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1 1 What light does PISA shed on student learning? Selected results from PISA 2003 Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Paris 2 February 2005 Andreas Schleicher Head, Indicators and Analysis Division Directorate for Education

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1111

What light does PISA shed on student learning?

Selected results from PISA 2003

Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)

Paris2 February 2005

Andreas SchleicherHead, Indicators and Analysis Division

Directorate for Education

2222

3333 In the dark, all schools and education systems look the same…

But with a little light….

4444

But with a little light….

…important differences become apparent….

5555 Outline for today

1.1. Learning for tomorrow’s world PISA – a new framework for evaluating the

preparedness of youths for the knowledge society

2.2. Where we are today What PISA 2003 shows about the performance

of education systems

3.3. Where we can be What the best performing countries show can

be achieved

4.4. How we can get there Levers for policy that emerge from international

comparisons, with focus on assessment methods

6666

Learning for Tomorrow’s World

PISA – a new framework for evaluating the preparedness of youths for the knowledge society

7777 PISA - The most comprehensive international assessment of student competencies

Geographic and economic coverage 275,000 15-year-old students randomly sampled 43 countries in 2000, 41 and 2003, 59 in 2006

Subject matter coverage Mathematics, Science, Reading, Cross-curricular

competencies Volume of questions

– 3½ hours of mathematics assessment– 1 hour for each of reading, science and problem solving

Each student– 2 hours on paper-and-pencil tasks (subset of all questions)– ½ hour for questionnaire on background, learning habits,

learning environment, engagement and motivation Variety of task formats

Open-constructed responses, multiple-choice Depths

A total of 7 hours of assessment material Target population: 15-year-olds in school

8888Deciding what to assess...

looking back at what students were expected to have learned

OR

looking ahead to what they can do with what they have learned.

For PISA, the OECD countries chose the latter.

9999 Knowledge based society

What do we expect of key competencies?

Competency Applying psycho-social resources…

– Cognitive, motivational, ethical, volitional, social

…to successfully meet complex demands in varied contexts Key competencies

Apply to multiple areas of life Lead to important and valued individual and social

outcomes Imply the development of a higher level of reflectivity

and mental complexity Build on a combination of cognitive and non-cognitive

psychological resources Can be learned – and taught

Key competencies operate as constellations

10101010 Three broad categories of key competencies

Using “tools” interactively to engage with the

world

Acting autonomously

Interacting in diverse groups

e.g.

Using language, symbols and texts

Interacting with informationCapitalising on the potential

of technologies

e.g.

Relating well to othersCo-operating, working in

teamsManaging and resolving

conflicts

e.g.

Acting within the bigger picture

Learning strategiesTaking responsibility and understanding rights and

limits

To analyse, compare, contrast, and evaluate

To think imaginatively

To apply knowledge in real-life situations

To communicate thoughts and ideas effectively

PISA concept of literacyAccessing, managing, integrating

and evaluating written information in order to develop ones knowledge and potential,

and to participate in, and contribute to, society

11111111Using “tools”

interactively to engage with the

world

Acting autonomously

Interacting in diverse groups

e.g.

Using language, symbols and texts

Interacting with informationCapitalising on the potential

of technologies

e.g.

Relating well to othersCo-operating, working in

teamsManaging and resolving

conflicts

e.g.

Acting within the bigger picture

Forming and conducting life plans

Taking responsibility and understanding rights and

limits

To analyse, compare, contrast, and evaluate

To think imaginatively

To apply knowledge in real-life situations

To communicate thoughts and ideas effectively

Reading literacy (focus in 2000)

Using, interpreting and reflecting on written material

12121212Using “tools”

interactively to engage with the

world

Acting autonomously

Interacting in diverse groups

e.g.

Using language, symbols and texts

Interacting with informationCapitalising on the potential

of technologies

e.g.

Relating well to othersCo-operating, working in

teamsManaging and resolving

conflicts

e.g.

