welcome to the 3rd annual system review noaa climate observation program 25-27 april 2005
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Welcome to the 3rd Annual System Review NOAA Climate Observation Program 25-27 April 2005 Silver Spring. Welcome. NOAA Leadership Project Managers, Data Providers Data Users Program Managers Partner Programs - National & International Climate Observing System Council - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
WelcomeWelcometo the 3rdto the 3rd
Annual System ReviewAnnual System Review
NOAA Climate Observation ProgramNOAA Climate Observation Program25-27 April 200525-27 April 2005
Silver SpringSilver Spring
WelcomeWelcome• NOAA LeadershipNOAA Leadership• Project Managers, Data ProvidersProject Managers, Data Providers• Data UsersData Users• Program ManagersProgram Managers• Partner Programs - National & InternationalPartner Programs - National & International• Climate Observing System CouncilClimate Observing System Council• JCOMM Observations Coordination GroupJCOMM Observations Coordination Group• Friends of the Observing SystemFriends of the Observing System
LogisticsLogistics• Travel and Administrative supportTravel and Administrative support
– Gina GaloGina Galo
• Meeting organizationMeeting organization– Diane Stanitski -- overallDiane Stanitski -- overall– Silvia Garzoli -- science sessionsSilvia Garzoli -- science sessions– Candyce Clark -- JCOMM OCGCandyce Clark -- JCOMM OCG
• IT supportIT support– Todd PearceTodd Pearce
• Annual ReportsAnnual Reports– Fed Ex boxes -- yellow stickiesFed Ex boxes -- yellow stickies
• Ice BreakerIce Breaker– Metro ticket -- $5 bill -- DianeMetro ticket -- $5 bill -- Diane– Meet in lobby at 1800Meet in lobby at 1800
• Round tables in poster roomRound tables in poster room• Posters and abstractsPosters and abstracts
AgendaAgenda• MondayMonday– Welcome and OverviewWelcome and Overview– Science of the observing systemScience of the observing system– Ice Breaker at the Capitol City Brewing Ice Breaker at the Capitol City Brewing
CompanyCompany
• TuesdayTuesday– Science of the observing systemScience of the observing system– Discussion and RecommendationsDiscussion and Recommendations– Reception in the poster roomReception in the poster room
• WednesdayWednesday– Partnerships and ProgrammaticsPartnerships and Programmatics– COSC open session ……………..….….…COSC open session ……………..….….…– COSC executive session …………………….…….COSC executive session …………………….…….
• ThursdayThursday– JCOMM Observations Coordination Group …….JCOMM Observations Coordination Group …….
• Friday until noonFriday until noon– JCOMM OCGJCOMM OCG
AllAll COSCCOSC OCGOCG
Program OverviewProgram Overview
Same Goals Same Goals and Prioritiesand Priorities
1.1. Achieving global coverage Achieving global coverage by the by the in situin situ networks networks
2.2. System-wide monitoring System-wide monitoring and performance reportingand performance reporting
3.3. Funding to meet Funding to meet implementation targets -- implementation targets -- a a Global Observing System Global Observing System cannot be built with cannot be built with existing resources.existing resources.OCO
JCOMM Observation Program Area
Climate Observation Program
Achieving Global CoverageAchieving Global Coverage
Congratulations!Congratulations!
51%51%
• Statement by the President, 20 September 2004, The White House– “We have created a new integrated ocean observing system
with international partners.”
• NOAA Annual Guidance Memorandum for FY 2005:NOAA Annual Guidance Memorandum for FY 2005:– ““The Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) must be The Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) must be
developed as a major component of the U.S. contribution to developed as a major component of the U.S. contribution to GEOSS.”GEOSS.”
• GOESS 10-Year Implementation Plan Reference Document:– “Support implementation of actions called for in GCOS
Implementation Plan.”
