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LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience (Supported by the National Science Foundation) Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU [email protected] www.fweil.com

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Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 4/9/12 - Doug Ahler's Class

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Page 1: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

(Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU

[email protected] www.fweil.com

Page 2: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

Data Basis:

7,000 interviews in main Household Survey over 10,000 total interviews, all surveys

ca. 100 interviews with Neighborhood Association Leaders Ethnographic research with over 200 groups

over 100 Filmed interviews, with ca. forty more planned

Page 3: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

Maps of Flooding & Damage

Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU

[email protected] www.fweil.com

Page 4: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class
Page 5: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Mapped from U.S. Geological Survey Data

Page 6: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Mapped from City of New Orleans Data

Page 7: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Source: LSU Disaster Recovery Survey

Page 8: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

(Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Data Collection Challenges

Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU

[email protected] www.fweil.com

Page 9: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

We have Partnered with lots of Organizations in Conducting Surveys (some listed)

7th Ward Neighborhood Center DeSaix Area Neighborhood Association LouisianaRebuilds.info RALLY Foundation

Acorn, Baton Rouge Desire Area Residents Council

Lower 9th Ward NBH Empowerment

Network Assn Rand

Acorn, New Orleans Episcopal Diocese of Louisiana Lutheran Disaster Response Red Cross, New Orleans

American Red Cross Faith Temple Church of God The Holy Ghost

Mary Queen of Vietnam Catholic Church &

CDC Red Cross, St. Bernard Parish

Backbeat Foundation, Inc Family Road of GBR Mater Dolorosa Church Renaissance Village Council

Bard College FEMA McKendall Estates Homeowners Assoc. Roots of Music

Bayou Interfaith Shared Community

Organizing First Baptist Church of Houma

Miracle Faith Healing and Deliverance

Temple Save the Children USA

Beacon of Hope Resource Center Freret Neighborhood Center Mount Nebo Bible Baptist Church Second Gretaer Mount Sinai MBC

Broadmoor Development Corporation Gentilly Civic Improvement Association Mt. Ararat Missionary Baptist Church Shir Chadash Synagogue

Broadmoor Improvement Association Gert Town Enterprise Econ Redevelopment Neighborhoods Partnership Network Spring Lake Neighborhood Association

Campus-Community Partnerships, Tulane Gert Town Revival Intiative Neighbors United Association St. Dominic Catholic Church

Capital Area Human Services District GNOCDC - GNO Community Data Center New Orleans Bible Fellowship B.C. St. Gabriel the Archangel in New Orleans

Catholic Archdiocese of New Orleans GNO Fair Housing Action Center Housing

N.O. Social Aid and Pleasure Club Task

Force St. Louis King of France Catholic Church

Catholic Charities Hands On Baton Rouge New Orleans Times-Picayune St. Maria Goretti Catholic Church

Catholic Communtiy Services Hands On New Orleans New Orleans United Way St. Paul AME Church

Central Carrollton Association Harmony Outreach Services NOLA YURP Initiative St. Peter Claver Catholic Church

Central City Partnership Hollygrove Neighbors NOLACPP, Citizen Participation Project Sugar Hill FEMA Trailer Park

Central City Renaissance Alliance Holy Cross Neighborhood Association Nonprofit Central Sweet Home New Orleans

Chabad Lubavitch of Louisiana - Metairie Institute of Southern Jewish Life Northshore Jewish Congregation Temple Sinai

Chabad Lubavitch of Louisiana - Uptown Jeremiah Group Operation Brother's Keeper [Red Cross] Touro Synagogue

Christian Unity Baptist Church Jericho Road Operation Nehemiah Terrebonne Readiness Assistance Coalition

Churches Supporting Churches Jewish Family Service Our Lady of Prompt Succor Church Trinity Christian Community

City-Works Jewish Federation of Greater New Orleans Oxfam America United Jewish Communities

Claiborne-University Neighborhood Assn Jewish Women's Archive Plymouth Rock Baptist Church United Methodist Hope Ministries

Community Center of St. Bernard Katrina Aid Today

PNOLA: The Phoenix of N.O.

