what can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from india? rainfall...

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hat can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department of Earth Sciences Pondicherry University, India Collaborators R. Ramesh, Physical Research Laboratory, Ahmedabad, rgaonkar, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, charyya, Birbal Sahani Institute of Palaeobotany, L

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Page 1: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India?

Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743.

Shreyas R. Managave

Department of Earth SciencesPondicherry University, India

CollaboratorsProf. R. Ramesh, Physical Research Laboratory, Ahmedabad, India

Dr. H. P. Borgaonkar, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, IndiaDr. A. Bhattacharyya, Birbal Sahani Institute of Palaeobotany, Lucknow, India

Page 2: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Teak (Tectona grandis)

Page 3: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Chhattisgarh I Chhattisgarh II Kerala

Jagadalpur

Hanamkonda

Perambikulum

Sample Locations

(1532 mm; 82 days, NE/SW=0.11)

(940 mm, 53 days, NE/SW=0.17)

(2163 mm, 102 days, NE/SW=0.27)

Page 4: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Objectives

To understand what governs isotopic composition of teak growing in different meteorological settings in India

To check whether trees growing in the southern part of India show isotopic signature of SW and

NE monsoons

Reconstruction of high resolution past monsoon rainfall

Page 5: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Rationale behind the data interpretation

Page 6: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Amount effect and passage of water in plant

d18Orain Amount of rainfall

1

Precipitation

Page 7: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

H2O

CO2

Importance of relative humidity

1816

16

16

1616

Relatively 16O enriched

Relatively 18O enriched

6CO2 + 6H2O + sunlight = C6H12O6 + 6O2

Page 8: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Results from intra-ring studies

Results from inter-ring studies

Page 9: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Results from intra-ring studies

1 ~ Early growing season (May)2-6 ~ Main growing season (June-Sept)7-8 ~ Late growing season (Oct-Dec)

Pit

h s

ide B

ark side

1 2 34 5 6

7 8

time

Tree from central India & southern India

Page 10: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Percent distance from the pith side

0 25 50 75 100

-c

ell

ulo

se 1

8 O

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

1995 19721971197019691963183918341833

Intra-ring d18O analysis of teak sample from central India

Percent distance from the pith side

0 25 50 75 100

-c

ell

ulo

se 1

8 O

22.0

24.0

26.0

28.0

30.0

32.0

1985 (6-parts)1977 (6-parts)1970 (12-parts)1971 (16-parts)

Coarse resolution studies High resolution studies

June to Sept June to SeptOct-Dec Oct-Dec

Pith side

Bark side

4mmtime

Sample location: Jagdalpur

Managave et al., GRL 2010

Page 11: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

IN D IA

M um ba i

Thane

H yderabad

S a lag iriJagdalpur

K ozh ikodeP a lakkad

H anam kondaAP

0 200 400

km

Perambikulam10 0 N

20 0 N

10 0 N

15 0 N

20 0 N

80 0 E 85 0 E

70 0 E 80 0 E 85 0 E

15 0 N

75 0 E70 0 E

75 0 E

-c

ellu

lose

18

O

22

24

26

28

30

32

-c

ellu

lose

18

O

22

24

26

28

30

32

1995 19721971197019691963184818441843

Jagdalpur (Jag03)

Percent distance from the pith side

0 25 50 75 100

-c

ellu

lose

18

O

22

24

26

28

30

32

Hanamkonda (AP1)

18921886188218811878

19641956

19691979 1925

190919051895

Jagdalpur (Jag04)

a)

b)

c)

Managave et al., GRL 2010

Page 12: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

22 24 26 28 30 3260

64

68

72

76

76

78

80

82

84

86

Cellulose O (‰)

R = -0.54P<0.015

(e)

R = -0.57P<0.08

(f)

RH

(%)

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

R = -0.62P<0.058

(d)

- Jag04- Jag03

Percent distance from the pith side

0 25 50 75 100

Cel

lulo

se

O

22

24

26

28

30

32

Cel

lulo

se

O

22

24

26

28

30

32

22

24

26

28

30

32

Jagdalpur (Jag03)

Jagdalpur (Jag04)

Hanamkonda (AP1)

My June July Aug Sept Oct DcNv

18921886188218811878

1925190919051895

19641956

19691979

184818441843

1995 19721971197019691963

Cel

lulo

se

O

(a)

(b)

(c)

Relative humidity controls intra-annual d18O variations

26 28 30 32R

H (

%)

40

50

60

70

22 24 26 28 30 3276

80

84

88

24 26 28 30 3260

64

68

72

76

22 24 26 28 30 3278

80

82

84

86

22 24 26 28 30 3240

50

60

70

80

90

23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 3176

78

80

82

84

86

Cellulose O (‰)

R = -0.58P<0.0001

R = -0.54P<0.015

R = -0.62P<0.058

R = -0.76P<0.01

R = -0.38P<0.28

R = -0.57P<0.08

(a) (b)

