water, sustainability, and climate change: the use and ... · water, sustainability, and climate...
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Water, Sustainability, and
Climate Change: The use and
misuse of water resourcesProfessor Michael Sukop, PhD, PG, CHg
Department of Earth and Environment
Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or
recommendations expressed in this material are
those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect
the views of the National Science Foundation.
Panel-workshop , Monday, May 2nd | 8:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.
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Chri
sto
ph
er M
cV
oy,
Ja
ya
nth
a O
be
yse
ke
ra, a
nd
Win
ifre
d S
aid
,
So
uth
Flo
rid
a W
ate
r M
an
ag
em
en
t D
istr
ict
National R
esearc
h C
ouncil.P
rogre
ss T
ow
ard
Resto
ring the E
verg
lades: T
he F
irst B
iennia
l R
evie
w, 2006
. W
ashin
gto
n, D
C: T
he N
ational A
cadem
ies P
ress, 2007.
doi:10.1
7226/1
1754.
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Historic, Current, and Planned Flows
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Everglades Agricultural Area Subsidence
Aich, S. and TW Dreschel, 2011, Evaluating Everglades peat carbon
loss using geospatial techniques, Florida Scientist 74 (1), 63
3-5 ft drop in WCAs
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February 1, 2016.
Ten billion gallons of pollution-laden water was
pumped into Lake Okeechobee during four
days of emergency measures to avert South
Florida flooding, officials disclosed Monday.
Amid an already rainier-than-usual winter,
heavy rains last week triggered the
controversial "back pumping" of water from
South Florida's vast farming region, the
Everglades Agricultural Area, north into the
lake.
That helped protect lakeside towns as well as
sugar cane fields and vegetable farms from
flooding, but at the expense of allowing
fertilizers and other pollutants that wash off the
land to end up in the lake.
And that back pumping came at the same time
officials were starting to discharge water from
the swollen lake out to sea for flood control,
despite the potential environmental harm to
coastal fishing grounds. …
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Lake Okeechobee Releases to St Lucie
Canal
Polluted fresh water from releases from Lake Okeechobee, near shore reefs off of Stuart and
Jupiter Island. http://earthjustice.org/blog/2016-february/south-florida-s-tourist-season-from-
hell# JACQUI THURLOW-LIPPISCH/JACQUITHURLOWLIPPISCH.COM
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Stormwater Treatment Areas
http://my.sfwmd.gov/portal/page/portal/xrepository/sfwmd_repository_gif/map_stas.gif
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http://my.sfwmd.gov/portal/page/portal/xweb%20protecting%20and%20restoring/water%2
0quality%20stormwater%20treatment%20areas
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WCA to ENP
February 15, 2016
WCA 1 foot high (11.41
vs. 10.21 ft). Need pre-
wet season storage for
flood protection
Raise L-29 from 7.5 to
8.5 ft)
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Everglades
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Simard et al. 2006
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Meanwhile, back in the city…
Pumping
to Tide
Temporary
Storage
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Southeast Florida Regional Climate
Change Compact Unified SLR Projections
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Downscaling Precipitation for Southern Florida
Projected Change in RainfallDownscaled precipitation – CMIP5 ensemble
Mann: USGS-FAU Precipitation Downscaling Technical Meeting, June 22 - 23, 2015
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Downscaling Precipitation for Southern Florida
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SFWMD Downscaling: Gage locations
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Scenario generation
(Public
spending)
High
Medium
LowHig
h
Lo
wProactive
Business as
usual
Hig
h
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Scenario generation
2015 2050
Land use change
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Hydro-economic optimization
Objectives:
• Develop regional scale linked-node network model
• Optimize ecological and economic value of water allocations
• Quantify regional-level trade-offs
• Examine long term “robustness”
of optimized solutions under
different scenarios
Watkins, D., Kirby, K., and Punnett, R. (2004). ”Water for the
Everglades: Application of the South Florida Systems Analysis
Model.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 130(5), 359–366. doi:
10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2004)130:5(359)
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Hydro-economic optimization
“Trade-off’ or “Penalty” functions
at each node
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Watkins, D., Kirby, K., and Punnett, R. (2004). ”Water for the Everglades: Application of the South Florida Systems
Analysis Model.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 130(5), 359–366. doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2004)130:5(359)
Hydro-economic optimization
Everglades
Urban
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Decision Acceleration
http://nodejs-
hazsim.rhcloud.com/#!/sim/C5k0JZOZSf?re
directURL=http:%2F%2Fwww.cesp.miami.e
du%2F