(Tulane/Gravier)

United Way for the Greater New Orleans

Area

Concordia LLC Kids with Cameras Policy Link Urban Conservancy + Stay Local!

Congregation Anshe Sphard Lakeview Civic Improvement Association Pontilly Neighborhood Association Ursuline Academy

Congregation Beth Israel Louisiana Association of Nonprofit Orgs PRC Compassion WWOZ

Congregation Gates of Prayer Louisiana Delta Service Corps [Americorps] Providence Community Housing Hurricane Response, Renaissance Village

Corinthian Missionary Baptist Church Louisiana Family Recovery Corps Puentes

Young Men Olympians Social Aid & Pleasure

Club

Page 10: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Images of Data Collection: Pontchartrain Park & Gentilly Woods (Pontilly),

January 2008

We worked with the Pontilly Neighborhood Association, who brought in 40 law student volunteers from around the country. We went door-to-door with them,

doing the survey, and shared the results with the community.

Page 11: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Images of Data Collection: Interviewing Door-to-Door

in Tremé and the Seventh Ward, Summer 2009

Page 12: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Images of Data Collection: Young Men Olympians Social Aid & Pleasure Club

(Central City), January 2009

We worked with the Young Men Olympians, the oldest Social Aid & Pleasure Club, celebrating its 125th anniversary, and student volunteers from New Orleans

colleges. We shared a meal & danced to the Free Agents Brass Band.

Page 13: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Images of Data Collection: Interviewing with the Vietnamese-language

Questionnaire at a Respondent’s Home in Village De l’Est, Summer 2009

Page 14: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Images of Data Collection: Renaissance Village, FEMA Trailer Park, July 2007

We worked with the resident leaders of Renaissance Village, served a Jambalaya dinner, brought in a New Orleans brass band … and conducted the survey with the help of 30 resident volunteers.

Page 15: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

(Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Hypotheses About Recovery: Individual and Collective Resources

Rick Weil

Department of Sociology, LSU

[email protected] www.fweil.com

Page 16: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Hypotheses: Individual & Collective Resources and Recovery

Individual-Level Resources

Yes No

Collective

Resources

(Social Capital)

Yes

High level of Recovery. High to Medium level of

Recovery.

e.g. Jewish community e.g. Vietnamese community;

SAPC members

No

High to Medium level of

Recovery. Low level of Recovery.

e.g. Renaissance Village

(Rare: High Individual-Level

Resources usually permit

formation of Collective Resources, as needed)

Page 17: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Compensating Collective (“Institutional”) Resources: The Verba-Nie-Kim Hypotheses.

Source: Sidney Verba, Norman H. Nie, Jae-on Kim, Participation and Political Equality: A Seven-Nation Comparison. Cambridge: Cambridge UP, 1978, page 85. (Plus own diagram.)

0

100

People with Individual-Level Resources (only)

People With Collective Resources

Collective Resources help

People Compensate for

the Lack of Individual-Level

Resources

Page 18: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Hypotheses: Storm Damage, Resources, and Recovery: Individual & Collective Paths to Hurricane Recovery

Page 19: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

(Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Individual-Level Data Analyses

Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU

[email protected] www.fweil.com

Page 20: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Individual Level Regressions: Social Capital, Higher Social Status, Low Damage, & Resources Promote

Recovery and reduce Negative Outcomes.

Stay or

Return

to N.O.