(c) (d)

(e) (f)

- Jag03 - Jag04

26 28 30 32

RH

(%

)

40

50

60

70

22 24 26 28 30 32

76

80

84

88

24 26 28 30 32

60

64

68

72

76

22 24 26 28 30 32

78

80

82

84

86

22 24 26 28 30 32

40

50

60

70

80

90

23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

76

78

80

82

84

86

Cellulose O (‰)

R = -0.58P<0.0001

R = -0.54P<0.015

R = -0.62P<0.058

R = -0.76P<0.01

R = -0.38P<0.28

R = -0.57P<0.08

(a) (b)

(c) (d)

(e) (f)

- Jag03 - Jag04

Managave et al., GRL 2010

Page 13: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Break monsoons and intra-ring d18O variations

3 to 17 days (average 5.8 days) (Ramamurthy, 1969)

Goswami and Mohan, 2001; Gadgil and Joseph 2003

Page 14: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Break monsoons and relative humidity

Rainfall Relative humidity

(Krishnamurthy and Biswas, 2006)

Break monsoon over central India

Page 15: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Break monsoons and relative humidity

22 24 26 28 30 3260

64

68

72

76

76

78

80

82

84

86

Cellulose O (‰)

R = -0.54P<0.015

(e)

R = -0.57P<0.08

(f)

RH

(%

)

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

R = -0.62P<0.058

(d)

- Jag04- Jag03

Percent distance from the pith side

0 25 50 75 100

Ce

llu

los

e

O

22

24

26

28

30

32

Ce

llu

los

e

O

22

24

26

28

30

32

22

24

26

28

30

32

Jagdalpur (Jag03)

Jagdalpur (Jag04)

Hanamkonda (AP1)

My June July Aug Sept Oct DcNv

18921886188218811878

1925190919051895

19641956

19691979

184818441843

1995 19721971197019691963

Ce

llu

los

e

O

(a)

(b)

(c)

Year with active monsoon (1st Aug to 31st Sept 1971 A.D.)

Year with break-monsoon (19th July to 3rd Aug 1972 A.D.)

(a) (b)

Year with active monsoon (1st Aug to 31st Sept 1971 A.D.)

Year with break-monsoon (19th July to 3rd Aug 1972 A.D.)

Year with active monsoon (1st Aug to 31st Sept 1971 A.D.)

Year with break-monsoon (19th July to 3rd Aug 1972 A.D.)

(a) (b)

Year with break-monsoon(19th July to 3rd Aug 1972 A.D.)

Year with active monsoon (1st Aug to 31st Sept 1971 A.D.)

Year with break-monsoon (19th July to 3rd Aug 1972 A.D.)

(a) (b)

Year with active monsoon (1st Aug to 31st Sept 1971 A.D.)

Year with break-monsoon (19th July to 3rd Aug 1972 A.D.)

Year with active monsoon (1st Aug to 31st Sept 1971 A.D.)

Year with break-monsoon (19th July to 3rd Aug 1972 A.D.)

(a) (b)

Year with active monsoon(1st Aug to 31st Sept 1971 A.D.)

Managave et al., GRL 2010

Page 16: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

13C

-29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23

18O

22

24

26

28

30

32

Location: Jagadalpur, Chattisgarh

Intra-annual carbon and oxygen isotopic composition of teak

Positive correlation indicates control of relative humidity

Page 17: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Intra-annual d18O variations

Location: Perambikulum, south India

c

ellu

los

e1

8 O

25.0

26.0

27.0

28.0

29.0

30.0 Q RSP

0 25 50 75 100

-c

ellu

los

e 1

8O

25.0

26.0

27.0

28.0

29.0

30.0

Percent distance from pith side

# 217(6-parts)# 219 (6-parts)# 220 (6-parts)

# 226 (6-parts)# 235 (6-parts)# 237 (8-parts)

(b)

# 207# 208

# 217# 218# 228# 235# 237

# 164# 178# 179# 192# 195# 196# 204

(a)

June to Sept Oct-Dec

Percent distance from the pith side

0 25 50 75 100

-c

ellu

lose

18

O

22.0

24.0

26.0

28.0

30.0

32.0

1985 (6-parts)1977 (6-parts)1970 (12-parts)1971 (16-parts)

Location: Jagadalpur, central India

Percent distance from the pith side

0 25 50 75 100

-c

ell

ulo

se

1

8 O

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

1995 19721971197019691963183918341833

June to Sept Oct-Dec

Managave et al., Clim dyn 2011

Page 18: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Winter (NE) monsoon rain is depleted in 18O

Location: KozhikodeGNIP data

Page 19: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Modeled climatological d18O profiles for Palakkad area

May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Prec

ipita

tion

(mm

)

0

200

400

600

800

60

70

80

90

18O

rain

-8

-6

-4

-2

-2

0

2

4

6

Rel

ativ

e

18O

Relative H

umidity (%

)

