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TRANSCRIPT
Disclaimer
This seminar, How to Read Charts: Five Easy Steps to Chart Analysis, was prepared for educational purposes only. Its contents do not recommend, advocate or urge the buying, selling, or holding of any financial instruments.
The author expresses personal opinions in the seminar contents, herein, and will not assume any responsibility whatsoever for the actions of the attendee or person reading these contents. The author may or may not hold positions in the financial instruments discussed in this seminar content.
Trading and investing involve high levels of risk. Future results can be dramatically different from the opinions expressed herein. Past performance does not guarantee future performance.
Disclaimer
This presentation is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an endorsement by Townsend Analytics of the information and views expressed by the presenter.
Townsend Analytics does not guarantee the accuracy of or warrant any representations made in this presentation.
Townsend Analytics shall not be held liable for any inaccurate or incomplete information or for any improper or incorrect use of the information contained in this presentation.
How to Read Charts
Five Easy Stepsto Chart Analysis
TONI TURNER
…educating traders and active investors
TRADING SCHOOL Series
Today’s Seminar Objective
We’ll establish an efficient and accurate step-
by-step process for interpreting the basic
components of price charts.
This process will assist us in making
the most profitable decisions when entering,
managing and exiting our portfolio positions.
Topics Outline
1. Price Chart Styles – Why Candles Shed the Most Light
2. Cycles, Trends & Trend Lines -- Make Them Work for You
3. Support & Resistance – Your Keys to Trading and Investing Success
4. Volume Signals – They’re Priceless
5. Moving Averages – Voted “Most Reliable” Chart Indicator
6. Mastering Charts – Putting it All Together
7. Practice Makes Profits!
8. Confirm What You’ve Learned . . .
How to Read Charts
Five Easy Steps to Chart Analysis
Price Chart StylesWhy Candles Shed the Most Light
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Line Chart
Bar Chart
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Candlestick Charts
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Why Candlestick Charts Shed
the Most Light . . .
Broadcast market’s “mood & manner”
Predict tops and bottoms of upswings/downswings
Give early trend reversal signals
Enhance money management decisions
Best used with other indicator signals
Master of candle charts: Steve Nison www.candlecharts.com
Basic Candlestick Formations
Low = 53
Open = 54
Close = 56 Open = 56 Open &
Close = 55Shadow
Low = 53
High = 57 High = 57 High = 57
Low = 53
Close = 54
Candlestick Chart Examples
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
How to Read Charts
Five Easy Steps to Chart Analysis
Cycles, Trends & Trend Lines
Make Them Work for You!
Cycles
Trends & Trend Lines
Economies of industrialized nations move in cycles. In turn, their financial markets and prices of equities that populate these capital markets also move in cycles.
Trough Trough
Peak
Four Stages of a Cycle
Stage 2
Uptrend
Higher highs
Higher lows
Stage 1
Base -- Accumulation - Horizontal
Stage 3 – Peak – Distribution- Horizontal
Stage 4
Downtrend
Lower highs
Lower lows
Stage 1 -- Base – Accumulation
Horizontal
Cycles & Trends on Daily Chart
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
How to Read Charts
Five Easy Steps to Chart Analysis
Support & Resistance
Your Keys
to
Trading & Investing Success
Support & Resistance
Trends form from price moves interspersed with “resting periods” that create support and resistance zones.
Demand Support Buyers Supply Resistance Sellers
You can identify support & resistance zones using . . . Price Trend lines Moving averages
Support & Resistance
Price & Trend Line Support
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Weekly Chart
Support & Resistance
Price & Trend Line Support
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Weekly Chart
5-minute chart
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Support & Resistance
Price & Trend Line Support
Support & Resistance
Price & Trend Line Support
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Volume Signals – They’re Priceless
VOLUME ISSUES UNIQUE SIGNALS – WHY?
Volume signals act as vital decision support tools… these signals:
Alert us to trend continuations
Predict potential trend reversals
Support entry opportunities
Define the “health” of price swings
Validate exit decisions
Volume Signals – They’re Priceless
If volume momentum matches price move, then volume “confirms” price action.
If volume momentum does not correspond with price action, that “non-confirmation” warns implied price action may fail. Called “price/volume divergence”
Volume Signals – They’re Priceless!
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Volume Signals – They’re Priceless
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Volume Signals – They’re Priceless!
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
How to Read Charts
Five Easy Steps to Chart Analysis
Moving Averages
Voted “Most Reliable” Chart Indicator
Moving Averages
Voted “Most Reliable”
Moving averages are single-line indicators we use to measure a stock’s health.
The line = the average closing price of a stock over a measured time period.
To calculate today’s 50-day moving average: add stock’s closing price for last 50 days, then divide by 50.
Moving Averages
Voted “Most Reliable”
Moving averages form reliable support and resistance zones.
When combined with other technical tools, moving averages can act as excellent decision support tools for buying, managing and selling stock positions.
Investors favor the 50-day and 200-day moving averages on daily charts.
Traders often add the 20-day moving average.
39-week MA on weekly charts = 200-day MA on daily charts.
Moving Averages
Voted “Most Reliable”
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Moving Averages
Voted “Most Reliable”
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Moving Averages
Voted “Most Reliable”
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Moving Averages
Voted “Most Reliable”
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Mastering Charts
Putting It All Together
When evaluating a stock’s price chart, ask . . .
Is this stock in an uptrend, downtrend or horizontal trend?
Where is short-term / long-term support & resistance?
What story are the candles telling?
What signals are volume issuing?
Where are the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day, or 39-week moving averages in relation to price?
Or, (day trading) where is price trading in relation to intraday moving averages?
Mastering Charts
Putting It All Together
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Mastering Charts
Putting It All Together
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Mastering Charts
Putting It All Together
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Mastering Charts
Putting It All Together
RealTick® graphics used with permission of Townsend Analytics, Ltd. © 1986-2008 Townsend Analytics, Ltd.
Practice Makes Profits!
Keep your list of “Mastering Chart” questions next to your computer.
Next, look at charts of all time frames and look for:1. Cycles – both partial and complete2. Uptrends only, then downtrends only. Draw trend lines,
both short and long term..3. Nearby support, longer term (farther away) support. Draw
horizontal support and resistance lines. 4. Highs and lows – and what stories the candles issued.5. Uptrends and downtrends, and their correlating volume
signals6. Uptrends and downtrends, with 20-day, 50-day and 200-day
moving averages. Note crossovers and how stocks acted after those crossovers. Repeat with weekly charts using 39-day MA, and intraday charts using 10 and 20-period MAs.