Personal

Recovery Stress

Depressed,

Anxious Hopeful

Social

Solidarity

Social

Conflict

State of

Health

Spiritual

Theology

Punitive

Theology

Demographic

Age .08** -.01 .01 .03* -.02 .05** -.08** -.13** -.01 -.05**

Female .04** -.01 .14** .11** .03+ .02 -.03* -.01 .07** -.02

Education .01 .00 -.02 .09** .03 -.01 -.05** .16** -.09** -.13**

Estimated Income -.01 .11** -.08** -.04+ -.04* -.06** -.03 .14** -.03+ .01

Unemployed -.07** -.11** .08** .06** -.04* -.03* .03* -.05* .00 .03

Married w Children .00 .01 .01 .01 .00 .04* -.02 .01 .01 -.01

Black .09** -.07** -.14** -.19** .03+ .04** -.05** -.07** .21** -.03

Time since Katrina .07** .07** -.02 -.03 -.02 .03+ .07** -.01 .01 -.03+

Damage & Resources

Damage to Residence -.13** -.33** .12** .11** .00 -.01 .00 -.04+ .01 .05**

Damage to Business -.08** -.07** .02 .03+ .00 .00 -.02 -.05* -.01 .06**

Have Resources for Repair .08** .23** -.13** -.09** .08** .04* -.03* .12** -.01 -.04**

Social Capital

Associational Involvement .05+ .02 -.08** -.04+ .02 .07** .03 .03 .10** .00

Civic Leadership .02 -.01 .10** .08** .04 .06** .11** .00 -.02 .09**

Informal Socializing -.03 .03+ -.02 -.02 .01 .09** .01 .17** .03+ -.04*

Social Trust .11** .04** -.14** -.13** .14** .19** -.08** .03 .03+ -.12**

Faith-Based Social Capital

Church service attendance -.05** -.03+ -.06** -.11** -.04* .00 -.02 -.01 .24** -.10**

Spiritual Theology .07** -.01 .09** .08** .20** .37** .08** .02 - -

Punitive Theology -.05** -.04** .24** .15** -.07** -.03+ .27** -.06** - -

Adj R-Sq .08 .30 .20 .13 .08 .24 .14 .20 .16 .06

Page 21: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Individual Level: Social Capital Reduces Stress: Church Attendance is most effective

20%

40%

60%

80%

No flood damage Up to 8 feet Over 8 feet

Angry

Attend Church Every Week Less

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

No flood damage Up to 8 feet Over 8 feet

Trouble concentrating

Attend Church Every Week Less

Page 22: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

In Partnership with New Orleans Community Leaders (Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Total Number of interviews = ca. 7,000

Comparison of Selected Groups

Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU

[email protected] www.fweil.com

Page 23: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Civic Engagement in Selected Social Groups

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

FEMATrailers

Vietnamese Black ChurchMember

White High Income HighEducation

Jewish SAPCMember

Civic Engagement in Selected Social Groups (Showing percentage points above or below New Orleans average)

Page 24: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

(Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Aggregate Data Analyses

Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU

[email protected] www.fweil.com

Page 25: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

With a large enough N (7,000), we can aggregate (average) data to geographical districts and conduct aggregate analyses.

We use Census Tracts, the finest (smallest) district size we can, consistent with reliable averages per district.

Page 26: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Sources: HUD; USPS; Valassis & Greater New Orleans Community

Data Center

Repopulation Data (from Postal deliveries) Can be analyzed with our aggregated survey data.

Page 27: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Blight Data can be analyzed in the same way.

Sources: HUD; USPS; City of New Orleans

Page 28: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Aggregate Level: Social Capital and Higher Social Status promote Repopulation and reduce Negative Outcomes.

-.30 -.20 -.10 .00 .10 .20 .30 .40

Percent Black

Disadvantage Index

Income

Education

Social Trust

Attended public meeting

Perform Service

Civic Engagement

Associational Involvement

Correlations

Repopulation

-.50 -.25 .00 .25 .50

Percent Black

Disadvantage Index

Income

Education

Social Trust

Attended public meeting

Perform Service

Civic Engagement

Associational Involvement

Correlations

Damage Blight Crime

Page 29: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

For instance, Church Membership Is associated with Reduced Violent Crime

Survey Data (N = 2,648) & Police Reports, Aggregated to Neighborhood Level (N = 62)

Page 30: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Aggregate Level: Church Membership’s Effect on Reducing Violent Crime:

1. Bivariate Correlations

Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level (N = 182)

Bivariate Correlations

All White Black

Natural Log (Ln) Rates Combined Murder Assault Combined Murder Assault Combined Murder Assault

