

    extremely large explosion

    collapse of the volcanic edifice

    30 meter high tsunami hits coast ofJava and Sumatra, killing

    36,000 people

    165 villages totally destroyed

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    Steamship washed

    Inland by 1883

    tsunami

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    Reasons for Deaths

    drowning

    Being crushed by floating debris

    H d 5 A h F ll

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    Hazard 5: Ash Fallsvolcanic ash = fine rock particles

    Ash falls over broad area, like snow

    weight of ash collapses house

    ash makes road impassible

    ash-covered grass poisonous

    to livestock (e.g. Iceland, 1783)larger chucks of rock (=bombs) also fall

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    Luzon, Phillipines

    Near Mt Pinatubo

    800 people killed by housing collapse

    when ash covered their houses

    Plenty of warning, but ash does not initially

    appear all that dangerous. But wait till its

    a meter thick! An it becomes very heavy

    and slick during the rain!

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    Ash Plume from Mt. Pinatubo

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    Ash covered houses near Mt. Pinatubo

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    Hazard 6: Global Cooling

    Aerosols (particularly sulfate) injected high is the atmosphere

    reflect sunlight back to space, resulting in net cooling of the

    Earths surface

    Unseasonably cold temperatures case crop failures

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    1816: The Year without a Summer

    June 9-10, 1816: On the 9th, frost

    was reported as far south as

    Worcester, Massachusetts and on

    the 10th to East Windsor,

    Connecticut.

    July 6, 1816: Temperatures in the

    40s F range were reported in

    Connecticut at both Hartford andNew Haven. Robbins in East

    Windsor noted temperatures

    almost cold enough for a frost.

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    Tambora volcano (Sumbawa,Indonesia)

    Extremely large VEI=6

    eruption in 1815.

    May have been the

    Largest in 10,000 years

    Perhaps 90,000 people

    Died worldwide, from

    starvation

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    People and Volcanoes

    Very local hazardsLava inundation

    pyroclastic flow

    regional hazardsmudflow

    Explosion induced tsunami

    global hazards

    Global coolingChemical pollution by ash

    Island collapse

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    Questions to think about

    Which is the most dangerous volcano inthe world?

    Versuvio, because of its proximity to Naples, Italy

    And because of the very large eruption thatoccurred in 79 CE

    What group of people are most

    endangered by volcanoes Volcanologists I know several of whom have

    died, and nearly all of us have had close calls