webcast – conference call may 12 , 2011€¦ · first quarter 2011 results may 2011 webcast –...

24
First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 th , 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Upload: others

Post on 10-Jul-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

First Quarter 2011 Results

May 2011

WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALLMay 12th, 2011

Mr. Miguel MartínezCOO

Mr. Miguel MartínezCOO

Page 2: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Disclaimer

ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED

© REPSOL YPF, S.A. 2011

Repsol YPF, S.A. is the exclusive owner of this document. No part of this document may be reproduced (including photocopying), stored, duplicated, copied, distributed or introduced into a retrieval system of any nature or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of Repsol YPF, S.A.

This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, in accordance with the provisions of the Spanish Securities Market Law (Law 24/1988, of July 28, as amended and restated) and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer of purchase, sale or exchange, nor a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction. In particular, This document does not constitute an offer to purchase, subscribe, sale or exchange of RepsolYPF's or YPF Sociedad Anonima's respective ordinary shares or ADSs in the United States or otherwise. Repsol YPF's and YPF Sociedad Anonima's respective ordinary shares and ADSs may not be sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

This document contains statements that Repsol YPF believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol YPF and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol YPF’s financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words “expects”, “anticipates”, “forecasts”, “believes”, estimates”, “notices” and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees offuture performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol YPF’scontrol or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors described in the filings made by Repsol YPF and its affiliates with the Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores in Spain, the Comisión Nacional de Valores in Argentina, the Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol YPF and/or its affiliates are listed.

Repsol YPF does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.

The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the Auditors of Repsol YPF.

1

Page 3: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Agenda

Q1 2011 Outlook

Relevant Issues

Operational Highlights

Q1 2011 Results

Financial Overview

2

Page 4: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Q1 2011 Outlook

Relevant Issues

Operational Highlights

Q1 2011 Results

Financial Overview

Agenda

3

Page 5: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

13971260

0

400

800

1200

1Q10 1Q11

+11%

Q1 2011 Outlook

654508

0

200

400

600

1Q10 1Q11

Million €

+29%

Higher Oil and Gas Prices

Strong Performance in LNG Division

Recovery of Chemical Business

Lower Production

CCS Adjusted Net Income

Million €

CCS Adjusted Operating Income

4

Page 6: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Q1 2011 Outlook

Relevant Issues

Operational Highlights

Q1 2011 Results

Financial Overview

Agenda

5

Page 7: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

350 324

0

200

400

1Q10 1Q11

432 490

0

200

400

600

1Q10 1Q11

Relevant IssuesProduction

-7%

Main Factors:

Unrest in Libya

Moratorium in GoM

Maintenance turnarounds in T&T

Peru LNG on stream

Ecuador new contracts

Million €

13%

Production

Adjusted Operating IncomeUpstream

40

60

80

100

120

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

International Oil Prices$ /bbl

kboed

Year 2011

Year 2010

6

Page 8: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Relevant IssuesProjects on Time and on Budget

Liquids Gas LNG

BuckskinShenzi G-104 & Shenzi -8: increasethe potential of thecurrent fields and theNorth flank

Carioca,Abaré, AbaréWest & Iguazú in BM -S-9

Panoramix : newdiscovery in BM-S-48

Tangier -Larache , firstdiscovery success in Moroccan offshore

US GoM

Brazil

Morocco

2012 2013 2014 2015 beyond 2008Startup 2009 2010 2011 ...

Albacora Leste pre-salt

Brasil Capital Increase

FID (2010)Production:250 kboe/d

Kinteroni (Peru)

FID (2010)Production:

11 Mm3/d

FID: 2009Production:

5 Mm3/dFID Pending (2012)

Production:400 kboe/d

FID Pending (2011)

Production:25 kboe/d

New Brunswick

Maine

VT

Wright

Waddington

Pittsburg

Cumberland

Dracut

RI

NH

MA

CT

Shelton

Beverly

Brookfield

Philipsburg

Leidy

Boston(Everett)

New York

Margarita–Hua-caya (Bolivia) Guará (Brazil) Piracucá (Brazil)

Shenzi(US GoM)