Associational Involvement -.414** -.327** -.383** -.388** -.412** -.336** -.248** -.050 -.276**

Civic Engagement -.444** -.355** -.396** -.357** -.336** -.301* -.280** -.094 -.290**

Church member -.283** -.219** -.359** -.425** -.361** -.439** -.297** -.231* -.396**

Church service attendance .086 .143 -.059 -.204 -.232 -.184 -.118 .020 -.332**

Social Trust -.596** -.508** -.525** -.512** -.429** -.485** -.386** -.237* -.344**

Inter-Racial Trust -.258** -.199** -.299** -.274* -.194 -.289* -.019 .027 -.157

ACS 2005-09 Median household income -.646** -.565** -.622** -.497** -.448** -.539** -.547** -.324** -.482**

Disadvantage Index (from ACS 2005-09) .522** .489** .335** .370** .486** .307* .308** .159 .032

ACS 2005-09 Pct Non-Hispanic Black .549** .559** .405** .396** .514** .320** .124 .146 -.057

ACS 2005-09 Pct Age 15-34 .016 .112 -.007 -.077 .052 -.044 .002 .085 -.062

ACS 2005-09 Pct Vacant Housing Units .486** .342** .391** .434** .253* .461** .401** .220* .180

Page 31: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Aggregate Level: Church Membership’s Effect on Reducing Violent Crime:

2. Standard Multivariate Regressions

Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level (N = 198)

Multiple Regressions

Combined Crime Rate (Natural Log)

Wh Bl InterAct

ACS 2005-09 Median household income -.012 -.011

ACS 2005-09 Pct Population 25+ HS or Less .053 .053 .055

ACS 2005-09 Unemployed over Age 16 -.121+ -.121+ -.128+ -.113+ -.099

ACS 2005-09 Pct Below Poverty level .101 .100 .105 .105 .124+ .134* .189 .166+ .134*

ACS 2005-09 Pct Age 15-34 -.097+ -.097+ -.095+ -.111* -.125* -.108* -.234* -.082 -.110*

ACS 2005-09 Pct Married-couple family -.088 -.088 -.092 -.100

ACS 2005-09 Pct Vacant Housing Units .153+ .151* .150* .143* .105+ .156** .103 .225** .156**

Mean Blight 2006-2010 (USPS-HUD) -.003

ACS 2005-09 Pct Owner Occupied -.209+ -.210+ -.216* -.236* -.324** -.252** -.302+ -.273** -.254**

ACS 2005-09 Pct Non-Hispanic Black .163+ .162+ .163* .209** .208** .162* .113 .097 .162*

Associational Involvement .011 .012

Civic Engagement -.057 -.058 -.049

Family is Rooted in New Orleans -.009 -.010

Church member -.147* -.147* -.150* -.149** -.155** -.171** -.022 -.264** -.173**

Church service attendance .030 .029 .029

Social Trust -.346** -.347** -.349** -.354** -.316** -.315** -.355** -.279** -.318**

Inter-Racial Trust .083 .083 .087 .075

Church member x Race Interaction -.017

Adjusted R-Sq .613 .616 .624 .627 .625 .610 .521 .436 .608

Page 32: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Aggregate Level: Church Membership’s Effect on Reducing Violent Crime:

3. Spatial Regressions

Factors Influencing Crime Rates in Orleans Parish, 2007-2009

Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level (N = 182)

Regression Models, Testing for Spatial Auto-correlation: t-Statistics or z-values

Natural Log (Ln) Rates Combined Murder Assault

Constant 4.813** 1.925+ 3.506**

Spatial Lag 13.024** 9.740** 10.662**

ACS 2005-09 Pct Below Poverty level 2.149* 2.305*

ACS 2005-09 Unemployed over Age 16 -3.360**

ACS 2005-09 Pct Age 15-34 -1.197

ACS 2005-09 Pct Vacant Housing Units 4.181** 2.362*

ACS 2005-09 Pct Owner Occupied -1.004 -3.812**

ACS 2005-09 Pct Non-Hispanic Black 3.096** 4.024** 3.327**

Church member -3.343** -2.914** -4.293**

Social Trust -3.594** -2.227* -2.968**

Page 33: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

(Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Partnerships: “Social Action” Research

Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU

[email protected] www.fweil.com

Page 34: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

The Neighborhoods Partnership Network (NPN) A nonprofit, citywide network of neighborhoods.

