will you outlive your retirement income?. everyone is living longer 1340 bc 1400 ad 1800 ad 1900 ad...
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Everyone is Living Longer
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0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000
Year
1340 BC1400 AD
1800 AD
1900 AD
2000 AD
2040 AD
The YearLife
Expectancy IncreaseTut in 1340 BC 253000 years later 30 5 yrs400 years later 37 7 yrs100 years later 47 10 yrs100 years later 77 30 yrs40 years in the future ~ 90 23 yrs
Source: “The Exponent of Life Expectancy” by Nick Murray, Financial Advisor, March 2007.
Probability of a 65-year-old living to various ages
Source: Annuity 2000 Mortality Tables. ©2009 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2009
0
25
50
75
100%
65 years old 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105
• Male• Female• At least one spouse
78 86
85 91
91 96
81
88
93
The Year Was 1973
• US completes withdrawal from Vietnam
• OPEC hikes oil prices
• #1 Song – “You’re So Vain”• by Carly Simon
• #TV Show – All in the Family
• 1st Class Stamp - 8¢
• Average Gas Price - 35¢/gallon
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
1973 2013
Stamps $1.00 $5.75
Gas $1.00 $8.46
Fixed Income $1.00 $7.96
100% Simulated Equity (Stock)
Portfolio $1.00$101.1
4
Stamp and gas price sources - www.1970sflashback.com/1973/economy.asp, www.akdart.com/postrate.html and www.bls.gov/ro3/apmw.htm. 100% Simulated Equity (Stock) Portfolio performance is derived from both historical and simulated data and does not guarantee future results. Information from sources deemed reliable and current, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. See Sources and Descriptions of Data at the end of this booklet.
Inflation Affects Your Wealth
IMPORTANT: Data generated by Morningstar regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes using the Ibbotson Wealth Forecasting Engine are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary over time and with each simulation. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. ©2013 Morningstar, Inc. 3/1/2013
86%
32%
3%
0%
0%
97%
70%
25%
4%
0%
96%
79%
51%
26%
11%
93%
80%
61%
42%
26%
90%
77%
63%
49%
36%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
100%Bonds
75% B25% S
50% B50% S
25% B75% S
100%Stocks
Various withdrawal rates and portfolio allocations over a 25-year retirement
Less likely More likely
An
nu
al W
ith
dra
wal
Rat
eProbability of Meeting Your Retirement
Income Needs