welcome address by thomas h a schneider dg energy and transport

Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport

Advanced fossil fuel boiler Advanced fossil fuel boiler technologies for reaching the goals of technologies for reaching the goals of

the Kyoto protocolthe Kyoto protocolOPET-Seminar Celje, 20-21 May 2004 OPET-Seminar Celje, 20-21 May 2004

Welcome address by

Thomas H A SchneiderDG Energy and Transport

European Commission – Coal & Oil Unit


Global Policy ContextClimate change

Johannesburg World Summit on Sustainable Development 2002 EU set to decrease its GHG emissions by 8% in 2008-2012

compared to 1990 under the Kyoto protocol Burden sharing agreement between Member States On track so far, but target likely to be missed in ‘business as

usual’ scenario European Climate Change Programme has identified most

promising and cheapest routes EU Greenhouse Gas Trading Directive – trading starting Jan 05 Adoption of a “linking” directive which transfers CDM and JI

credits into the EU GHG trading directive


Total equivalent CO2 concentration (all greenhouse gases) in the atmosphere as a

function of time – past data and projection according to the IPCC is92a scenario

(subject to debate in GDP projections).

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150

year

ppm(v)


Global Policy Context

Climate change - Post Kyoto More drastic reductions will be needed

max. 2°C increase, max. 450 ppm(v)50 to 60% emissions reduction by 2050 from developed economies (JI) from economies in transition (CDM)

Fossil fuel use in developing economies to be tackled


EU Compliance with Kyoto Protocol

% Shortfalls (+) or over-compliance (-) with policies currently in place

Source: European Environ-ment Agency, 2003


Industry Competitiveness

EU industry must be placed in a position to compete in a post-Kyoto scenario addressing the emissions of developing countries

Energy Policy Context


Scenarios and Projections (source : WETO)

Still 90% fossil fuels worldwide by 2030

0

3000

6000

9000

12000

15000

18000

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Mto

e

Coal, lignite Oil Natural gas

Prim. Electricity Wood and wastes

Energy Policy Context


Energy Related CO2 Emissions(WETO - EC DG RTD)

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Mt of C

O2

European Union EU & Accession CountriesUSA BrazilIndia ChinaJapan


Security of supply risks

Containment of demand increase (“demand side management”)

Influence on supply dependence

GREEN PAPER : Strategy Issues


EU ENVIRONMENTAL TECHNOLOGY

OFFENSIVE : ETAP

Key contribution of environmental technologies to sustainable growth in Europe and world wide

Efficient conversion of fossil fuelsInternational Cooperation

Priorities : RussiaChina India

In preparation : Latin America


ETAP– Climate Change (discussion paper)

Key technologies on demand side – Households and Services Building fabric Integrated building design Controls & building energy mgt systems Heating, cooling & ventilation equipment Energy efficiency equipment – office & do- mestic equipment Lighting


Fossil and Renewable Energy Sources

CO2 C+S sometimes seen as fossil fuels back by the back-door

But projections indicate fossil fuels are here to stay and will be used, especially in economies in transition

RES need to be supported, but will not be sufficient in the short to medium term, both in developed and developing economies

RES and CO2 C+S are complementary from a timing point of view from a generation mix point of view to ease the penetration of hydrogen as a vector


UNFCCC

This is in force, whatever happens to Kyoto Protocol

“The ultimate objective of this Convention and any related legal instruments that the Conference of the Parties may adopt is to achieve, in accordance with the relevant provisions of the Convention, stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Such a level should be achieved within a time-frame sufficient to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to climate change, to ensure that food production is not threatened and to enable economic development to proceed in a sustainable manner.”


Contact

Thomas H A SchneiderEuropean CommissionDirectorate-General for Energy & TransportCoal & Oil Unit

Rue de la Loi 200 – DM24 6/25B - 1049 - Brussels - Belgium

phone : 32-2-29-86236fax : 32-2-29-64337email : [email protected]

welcome address by thomas h a schneider dg energy and transport

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