We have collaborated with NPN on an organizational survey, and created a multi-level data set.

Page 35: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

The Neighborhoods Partnership Network (NPN): Neighborhood Associations that Responded to our Survey

Note: Some Neighborhood Associations overlap with Others

Page 36: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Example of Blight Reduction: 1. Storm Damage

Source: City of New Orleans

Page 37: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Example of Blight Reduction: 2. Blight (average over time)

Source: U.S. Postal Service, HUD

Page 38: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Example of Blight Reduction: 3. Blight Reduction in the Flooded Areas

Source: U.S. Postal Service, HUD

Page 39: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Example of Blight Reduction: 4. Demolitions by the City in 2011

Sources: U.S. Postal Service, HUD; City of New Orleans

Page 40: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Example of Blight Reduction: Social Capital’s Effect on Reducing Blight:

1. Multiple Regressions Factors Influencing Blight Reduction in Greater New Orleans, 2007-2010

Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level* (N = 108)

Multiple Regressions

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

City's Damage Assessment -.309* -.480**

-.440**

Storm Repairs completed .123 .188 .145 .291** .266** .250**

Have Resources for Repair -.164 -.186+ -.141 .226* .224* .225* .210* .209*

Median household income -.217 -.052

Median Home Value .398* .258+ .566** .557** .545** .565**

Disadvantage Index -.005 -.298*

Pct Non-Hispanic Black .056 -.097 .106 .423** .436** .443** .381** .278* .138 .138 .138

Source of $ - Government Agencies .054 .063 .032 -.152 -.135 -.135

Source of $ - My own money -.139 -.143 -.132 -.131 -.125 -.163+ -.169+ -.169+ -.153+ -.161+

Source of $ - Insurance .136 .067 .071 -.073 -.098 -.001 .029

Associational Involvement .259 .263 .259 .168 .157 .182+ .206* .299** .351** .351** .377** .327**

Civic Engagement -.027 .021 -.019

Adj RSq .387 .342 .387 .365 .368 .358 .291 .199 .176 .168 .159 .161

*Blight Reduction in Flooded tracts that had (a) over 10% blight, and (b) were not housing projects that the government demolished

& rebuilt.

Page 41: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Example of Blight Reduction: Social Capital’s Effect on Reducing Blight: 2. Multiple Regressions with Spatial Lag

Factors Influencing Blight Reduction in Greater New Orleans, 2007-2010

Survey Data (N = 6,945) & Aggregate Data at Tract Level* (N = 108)

Regression Models, Testing for Spatial Auto-correlation: t-Statistics or z-values

8 8a 8b 8c 8d 8e 8f

Constant 3.707** 2.921** 3.111** 3.310** 3.382** 3.391** 3.157**

Spatial Lag 6.263** 6.306** 6.465** 6.801** 6.716** 7.097**

Have Resources for Repair 2.381* 1.574 1.385 1.328 1.290 1.511

Disadvantage Index -2.227* -1.693+ -1.509 -1.484 -1.161

Pct Non-Hispanic Black 2.348* 1.022 1.004 .931

Source of $ - Government Agencies -1.627 -1.133 -.990

Source of $ - My own money -1.847+ -1.933+ -1.858+ -1.756+ -1.820+ -1.855+ -1.725+

Source of $ - Insurance -.833 -.761

Associational Involvement 2.832** 2.254* 2.161* 2.404* 2.240* 3.214** 3.239**

*Blight Reduction in Flooded tracts that had (a) over 10% blight, and (b) were not housing projects that

the government demolished & rebuilt.