GEOSS Implementation PlanGEOSS Implementation PlanReference DocumentReference Document::The Ocean BaselineThe Ocean Baseline
• October 2004 --- GCOS October 2004 --- GCOS Implementation Implementation Plan for the Global Observing System for Plan for the Global Observing System for Climate in support of the UNFCCCClimate in support of the UNFCCC (GCOS- (GCOS-92): 92):
• The system put in place for Climate will also The system put in place for Climate will also support global weather prediction, global and support global weather prediction, global and coastal ocean prediction, marine hazards forecast coastal ocean prediction, marine hazards forecast and warning system, marine environmental and warning system, marine environmental monitoring, many other non-climate users.monitoring, many other non-climate users.
Office of Climate ObservationOffice of Climate Observation
MissionMission
Build and sustain a global climate Build and sustain a global climate observing system that will respond to the observing system that will respond to the long-term observational requirements of long-term observational requirements of the the operational forecast centers, operational forecast centers, international research programs, and international research programs, and major scientific assessments.major scientific assessments.
ObjectivesObjectives
• Document long term trends in sea Document long term trends in sea level changelevel change
• Document ocean carbon sources Document ocean carbon sources and sinksand sinks
• Document the ocean’s storage and Document the ocean’s storage and global transport of heat and fresh global transport of heat and fresh waterwater
• Document the ocean-atmosphere Document the ocean-atmosphere exchange of heat and fresh waterexchange of heat and fresh water
International PartnershipsInternational Partnershipsare Centralare Central
A global system by definition crosses international A global system by definition crosses international boundaries. boundaries.
All of NOAA’s global contributions are managed in All of NOAA’s global contributions are managed in cooperation with the Joint WMO/IOC Technical cooperation with the Joint WMO/IOC Technical Commission for Oceanography and Marine Commission for Oceanography and Marine Meteorology (JCOMM) -- Meteorology (JCOMM) -- presently 64 nationspresently 64 nations..
Tide Gauge Network 58 % complete 3˚x3˚ Argo Profiling Float Array 52% complete 5˚x5˚ Surface Drifting Buoy Array 79 % complete Moored Buoy Existing Planned Ocean Reference Station Existing Planned High Resolution XBT and Flux Line Existing Planned Frequently Repeated XBT Line Existing Planned Carbon Inventory & Deep Ocean Line Global Survey @ 10 years
Sea Surface Temperature, Sea Surface Height, Surface Vector Wind, Sea Ice, and Ocean Color from Space
Global Ocean Observing System for ClimateGlobal Ocean Observing System for ClimateNow 51% complete.Now 51% complete.
GCOS-92
12501250
8484
2828
23002300
2727
531531
77
101101
7979
2626
923923
2424
497497
8989
7979
2626
497497
8989
7777
2424
370370
5656
975975
7979
2727
15001500
2424
497497
9191
12501250
9797
4545
30003000
5454
6464
2929
730730
99
125125
12501250
119119
5151
30003000
8989
3131
99
170170
12501250
115115
5151
30003000
7878
8585
3131
830830
99
155155
12501250
104104
5151
30003000
6060
7878
3131
830830
99
140140
12501250
8787
3434
30003000
5454
2727
640640
88
113113
7777
2323
370370
5151
20002000 20012001 20022002 20032003 20042004 2006200620052005 20072007 20082008 20092009 20102010
