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Wazir Textile Index (Textile Sector Performance Update)
September 2017
Quarterly Report : Q1 FY18
2
Wazir Textile Index – Q1 FY18
Quarterly Financial Performance – Q1 FY18
Market Update
• Key Economic Indicators
• Export – Import Trend
• Raw Material Price Trend
Annexure: Wazir Textile Index – Explanation
Contents
Wazir Textile Index (WTI) – Q1 FY18
4
List of companies included as part of financial analysis
Top listed textile companies in terms of sales turnover in FY17 have been included for financial analysis
Note: Companies that have shown significant negative deviation in numbers or those which have not yet reported the financials have not been included in the overall analysis
Source: Moneycontrol
S.No Company NameAnnual Sales* - FY17
(Rs Cr)
1 Arvind 5,956
2 Vardhman 5,728
3 Welspun India 5,639
4 Trident 4,687
5 JBF Industries 3,913
6 SRF 3,883
7 RSWM 2,987
8 Raymond 2,826
9 Indo Rama Synthetics (India) 2,468
10 Sutlej Industries 2,250
* Sales constitutes total operating income
5
100 100 100 111.2 118.9
106.2 122.2 130.5
112.9
-
RM Cost Employee Cost Other Cost
WTI Cost
Base year (Q1 FY16) Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18
Wazir Textile Index (WTI) – Q1 FY18
• In Q1 FY18, overall sales increased by 3% compared to Q1 FY17, while EBITDA decreased significantly by 25%.
• EBITDA decreased due to high Impact of employee cost and RM cost increase.
100
109.7113.0
Base year (Q1 FY16) Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18
100 103.9
77.7
Base year (Q1 FY16) Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18
WTI Sales WTI EBITDA
Quarterly Financial Performance – Q1 FY18
7
Overall revenue has increased while EBITDA margin has declined in Q1 FY18
• Sutlej Industries has shown the highest sales growth rate of 18% over the last years Q1, while Indo Rama Synthetics witnessed the highest decline, falling 8% over the same period.
• Except Indo Rama Synthetics, all other top companies have shown decline in their EBITDA margins in Q1 FY18.
15%22%
26%21%
7%
25%
14%
1.3% 0.6%
14%11% 14%18% 20%
5%
17%
6%0.2%
3.3%11%
Arvind Vardhman WelspunIndia
Trident JBF Industries SRF RSWM Raymond Indo RamaSynthetics
SutlejIndustries
Quarterly EBITDA Margin Trend – Q1 FY18
Q1-FY17 Q1-FY18
1,466 1,426 1,3861,166 941 985
724540
647 553
1,6131,480 1,310
1,168 968 1,037706 595 593 652
Arvind Vardhman WelspunIndia
Trident JBF Industries SRF RSWM Raymond Indo RamaSynthetics
SutlejIndustries
Quarterly Sales* Trend – Q1 FY18 (Rs Cr.)
10% 0.2%-5%4% 3% 5% -2% 10% -8% 18%
Source: Moneycontrol
Growth %
* Sales constitutes total operating income
8
41% 47% 44% 47%
79%
47% 54%42%
79%55%44% 55% 50% 47%
80%54% 57%
44%
77%58%
Arvind Vardhman WelspunIndia
Trident JBFIndustries
SRF RSWM Raymond Indo RamaSynthetics
SutlejIndustries
Raw Material Cost– % of sales
Quarterly analysis – Major expenses as % of sales
13%
7% 8%12%
2%
8%12%
17%
4%
11%13%8% 9%
13%
2%
9%13%
17%
4%
11%
Arvind Vardhman WelspunIndia
Trident JBFIndustries
SRF RSWM Raymond Indo RamaSynthetics
SutlejIndustries
Employee Cost– % of sales
31% 23% 22% 21%11%
20% 20%40%
16% 19%32%
23% 22% 20% 13% 20% 24%39%
16% 20%
Arvind Vardhman WelspunIndia
Trident JBFIndustries
SRF RSWM Raymond Indo RamaSynthetics
SutlejIndustries
Other Costs – % of sales
Q1-FY17 Q1-FY18
Source: Moneycontrol
9
Consolidated analysis for the selected top players
9,833
10,122
Q1-FY17 Q1-FY18
Consolidated Sales – Rs. CrOn consolidated level, Sales have
increased by 3% in Q1 FY18 as compared to Q1 FY17
Average RM cost have increased along with increase
in prices compared to previous quarter
Consolidated EBITDA margin decreased by 4.6 percentage points for
the selected top companies
Average employee cost have increased because of increase in labour wages.
Other expenses also increased in Q1 FY18
16.6%
12.0%
Q1-FY17 Q1-FY18
Average EBITDA %
51.8%
54.9%
Q1-FY17 Q1-FY18
Average RM Cost - % of Sales
9.2%
9.8%
Q1-FY17 Q1-FY18
Average Employee Cost -% of Sales
22.4%
23.2%
Q1-FY17 Q1-FY18
Average Other Expenses -% of Sales
Source: Moneycontrol
3%
Market Update
11
Key Economic Indicators
Average IIP for textiles has declined by 2% while IIP for apparel has declined
by 3% in Q1 FY18 compared to Q1 FY17
Source: RBI, Economic Advisor Govt. of India
100105110115
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Wholesale price index (WPI*)
Textiles
Average WPI for textiles has shown an increase of
3.5% in Q1 FY18 compared to Q1 FY17
India’s real GDP has grown by 5.7% in Q1 FY18
compared to Q1 FY17
29.40 31.10
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18
India’s GDP (at constant prices*)
5.7 % Growth
100
150
200
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Index of Industrial Production (IIP*)
Textiles Apparel
Rs. Lakh Cr.