Page 42: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Example of Blight Reduction: Neighborhood Associations’ Effect on Reducing Blight:

3. Multiple Regressions

LSU/NPN Survey of Neighborhood Association Leaders (N = 67)

and LSU Disaster Recovery Survey (N = 7,000)

Regressions (with Fixed Controls)

Blight Reduction

Wet areas: all Wet areas: NBOs only

1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5

Damage Assessment .277+ .189 .328* .259+ .318*

Median household income .006 .074 .021 .101

Unemployed -.457* -.302+ -.442* -.438* -.222 -.433*

Pct Black .324 .308* .302 .260 .344* .394+ .383* .384+ .294 .409*

Married with Children .328+ .341* .333+ .364*

Pct Owner Occupied -.276 -.316+ -.281 -.327+

Disadvantage Index -.168 -.243 -.149 -.262

Associational Involvement .271 .411** .260+ .291+ .407** .199 .437** .222 .218 .401**

Family is Rooted in New Orleans .179 .254 .268 .341+

Church service attendance -.215 -.090 -.248 -.083

Cooperation with Other Organizations: Count .090 .274* .180 .160 .281* .025 .202 .144 .047 .215+

Organizational Activities: Blight (q 41) .321* .240* .242* .295* .223+ .361** .308* .262* .353** .267*

Organization Structural Assets (Block Capts) .117 .157 .148 .217+

Adj R-Sq .602 .567 .607 .560 .553 .658 .577 .641 .621 .582

Page 43: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Analyses for “Sweet Home New Orleans:” Where did Musicians from Flooded Areas Move?

Page 44: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Analyses for “Sweet Home New Orleans:” Musicians have a harder time Earning a Living

Page 45: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

The “Roots of Music” After-school music program for middle school kids.

Social Action Research: Building social capital for the kids and their families, while conducting our survey of their parents.

Organizing meeting at Café du Monde during JazzFest, 2008. Derrick Tabb, at right, Program Director & snare drummer for the Rebirth Brass Band.

Mardi Gras, February, 2010. We marched in 5 top parades & the Saints

victory parade, and played at Jazzfest.

Page 46: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Jewish Federation of Greater New Orleans: Where did people from Flooded Areas Move?

Page 47: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Vietnamese and Jewish Community Leaders Comparing Notes on Recovery Strategies.

Item: It’s not all “Culture.” Lots of it is Strategy and Planning that others can adapt.

Page 48: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

NOLA YURP (Young Urban Rebuilding Professionals) “Brain Gain:” Where are they from?

New Young Leader survey completed in 2010 with “504ward”

N=426. Data collected summer, 2008.

Page 49: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

(Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Adding a Documentary Film to the Study

Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU

[email protected] www.fweil.com

Page 50: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Some of the people and groups We have filmed and plan to film

7th Ward

Abram Himelstein, Rachel Breunlin, Neighborhood Story Project, the Porch

Allison Plyer, GNOCDC - Greater New Orleans Community Data Center

Arlene Barron, Leslie Fishman, Jewish Community Center

Audrey Browder, Central City Partnership & Pontilly Disaster Recovery Center

Bobby Garon, Alan Bissinger, Michael Wasserman, & Julie Wise Oreck, Jewish Federation of GNO

Capacity College, NPN

Capacity College, NPN

Capacity College, NPN

Chalmette Tomato Festival, OLPS

Cheryl Diggins, Melia

City Council Mtg, Master Plan, Dist B

Clients, Sweet Home New Orleans

Dena Gerber, Jewish Family Service

Denise Thornton, Tina Marquardt, Connie Uddo, Milissa Orzolek, Beacons of Hope/St. Paul's Homecoming Center

Derrick Tabb, Roots of Music, various

Derrick Tabb, Roots of Music: NOMTOC Parade

Derrick Tabb, Roots, Parading in Neighborhoods to Recruit & show need

Diem Nguyen, Mary Tran, Mary Queen of Vietnam CDC

Erich Sternberg & Richard Lipsey, Jewish Federation of Greater BR

Erin Patton, family were caterers in Chalmette

Fr. Vien, Mary Queen of Vietnam Catholic Church

Gert Town

Gill Benedek, Moishe House

Gill Benedek, Neighborhood Partnership Network

Glenn Stoudt, Al Petrie, Lakeview Community

Improvement Association

Greg Phares, former EBR Sheriff

Harrison Ave Marketplace, Lakeview

Hubert Dixon (others), The Porch

Iray Nabatoff, Community Center of St. Bernard

Jennifer Weishaupt, Jennifer Farwell, Mid-City Neighborhood Organization (MCNO)

