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WEM Equity US Actively Managed Portfolio

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Page 1: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

WEM Equity USActively Managed Portfolio

Page 2: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920
Page 3: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

WEM is a dynamic and innovative company

1

Our clients have trusted us with care for their financial life for over 10 years. International experience combined with the long-term familiarity with the Slovak financial market enables us to bring our clients the same standard and quality of care that is common on mature Western markets. We build on traditional values such as honesty and trust. We believe that only a high moral credit of our team can secure our clients su�cient protection of their property in any life situation.

To reach the highest level of professionalism and transparency we have founded the company WEM o.c.p., which is part of the WEM Group. The investment firm enables us to create products and services of unique character.

Page 4: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

WEM Equity USBasic characteristics of an investment

Geographic orientationUSA

BenchmarkIndex S&P 500

Riskiness„6“ higher risk

Target Gross Profitability> 10 % p.a.*

Investment time span Minimum deposit15.000,- EUR

2

*calculated based on simulated and historical performance and before deduction of fees, commissions and before tax

3 years

Page 5: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

Rozšírené charakteristiky investície

Investičný horizont: 3 roky

Referenčná mena: USD

Typy rizík: Menové, akciové a trhové riziko

Kapitálová záruka: Nie

Zaistenie (hedging): Realizované v prípade potreby

Likvidita: 100% (pri obvyklých trhových podmienkach)

Efektivita investície: Sharpe Ratio 1,80* Štandardardná odchýlka 12,82%*Monte Carlo VaR 95% 1d 0,97% / 1m 4,56%**

"6"vyššie riziko

1 2 3 4 5 76

Nižšie riziko = nižšie výnosy Vyššie riziko = vyššie výnosy

3

*

**

Zdaňovanie: Akciové investície vlastnené dlhšie ako 1 rok sú v SR oslobodené od dani z kapitálových ziskov

Simulované VaR metódou Monte Carlo; VaR = pravdepodobnosť, že portfólio nevytvorí vyššiu stratu v rámci stanoveného časového intervalu: deň/mesiac; počítané dňa 24.11.2017

Počítané na základe simulovanej výkonnosti v minulosti na časovej perióde 5 rokov od 24.11.2012 do 23.11.2017 (výpočet štandardnej odchýlky je anualizovaný)

Rizikovosť investície:

Detailed characteristics of an investment

Types of risks: FX risk, Firm specific risk, Market risk

Capital guarantee: No

Hedging: Realised in case of need

Liquidity: 100% (at standard market conditions)

"6"higher risk

1 2 3 4 5 76

Lower risk = lower yields Higher risk = higher yields

3

*

**

Simulated VaR (in EUR), Monte Carlo method used; VaR = the probability that the portfolio will not generate a higher loss within a specified time interval

Calculated based on simulated and historical performance in the past at a 5-year time period from 2 January 2014 to 2 January 2019 (calculation of the standard deviation is annualised)

Rozšírené charakteristiky investície

Investičný horizont: 2 roky Referenčná mena: EUR

Typy rizík: Trhové riziko, riziko defaultu emitenta, úrokové riziko,riziko nízkej likvidity, politické a geopolitické riziko

Kapitálová záruka: Nie

Likvidita: 100% (pri obvyklých trhových podmienkach)

Durácia portfólia: 7,2

Efektivita investície: Sharpe Ratio 1,16*

Štandardardná odchýlka 3,79%*Monte Carlo VaR 95% 1d 0,33% / 1m 1,56%**

"3"nižšie riziko

1 2 3 4 5 7

Nižšie riziko = nižšie výnosy Vyššie riziko = vyššie výnosy

3

*

**

Zdaňovanie: Akciové investície vlastnené dlhšie ako 1 rok sú v SR oslobodené od dani z kapitálových ziskov

Simulované VaR metódou Monte Carlo; VaR = pravdepodobnosť, že portfólio nevytvorí vyššiu stratu v rámci stanoveného časového intervalu: deň/mesiac; počítané dňa 24.11.2017

