westportanalystdayoct132011-cwi-111017191615-phpapp02
TRANSCRIPT
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Explore Every Alternative.
WPT Analyst Day
October 13, 2011
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Cummins Westport Inc. (CWI) is a Joint Ventureof Westport & Cummins
Cummins Inc.
“CWI”
Cummins Westport Inc.
50/50
Cummins Inc.Westport
Innovations Inc.
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CWI: JV is Fully integrated within Cummins
3
ProductEngineering
Cummins Tech Center Cummins VPI Process
Cummins AccountTeams & Distributors
Manufacturing
Warranty
Cummins Plants
Parts& Service Cummins Distributors
Sales
Cummins Warranty
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Cummins Westport Inc.30,000 Automotive Engines Delivered
4
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5
Market Leader Alternative Fueled Engines
2001 – Cummins Westport Inc. - Joint Venture formed. 2001 - First engine certified EPA 2004 (C Gas Plus) 1.8 g/bhp-hr.
2002 – B Gas Plus introduced
2004 – Joint Venture Amended to focus on SI 6-9L NG engines
2004 – L Gas Plus 8.9 litre engine introduced at 1.5 g/bhp-hr
2005 – B Gas International introduced – production at CIL and DCEC
2007 – First 2010 compliant HD engine – ISL G – 0.2 g/bhp-hr.
• Stoichiometric EGR combustion
• Three Way Catalyst
2008/10 – Conventional Truck OEM availability
2011 – 10th Year Anniversary of Joint Venture
2011 – 10,000 ISL G engine delivered
2011 – 30,000 NG engine delivered
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Sales revenues have grown from $28m to $117mwhile PBIT has improved from ~7% to 23%
6
$27.5
$34.0
$45.4
$66.4
$92.9
$101.5
$117.1
7.0% 5.1%
9.4%
14.6%
10.0%
15.7%
23.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
$-
$20.0
$40.0
$60.0
$80.0
$100.0
$120.0
$140.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
% o f S a l e
s
$ M i l l i o n s
Revenue
PBIT%
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CWI Historical Performance
CWI’s revenues have grown at a 27% CAGR since being reformed in 2004,
driven by a mixture of new products, new market segments, and newregions.
The U.S. market has been the largest growth opportunity for CWI (75% of unit volume and 77% of revenues in 2010), but India and Latin America
have also been key growth regions.
Initially focused on bus opportunities, the truck and refuse segments nowgenerate >40% of CWI’s unit volumes. The ISL G has enabled this growthin truck/refuse.
Profitability has improved over five years. PBIT has increased from ~7% to23% as a result of improved product reliability and SAR management.
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Why Natural Gas Trucks and Buses?
Environmental Leadership ISL G Met Regulated 2010 EPA/Euro EEV in 2007
20% Lower greenhouse gas emissions
Energy Security
Reduced reliance on oil
Biomethane capable
Economic Benefits
Improved Reliability
Improved Efficiency
Lower total fuel costs
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CWI Market Strategy
Develop, build and support great engines
Create wide OEM availability
Leverage Cummins OEM, Distributor, Dealer
Networks Engage with NG Industry to support customer
adoption
Develop strong relationships with key customers
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CWI’s Key Growth Strategies
Product line expansion NA truck market penetration
China OEM export strategy
Develop availability with integrated OEM’s
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CWI Growth – 2001 to 2010
12
15%
7%
75%
3%
North America
Latin America
EMEAAsia
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2 0 0 1
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 3
2 0 0 4
2 0 0 5
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
CWI Volume Growth Source of Growth
75% of volume growth since 2001has been driven by North America
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North America sales history is complex. Manyevents have helped shape CWI’s results.
13
855 852
1,175
1,684
3,340
2,429
2,901
3,390
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F
U n i t s
CWI Sales in Americas
DetroitExits
Highway Bill
Fuel Credit
ISL G
Launch
DeereExits
Energy BillVehicle Credit
LA/LB PortIncentives
Prop 1BSB Funding
Refuse Market!
CreditsEnd
$0.75 $1.88$1.75NG Price Advantage (DGE) $0.40 $0.92
???