Jessica White, Barbara Johnson, 504ward

Joe Sherman, Carol Dotson, Hollygrove

John Koeferl, Holy Cross NA

Jordan Hirsch, Sweet Home New Orleans

Katherine Prevost, Bunny Friends NA

Kevin Brown, Evelyn Turner, Trinity Christian Community - Hollygrove

LANO

LaToya Cantrell, Hal Roark, Broadmoor Improvement Association

LimmudFest - Main day, Jewish Community

Lisa Smith, Unmet Needs Committee, Red Cross

LJ Goldstein, Renee Heinlein, David Freedman, Jewish Community

LJ Goldstein, Renee Heinlein: Seder planning, Krewe du Jieux

Loren Pickford, Musician, Sweet Home Client

Mardi Gras Indians, I, Dryades & 2nd, Central City, MG Day

Mardi Gras Indians, II, St Joseph's Day

Mardi Gras Indians, III, Background w Harrison family

Mary LeBlanc, Arcenia Crayton, & Wilbert Ross, Renaissance Village

Mary W Rowe, New Orleans Institute, City-Works

Meg Lousteau, VCPORA (French Quarter)

Membership and/or Committee Mtgs, Broadmoor Improvement Association

Membership and/or Committee Mtgs, Jewish Federation of GNO

Membership Mtg, Lakeview Community Improvement Association

Nonprofit Central in NOLA

Purim, Uptown Jewish Community Center

Ray Nichols, Gonzo Civic Volunteer

Rev. Danny C. Digal, Our Lady of Prompt Succor Church

Rita LeGrand, Lakeview Blight inspections & enforcement

Ronald Baptiste, McKendall Estates Homeowners Assn

Saundra Reed, Keisha Brown Robinson, Central City Renaissance Alliance

Seabrook Neighborhood Association

Social Aid & Pleasure Clubs, Second Line Parade (Sundays)

Steven Bingler, Concordia - Nexus tour of French Quarter

Steven Bingler, Concordia - sit-down interview

Tamara Jackson, SAPC Task Force Peace March

Tamara Jackson, Social Aid & Pleasure Club Task Force

Tet Vietnamese New Year celebration, Mary Queen of Vietnam Catholic Church

Timolynn Sams, Neighborhood Partnership Network

Tony Fernandez, St Bernard Deputy Sheriff & Parish President OLPS

Victor Gordon, Clara Carey, King Wells Sr., Pontilly Association

YMO, 9Times, Prince of Wales, Social Aid & Pleasure Clubs

Youth Think Tank, Work with Audrey at Central City Partnership

Zack Rosenburg, St. Bernard Project

Page 51: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

A few of the community leaders we have filmed

Al Petrie, Lakeview Katherine Prevost, Upper 9th Ward

Denise Thornton, Beacon of Hope

Audrey Browder, Central City

Allan Bissinger, Jewish Federation

Sue Press, Ole & New Style Fellas SAPC, Treme

Page 52: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

(Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery

Rick Weil

Department of Sociology, LSU

[email protected] www.fweil.com

Page 53: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery 1

• Increasing organizational capacity and autonomy.

– Use of Committees, Block Captains, etc.

– Doing own Data Collection.

– New technologies, like Mapping, Data Bases.

– Use of Volunteers.

– Taking the initiative and not waiting for outside help.

Page 54: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery 2

• Greater strategic sophistication.

