what will education look like during the 21st century?
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What Will Education Look Like During the 21st Century?. By: Ken Stevenson University of South Carolina. First, What’s Occurring in the US that’s Driving Educational Trends?. BIRTH PATTERNS AGING POPULATION FAMILY STATUS VALUE OF AN EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY CULTURE. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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What Will Education Look Like During the 21st Century?
• By: Ken Stevenson• University of South Carolina
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First, What’s Occurring in the US that’s Driving Educational Trends?
• BIRTH PATTERNS• AGING POPULATION• FAMILY STATUS• VALUE OF AN EDUCATION• TECHNOLOGY• CULTURE
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1. Birth Patterns Are Changing
• 2.1 BIRTHS/FEMALE = ZERO POPULATION
• THE U.S.– 1.7 = WHITES– 2.4 = AFRICAN AMERICANS– 2.9 = MEXICAN AMERS.– 3.1 = PUERTO RICANS
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Percent children white, Af. Amer., Hispanic -Hernandez, The Future of Children
01020304050607080
1980 2000 2020 2040
WHITEAF. AMERHISPANIC
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Children of the 21st Century
• More diverse in values, culture, priorities
• Poorer
• Greater health problems
• Less home stability
• Fewer “pre-school” educational experiences
• Less likely to come to school ready to learn
• Parents likely were not successful in school
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2. WE’RE GETTING OLDER
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U.S. House Committee on the Budget:
Facing the challenge of the 21st Century
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SOME AGE TRENDS• FIRST BABY
BOOMERS TURNED 50 IN 1996
• 18 YEAR OLDS AND UNDER ARE NOW 34% OF POPULATION– BY NEXT DECADE
THEY WILL REPRESENT 25%
•
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3. Family Status Continues to Change
• 1955, 60% OF HOUSEHOLDS WERE OZZIE, HARRIET, DAVID, AND RICKY
• TODAY, ONLY 7% ARE– 60+% OF WOMEN ARE IN WORK
FORCE• GROWING EACH YR.
• 40 OF 100 CHILDREN WILL LIVE WITH ONE PARENT BY AGE 18
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4. Education Continues to Grow in Importance
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1955 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Bachelor Degrees
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• Education = Employment – 13% WITHOUT HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA
UNEMPLOYED– LESS THAN 2% WITH COLLEGE DEGREE
UNEMPLOYED
• Education = Quality of Life– FEMALE, SINGLE, PARENT, DROPOUT =
80% IN POVERTY– MARRIED COUPLE, ONE WITH COLLEGE
DEGREE, NO CHILDREN = LESS THAN 1% IN POVERTY
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5. Technology Grows - & Grows!
"Since 1984, the country has experienced more than a five-fold increase in the proportion of households with computers," said Census Bureau analyst Eric Newburger, author of Home Computers and Internet Use in the United States: August 2000. "In addition, Internet use is rapidly becoming synonymous with computer availability."
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Technology is in the hands of students:
US Census Bureau • “A ratio of 9-in-10 school-age
children (6-to-17 years old) had access to a computer in 2000, with 4-in-5 using a computer at school and 2-in-3 with one at home.”
• “About 77 percent of White non-Hispanic and 72 percent of Asian and Pacific Islander children lived in households with computers, while only 43 percent of African American children and 37 percent of Hispanic children did.”
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6. A Changing Culture
• PLURALISM AND DIVERSITY
• “I” GENERATIONS
• MORE CONSERVATIVE VIEW OF GOVERNMENT
• FEAR & VIOLENCE
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Cocooning Ourselves From Reality?
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How will the Six General Trends Affect Education? Let’s Look at
the Possibilities
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Immediate and Intermediate Trends of the Future:
A Baker’s Dozen
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Trend 1: Disappearance of attendance lines/zones
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VS.
Trend 2: Return to smaller, neighborhood schools
Or many smaller in the bigger?
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Trend 3: Schools develop unique personalities
Technology-based curriculum
Arts-based curriculum
“3r’s-basedcurriculum
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VS.
New Definition of “Fairness?”
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Return to the neighborhood: The “Balkanization of America?
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Trend 4: Continued reduction of teacher/pupil ratios
Today Tomorrow
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Trend 5: Technology dominates schooling throughout the U.S.
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School: Learning from the “Outside to the “Inside” (Classrooms as
staging centers)
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Virtual Classmates?
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One Vision: Teachers become technical team managers (Master
Teachers)
Teacher as “doctor” with the technical support team?
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Trend 6: Schools become full service agencies
Schools will be as much about adult education and service as traditional schooling.
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Trend 7: The curriculum becomes more narrowly defined
– Or, does it?
Phys. Ed.?
Music?
Art?
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Sight
Taste Touch
HearingSmell
Trend 8: Schools will be about learning and teaching styles
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Trend 9: Student as worker
Past:Teacher as all-knowing
Future: Teacher as facilitator
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School year will approach 240 days.
Trend 10: School time expands:Extended and Year Round
School day willApproach 8 hours
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Trend 11: Paperless Schools
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Trend 12: Grades will be grouped differently
K-5? K-8? K-12?
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Trend 13: No School?(At least as we now know it??)
A “commodity” to be sought at the will and ability of the purchaser?
Virtual School?
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What to do: A) Base decisions on HARD data
whenever possible
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What to do: B) Remember that you never arrive
Today’s accomplishments are merely building blocks to the “next” future
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What to do: C) View schools as community centers for adults and children
• K-12 Education• Adult Education• Social Services• Health Services• Recreation• Transportation Services• Food Services• Contract Business Use
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What to do:D) Plan and construct schools
with the trends in mind• Build schools:
– that are highly flexible– with security and safety as high priorities– that support technology today – and tomorrow– which are durable
– Use of 16 hours daily, year round
– That are inviting and important to the community as a whole
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What to do: E) Scan the environment
continuously. Who really knows what’s on the horizon?
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In closing: Why not create your future?!
Yesterday is not ours to recover, but tomorrow is ours to win or lose. * Lyndon B. Johnson
Morning comes whether you set the alarm or not. * Ursula K. Le Guin