webinar: regulating the investment in projects of common interest: any role for the eu?

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www.orence-school.eu Florence School of Regulation Regula’ng the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU? Leonardo Meeus Part’me Professor, Florence School of Regula’on Associate Professor, Vlerick Business School 15/10/2014, Webinar

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Page 1: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

www.florence-school.eu

FlorenceSchoolof Regulation

Regula'ng  the  investment  in  Projects  of  Common  Interest:  any  role  for  the  EU?  

Leonardo  Meeus  Part-­‐'me  Professor,  Florence  School  of  Regula'on  Associate  Professor,  Vlerick  Business  School    

15/10/2014,  Webinar  

Page 2: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

www.#lorence-­‐school.eu  

Projects  of  Common  Interest  

TYNDP   PCIs  

Page 3: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

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Progress  monitoring  

Page 4: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

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Poll:  What  is  the  main  reason  for  the  delay?  

•  A:  Permi*ng  related  problems  •  B:  TSO  incen:ves  

Page 5: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

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Poll:  Response  A  

Page 6: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

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Poll:  Response  B  

TSO Rate of Return

TSO

Ris

k

Page 7: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

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TEN-­‐E  Regula'on,  Ar'cle  13  Incen'ves  

•  1.  Where  a  project  promoter   incurs  higher  risks   for   the  development,  construc4on,  opera4on  or  maintenance  of  a  project  of  common  interest  …,   Member   States   and   na3onal   regulatory   authori3es   shall   ensure  that  appropriate  incen3ves  are  granted…  

•  6.  By  31  March  2014,  each  na4onal  regulatory  authority  shall  publish  its  methodology  and  the  criteria  used  to  evaluate  investments  in  electricity  and  gas  infrastructure  projects  and  the  higher  risks  incurred  by  them.    

•  7.  …  the  Commission  may  issue  guidelines  regarding  the  incen4ves  laid  down  in  this  Ar4cle.    

Page 8: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

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Italy,  2004  

•  Lack of strategically important investment, 2003 blackout Context  

•  Eligible projects: interconnection and congestion reducing domestic lines

•  Incentives: 12 years (risk) and +2% WACC premium (return)

Solu'on  

•  8 billion invested since 2008 •  28 ongoing strategic projects

Experience  

Page 9: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

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USA,  2006  

•  Lack of strategically important investment, 2003 blackout

•  Eligible projects: Interstate investment improving regional reliability and reducing regional congestion

•  Case-by-case assessment by FERC with possibility to reduce risk and increase return, e.g. Duquesne Light (#3)

•  Over 85 cases representing 60 billion in potential investment

Context  

Solu'on  

Experience  

Page 10: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

www.#lorence-­‐school.eu  

Poll:  How  should  EU  guidelines  deal  with  PCIs?  

•  A:  case-­‐by-­‐case  assessments  and  investment  incen:ves  

•  B:  no  guidelines  at  all  

Page 11: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

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Poll:  Debriefing  

Argument for case-by-case: same return for all investments implies overpaying for low risk projects and underpaying for high risk projects

Arguments against case-by-case •  Benefit can be limited for some countries: depends on how

heterogeneous projects are in terms of risk •  Costs can be high for some countries: requires new skills and resources

for regulatory authorities and companies

Response  A  

Response  B  

Page 12: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

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Recommenda'ons  (EU  Guidelines)  

•  Benchmark national investment frameworks •  Spread good coordination practices, e.g. UK-Belgium experience with a

joint incentive package for the NEMO

•  ACER could be given the competence to assist NRAs on a voluntary basis withy case-by-case assessments

•  ENTSO-E could do the same for skills-bounded TSOs

Ensuring  an  adequate  frame  for  all  

For  countries  that  want  case-­‐by-­‐case    

Page 13: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

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FSR  research  on  this  topic  Jan 2013 CBA electricity Jan 2014 CBA gas Jan 2014 CBCA Sep 2014 TSO incentives

     

Research agenda •  2014: Update CBA – CBCA power & gas

•  2015: 1st evaluation of 1st infra package

Page 14: Webinar: Regulating the investment in Projects of Common Interest: any role for the EU?

www.florence-school.eu

FlorenceSchoolof Regulation

Thanks  for  your  a_en'on!  [email protected]  [email protected]