wind and density driven flow along the texas-louisiana continental shelf rob hetland zhaoru zhang...

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Wind and density driven flow along the Texas- Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

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Page 1: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf

Rob Hetland

Zhaoru ZhangMartino Marta-AlmeidaXiaoqian Zhang

Page 2: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

The Gulf of Mexico has a number of environmental problems:

Karenia brevisPhoto credit: Florida Fish and Photo credit: Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation CommissionWildlife Conservation Commission

NASA MODISMay 24, 2010

Harmfulalgal blooms

Oil spills

Bottom hypoxia

LUMCON - July 24-27, 2012

And the listgoes on....

Page 3: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Series of Models:

Wind-driven surface current predictions

for entire gulf – focused on TX shelf

Louisiana shelf wind/buoyancy driven flow

TX/LA shelf wind/buoyancy driven flow

NEXT TALK

Page 4: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang
Page 5: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

QuickTime™ and aAnimation decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Animation courtesy Chris Barker (NOAA R&R)Surface currents provided by Rob Hetland and Steve Baum, TAMUFunding by the Texas General

Land Office TABS program

Page 6: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

B

D

F

J

K

N

R

V

W

Page 7: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

~3 hr lag

~12 hr lag

Page 8: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Four examples of non-summer convergent events

Page 9: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Wind Currents

Page 10: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

No river case

Page 11: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Wind

Obs.

Model

20092006 10 year mean

Page 12: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

QuickTime™ and a decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Climatological winds over the Texas-Louisiana shelf

Page 13: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Non-summer mean

Summer mean

Cho et al. (JGR, 1998)

Seasonal surface currents from LATEX moorings

Page 14: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang
Page 15: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

JFM mean density cross-section

JFM mean along-shore currents

Thermal wind balance currents

u|z=h=0

Along-shore currents are nearly in thermal-wind balance

Page 16: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang
Page 17: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Meade et al. (1995)USGS Circular 1133

Page 18: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang
Page 19: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang
Page 20: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Low flow year

Page 21: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Medium flow year

Page 22: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

High flow year

Page 23: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Every third grid point shown

HYCOM IASNFS (subset) NGOM

Page 24: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Parent models Nested modelsCLMDataset

Model salinity skill

Red = good (within 10% of max skill)

Page 25: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

where

Page 26: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Perturbed simulations(±5% wind and rivers)

Page 27: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Noise at a point on the shelf

Domain average noise

Page 28: Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf Rob Hetland Zhaoru Zhang Martino Marta-Almeida Xiaoqian Zhang

Conclusions:

Nesting improves model skill, but it does not appear to matter which model is used*.

Although there is significant unpredictable, small-scale eddies at the submesoscale, the large scale plume structure is reproducible in a model without data assimilation.

*For salinity, anyways...