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Natural gas market drivers – Rings of Value
Gov’tMandates
Emissions SensitiveCustomers
High fueluse vehicles
Low/Medium fueluse vehicles
SCAQMD
fleet rules
Segment minimized withNOx / PM parity Growing“green” image of NG
• Transit• Refuse• HD Truck
• MD Truck• School bus• Walk in van
Economic MarketBoundary(no incentives)
Emissions MarketBoundary(current technology)
14
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CWI International Product Line
5.9 Litre Lean Burn195–230 hp420–500 lb-ftEURO V, EEV
8.3 Litre Lean Burn250-280 hp660-850 lb-ftEURO IV
8.9 Litre
Stoich EGR250-320 hp660-1000 lb-ftEuro EEV,EPA 2010
LNG
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CWI engines in International Markets
Majority of CWI’s international sales are for Transit Bus applications
Liaz Bus - Russia
Ashok Leyland - India
PVI-Renault – France
BMC - Turkey
Solaris - Sweden
PVI-Renault – France
Tata - India
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Success – Peru
Identified attractive dynamics early
– Corridor project, natural gas plentiful
Built relationships with governmentagencies
– National, state, local, public
transportation
Created OEM availability in market
– Local OEMs initially unresponsive,pulled in Chinese OEMs first
Convinced fleets & OEMs that CMIchannel is capable.
– Local Cummins distributor support keyto project
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Chinese OEM’s Domestic OEM’s
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Global Products - 2011
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• 2007 - 1st Heavy Duty Engine Certified
2010 EPA
• 2008 - # 1 Natural Gas Engine in Transit
• 2009 - #1 Natural Gas Engine in Refuse
• 2010 - #1 Natural Gas Engine in
Conventional Truck
•2011 - 10,000th ISL G delivered
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CWI Combustion TechnologySpark Ignited Stoichiometric with Cooled EGR
20
TThree Way
Catalyst
O2
Sensor
EGR Cooler
C h a
r g e A i r C o o l e r
O2
Sensor
Throttle
Fuel
Spark Ignited
Spark
Plug
• Fuel and air are premixedoutside the cylinder
• Spark plug ignites the mixture
• Air flow controls fuel flow
• Air/Fuel ratio controls emissions
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Aftertreatment Comparison: ISL G systemis simple compared to 2010 Diesel
21
Cummins TWC
HeatedUrea Tank
Urea
Dosing
Control
Unit
ECM
SCR Catalyst Particulate Filter
(diesel)
ISL G
(natural gas)
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Established ISL G Applications
REFUSEBUS
Traditional hub and spoke public operations arefoundation of natural gas fleet penetration
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Transit ISL G Availability
Top North American CNG Transit Fleetsover
8,000engines in
service
LAMTA, Los Angeles, CA OCTA, Orange County, CA Big Blue Bus, Santa Monica, CA
TransLink, Vancouver, BC NY / Long Island Transit, NY San Diego Transit, CA
Foothills Transit, SanGabriel Valley, CA
RTC Transit, Las Vegas, NV HSR, Hamilton, ONT
Fort Worth, TX Santa Clara, CA
Tacoma, WA St. Louis, MO
OEM New Flyer NABI Orion ElDorado Gillig
Model 30/35/40 Low Floor 35/40 Low Floor
60 BRT
Orion V HF
Orion VII LF
EZ Rider II 30/35/40 LowFloor
Fuel CNG CNG CNG LNG/CNG CNG
Engine ISLG 280 ISLG 280
ISL G 320
ISL G 280 ISLG 280 ISLG 280
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Transit bus demand is lumpy. Large fleet tenders drivevolumes, but demand hibernates until next tender.
Turkey2012?
Algeria2013
Serbia2012
Madrid2013
Moscow2013
Venezuela2011 +
Dallas2013+
NewYork2011+
Thailand2,013?
24
Los Angles2013 -16
Sweden
2010+
ChinaMultiplefleets
Peru2010+
Pakistan2012+
India2010+
■CWI captures ROW opportunities primarily throughexporting Chinese OEM’s, 2 tier European OEM’s, and
India domestic manufacturing.
