william blair 37th annual growth conference june...

15
William Blair 37 th Annual Growth Conference June 2017

Upload: others

Post on 26-Sep-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference

June 2017

Page 2: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

Forward Looking Statements

This presentation contains “forward-looking” statements that involve risks, uncertainties andassumptions. If the risks or uncertainties ever materialize or the assumptions prove incorrect, theCompany’s results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-lookingstatements. All statements other than statements of historical fact could be deemed forward-looking,including, but not limited to, the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning,among other things, the Company’s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects,growth, strategies and the industry in which we operate and any statements of assumptions underlyingany of the foregoing. These statements are based on estimates and information available to us at thetime of this presentation and are not guarantees of future performance.

These forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions and are subject to risks anduncertainties, including those described in the “Risk Factors” section and elsewhere in the preliminaryprospectus for this offering. You should read the prospectus, including the Risk Factors set forth thereinand the documents that the Company has filed as exhibits to the registration statement, of which theprospectus is a part, completely and with the understanding that if any such risks or uncertaintiesmaterialize or if any of the relevant assumptions prove incorrect, the Company’s actual results coulddiffer materially from the results expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Except asrequired by law we assume no obligation to update these forward-looking statements publicly, or toupdate the reasons why actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements, even if new information becomes available in the future.

2

Safe Harbor

Page 3: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

A disruptive innovation in a huge and growing

industry

A socially responsible, pet health-centric brand built

around the contemporary consumer

We are redefining what good pet food is in ways that

are intuitive to consumers

We deliver a value proposition relevant to the

average consumer and every class of pet retailer

We have a scalable and very difficult to replicate

business model

3

Who Is Freshpet?

Page 4: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

4

Freshpet Lives at the Intersection of

Two Very Powerful Macro-Trends in CPG

Humanization

of

Pets

Fresh,

Wholesome,

All-Natural

Foods

Page 5: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

5

We Operate DifferentlyDelighting consumers with fresh food & our company ideology

Environmentally

Focused

Employee

Engagement

Community &

Consumer

Engagement

Page 6: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

High Brand

LoyaltyAlignment with deep pet

parent emotional motivations

Differentiated Innovative forms, technologies, and

appearance

ManufacturingProprietary technology,

processes, and infrastructure

Freshpet FridgeBranded, company-owned real estate

High Capital Intensity

and Established Infrastructure

Significant Product

Differentiation

Supply Chain Only refrigerated pet food network in

North America

Retailer PartnersDelivers benefits in traffic, frequency

and retailer margins

A Difficult Business to Replicate

7

Page 7: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

Freshpet Has Seen Significant Growth Over the Past Four Years,

Driven by Both Distribution and Same Store Sales

7

Distribution & Sales Growth

May 2012 – April 2017Total US Multi Outlet IRI (4 wk.)

Page 8: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

Increasing Repeat Rate & Strong Consumer Affinity

8

58% 60% 62%

71%

2013 2014 2015 2016

Freshpet ConsumerRepeat Rates

Page 9: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

9

Our Biggest Opportunity

Freshpet Rachel RayBlue

BuffaloPurina ONE Cesar

Awareness

(Aided)35% 52% 86% 82% 70%

Penetration1.4% 3.6%

(dry)

~8%

(est)

5.2%

(dry)

3.4%

(wet)

Source: 2016 Brand Tracker, IRI 2016 HH Panel

35%

52%

86%82%

70%

1.4% 3.6%8.0%

5.2% 3.4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%Awareness

Penetration

Freshpet Awareness & Penetration are a Key Focus

Page 10: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

10

Key Learning: Time to Shift to Rapid Scaling

• On trend product

• Reasonable margins

• Low awareness / high repurchase rate

• Ample plant capacity

• Financial flexibility

• Established business model

• Proven marketing program

• Installed Freshpet Fridge base

Opportunity

Capacity

Capability

Page 11: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

11

Investment in Media

Velocity Increase

(+Revenue)

Distribution Increase

(+Revenue)

Plant Leverage

(Incr. Pounds Produced)

SG&A Leverage

Cost

Savings

Page 12: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

12

Strategy Tactics Result

Drive HH

Awareness &

Penetration

• TV & Digital Advertising• Accelerated

Penetration Growth

Accelerate Fridge

Placements

• Change Selling Approach

• Make Freshpet Essential

• New Fridge

Placements Growth

Accelerating in 2018

Strengthen Gross

Margin

• Convert From Building to

Optimization/Efficiency

• Drive Yield, Throughput,

Reliability

• Adjusted Gross Margin

Grows Several

Percentage Pts. by

2020

Page 13: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

13

Growing Into Our Scale

27.0%

25.2%

23.4%

21.6%

19.8%

18.0%

17.0%

19.0%

21.0%

23.0%

25.0%

27.0%

29.0%

$150 MM $180 MM $210 MM $240 MM $270 MM $300 MM

Infrastructure as Percentage of Sales*

*Leverage adjusted for projected inflationary growth of infrastructure

Net Sales

Page 14: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

14

Future Economic Model: Profitable in 2018

FY 2016 FY 2020Growth Rate 15% 15-20%

Stores 16,609 23,000+

Adj. Gross Margin (1) 49.6% ~52%

Adj. SG&A (2) 43.1% ~33%

Adj. EBITDA Margin 13% 20+%

Media Investment ~6% of sales ~9% of sales

Advertising Payback 1.5 yrs. --

Free Cash Flow -$13.9M ~15% of sales

(1) Gross Margin adjusted for Depreciation and plant start up expense(2) SG&A adjusted for option expense, CEO transition expense, and warrant expense

Page 15: William Blair 37th Annual Growth Conference June 2017s21.q4cdn.com/902450038/files/doc_presentations/... · • Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth • Strengthens

15

1. Accelerates growth rate from 13% in Q4 2016 to 20% in Q4 2017

• Proven advertising campaign investment drives the growth

• Strengthens the company’s barriers to entry/competitive advantages

2. Improves the structural economics of the business

• More quickly absorb the fixed infrastructure costs

• Increase the adjusted gross margin run rate by 1.5 points by end of 2017

3. Sets the company up for significantly higher revenue and adjusted EBITDA in 2018 and beyond

• Year end run rate adjusted EBITDA will be 50% higher

Summary

The Feed the Growth Plan more rapidly scales the business – creating a

stronger and more attractive company in 2018 and beyond