Initial Ocean Observing System Milestones including international contributionsInitial Ocean Observing System Milestones including international contributions
Tide GaugesTide GaugesReal-time StationsReal-time StationsInitial GCOS SubsetInitial GCOS Subset
Surface Drifting BuoysSurface Drifting Buoys
Tropical Moored BuoysTropical Moored Buoys
Ships of OpportunityShips of Opportunity
Argo FloatsArgo Floats
Reference StationsReference Stations
Arctic SystemArctic System
System EvaluationSystem Evaluation
Ocean Carbon NetworkOcean Carbon Network
Dedicated Ship TimeDedicated Ship Time
High resolution and frequentlyHigh resolution and frequentlyrepeated lines occupiedrepeated lines occupied
Number of floatsNumber of floats
Number of mooringsNumber of moorings
Number of buoysNumber of buoys
Days at sea Days at sea (NOAA contribution)(NOAA contribution)
Product evaluation andProduct evaluation andfeedback loops implementedfeedback loops implemented(NOAA contribution)(NOAA contribution)
Repeat Sections Committed,Repeat Sections Committed,One inventory per 10 yearsOne inventory per 10 years
Number of observatories, flux,Number of observatories, flux,and ocean transport stationsand ocean transport stations
Ice buoys, drifting andIce buoys, drifting andMoored stationsMoored stations
807807 671671 779779 787787
2020 3131 544544
1515 2929 3535 3737 4141
11
00 11 11 22
53534848 6666100100888877775555Total System Total System 3030 3434 4040 4545
20002000 20012001 20022002 20032003 20042004 2006200620052005 20072007 20082008 20092009 20102010
System % CompleteSystem % Complete
33
4242 4949
340340
Base BudgetFY 06 President’s BudgetPlanning, Unfunded
3737343431313030303029292929
Multi-Year Program Plan
00 00
Implementation
SIO
UH
UM
UW
PMEL
JCOMM
64 Nations
ETL
SAINCDC
FSU
OCO
CEFAS
RGOOS
AOML
LDEO
WHOI
19 Centers of Expertise151 People
NDBCCO-OPS
JCOMMOPS
BBSR
In Situ System Funding:45% External41% OAR Labs10% NWS03% Private01% NESDIS + NOS
NCEP
PBA budget: $43.5 million.OCO managed budget:
•$23.6 million•104 funded projects
Target: 1250
79 % complete
Challenge: Deploy and maintain a sustained Challenge: Deploy and maintain a sustained array of 1250 surface drifting buoysarray of 1250 surface drifting buoys
Major Milestone
Drifter #1250September 2005
Challenge: Extending the tropical Challenge: Extending the tropical moored buoy network across the moored buoy network across the Indian OceanIndian Ocean
CLIVAR/GOOS Initial Indian Ocean moored array design
• Japan - 2 existing TRITON sites• India-USA deployed 4 ATLAS moorings November 2004
68% complete
TAO/TRITONTAO/TRITON PIRATAPIRATA
Challenge: Occupy 51 Ship-of-OpportunityHigh Resolution and Frequently Repeated XBT lines
AX07AX10
AX11
AX03
AX20
AX22
IX01
IX09IX10
IX12IX22
IX28
PX05
PX06 PX08
PX09
PX10
PX13PX17
PX18
PX30
PX31
PX34
PX37
PX38
PX40
PX44
PX50
AX08
AX18
AX25
AX29
AX34
IX06IX07 IX08
IX15
PX02
PX04PX11
IX21
PX21
PX36
PX81
SOOP: January-June 2004Well sampledOver sampledPartially sampledUnder sampledNot sampled HDXNot sampled FRX
AX15
24000 XBTs required per year18337 Present drops per year5663 Additional XBTs needed53 % complete
52% complete
Challenge: Achieve a global array of 3000 Challenge: Achieve a global array of 3000 profiling floats profiling floats
NOAA ContributionsNOAA Future
35% complete
Challenge: Deploy and maintain 89 Ocean Reference Stations.
Challenge: 10-year repeat Global Ocean Carbon Inventory Challenge: 10-year repeat Global Ocean Carbon Inventory and Deep Ocean Surveyand Deep Ocean Survey
The Existing System17 programs in the Atlantic9 programs in the Pacific2 programs in the Indian.