* Base Year 2011-12
12
20%
15%
6%
6%5%
48%
USA
UAE
UK
Bangladesh
Germany
Others
21%
12%
7%6%
5%
49%
India’s T&A* exports have increased by 8% in Q1 FY18
Source- DGCI&S
India’s Textile and Apparel Exports (In US$ mn.)
* T&A- Textile & Apparel
Categories Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18 % Change
Apparel 4,391 4,906 12%
Fabric 1,145 1,148 0%
Fibre 426 632 48%
Filament 268 270 1%
Home Textiles 1,247 1,280 3%
Yarn 986 879 -11%
Others 385 438 14%
Grand Total 8,848 9,553 8%
India’s T&A Top Export Markets (% value share)
Q1 FY18
Q1 FY17
• Export of all the categories except yarn has grown in Q1 FY18 as compared to Q1 FY17.• Highest growth was observed in exports of fibre growing at a rate of 48%. • Exports of yarn fell significantly by 11% • USA and UAE are the two largest export markets with a cumulative share of ~35%. Share of UAE has
increased slightly
13
India’s T&A imports have increased by 23% in Q1 FY18
Source- DGCI&S
India’s Textile & Apparel Imports (In US$ mn.)
• Imports growth of 23% in Q1 FY18 was primarily attributed to a significant increase in fibre imports by 99% over Q1 FY17. Imports of filament yarn and fabric has also increased.
• However, imports of other major categories yarn, home textiles & apparel declined significantly.
• China continues to be the largest import partner for India. Import share of USA has increased significantly from 7% to 13% in Q1 FY18 while import share of Bangladesh declined from 10% to 4% in Q1 FY18.
Categories Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18 % Change
Apparel 144 139 -3%
Fabric 498 603 21%
Fibre 294 584 99%
Filament 119 156 31%
Home Textiles 68 59 -13%
Yarn 171 101 -41%
Others 150 139 -7%
Grand Total 1,444 1,780 23%
India’s T&A Top Import Markets (% value share)
42%
13%4%
4%3%
34%
China & HK
USA
Bangladesh
Australia
Vietnam
Others
42%
7%10%4%
2%
35%
Q1 FY18
Q1 FY17
14
25.21
8.87
2.73 1.82 1.34
25.17
8.95
2.83 1.91 1.28
World China Vietnam India Bangladesh
Q1 FY17 Q1 FY18
3.70%
28.25
7.796.01
4.07 4.01
28.03
8.136.30
4.14 4.07
World China Germany Italy Bangladesh
T&A imports of US and EU-28 has declined in Q1 FY18
-0.20%
0.90%
-0.8%
4.9%
Source- OTEXA, EUROSTAT * EU-28 data excludes intra EU trade
-4.50%4.80%
4.4%
1.7% 1.4%
Overall Imports and Top import Countries of EU-28* in Q1 FY18 (US$ Bn)
Overall Imports and Top import Countries of USA in Q1 FY18 (US$ Bn)
15
Raw material prices remained largely stable in Q1 FY18 even though on an average they are higher than Q1 FY17
150160170180190200210220230240
Yarn Prices Rs./Kg
Cotton Yarn PV Yarn PC Yarn
Average price change in Q1 FY18 as compared to Q1 FY17
• 10% increase in cotton yarn• 11% increase in PV yarn• 9% decrease in PC yarn
Source: Ministry of Textiles
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Fibre Prices Rs./Kg
Raw Cotton VSF PSF
Average price change in Q1 FY18 as compared to Q1 FY17
• 15% increase in raw cotton • 10% increase in VSF• 3% increase in PSF
Annexure :Wazir Textile Index (WTI) – Explanation
17
Wazir Textile Index has been developed for assessing the overall financial performance of the textile sector on a continuous basis.
This index takes the collective performance of top ten textile companies (by sales) of 2015-16 as the base/benchmark which is represented by the base Index number 100.
Base value of 100 is assigned separately to each quarter performance and full year performance in 2015-16, and correspondingly financial performance of the textile industry will be benchmarked to this base number to assess quarterly (Q1), half yearly (H1), nine monthly (9M) and yearly performance (FY) for future years against the set benchmark.
Overall textile index includes the following three components:
• WTI Sales : Consolidated sales index of top ten companies
• WTI EBITDA : Consolidated EBITDA index
• WTI Cost : Consolidated index for cost of Raw material, employee & others
Wazir Textile Index (WTI): Measuring financial performance of Indian textile sector
18
EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest Tax Depreciation & Amortization
EU – European Union
FY – Financial Year
Q1 FY 18 – April 2017 to June 2017
Q1 FY 17 – April 2016 to June 2016
GDP – Gross Domestic Product
HK – Hong Kong
PV – Polyester Viscose
PC – Polyester Cotton
PSF – Polyester Staple Fibre
RM – Raw Material
T&A – Textile & Apparel
US – United States of America
UK – United Kingdom
VSF – Viscose Staple Fibre
WTI – Wazir Textile Index
YOY – Year on Year
Glossary
19
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