– Creating “Critical Masses” or “Tipping Points”

– Branding

– Community planning

• E.g., Broadmoor, Vietnamese, Jews

Page 55: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery 3

• Increasing citizen participation. – People who had never participated before

• A new Cooperative Orientation among community leaders – 91% of

Neighborhood leaders affirmed that relations with other leaders are cooperative

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

There are otherneighborhood

organizations whose rolesoverlap with your

organization

See your relationshipswith other neighborhood

groups as cooperative,rather than competitive

Your organization compares activities and

strategies with organizations in other

neighborhoods, in order to learn from each others’

experiences

Relations among Neighborhood Associations (N = 56)

Page 56: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery 4

• Emergence of new Umbrella Groups from outside the organizational eco-system they work with

– Convening Groups.

– Find areas of common concern on which they can work together.

– Find synergies on issues that would otherwise produce competition/conflict.

– Learn from each other. Barbara Lacen Keller teaching NPN’s Capacity College

Page 57: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Community Strategies and Resources for Recovery 5

• New recovery resources from “Outside-inside” the community – Extra-Regional, National, & International

assistance from within the communities

– Vietnamese Community • Houston & West Bank Neighbors

– Jewish Community • National & Baton Rouge organizations

– Cultural Community • Assistance to Musicians from Musicians

Page 58: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Cautions and Implications for Future Policy and Actions 1

• Lower and middle- status citizens must be able to overcome elite resistance to their participation.

– Social Aid & Pleasure Clubs as Community Leaders

Prince of Wales Social Aid & Pleasure Club

Page 59: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Cautions and Implications for Future Policy and Actions 2

• Citizens must overcome government resistance to their participation, as well as avoid being “captured” by government. – New “hardball” tactics:

• Broadmoor’s Plan

• Vietnamese Landfill issue

– Sharing new techniques: • “Capacity College”

– Avoiding Government “Capture:” • Autonomy of Neighborhood Associations

Page 60: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Cautions and Implications for Future Policy and Actions 3

• Communities must find ways to sustain participation beyond the euphoric period of recovery, into the more mundane tasks of further improvement that are often more technical rather than popular in nature.

– Issue of Expertise & Leadership

Page 61: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Surveys in Baton Rouge:

Impact on the Community; Helping cope with the Disaster

(supported by NSF)

Total Interviews = 2,960 in 3 waves: •September 27 to November 29, 2005 (N=1,349) •February to April, 2006 (N=1,008) •March to April, 2007 (N=603)

Page 62: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Half the households in Baton Rouge housed Evacuees … almost entirely relatives and friends.

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

Oct-2005 Feb-2006 Jun-2006 Oct-2006 Feb-2007

Evacuees Staying in Your Residence

Staying Now Stayed Earlier No One

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Total Staying Friends &Relatives

Others

*Multiple mentions possible

Whom Did People House?*

Total Staying Relatives Friends Others

Factoid: Southern Louisiana has some of the densest social networks in America. Question:

•Where would disaster evacuees have gone if this had happened some other place? •Hint: The Authorities would have to figure that out…

Page 63: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Two thirds of people in Baton Rouge did volunteer relief work – most more than once.

Most of them volunteered with Religious Organizations.

No 34%

Once 12%

More than Once 54%

Did Volunteer work to Help Evacuees

None 37%

Worked, but not w Church

30%

Once with Church

7%

More than Once with

Church 24%

No answer 2%

Did Volunteer work to Help Evacuees - with Religious Organization

Page 64: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

Social Capital and Stress People with the best social networks were initially most stressed because they were most involved in relief work.

They also recovered the fastest.

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

Aug-00 Dec-01 May-03 Sep-04 Feb-06 Jun-07

Afraid to Walk Alone at Night

-0.2

-0.1

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

Jul-05 May-06 Mar-07

Feel Depressed, Angry Legend

AssociationalInvolvement

CivicLeadership

Faith-BasedEngagement

InformalSocializing

Social Trust

Inter-RacialTrust

Page 65: Weil, LSU Post-Katrina Survey - 120409 - Doug Ahler's Class

LSU Post-Katrina Research on Disaster Recovery & Community Resilience

(Supported by the National Science Foundation)

Rick Weil Department of Sociology, LSU

[email protected] www.fweil.com