Počítané na základe simulovanej výkonnosti v minulosti na časovej perióde 5 rokov od 24.11.2012 do 23.11.2017 (výpočet štandardnej odchýlky je anualizovaný)

3 6

Druh aktív: Štátne cenné papiere vydanévládami krajín Eurozóny

Rizikovosť investície:

Ideal time span: 3 years

Reference currency: USD

E�ciency of investment: Sharpe Ratio 1,28*

Standard Deviation 17,28%*Monte Carlo VaR 95% 1d 1,79% / 1m 8,38%**

Riskiness of investment:

Page 6: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

4

Comparison of the cumulated overall appreciation of the American shares and bonds investment, and of the US money marked investment, in USD for the past 117 years. The value of the invested USD 1 in shares in 1900 increased to USD 47,661 (USD 1,654 after deducting inflation) in 2017; in case of bonds, to USD 293 (USD 10.2 after deducting inflation) and in case of money marked, to USD 74 (USD 2.6 after deduction of inflation) in 2017. The investment revenues are provided before

deduction of fees and commissions, and before taxation.

Source: Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, and Mike Staunton, Triumph of the Optimists, Princeton University Press, 2002, and subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton)

0,1

1

10

100

1 000

1900

1905

1910

1915

1920

1925

1930

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

47 661

74

293

10 000

100 000

29

Bonds USA4,9% p.a.

Equities USA9,6% p.a.

Bills USA 3,7% p.a.

Inflation USA 2,9% p.a.

Page 7: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

5

Vanguard Dividend Growth Fund (VDIGX US) 13,09% p.a. Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund (FBGRX US) 14,75% p.a.

WEM Equity US 20,14% p.a. Pioneer Funds - North American Basic Value (PIONABV LX) 8,76% p.a.

STOXX Europe 600 (SXXP Index) 3,95% p.a.

Comparison of the simulated and historical (from 1 January 2018) cumulative percentage performance of the WEM Equity US portfolio over the past five years with selected TOP managed open-ended mutual funds from the US (with an investment strategy focused exclusively on US stocks, including reinvested dividends) and a selected major pan-European equity index. All revenues are converted into EUR currency and are shown before deduction of fees and commissions, and before tax.

The brackets refer to Bloomberg Ticker. Source: Bloomberg Professional Terminal

The presented data refer to the past. Profitability in the past is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Jan

- 14

Apr - 14

Jul -

14

Oct -

14

Jan

- 15

Apr - 15

Jul -

15

Oct -

15

Jan

- 16

Apr - 16

Jul -

16

Oct -

16

Jan

- 17

Apr - 17

Jun

- 17

Oct -

17

Jan

- 18

Apr - 18

Jun

- 18

Oct -

18

Dec -

18

175%

125%

75%

25%

-10%

150%

100%

50%

Page 8: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

6

Investment Goal

The goal of the portfolio is to steadily surpass the benchmark (known as positive “Alpha”).

Portfolio management is executed on the basis of Markowitz Portfolio Theory which sees to achieve “product diversification” - minimization of the portfolio’s risks while preserving its yields.

The portfolio invests in a selected and limited number of company shares, selected by a fundamental analysis. Prior to selecting the companies, a selection of industrial sectors with the potential to surpass the growth of the US GDP is e�ectuated. This selection is followed by the selection of key companies within the sectors, which are expected to contribute to the growth of each given sector the most.

The portfolio consist exclusively of shares quoted on the NYSE and NASDAQ stock exchange, with market capitalization over 10 billion USD. The portfolio value is formed by: capital yield, dividend yield and yield from the movement of currency pairs. Of the total value of the portfolio, the majority will always invest in shares, the remaining amount will always be the exclusive cash.

Page 9: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

7

Instruments ofPortfolio Management

The main instrument of our Portfolio Management is Bloomberg Professional Terminal. The Bloomberg Company is among the world’s TOP companies in providing financial information on a global level.