FID: 2006Production:121 kboe/d

I/R (Libya)

FID: 2007Production:75 kboe/d

Canaport

Start-up: 3Q 2009Capacity:10 Bcma

Peru LNG

Start-up: 2Q 2010Capacity:6 Bcma

FID FID (2009)

Production:5.6 kboe/d

Lubina-Montanazo

(Spain)

FID Pending (2011)

Production:8 Mm3/d in 2014

Cardon IV(Venezuela)

Carabobo(Venezuela)

Reggane(Algeria)

FID: 2009Pending on

Alnaft approvalProduction:

8 Mm3/dOn stream: 4Q11

Bilbao / Cartagena Refineries

(Spain)

Another year of value creation

Start up of key Downstream

projects

Next wave of profitable growth*

RRR 65% 94% 131%Reserves (Mboe) 1067 1060 1099Production (kboe/d) 333 333 344Add. Resources 362 599 715(Mboe/Year)

>110%

3-4% CAGR

+275 Mboe average per year(**)

(**) Considering 40% dilution in Brazil assets (*) All production data refers to plateau production

Sale of 4,2% staketo institutional

investorsCrude RRR 72% 70% 100%

Sale of 15% staketo Petersen Group Portfolio: Divestment

Operations: Improvement of recovery factor anddevelopment of unconventional resources

Venus B -1, firstoffshore discovery in an unexplored area

Sierra Leone & West Africa

7

Page 9: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Relevant IssuesProjects on Time and on Budget

Liquids Gas LNG

BuckskinShenzi G-104 & Shenzi -8: increasethe potential of thecurrent fields and theNorth flank

Carioca,Abaré, AbaréWest & Iguazú in BM -S-9

Panoramix : newdiscovery in BM-S-48

Tangier -Larache , firstdiscovery success in Moroccan offshore

US GoM

Brazil

Morocco

2012 2013 2014 2015 beyond 2008Startup 2009 2010 2011 ...

Albacora Leste pre-salt

Brasil Capital Increase

FID (2010)Production:250 kboe/d

Kinteroni (Peru)

FID (2010)Production:

11 Mm3/d

FID: 2009Production:

5 Mm3/dFID Pending (2012)

Production:400 kboe/d

FID Pending (2011)

Production:25 kboe/d

New Brunswick

Maine

VT

Wright

Waddington

Pittsburg

Cumberland

Dracut

RI

NH

MA

CT

Shelton

Beverly

Brookfield

Philipsburg

Leidy

Boston(Everett)

New York

Margarita–Hua-caya (Bolivia) Guará (Brazil) Piracucá (Brazil)

Shenzi(US GoM)

FID: 2006Production:121 kboe/d

I/R (Libya)

FID: 2007Production:75 kboe/d

Canaport

Start-up: 3Q 2009Capacity:10 Bcma

Peru LNG

Start-up: 2Q 2010Capacity:6 Bcma

FID FID (2009)

Production:5.6 kboe/d

Lubina-Montanazo

(Spain)

FID Pending (2011)

Production:8 Mm3/d in 2014

Cardon IV(Venezuela)

Carabobo(Venezuela)

Reggane(Algeria)

FID: 2009Pending on

Alnaft approvalProduction:

8 Mm3/dOn stream: 4Q11

Bilbao / Cartagena Refineries

(Spain)

Another year of value creation

Start up of key Downstream

projects

Next wave of profitable growth*

RRR 65% 94% 131%Reserves (Mboe) 1067 1060 1099Production (kboe/d) 333 333 344Add. Resources 362 599 715(Mboe/Year)

>110%

3-4% CAGR

+275 Mboe average per year(**)

(**) Considering 40% dilution in Brazil assets (*) All production data refers to plateau production

Sale of 4,2% staketo institutional

investorsCrude RRR 72% 70% 100%

Sale of 15% staketo Petersen Group Portfolio: Divestment

Operations: Improvement of recovery factor anddevelopment of unconventional resources

Venus B -1, firstoffshore discovery in an unexplored area

Sierra Leone & West Africa

8

Page 10: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

3,3 3,87,7

10,0

833,0

55

REPSOL´s stakeas of December

1st

December sales(Institutionalinvestors)

