westar regional haze 2018 sip planning
DESCRIPTION
WESTAR Regional Haze 2018 SIP Planning. Karin Landsberg Alaska DEC, Air Quality November 2013. Assignment. Prepare a comprehensive project plan for 2018 regional haze SIPs Identify Steps Timeline Resources. Background. Next round of Regional Haze SIPs are due in 2018 - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Assignment
• Prepare a comprehensive project plan for 2018 regional haze SIPs
• Identify– Steps– Timeline– Resources
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Background
• Next round of Regional Haze SIPs are due in 2018
• Workgroup meeting every 2 weeks since August – Identify the regional technical work and associated
policy issues
• Work products– Overview flow chart (completed)– Excel Timeline (completed)– Narrative plan (in progress)
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Technical Worko Reevaluate/recalculate natural conditions• Reasonable progress analysis similar to 5-year progress reports• Sector emission inventories for baseline, 2018, 2028
– Need consistency between states and years to compareo Special emission inventory studies
o Oil and Gaso Canada and Mexicoo Marine/Offshore/Globalo Dusto Wildfire averageo Ammonia
• Regional modeling analyses– Meteorological, emission, dispersion and chemistry
• Four-factor analysis for source categories
4 Must haves, Nice to haves
Timeline Overview
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*General guidance from EPA to cover•Developing how to develop long-term strategy “post-BART”•Integrating NAAQS planning with RH planning•Clarification about controllable/non-controllable sources, e.g., fire
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
5/17Regional Work Completed
1/15Need 4-Factor Guidance from EPA
7/13 - 12/13Develop Plan
7/17 - 8/17FLM
1/14 - 3/15Inventories and Studies
5/17 - 7/18State Adoption Process
6/16 - 3/17Progress Updates & Finalize Controls
1/14 - 3/14Identify Studies
1/15 - 12/16Modeling & 4-Factor Analysis
7/18Submit SIPs to EPA
7/13Planning Work Started
7/14General Guidance from EPA*
11/13Funding?
Core Issues
1. Simplify Progress Report Requirements– not as SIP revision
2. Natural Conditions and Reasonable Progress Goals
3. Long-term Strategies after BART– 4-Factor Analysis
4. Integrate Planning– relationship with NAAQS planning
5. Consideration of visitation6
Funding
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• 2000-2007 WRAP funding = $23.1 M• 2003-2006 WRAP expenditures – 80% technical and related policy work– 20% for staff, travel, meetings, calls, overhead
• Expect can do it for much less this time– Not yet sure exactly how much is needed– May need to evaluate what can be done with
given funding levels
Funding
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Major Work Areas Basic * Value-added
IMPROVE Monitoring Data Analysis
Revised 2064 Natural Conditions targets
Analysis of Baseline Emissions Year (2008 or 2011), 2018 controls on-the-books, 2028 projections
Emissions control analysis projects (4-factor, others)
Regional modeling using EPA projection guidance for 2028 reasonable progress targets for SIPs
Improvements to Technical Support System to support State Plans
Staff + Project Management (travel, meetings, etc.)
Total
*Minimum Regional Costs to Develop 2018 Haze Plans
Policy and Funding Issues
• Uncertainty of EPA actions – what and when– Rule revisions and/or guidance– Responses to Core Issues presented in August
• Funding?– How will budget affect work plan
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Next Steps
• For timeline workgroup– Complete plan in next few months– Review funding available and revise plan as needed
• For regional analysis work– Decide if region will reconsider natural conditions– Immediately start emission inventories and special
studies – In absence of EPA guidance, develop approach for 4-
factor analysis “beyond BART,” and NAAQS integration • Propose several small work groups to address specific issues
– Natural conditions– 4-factor analysis post-BART– NAAQS integration
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Thank you!
• Al Newman (WA)• Anya Caudill (WA)• Bob Lebens (WESTAR)• Brian Finneran (OR)• Clint Bowman (WA)• Colleen Delaney (UT)• Curt Taipale (CO)• Jeni Cederle (WY)• Lisa Tomczak (AZ)
• Mark Berger (UT)• Tina Suarez-Murias (CA)• Tom Moore (WRAP)• Patrick Barickman (UT)• Rick Boddicker (SD)• Ryan Templeton (AZ)• And anyone I may have
forgotten
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Contact Info
Karin LandsbergNon-Point Section Manager
Air Quality Division
Department of Environmental Conservation
907-269-4913
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