Bloomberg Terminal enables e ective administration of the stock portfolio, for it o ers complex real- time information about both the financial and non-financial development of various types of assets, crucial information about individual economies, data about stock and other financial indices, analysts’ comments, qualified prognoses, analyses, etc.

Speaking from the experience of a portfolio manager who has been using the system for many years, (especially its “PORT, PRTU a EMSX” function designed specifically for e�ective portfolio management), it is feasible to surpass the global Benchmark and reach high yields comparable to the TOP global financial administrators, even in Slovakia.

Page 10: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

8

Description of portfolio stocks

VISA INC-CLASS A SHARES Visa Inc., a payments technology company, operates as a retail electronic payments network worldwide.

APPLE INCApple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets mobile communication and media devices, personal computers, watches, and portable digital music players worldwide.

FACEBOOKFacebook, Inc. operates as a social networking company worldwide.

ORACLE CORPOracle Corporation develops, manufactures, markets, sells, hosts, and supports database and middleware software, application software, cloud infrastructure, hardware systems, and related services worldwide.

ALPHABET INC-CL AAlphabet Inc., through its subsidiaries, builds technology products and provides services to organize the information. The company o ers Google Search that provides information online.

WORKDAY INC-CLASS AWorkday, Inc. provides enterprise cloud applications for finance and human resources in the United States and internationally. It o ers applications for customers to manage critical business functions that enable them to optimize their financial and human capital resources.

Page 11: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

9

MCDONALD'S CORPMcDonald's Corporation operates and franchises McDonald's restaurants globally.

AMAZON.COM INCAmazon.com, Inc. operates as an online retailer globally. It operates Amazon Web Services (AWS) segments. The company serves consumers through retail websites, such as amazon.com.

DR HORTON INCD.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company. It is engaged in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 27 states and 79 markets in the United States.

BERKSHIREHATHAWAY INC-CL BBerkshire Hathaway, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. Through its subsidiaries, the firm primarily engages in the insurance and reinsurance of property and casualty risks business.

UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCUnitedHealth Group operates as a diversified health and well-being company in the United States. The company’s UnitedHealthcare segment o ers consumer-oriented health benefit plans and services for national employers, public sector employers, mid-sized employers, small businesses, and individuals; and health care coverage, and health and well-being services to individuals aged 50 and older.

WAL-MART STORES INCWal-Mart Stores, Inc. operates retail stores in various formats worldwide.

Page 12: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

10

175%

150%

125%

100%

75%

50%

25%

-10%

Comparison of the simulated and historical (from 1 January 2018) cumulated percentage performance of the WEM Equity US portfolio over the last five years with the major US stock index (including reinvested dividends). All revenues are converted into the EUR currency and are shown before deduction of fees and commissions, and

before tax. The brackets refer to Bloomberg Ticker. Source: Bloomberg Professional Terminal

The presented data refer to the past. Profitability in the past is not a reliable indicator of future results.

WEM Equity US20,14% p.a.

S&P 500 Index (SPX Index)12,62% p.a.

Jan

- 14

Apr - 14

Jul -

14

Oct -

14

Jan

- 15

Apr - 15

Jul -

15

Oct -

15

Jan

- 16

Apr - 16

Jul -

16

Oct -

16

Jan

- 17

Apr - 17

Jun

- 17

Oct -

17

Jan

- 18

Apr - 18

Jun

- 18

Oct -

18

Dec -

18

Page 13: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

11Jan

- 14

Apr - 14

Jul -

14

Oct -

14

Jan

- 15

Apr - 15

Jul -

15

Oct -

15

Jan

- 16

Jul -

16

Oct -

16

Jan

- 17

Apr - 17

Jul -

17

Oct -

17

Jan

- 18

Apr - 18

Jul -

18

Apr - 16

Oct -

18

Portfolio “Alpha”

Simulated and historical (from 1 January 2018) performance of the portfolio in the past, statistical information on the portfolio, parameter "Alpha" and potential

portfolio loss in case of repeating selected negative economic events

From 1/1/2014 to 31/12/2018 (5 years)From 1/1/2015 to 31/12/2018 (4 years)From 1/1/2016 to 31/12/2018 (3 years)From 1/1/2017 to 31/12/2018 (2 years)From 1/1/2018 to 31/12/2018 (1 year)

149,6%90,3%56,4%34,1%8,6%

20,1% p.a.17,4% p.a.16,1% p.a.15,8% p.a.8,6% p.a.

