WG1.  Food  Crisis  Management    

3rd  FOODSEG  Symposium    

Novi  Sad,  Serbia  24-­‐25th  of  April  2014    

Rickard  Knutsson,  SVA  

Overall  outline  WG1      •  Focus  on  Capacity  building:  Industry,  Agencies/control  bodies,  consumer/media.    

•  Link  to  WP9  (review  paper  WP9)  •  Responsibili0es  WG1:  MarVno  Barbanero  (Industry),  ChrisVne  Jewan  (Industry  but  also  media  and  crisis  communicaVon),  Bert  Pöpping  (Industry/Methods  for  diagnosVc  customers,  RegulaVon),  Thomas  Kuchta  (Control  bodies),  Dario  De  Medici  (Agencies),  Rickard  Knutsson  (Agencies)  

Global  Food  Threats  &:      A  need  for  cooperaVon  

•  Whole  of  society  approach  (pandemic)  •  One  Health  (human  and  animal  health)  •  All  hazards  approach    (CBRN  preparedness)  •  Mul0-­‐agency  approach  (counter  terrorism)  •  Border  control/food  crime  (illegal  trading)  

•  Chernobyl  (1986)  •  BSE  (90:ies)  •  FMD  outbreak  UK  (2001)  •  Avian  influenza  (2006)  •  Dioxin  crisis    •  EHEC  (2011)  •  Horse  Meat  (2013)    -­‐  CBRN  incidents  as  well  as    frauds,  and  illegal  trading  

Some  examples    

Black    Swans    

•  Nassim  Taleb:  Black  Swans  -­‐  rare  events  that  have  a  huge  impact  and  can  only  be  predicted  retrospecVvely  

 •  Taleb  “argues  that  

the  unforeseen  nature  of  Black  Swans  leads  to  the  underesVmaVon  of  such  events  despite  their  huge  potenVal  impact”.  

Measures are taken for known

threats/ risks but not for

unkown

Food  Crisis  Management    

CrisisTime Scale

WG1 - Many Actors Involved in: -  Prevention, -  Response -  Recovery

Interoperability    

Source: EU project AniBioThreat

•  Follow  up  results    from  other  EU-­‐projects  related  to  Food  Crisis  Management  (AniBioThreat,  SLAM,  Foodrisc)  

•  Review  paper  (prevenVon,  response,  recovery)  – Early  warning  and  capability  to  operate  under  uncertainty  

– DiagnosVcs  &  detecVon  strategies  during  a  crisis  – Lab  networks  for  food  crisis  situaVons  – Emergency  response  validaVon  – Crisis  communicaVon    

 

   Methodology  WG1    

•  Global  concerns  and  failure  of  sense  making  •  Detec0on  and  diagnos0cs  under  uncertainty  •  Decision  making  under  uncertainty  •  Communica0on  of  uncertainty  •  Many  actors  involved  

– Competent  bodies  – Agencies  – Private  companies  – Consumers  

Main  issues    

First  phase    and  hours  are  the  most  

cri0cal  

   

WG1

Rapid  response  …    

To  miVgate  the  crisis    

•  Early warning and rapid risk assessment •  Rapid detection and emeregency validation •  Rapid risk and crisis communication

3-D Warning

Early  warning  and  rapid  risk  assessment    

   WG9

WG1 WG1

3D Warning Concept

Many different surveillance systems exists New methodologies for rapid risk assessment ECDC:s Operational guidance on rapid risk assessment methodology

•  Passive  vs.  AcVve    •  Event-­‐based  vs.  Indicator-­‐based    •  Expert-­‐based  vs.  Crowd  Sourced    •  Technology-­‐Dependent  vs.  Technology  Independent  •  Open  vs.  Government  (Civilian  vs.  Military)  vs.  Com  •  Syndromic  Surveillance    •  Biometric  Surveillance  •  Lab  Surveillance    

Surveillance  Systems    

One  good  review  example  

Drewe et al. Evaluation of animal and public health surveillance systems: a systematic review, 2011

•  The  AOAC  Research  InsVtute  Emergency  Response  ValidaVon  Program    (Hammak,  2009/1,  Journal  of  AOAC  InternaVonal)  

•  According  to  the  EU  project  SLAM  a  European  CBRN  Lab  Network  shall  be  established.  Networks  shall  have  focus  on  three  different  purposes  of  the  CBRN  analysis;    (i)  immediate  incident  response,  (ii)  forensic  analysis  ,  (iii)  post  incident  anlysis  

Rapid  detecVon  and    emergency  validaVon  

Risk  and  food  crisis    communicaVons  

FDA report: Communicating risks and benefits: an evidence-based user’s guide, edited by Fischoff, Brewer and Downs, 2011

•  Sense  making  and  awareness  among  conusmers  

•  Globalized  food  chain  and  network  era  •  CommunicaVon  of  uncertainty  •  Cultural  variaVons  among  various  EU  Member  States  

•  Use  of  tradiVonal  mass  media  but  new  web  and  social  media  must  also  be  included  – New  opprtuniVes  for  rapid  communicaVon  

Risk  and  food  crisis    communicaVons  

•  Ushahidi  Crowdmap  •  Health  Map  •  Twinitor  •  Sick  Weather  

Examples of Crowd Sourcing Tools    

Patterns of Tweets

•  Interoperability  and  early  warning  •  Weak  signals  idenVficaVon  and  rapid  risk  assessment  

•  DiagnosVc  capabiliVes  of  unkowns  threats  •  Emergency  response  validaVon  •  Real-­‐Vme  crisis  communicaVon  •  Forensic  awareness  of  metohds  applied  to  food  crisis  

Main results and gaps in science of WG1    

•  R&D  acVviVes  for    emergency  response  validaVon  of  analysis  methods  

 •  R&D  to  interconect  lab  networks    •  Integrated  approaches  for  rapid  risk  assessment  methodologies  

 •  R&D  for  rapid  risk  communicaVon    

Recommendations on research topics    

•  Bioforensic  methods  – To  be  used  for  illegal  trading  of  food  – Agroforensic  methods,  Microbill  forensics,  Veterinary  forensics  

•  Tools  for  early  warning  to  prevent  food  crisis  •  Tools  for  response  to  food  crisis,  emergency  validaVon  – DiagnosVc  Tools  for  Lab  networks  (sampling/detecVon  minimum  standards)  

•  Tools  for  crisis  communicaVon    

   Identification of new topics to be promoted for the workprogrammes of HORIZON 2020    

•  Accountability  and  responsibiliVes  •  Cost  and  benefits  •  Awareness  about  risks  and  policy  making  •  Legal  framework  for  crisis  managment  (cross  sectors,  cross  disciplines)  

•  Not  a  poliVcal  driven  process  

Main gap and problem related to regulators and policy issues    

•  MulVdisciplinary  ”tool  box”  approach:  – Technological  tools  for  early  warning;  examples  ”apps”  for  workers  in  the  food  chain,  customs,  farmers,  producers.  (Improved  crowd  sourcing  surviellance)  

– ”Food  forensic  ”tool  kit  –   Crisis  communicaVon  and  VisualizaVon  tools  for  situaVonal  awareness  and  decision  making,  dealing  with  uncertainVes  

Policy and regulation recommendations: Development of a Food Crisis Management Tool Box for Capacity Building Measures    

Thanks  and  QuesVons