March sales(Institutionalinvestors)

IPO PETERSEN CallOption

ArgentineanRetail

Final stake

Relevant IssuesPartial Sale of Stake in YPF

% of YPF shares

Next step …

9

Page 11: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Q1 2011 Outlook

Relevant Issues

Operational Highlights

Q1 2011 Results

Financial Overview

Agenda

10

Page 12: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Operational Highlights as of Mid May

5 exploratory wells; 3 in Brazil, 1 in Bolivia and 1 in US

Appraisal wells: Peru, Venezuela, Brazil and GoM

New exploratory acreage: farm-in into 164 blocks in Alaska

North America: Improvement of marketing conditions

Peru LNG: Agreement with Kogas

Argentina: 9 shipments awarded by ENARSA

Integrated margin ranking solid among peers

Programmed maintenance turnover at the Tarragona refinery

Recovery of margins and volumes in the Chemical business

Marketing business continues to show solid figures

Production affected by strikes Progress on non-conventional resources (Tight gas, Shale oil and gas)Extension of the concessions in Mendoza province

Upstream

Downstream

LNG

11

Page 13: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Q1 2011 Outlook

Relevant Issues

Operational Highlights

Q1 2011 Results

Financial Overview

Agenda

12

Page 14: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Q1 2011 Results

13971260

0

400

800

1200

1Q10 1Q11

+11%Million €

CCS Adjusted Operating Income

13

Page 15: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

432

153

(171)

490

25

51

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1Q10 Price effect net oftaxes

Volume Exploration Costs Depreciation &Others

1Q11

Q1 2011 Results Upstream

Million €Adjusted Operating Income

14

Page 16: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

186

(4)

38

216

11

(15)

0

100

200

300

1Q10 RefiningActivity

Marketing Chemical Others 1Q11

Q1 2011 ResultsDownstream

Million € CCS Adjusted Operating Income

15

Page 17: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

420

151

104

15

392

(81)

(122)

(95)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1Q10 Price increasesin domestic

markets

Export prices &international pricerelated products

net of taxes

Volume sales &Purchases

Gas Costs Others 1Q11

Million € Adjusted Operating Income

Q1 2011 Results YPF

16

Page 18: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

249256

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1Q10 1Q11

-2.7%

Million € Adjusted Operating Income

Q1 2011 Results Gas Natural Fenosa

17

Page 19: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Q1 2011 Outlook

Relevant Issues

Operational Highlights

Q1 2011 Results

Financial Overview

Agenda

18

Page 20: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

21111707

0

500

1000

1500

2000

1Q10 1Q11

Million €

Financial Overview EBITDA ex Gas Natural

+24%

19

Page 21: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Data Ex Gas NaturalNet Debt (ex Preferred shares) = Gross Debt – Financial Investments – Cash & Equivalents

Billion €

Financial OverviewLiquidity Position

4,82,2

9,9

6,5

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

10,0

1Q10 1Q11Net Debt Liquidity

20

Page 22: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

Financial OverviewCredit metrics

Million Euro

NET DEBT

NET DEBT / CAPITAL EMPLOYED (%)

CAPITAL EMPLOYED

EBITDA

EBITDA / NET DEBT

EBITDA / NET INTEREST + DIVIDENDS PREFERRED

NET INTEREST

NET INTEREST + DIVIDENDS PREFERRED SHARES

EBITDA / NET INTEREST

15.9%

4,843

30,378

1,998

1.7

21.7

62

92

32.2

6.9%

2,180

31,695

2,111

3.9

28.4

49

31 Mar 11(Ex Gas Nat.)

74

43.3

31 Mar 10(Ex Gas Nat.)

21

Page 23: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

2011 is a transition year

Projects 2012, 2013 on time and budget

Long term targets valid

Conclusions

22

Page 24: WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12 , 2011€¦ · First Quarter 2011 Results May 2011 WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL May 12th, 2011 Mr. Miguel Martínez COO Mr. Miguel Martínez COO

First Quarter 2011 Results

May 2011

WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALLMay 12th, 2011

Mr. Miguel MartínezCOO

Mr. Miguel MartínezCOO