For 2014For 2015For 2016For 2017For 2018

31,9%22,3%16,6%23,6%8,6%

Portfolio Profit for Individual Periods:

*All revenues are converted into EUR and before deduction of fees, commissions and before tax

Number of DaysPercentage RatioAverage PerformanceStandard DeviationLongest Sequence (Days)Average Sequence (Days)

72455,5%0,77%0,71%

132,19

58044,5%-0,79%0,78%

91,76

Best 1Best 2Best 3Worst 1Worst 2Worst 3

5,7%4,6%4,2%

-6,3%-4,6%-4,3%

26/12/201826/08/201527/08/201524/08/201521/08/201510/10/2018

Stock Market Crash in Japan 1989/1990Financial Crisis in the US 2008/2009The Emerging Markets Crisis 1998"Black Monday" 1987Lehman Brothers Bankruptcy in 2008

-22,5%-20,6%-20,2%-20,0%-14,2%

Profit Loss P/L Date The impact of events on the portfolio: Loss

US Debt Ceiling Risk 2011 -13,5%

cumulative Profit / Loss for individual years: p.a. PORT

26,9%9,8%12,8%4,8%-1,6%

SPX

70%

50%

30%

10%

Dec -

18

Page 14: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

Our Team

Martin VozárPortfolio Manager, Member of Board

Peter ŠtadlerChairman of the Board of Directors

Tomáš KrálovičCompliance o�cer

Michal KováčFront-o�ce, Member of the BoS

Matej BašťovanskýConsultancy Services, Member of the BoS

Bruno GábelBack-o�ce, Member of the BoS

linkedin.com/in/vozar-martin/ linkedin.com/in/peterstadler/ linkedin.com/in/tomaskralovic/

linkedin.com/in/kovac-michal/ linkedin.com/in/matej-bastovansky/ linkedin.com/in/bruno-gabel/

Page 15: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

Type of DocumentThis document represents an investment survey by the company Wealth E�ect Management o.c.p., a.s., seat: Prievozská 4C, 821 09 Bratislava, ID No.: 51 127 113, registered in the Business Register of the District Court Bratislava I., Section: Sa, File No.: 6652/B, in accordance with § 73c and the related law no. 566/2001 Coll. of Laws on shares and investment services and amending certain other acts, as amended. This investment survey serves only for informative purposes and information provided in it is neither investment advice nor personal recommendation.

The investment strategy presented in this investment survey does not have to be suitable or appropriate for each client or a potential client, depending on their familiarity with and experience in the field of investment concerning the particular investment strategy, their financial situation, including ability to bear losses, and on their risk tolerance, and investment objective.

Risk WarningsInvestment in financial tools included in the investment strategy presented in this investment survey is connected with risk. The investment value and the revenue from it can fall as well as rise and there is no guarantee of return of the originally invested sum. Profitability in the past is not a reliable indicator of future profitability. This document cannot be taken as an explanation of all risks connected with investment in the particular investment strategy and the related financial tools or with use of an investment service. All risks presented in this document can combine, which can result in a higher total risk connected with the particular investment. Due to the fact that the investor´s property is invested in shares according to a particular investment strategy, the investment is subject to risks concerning share investment.This document is property of the company Wealth E�ect Management o.c.p., a.s. Any further use, reproduction, publishing, copying of this document or any of its part is subject to prior approval of the company.

Page 16: WEM Equity US...subsequent research (Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2018, Summary Edition – Dimson, Marsh, Staunton) 0,1 1 10 100 1 000 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920

Apollo Business Center II, blok DPrievozska 4/C

821 09 Bratislava

www.wemocp.com

Wealth E�ect Management o.c.p., a.s.