Challenge: design a pCO2 observing system for seasonal variability
Goal: 170 stations reporting in real timeand geocentrically located (presently 69)
170 Climate Reference Tide Gauge StationsCould Provide Tsunami Warning in Real Time
Challenge: Implement the GCOS Climate Reference Challenge: Implement the GCOS Climate Reference Tide Gauge Station NetworkTide Gauge Station Network
58% complete
Blue “Climate” Stations collected dataduring the December 2005 tsunami
Sites where Tsunami and Climate plans overlap -- potential for coordinationSites where Tsunami and Climate plans overlap -- potential for coordinationSites where Climate missions already deploy tsunami buoys routinelySites where Climate missions already deploy tsunami buoys routinely
Integrating Climate and Tsunami Buoy Support ServicesIntegrating Climate and Tsunami Buoy Support Services
System-wide Monitoring and System-wide Monitoring and Performance ReportingPerformance Reporting
Monthly Reports to the Department of Commerce:New Climate Observations Introduced
FY2004 Target: 275 new ARGO floats deployed;
FY2004 Actual: • 529 ARGO floats, • 792 total ocean observing platforms
Cu
mu
lati
ve o
bse
rvin
g
pla
tfo
rms
dep
loye
d
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Oct-04 Nov-04 Dec-04 Jan-05 Feb-05 Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05
Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05
Sep-05
Total Increase FY05 Target ARGO increase
FY2005 Target: 1013 new platforms deployed;
FY2005 Actual to date: • 203 ARGO floats, • 230 total ocean observing platforms
FY 2004
FY 2005
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Year
GPRA Goal
Requirement: 0.2°C - 0.5°C
Requirement: 0.2°C - 0.5°C accuracy; 500km horizontal resolution; 25 samples per week (GOOS/GCOS, 1999)
Performance Measure: Reduce the error in global measurement of Sea Surface Temperature
Metric: Potential satellite bias error (degrees Celsius)
Observing System Status: 2004, Q4.Sea Surface Temperature
Drifting BuoysMoored BuoysShipsTotal
Goal:100% Global Coverage
100
80
60
40
20
0
Percent of 5x5 Boxes with 25 Observations per Week
Requirement: All boxes blue
Drifting Buoys + Moored Buoys + Weighted Ship Observations
Ship observations not shown
Evaluate EffectivenessEvaluate Effectiveness
Surface Drifting Buoys
Coastal Moored Buoys
Data and Assimilation Subsystems
Product Delivery
Dedicated Ship Operations,Ocean Carbon and Hydrographic Surveys
Satellites,Sea Surface Temperature, Sea Surface Height, Surface Vector Wind, Ocean Color, and Sea Ice
Tropical Moored Buoys
Volunteer Observing Ships,Ships of Opportunity
Argo Profiling Floats
Tide Gauge Stations
Ocean Reference Stationsand Ocean Transport Monitoring
Surface Drifting Buoys
Coastal Moored Buoys
Ice Buoys
Data and Assimilation Subsystems
Product Delivery
System OperationsClick on System Buttons for links to Country Contributions
and International Programs
Global Ocean Observing System for Climateand Marine Services
1. Links to International Program Web Site(s)
2. Links to National Center(s) Web Sites
www.jcommops.org/network_status
Standard Base Map• Equidistant Cylindrical Projection• 90N to 90S• Broken at 30 E• Evaluation Key: Blue-is-good to Red-is-bad• Measurement Key: Blue for low values, Red for high values• Depth Key: Blue for deep, Red for surface
Funding to Meet Funding to Meet Implementation TargetsImplementation Targets
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
1 2 3 4
Climate Observation Program
Overhead
Manage
Analysis
Data & Assim
Argos Data
Ships
Rain Gauges
SURFRAD
Carbon
Ice Buoys
Ref Stations
Argo
TAO/PIRATA
Ships of Opp
Drifters
Tide GaugesFY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005
$ K$23,578
$20,792
$15,319$13,404
FY 2006 Budget PlanningFY 2006 Budget Planning• Ocean Observations for Climate (+$3.5 Ocean Observations for Climate (+$3.5 million)million)
– Incremental advancements across all networksIncremental advancements across all networks• Sea levelSea level
– Tide gauge stations --Real-time GCOS Reference StationsTide gauge stations --Real-time GCOS Reference Stations
• Ocean carbonOcean carbon– pCO2 on ships and buoyspCO2 on ships and buoys– Dedicated ship time for Carbon/CLIVAR surveyDedicated ship time for Carbon/CLIVAR survey
• Ocean Heat and Fresh WaterOcean Heat and Fresh Water– Dedicated ship time for Ocean Reference StationsDedicated ship time for Ocean Reference Stations– More Ship of Opportunity HRX linesMore Ship of Opportunity HRX lines– Surface Salinity on drifters.Surface Salinity on drifters. Ships? Ships?– Automated met stations on VOS?Automated met stations on VOS?– Gliders? Moorings?Gliders? Moorings?– Ice Mass Balance Buoys?Ice Mass Balance Buoys?
