• Water for life – The crisis here is about the widespread violation of the basic human right to water. That violation results in nearly 2m avoidable child deaths, huge gender inequalities and losses in wealth creation. Unclean water is trapping millions of the world’s poorest people in cycles of deprivation.

• Water for livelihoods – Chronic water stress poses a huge threat to human development. That threat is visible in the collapse of ecological systems, intensifying competition for water, and cross-border tensions.

Two aspects of the global water crisis

Themes in HDR 2006

• The crisis in water and sanitation• Water for human consumption• The sanitation deficit• Water, vulnerability and risk• Water and agriculture• Trans-boundary waters

Ending the crisis of water and sanitation

‘The human right to waterentitles everyone tosufficient, safe, acceptable,physically accessible andaffordable water forpersonal and domestic use’General Comment 15 on the right to water

The human cost of the crisis

• Some 1.8 million children die each year as a result of diarrhoea—which is 4,900 deaths a day. This is equivalent to the under-five population in London and New York combined.

• Deaths for diarrhoea in 2004 were about six times greater than the average annual deaths in armed conflict for the 1990s.

• 443 million school days each year are lost to water-related illnesses.

• Millions of women spend up to four hours a day collecting water.

• Almost 50 percent of all people in developing countries are suffering at any given time from a health problem caused by water and sanitation deficits.

Above all, this is

a crisis of the

poor

Historically…

• In London, New York and Paris infectious diseases, such as diarrhoea, dysentery and typhoid fever, were rampant.

• Child mortality rates in those cities were as high as they are today in parts of Sub-Saharan Africa.

• Even with rising incomes from the industrial revolution, child mortality and life expectancy barely changed.

• The picture improved only after sweeping reforms in the water and sanitation sector.

A great leap – from water and sanitation reform

in the 19th century great Britain

But today…

• 1.1 billion people lack access to water

• 2.6 billion people lack access to sanitation

• Inequality is a central part of the story.

Implications for human development

• The lack of water and sanitation leads to diminished opportunities to realize people’s capabilities and human potential

MDG 7 Trends

• On current trends, we will miss the MDG of halving the number of people without access to water by 235 million people.

• 800 million people in total will still lack access.

• The sanitation target will be missed by 431 million people, with 2.1 billion in total still without decent sanitation.

MDG 7 Trends

• If we take action and meet the MDG targets, more than 1 million lives could be saved over the next decade

• The economic benefits of meeting the MDG targets would amount to $38 billion, $15 billion of that in sub-Saharan Africa.

• The economic rate of return for each $1 invested in achieving the water and sanitation target is $8.

• Water and sanitation suffer from chronic under-funding. Public spending is typically less than 0.5% of GDP.

• In Ethiopia the military budget is 10 times the water and sanitation budget—in Pakistan, 47 times.

Water and sanitation: the costs of under- financing

• Make water a human right—and mean it.• Draw up national strategies for water and

sanitation.• Increase international aid.• A Global Action Plan.

There are no ready-made blueprints for reform

but four foundations are crucial for success:

Themes in HDR 2006

• Water for human consumption

Waterfor humanconsumption

‘We feel it our duty to say that high-priced water is not in theinterest of public health. Purewater in abundance, at a pricewithin the reach of all, is one ofthe most powerful agencies forpromoting the health of anycommunity’

North Carolina Board of Health, 1898

Deprivation in access to clean water

• Some 1.1 billion people do not have access to a minimal amount of clean water in developing countries.

• 85% of the richest 20% of the population have access to water. Only 25% of the poorest 20% do.

• The perverse reality in much of the developing world is that the poorest people get less water, and they also pay some of the world’s highest prices.

The water divide

The water divide

The water divide

Water for human consumption

• The debate over the relative merits of public and private sector has been a distraction from the inadequate performance of both private water providers to overcome the global water deficit.

• Inequalities based on wealth, and location, play a central role in structuring water markets.

• Water pricing reflects a simple perverse principle: the poorer you are, the more you pay.

• The diversity in public-private partnerships cautions against lumping all private sector involvement under the general heading of “privatization”.

• Regulation is critical to the progressive realization of the human right to water.

Themes in HDR 2006

• The sanitation deficit

The vastdeficitin sanitation

‘Good privies are farhigher signs of civilizationthan grand palaces and fineart galleries’

William Clendenin, Cincinnati Health Officer, 1866

‘Filthy water cannotbe washed’

African Proverb

Some facts…

• 2.6 billion people—half the developing world’s population--lack access to sanitation

• On average, only about 1 person in 3 in South Asia and in Sub-Saharan Africa has access—in Ethiopia, it is 1 in 7.

• Access to sanitation is one of the strongest determinants of child survival: the transition from unimproved to improved sanitation reduces child mortality by a third

The sanitation divide

Diminished opportunities and increased risks

Household survey data were used to analyze the change in the risk profile of households associated with improvements in water and sanitation.

The findings underline the potential for upstream water and sanitation interventions to cut child deaths.

Diminished opportunities and increased risks

Why does sanitation lag so far behind?

• The national policy barrier – sanitation if ever figures prominently on the national political agenda.

• The behavior barrier – households tend to attach higher priority to water than to sanitation.

• The perception barrier – households often view better sanitation as a private amenity with private benefits rather than a public responsibility.

• The poverty barrier – Nearly 1.4 billion people without sanitation live on less than $2 a day.

• The gender barrier – women place higher value on access to private sanitation facilities but have weaker voice.