-2

0

2

4

6

Modelled 18O cellulose considering monthly 18O of rain

Modelled 18O cellulose considering constant 18O of rain

(a)

(b)

(c)

Relative

18O

Rain 18O Precipitation Relative humidity

Trees from southern India samples both the SW (Jun-Sept) and NE (Oct-Dec) monsoons

d18O of whole ring is likely affected by (NE/SW) ratio

Monthly weather data Palakkad (Rainfall, RH)

(1950-1980);& Kozhikode (d18O)

(1996-2001)

Climatological intra-ringd18O profiles

Managave et al., Clim dyn 2011

Page 20: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Significance of plants having signature of both the monsoons

Spatial distribution of (d18Osummer – d18Owinter) rainfall

Araguas-Araguas et al., 1998

Page 21: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Summary of intra-ring studies Teak from central India:

Relative humidity decides intra-ringd18O variations Time resolution: pre-, main- and post-monsoonPossibility of detecting major break-monsoons

Teak from southern India: Winter monsoon signature is preserved Possibility of reconstructed both the monsoons

using intra-ring studies Care should be taken while interpreting annual d18O variations

Page 22: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Results from inter-ring studies

a) Tree from Jagadalpur, central India

b) Tree from Perambikulum, southern India

Page 23: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Location: Jagadalpur, central India

7000

9000

11000

13000

15000

17000

19000

1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

24.0

25.0

26.0

27.0

28.0

29.0

30.0

Rainfall

Cellulose d18O

Sub-

divi

sion

al ra

infa

lld

18O

(r = 0.5, P<0.005)

Positive correlation between rainfall & d18O

Managave et al., Dendrochronologia, 2011

Page 24: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Why positive correlation between cell. d18O and rainfall?

Leaf areaindex

Leaf areaindex

Soil moisture

Soil moisture

Yoshifuji et al., 2003 data

Page 25: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Higher the length of growing season, more positive d18O values

Relative humidity conditions during monsoon and post-monsoon season

Lower d18O Higher d18O

Page 26: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

20.0

22.0

24.0

26.0

28.0

30.0

32.0

1855 1875 1895 1915 1935 1955 1975 1995

Year AD

18 O

23.0

25.0

27.0

29.0

31.0

33.0

18 O

Location: Jagadalpur, Chattisgarh

5-yr running mean

Comparison between two trees from Jagadalpur

r=0.5 P<0.005r=0.7 P<0.005

Managave et al., Dndrochronologia, 2011

Page 27: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Location: Perambikulum Kerala

Negative correlation between rainfall & d18O

r = −0.5, p<0.005

Managave et al., Dndrochronologia, 2011

Page 28: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Temporally varying strength of correlation

Managave et al., Dndrochronologia, 2011

Page 29: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Higher rainfall during the later part of the Little Ice Age

Comparison with regional rainfall record

Extended local and regional rainfall record by 128 and 70 years, respectively

Managave et al., Dndrochronologia, 2011

Page 30: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Thank you

Page 31: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Other evidences of higher rainfall

Borgaonkar et al., 2007

Bhattacharyya et al., 2007

Page 32: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

-8.4

-7.8

-7.2

-6.6

-6.0

-30

-28

-26

-24

-22

Mean of intra-annual C values

C of atmospheric CO2

1

3CC

O2

Year (A.D.)

1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000

C

teak

-30

-28

-26

-24

-22

-8.4

-7.8

-7.2

-6.6

-6.0

13C

-29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23

18O

22

24

26

28

30

32

Page 33: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

Observed and modeled Intra-ring d18O variations

Models can be used to interpret intra-ring d18O variations

Resolution of main- and post-monsoon season can be achieved

Possibility of achieving ~20 days of time resolution

0 20 40 60 80 100

Rel

ativ

e 1

8O

0

4

8

12

Prec

ipita

tion

(mm

)

0

40

80 R H

(%)

40

80

Relative

18O

0

4

8

12

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

??

(a)

(c)

(b)

Percent distance from the pith side

Jagdalpur sampleObserved

Ring = 1971

Modeled

Daily weather, 1971,Jagadalpur

Under review: Current Science

Page 34: What can be learnt from oxygen isotopes composition of teak tree rings from India? Rainfall reconstruction up to AD 1743. Shreyas R. Managave Department

1920

1922

1924

1926

1928

1930

1932

1934

1936

1938

1940

1942

1944

1946

1948

1950

1952

1954

1956

1958

1960

1962

%d

epar

ture

an

amo

ly

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

24

26

28

30

32

34

36%departure anamoly 18O

No amount effect By and large positive correlation between rainfall & d18O

(r = 0.4, P<0.005)

% r

ain

fall

dep

artu

re

ano

mal

y

d18O

Location: Thane, western India

Under review: Dendrochronologia