• Tropical Buoy Expansion (+$3.2 million)Tropical Buoy Expansion (+$3.2 million)• Indian Ocean -- 50% of the arrayIndian Ocean -- 50% of the array• Next Generation Technology developmentNext Generation Technology development• Salinity on TAOSalinity on TAO• TAO/PIRATA Ocean Reference StationsTAO/PIRATA Ocean Reference Stations• PIRATA extensionsPIRATA extensions
Ocean Analysis and Expert TeamOcean Analysis and Expert TeamQuestions from last year’s Annual Questions from last year’s Annual
System ReviewSystem Review• Should we undertake a program of Should we undertake a program of
ocean analysis? ocean analysis? YESYES• What percent of the budget is What percent of the budget is
reasonable? reasonable? 20% of ‘04 increase?20% of ‘04 increase?• Do you favor:Do you favor:
– Seven Teams?Seven Teams?– One Team?One Team? ONE TEAMONE TEAM– Phased, community-wide workshop Phased, community-wide workshop
approach?approach?
Following the OCO Annual System Review
C&GC and Climate Monitoring Working Groups
Duck Key, April 2004
– An integrated observing system strategy must include observations and subsequent analysis components
Next Question:
– Where is the boundary between the Observing System in the context of total climate services?
– I.e., what should be funded in the Observing System Box and what should be funded by other Climate Programs?
– Pilot projects will help answer this programmatic issue.
• Pilot projects in 7 of the 8 products areas.• Partnership with NCEP to deliver GODAS Model
Products.
Suite of Ocean Analysis Products
• Sea level to identify changes resulting from climate variability.• Ocean carbon content every ten years and the air-sea exchange
seasonally.• Sea surface temperature and surface currents to identify
significant patterns of climate variability.• Sea surface pressure and air-sea exchanges of heat, momentum,
and fresh water to identify changes in forcing functions driving ocean conditions and atmospheric conditions.
• Ocean heat and fresh water content and transports to:– identify changes in the global water cycle– identify changes in thermohaline circulation and monitor for
indications of possible abrupt climate change– identify where anomalies enter the ocean, how they move
and are transformed, and where they re-emerge to interact with the atmosphere.
• Sea ice thickness and concentrations.
GODAS Model Products1. EMC data files in WMO standard GRIB format2. CPC plots, data, and intercomparisons
• Global X-Y Plots– OI SST– Temperature at 5 meter depth– Sea level height– Sea level pressure– Surface ocean current– Surface wind stress– Surface net heat flux– Surface net fresh water flux– Depth of 20 degree thermocline– Mixing layer depth– Heat storage in the upper 400 meters
• Vertical Section Plots– Temperature at Equator– Zonal current at equator– Temperature and meridional current at 165E– Temperature and meridionla current at 140W– Temperature and meridional current at 110W– Temperature and meridional current at 30W
• Hovmoeller Plots (Time-Longitude Plots averaged at 2S-2N)– OI SST– Sea level height– Sea level pressure– Zonal wind stress– Depth of 20 degree thermocline
• Observation Data Distribution– Temperature
• XBT• Argo• TAO/TRITON• PIRATA
– Salinity• Argo
– Altimetry sea level
• Model and Observation Intercomparison– Temperature
• XBT• Argo• TAO/TRITON• PIRATA
– Salinity• Argo
FY 2006 CTB Partnership: Proposals to enhance and evaluate the NOAA operational global ocean analysis system and products. LOIs to CTB due May 20.
Thank YouThank You
photo courtesy of MeteoFrance