• The supply barrier – products designed without reference to community needs and priorities and delivered through unaccountable government agencies have low uptake rates.

Climbing the ladder…

Themes in HDR 2006

• Water, risk and vulnerability

Water scarcity,risk andvulnerability

“You ain’t gonna miss your water until your well runs dry”

Bob Marley

“The frog does not drink up the pond in which he lives” American Indian saying

The issue of scarcity…

• Viewed at the global level, there is more than enough water to go around and meet everyone’s needs

So why does scarcity remain a problem?

• Because water is unequally distributed between and within countries

• Because scarcity in many cases has been induced by policy failures

Water stress and water scarcity

Some facts…

• By 2025 more than 3 billion people could be living in water-stress countries – and 14 countries will slip from water stress to water scarcity.

• The share of the population of Sub-Saharan Africa living in water stress countries will rise from 30 to 85%

• In the Arab States average water availability will fall by more than a quarter.

• High population countries such as China and India will be entering the global water-stress league.

Water stress and water scarcity

The core challenge in water governance is to realign

use with demand at levels that maintain the integrity

of the environment

Integrated Water and Resources Management (IWRM) provides an

important vehicle for reform, while five broad elements are needed• Develop a national strategy, including pricing

and allocation policies that constraint demand within the bounds of sustainability.

• Cut perverse subsidies and rethinking water pricing, but poor farmers need to be protected.

• Make polluters pay, create incentives for new technologies as part of effective regulation.

• Also, go beyond the polluter pays to the polluter prevention pays.

• Monitor and regulate ground-water extraction.

Augmenting supply, options and constraints

• Diverting rivers • Desalinization • Virtual water• Recycling wastewater

The challenge of climate change

Global Warming – the predictable emergency

• For a large share of the world’s poor people climate change projections point to less secure livelihoods, greater vulnerability to hunger and poverty, worsening inequalities and causing more environmental degradation.

• Water insecurity linked to climate change threatens to increase malnutrition by 75-120 million people by 2080.

• Staple food production in many Sub-Saharan African countries would fall by more than 25% by 2080.

• Mitigation through incentives to clean technology and financing technological transfer is an imperative.

• The international response has been weak on adaptation.

• Very few countries have included in their PRSPs or IWRM documents provisions to face up to the challenges caused by climate change.

Global warming – the predictable emergency

Watercompetitionand humandevelopmentin agriculture

‘Among the many things I learnt as apresident, was the centrality of water inthe social, political and economic affairsof the country, the continent and the world’Nelson Mandela, WSSD, 2002

‘Water flows uphilltowards money’Anonymous, American West

Water and human development:

the livelihoods link

• Competition, rights and the scramble for water

• Better governance for irrigation systems• Greater productivity for the poor

Managing water competition in agriculture

• Despite rapid urbanization, most of the world’s poor still live in rural areas. Small farmers and agricultural laborers account for the bulk of global malnutrition.

• As the biggest user of water in most countries, irrigated agriculture is coming under acute pressure.

• Thus, the role of these systems in increasing productivity whilst feeding a growing population presents a major human development challenge.

Managing water competition in agriculture

ManagingTransboundaryWaters forHumandevelopment

‘Anyone who can solve the problems of water will be worthy of two Nobel prizes–one for peace and one for science’John F Kennedy

‘Whisky is for drinking,water is for fighting over’Mark Twain 1884

Transboundary waters

• Water is a source of human interdependence—it is a shared resource serving multiple constituencies within and between countries.

• Water has the potential to fuel wider conflicts but also to act as a bridge for cooperation.

• Two challenges: replacing unilateral action with multilateral cooperation; and putting human development at the centre of trans boundary cooperation.

Why do transboundary waters matter for human development?

• There are 263 international basins.• More than 40% of the world’s population live

within transboundary basins.• The number of countries in shared basins is 145.• Sub Saharan Africa is the region that better

demonstrates the realities of hydrological interdependence.

• Azerbaijan, Croatia, Latvia, Slovakia, Ukraine and Uzbekistan receive between 50% to 75% of their water from outside their borders.

• Hungary, Moldova, Montenegro, Serbia and Turkmenistan receive more than 75%.

• Water for livelihoods.

Cooperation over water can take different forms

Cooperation prevails

• Over the past 50 years there has been 37 cases of reported violence among countries because of water. All but 7 of those cases took place in the Middle East.

• Over the same period more than 200 treaties were negotiated.

The costs of non-cooperation

• Environmental disasters– Externalities and free riders– Lake Chad– Aral Sea

• Threats to livelihoods– Dependence on agriculture and

irrigation – Tigris-Euphrates, Central Asia

– Fisheries – Mekong, Lake Victoria

The Aral Sea: the cost of unsustainable practices

The Aral Sea: the cost of unsustainable practices

• In 1960 the Aral Sea was the size of Belgium, sustaining a vibrant local economy. Today, it is a virtually lifeless hypersaline lake a quarter of its previous size.

• The reason: an earlier era of Soviet state planning determined that the great rivers of Central Asia—the Syr Darya and the Amu Darya—should be put to the service of creating a vast irrigated cotton belt.

• This approach to water management sealed the fate of an entire ecological system, with devastating consequences for human well-being.

• Some efforts are currently being deployed to rehabilitate the sea. It has had a noticeable positive effect on the northern part.

HDR 2006 will be launched 9 November 2006

http://hdr.undp.org© UNDP 2006. Do not cite without permission.