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North America Transit Bus SummaryAPTA Data
Bus Deliveries Total Fleet
Avg
Fleet
Age % Diesel # Buses % CNG # Buses % Hybrid # Buses Trolley Fuel Cell
2005 4527 16% 724 82,027 7.5 85.1% 69,805 13.8% 11,320 1% 902
2006 4673 21% 972 83,080 7.5 83.1% 69,039 15.2% 12,628 2% 1,412
2007 3590 22% 804 65,249 7.5 82.1% 53,569 15.6% 10,179 2% 1,501
2008 2562 32% 810 66,506 7.5 77.7% 51,675 18.5% 12,304 4% 2,527
2009 3912 30% 1189 64,832 7.5 76.8% 49,791 18.3% 11,864 5% 3,177
2010 -
2005 1393 10% 145 12,566 96% 12,043 1.6% 197 0% 50 276
2006 944 13% 126 13,035 95% 12,425 1.5% 197 1% 137 276
2007 1240 25% 313 13,468 94% 12,723 1.3% 180 2% 300 265
2008 1302 32% 416 13,905 92% 12,770 1.2% 163 5% 716 256
2009 1277 22% 283 15,121 91% 13,706 0.9% 138 7% 999 258 20
2010
2005 5920 15% 869 94,593 87% 81,848 15.4% 11,517 1% 952 276
2006 5617 20% 1098 96,115 85% 81,464 16.7% 12,825 3% 1,549 276
2007 4830 23% 1117 78,717 84% 66,292 16.9% 10,359 5% 1,801 265
2008 3864 32% 1226 80,411 80% 64,445 19.7% 12,467 9% 3,243 256
2009 5189 28% 1472 79,953 79% 63,497 19.2% 12,002 12% 4,176 258 20
AVG 5084
Alt Fuel
(incl Hybrid)
North America
USA
Canada
Annual North American build rate is approx 5-6000 new units per year
Natural gas share ranges from 15-25%
CWI has had success supplying ISL Gs to the natural gas bus mid life repower market
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Truck Classifications
CLASS Typical Vehicles Engine
5 ISB6.7
6ISB6.7
ISL G
7ISL G
ISX11.9 G
8ISL G
ISX11.9 G
26
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Two Types of Refuse Collection Trucks
Cab Over Conventional
Majority of market build is cab over Truck OEM’s build chassis and ship truck to “body builders”(McNeilus, Heil, Labrie etc) , who install collection system Body builders also install NG fuel systems.
Autocar/McNeilus
Freightliner/Labrie
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Cab Over Refuse Truck AvailabilityOEM AutoCar Mack Peterbilt American
Lafrance
Crane Carrier
Model Xpeditor TerraPro LE
Terra Pro CO
320 Condor LET
Fuel LNG/CNG LNG/CNG LNG/CNG LNG/CNG LNG/CNG
Engine ISLG 320 ISLG 320 ISL G 320 ISL G 320 ISLG 320
.
LNGOR
over
4,000engines in
service
North America Refuse FleetsCity of Los Angeles, CA Cit of Toronto Miller Waste, Ont
Republic Service City of Sacramento, CA EMI, Que
Specialty Solid Waste Long Island, NY City of Surrey, BC
City of New York Smithtown, NY
Denver, CO Waste Management(MN, WA & BC)
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North America Refuse Truck Summary
Annual North American build rate is approx 5,000 to 8,000 new units per year
CWI market share has ramped to 15-20% in 2010 as a result of ISL G success
Stronger penetration expected as Refuse market adopts NG as key competitive strategy
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30
Truck OEM’sOEM Freightliner Peterbilt Kenworth Volvo
Model M2 – 112
SD - 114
320
384
365
T800SH
W900S
T440
T470
VNM
Engine ISLG 320
ISL G 300
ISL G 320 ISLG 320 ISL G 320
Application 6x4 Tractor
4x2 Tractor
4x2 Truck
6x2 Truck
Vocational
Tractor
Vocational
Mixer
Tractor
Vocational
Mixer
Tractor
(New OEM in 2011)
LNGOR
over
1,200engines in
service
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Emerging CWI Truck Market
Cummins Westport Confidential 31
Freightliner SD114 Roll Off
McNeilus Cement Mixer
Kenworth T440 Fair Oaks Farms (Biomethane)
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Other OEMs
OEM
ThomasBlue Bird
CapacityAutocar
MCI
Application School Bus Yard Tractor Motor Coach
Model Type D Capacity – TJ9000
Autocar - Xspotter
40 and 45 ft
Engine ISLG 250 ISL G 250 ISLG 320
32
LNGOR
MCI new OEM,with an order of
84 units for
LADOT
Delivered over 500 school bus
engines in
2010
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Thank You
Jeff Campbell
Director, Product MarketingRegional Sales Canada
Tel: 604 718-2099Email: [email protected]
www.cumminswestport.com