Acting within the bigger picture

Forming and conducting life plans

Taking responsibility and understanding rights and

limits

To analyse, compare, contrast, and evaluate

To think imaginatively

To apply knowledge in real-life situations

To communicate thoughts and ideas effectively

Scientific literacy (focus in 2006)Using scientific knowledge, identifying scientific

questions, and drawing evidence-based conclusions to understand and make decisions about the natural

world

13131313Using “tools”

interactively to engage with the

world

Acting autonomously

Interacting in diverse groups

e.g.

Using language, symbols and texts

Interacting with informationCapitalising on the potential

of technologies

e.g.

Relating well to othersCo-operating, working in

teamsManaging and resolving

conflicts

e.g.

Acting within the bigger picture

Forming and conducting life plans

Taking responsibility and understanding rights and

limits

To analyse, compare, contrast, and evaluate

To think imaginatively

To apply knowledge in real-life situations

To communicate thoughts and ideas effectively

Mathematical literacy (focus in 2003)Emphasis is on mathematical knowledge put into functional use in a multitude of different

situations in varied, reflective and insight-based ways

14141414 Mathematical literacy in PISAThe real world The mathematical World

as an instrument to understand the real world

A real situation

A model of reality A mathematical model

Mathematical results

Real results

Understanding, structuring and simplifying the situation

Making the problem amenable to mathematical

treatment

Interpreting the mathematical results

Using relevant mathematical tools to solve the problemValidating

the results

15151515Using “tools”

interactively to engage with the

world

Acting autonomously

Interacting in diverse groups

PISA assessment of – Problem-solving competencies

• Using cognitive processes to resolve real situations where the solution path is not immediately obvious and where the competencies required are not within a single discipline.

• PISA self-reports on:– Dispositions to learning– Learning strategies– Engagement with school– Self-concept

16161616 Development of assessments Frameworks by international experts Assessment materials

submitted by countries developed by research consortium screened for cultural bias

– by countries– by an international expert panel– items with prima facie cultural bias removed at this stage

internationally validated translations trialled to check items working consistently in all countries

Final tests items shown in trial to be culturally biased removed best items chosen for final tests

– balanced to reflect framework– range of difficulties– range of item types (constructed response, multiple choice)

17171717

Securing an equitable distribution of learning opportunities

Measured by the impact students’ and schools’ socio-economic background has on performance –

not merely by the distribution of learning outcomes

18181818 Average performanceof 15-year-olds in mathematics

Low average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

High average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

Low average performance

High social equity

High average performance

High social equity

Strong socio-economic impact

on student performance

Socially equitable distribution of

learning opportunities

High mathematics performance

Low mathematics performanceGreece

Russian Federation

Liechtenstein

Korea

Hong Kong- China

Finland

Netherlands

Canada

Macao- China Switzerland

New Zealand

Belgium

J apan

Australia

I celandCzech Republic

SwedenFranceDenmark

I reland GermanyAustria

Slovak Republic

LuxembourgPoland Hungary

Norway

SpainUnited StatesLatvia

PortugalI taly

440

460

480

500

520

540

61626

There is more to this than national income

Countries with higher national income and better educated adult populations tend to perform better…

… but there are exceptions.

Top-performers Finland remained first in

reading and since 2000 moved further in math and science…

…and is now on a par with the East Asian countries that were previously unmatched in math and science

Also the Netherlands is among the top-performers in math

…though not in reading and science.

As is the Flemish Community of Belgium

Progress Other countries with

improvements in at least two assessment areas were Belgium, the Czech Republic and Germany

…In Belgium and Germany it was the top performers who drove improvements.

A widening gap More improvement at the top

of the scale has widened the gap between the top and bottom performers in the OECD.

Progress Poland raised it’s overall

performance in all four assessment areas

…thanks to big improvements among lower-performing students in the wake of a major reform in 1999.

19191919 Durchschnittliche Schülerleistungen im Bereich Mathematik

Low average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

High average performance

Large socio-economic disparities

Low average performance

High social equity

High average performance

High social equity

Strong socio-economic impact

on student performance

Socially equitable distribution of

learning opportunities

High mathematics performance

Low mathematics performanceGreece

Russian Federation

Liechtenstein

Korea

Hong Kong- China

Finland

Netherlands

Canada

Switzerland

New Zealand

Belgium

J apan

Australia

I celandCzech Republic

SwedenFrance

Denmark

I relandGermanyAustria

Slovak Republic

LuxembourgPolandHungary

Norway

SpainUnited States Latvia

Portugal I taly

440

460

480

500

520

540

61626

Differences in socio-economic background pose major challenges for education systems

Students whose parents have better-paid jobs, are better educated or have more “cultural” possessions in their homes tend to perform better…

… But the performance advantage varies– Australia, Canada, Finland, Iceland and

Japan provide examples showing that it is possible to combine quality and equity

– In contrast, results for Belgium, Germany, Hungary, he Slovak Republic and Turkey reveal large socio-economic inequalities in the distribution of learning opportunities .

20202020

Ensuring consistent performance standards across schools

Between and within-school variation in performance

21212121

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20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Tur

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Hun

gary

Jap

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Bel

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Ital

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Ger

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Aus

tria

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Cze

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Pola

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Swed

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Nor

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Fin

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Icel

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Is it all innate ability?Variation in student performance

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world: First results from PISA 2003, Table 4.1a, p.383.

22222222

- 80

- 60

- 40

- 20

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20

40

60

80

100Tur

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Hun

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Jap

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Bel

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Ital

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Ger

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Aus

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Net

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Cze

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epub

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Kor

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Luxem

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Mex

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Uni

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Irel

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Den

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Pola

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Swed

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Nor

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Fin

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Icel

and

Variation of performance

between schools

Variation of performance within

schools

Is it all innate ability?Variation in student performance in mathematics

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world: First results from PISA 2003, Table 4.1a, p.383.

In some countries, parents can rely on high and consistent standards across schools

In Canada, Denmark, Finland, Iceland and Sweden average student performance is high…

… and largely unrelated to the individual schools in which students are enrolled.

11

114

125

23232323

Bridging the gender gap

Performance, attitudes and motivation

24242424 Gender differences In reading, girls are far ahead

In all countries, girls significantly outperform boys in reading

In mathematics, boys tend to be somewhat ahead In most countries, boys outperform girls

… but mostly by modest amounts…… and mainly because boys are overrepresented

among top-performers while boys and girls tend to be equally represented in the “at risk” group

– Within classrooms and schools, the gender gap is often larger Strong problem-solving performance for girls suggests…

… that it is not the cognitive processes underlying mathematics that give boys an advantage…

… but the context in which mathematics appears in school

Gender differences in interest and attitudes towards mathematics are significantly greater than the observed performance gap

– Girls report much lower intrinsic (though not instrumental) motivation in mathematics, more negative attitudes and much greater anxiety with mathematics…

… and this may well contribute to the significant gender difference in educational and occupational pathways in mathematics-related subjects

25252525

Creating strong foundations for lifelong learning

Performance, attitudes and motivation

26262626 Student approaches to learning

The ability to manage one’s learning is both an important outcome of education and a contributor to student literacy skills at school

Learning strategies, motivation, self-related beliefs, preferred learning styles

Different aspects of students’ learning approaches are closely related

Well-motivated and self-confident students tend to invest in effective learning strategies and this contributes to their literacy skills

Immigrant students tend to be weaker performers… but they do not have weaker characteristics as learners

Boys and girls each have distinctive strengths and weaknesses as learners

Girls stronger in relation to motivation and self-confidence in reading

Boys believing more than girls in their own efficacy as learners and in their mathematical abilities

27272727Control strategies in

mathematics0 20 40 60 80 100

When I study for a mathematics test, I try to work out what

are the most important parts to learn.

When I study mathematics, I make myself check to see if I

remember the work I have already done.

When I study mathematics, I try to figure out which concepts

I still have not understood properly.

When I cannot understand something in mathematics, I always

search for more information to clarify the problem.

When I study mathematics, I start by working out exactly

what I need to learn.

OECD average Austria J apanPercentage of students

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world: First results from PISA 2003, Table 3.9, p.375 and Figure 3.9, p.143.

28282828 Elaboration strategies in mathematics

0 20 40 60 80 100

When I am solving mathematics problems, I often think of new

ways to get the answer.

I think how the mathematics I have learned can be used in

everyday life.

I try to understand new concepts in mathematics by relating

them to things I already know.

When I am solving a mathematics problem, I often think about

how the solution might be applied to other interesting

questions.

When learning mathematics, I try to relate the work to things

I have learnt in other subjects.

OECD average GermanyPoland

Percentage of students

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world: First results from PISA 2003, Table 3.11, p.377 and Figure 3.11, p.146.

29292929Combined explanatory power of student learning

characteristics on mathematics performance and control strategies

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world: First results from PISA 2003, Figure 3.13, p.149.

Percentage of variance in student mathematics performance that is explained by the combined effect of

-interest in and enjoyment of mathematics

-anxiety in mathematics

-control strategies

Percentage of variance in student use of control strategies that is explained by the combined effect of

-interest in and enjoyment of mathematics

-anxiety in mathematics

NorwayDenmarkPolandSwedenFinlandKoreaNew ZealandI celandCanadaSlovak RepublicCzech RepublicUnited StatesPortugalAustraliaI relandGreeceTurkeyUruguayMexicoGermanySwitzerlandLuxembourgSpainHungaryAustriaFranceI talyJ apanBelgiumNetherlandsOECD AverageUnited Kingdom

50 40 30 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50%

30303030

How can we get there?

Levers for policy that emerge from international comparisons

31313131 Sympathy doesn’t raise standards – aspiration does

In many of the best performing countries National research teams report a strong

“culture of performance”– Which drives students, parents, teachers

and the educational administration to high performance standards

PISA shows that students perceived a high degree of teacher support– Which should not be simply equated with

“achievement press”

32323232 Governance of the school system In many of the best performing countries

Decentralised decision-making is combined with devices to ensure a fair distribution of substantive educational opportunities

The provision of standards and curricula at national/subnational levels is combined with advanced evaluation systems

– That are implemented by professional agencies Process-oriented assessments and/or

centralised final examinations are complimented with individual reports and feed-back mechanisms on student learning progress

33333333

Low Performan

ce

HighMathematics performance

Low performance

Low social equity

High performance

Low social equity

Low performance

High social equity

High performance

High social equity

Strong impact of social background on performance

Moderate impact of social

background on performance

I talyPortugal

LatviaUnited StatesSpain

Norway

Hungary PolandLuxembourg

Slovak Republic

AustriaGermany I reland

DenmarkFrance

Sweden

Czech RepublicI celand

Australia

J apan

Belgium

New Zealand

Switzerland Macao- China

Canada

Netherlands

Finland

Hong Kong- China

Korea

Liechtenstein

Russian Federation

Greece

440

460

480

500

520

540

0102030

Formulating the school budget and deciding on budget allocations in schools

High degree of autonomy

Low degree of autonomy

Some notes on Italy:– Only 8% of schools involved in appointing

teachers (OECD 64%)– Only 2% of schools involved in determining

teacher salary increases (OECD 38%)– All schools involved in establishing student

assessment policies (OECD 85%)– 84% of schools involved in determining

course content (OECD 67%)

34343434 Organisation of instruction In many of the best performing countries

Schools and teachers have explicit strategies and approaches for teaching heterogeneous groups of learners

– A high degree of individualised learning processes– Disparities related to socio-economic factors and

migration are recognised as major challenges Students are offered a variety of extra-

curricular activities Schools offer differentiated support

structures for students– E.g. school psychologists or career counsellors

Institutional differentiation is introduced, if at all, at later stages

– Integrated approaches also contributed to reducing the impact of students socio-economic background on outcomes

35353535

Low Performan

ce

HighMathematics performance

Low performance

Low social equity

High performance

Low social equity

Low performance

High social equity

High performance

High social equity

Strong impact of social background on performance

Moderate impact of social

background on performance

I talyPortugal

LatviaUnited StatesSpain

Norway

Hungary PolandLuxembourg

Slovak Republic

AustriaGermany I reland

DenmarkFrance

Sweden

Czech RepublicI celand

Australia

J apan

Belgium

New Zealand

Switzerland Macao- China

Canada

Netherlands

Finland

Hong Kong- China

Korea

Liechtenstein

Russian Federation

Greece

440

460

480

500

520

540

0102030

Early selection and institutional differentiation

High degree of stratification

Low degree of stratification

37373737Teacher support in mathematics

Students’ views

0 20 40 60 80 100

The teacher shows an interest in every

student's learning.

The teacher gives extra help when students

need it.

The teacher helps students with their learning.

The teacher continues teaching until the

students understand.

The teacher gives students an opportunity to

express opinions.

OECD average Germany

United States

Percentage of students

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world: First results from PISA 2003, Table 5.1a, p.403 and Figure 5.1, p.213.

38383838Student-related factors affecting school

climatePrincipals’ views

0 20 40 60 80 100

Student absenteeism.

Disruption of classes by students.

Students skipping classes.

Students lacking respect for teachers.

Student use of alcohol or illegal drugs.

Students intimidating or bullying other students.

OECD average Korea

Percentage of students

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world: First results from PISA 2003, Table 5.2a, p.406 and Figure 5.2, p.216.

39393939Teacher-related factors affecting school

climatePrincipals’ views

0 20 40 60 80 100

Teachers low expectation of students.

Poor student- teacher relations.

Teachers not meeting individual students'

needs.

Teacher absenteeism.

Staff resisting change.

Teachers being too strict with students.

Students not being encouraged to achieve their

full potential.

OECD average Denmark

Percentage of students

OECD (2004), Learning for tomorrow’s world: First results from PISA 2003, Table 5.4a, p.410 and Figure 5.4, p.220.

45454545 Assessment methods in the best-performing PISA countries Standardised tests

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Fin

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Kor

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Net

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Jap

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Can

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Zea

land

Never(%) 1 to 2 times a year(%) 3 to 5 times a year(%) Monthly(%) More once a month(%)

46464646 Assessment methods in the top performing PISA countries Teacher developed tests

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Fin

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Never(%) 1 to 2 times a year(%) 3 to 5 times a year(%) Monthly(%) More once a month(%)

47474747 Assessment methods in the top performing PISA countries Judgemental ratings

0%

20%

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60%

80%

100%

Fin

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Jap

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Bel

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Aus

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New

Zea

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Never(%) 1 to 2 times a year(%) 3 to 5 times a year(%) Monthly(%) More once a month(%)

48484848 Assessment methods in the top performing PISA countries Student portfolios

0%

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80%

100%

Fin

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Zea

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Never(%) 1 to 2 times a year(%) 3 to 5 times a year(%) Monthly(%) More once a month(%)

49494949Assessment methods in the top performing PISA countries

Student assignements/projects/homework

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Fin

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Kor

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Net

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Jap

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Can

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Bel

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Swit

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and

Aus

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New

Zea

land

Never(%) 1 to 2 times a year(%) 3 to 5 times a year(%) Monthly(%) More once a month(%)

50505050 One challenge – different approaches

The tradition of education systems

has been “knowledge poor”

The future of education systems needs to be

“knowledge rich”

National prescription

Professional judgement

Informed professional judgement, the teacher

as a “knowledge worker”

Informed prescription

Uninformed professional judgement

Uninformed prescription,

teachers implement curricula

51515151 Further information

www.pisa.oecd.org– All national and international publications– The complete micro-level database

email: [email protected]

[email protected]

…and remember:

Without data, you are just another person with an opinion

52525252

OECD countries participating from PISA 2000

OECD countries participating from PISA from 2003

OECD partner countries participating from PISA 2000

OECD partner countries participating from PISA 2003

OECD partner countries participating from PISA 2006

PISA country participation