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Wind in power 2012 European statistics February 2013

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Page 1: Wind in power - The European Wind Energy Association | EWEA

1The european Wind energy associaTion

Wind in power2012 European statistics

February 2013

Page 2: Wind in power - The European Wind Energy Association | EWEA

2

WIND IN POWER: 2012 EUROPEAN STATISTICS

ThE EUROPEAN WIND ENERgy ASSOCIATION

ContentsExecutive summary .............................................................................. 3

2012 annual installations ...................................................................... 5 Wind power capacity installations ................................................. 5 Power capacity installations ......................................................... 6 Renewable power installations ..................................................... 7

Trends and cumulative installations ........................................................ 7 Renewable power installations ..................................................... 7 Net changes in EU installed power capacity 2000-2012 ................ 8 Total installed power capacity ....................................................... 8

A closer look at wind power installations ................................................ 9 Total installed power capacity ....................................................... 9 National breakdown of wind power installations ............................. 9 Onshore and offshore annual markets .......................................... 10 Cumulative wind power installations ............................................. 10 Estimated wind energy production ................................................ 11

Wind power targets .............................................................................. 12

ContributorsJustin Wilkes (Policy Director, EWEA)Jacopo Moccia (Head of Policy Analysis, EWEA)

Data sourcesPlatts PowerVision, January 2013EWEA, wind energy data and ocean energy dataEPIA, solar PV dataESTELA, CSP data

Special thanks to:IGWindkraft (AT) - EDORA and VWEA (BE) - APEE and BGWEA (BG) - Suisse Eole (CH) – CWEA (CY) - CSVE (CZ), BWE and VDMA (DE) – DWIA (DK) – Tuulenergia (EE) – HWEA (EL) – AEE (ES) - IWEA (IE) – Suomen Tuulivoimayhdistys ry and Technology indus-tries of Finland (FI) – Ademe (FR) – Energy Institute Hrvoje Pozar (HR) – MSZET and MSZIT (HU) - ANEV (IT) –LWPA (LT) – Ministère de l’économie et du commerce extérieur (LU) – Baltic Wind Park (LV) - NWEA (NL) – NorWEA (NO) –TÜREB (TK) – PWEA (PL) -

APREN (PT) – Svenskvindenergi (SE) - UWEA (UA) – RenewableUK (UK).

Photo cover: Wolfram Bradac

Page 3: Wind in power - The European Wind Energy Association | EWEA

3The european Wind energy associaTion

2012 annual installations•11,895MWofwindpowercapacity(worthbetween€12.8bnand€17.2bn)wasinstalledintheEU

during 2012.•TheNationalRenewableEnergyActionPlansforecastanetincreasein2012of11,360MW,328MWlessthantheactualnetannualincreaseof11,688MW.

•EUwindpowerinstallationsfor2012donotshowthesignificantlynegativeimpactofmarket,regu-latory and political uncertainty sweeping across Europe since the beginning of 2011. The turbines installedduring2012weregenerallypermitted,financedandorderedpriortothecrisisfeedingthroughto a destabilisation of legislative frameworks for wind energy. The stress being felt in many markets across Europe throughout the wind industry’s value chain should become apparent in a reduced level ofinstallationsin2013,possiblycontinuingwellinto2014.

•Windpoweraccountedfor26.5%oftotal2012powercapacityinstallations.•Renewablepowerinstallationsaccountedfor70%ofnewinstallationsduring2012:31.3GWofatotal44.9GWofnewpowercapacity,down4%on2011.

Trends and cumulative installations •TheEU’stotalinstalledpowercapacityincreasedby29.2GWnetto931.9GW,withwindpowerincreasingby11.7GWandreachingashareoftotalinstalledgenerationcapacityof11.4%,upfrom10.5%thepreviousyear.

•The106GWofinstalledwindpowercapacityis1.6GW(1.5%)belowtheinstalledcapacityoutlinedinthe27NationalRenewableEnergyActionPlans(NREAPs)of107.6GW.Onshorethereare101GWofinstalledcapacityinsteadof101.7GWforeseenbytheNREAPs(-1%).Offshorethereare4,993MWofinstalledcapacityinsteadof5,829foreseenbytheNREAPs(-14%).

•Since2000,27.7%ofnewcapacityinstalledhasbeenwindpower,51.2%renewablesand91.2%renewables and gas combined.

•TheEUpowersectorcontinuesitsmoveawayfromfueloil,coalandnuclear,witheachtechnologycontinuing to decommission more than it installs.

Wind power installations•Annualinstallationsofwindpowerhaveincreasedsteadilyoverthelast12years,from3.2GWin2000to11.9GWin2012,acompoundannualgrowthrateofover11.6%.

•Atotalof106GWisnowinstalledintheEuropeanUnion,anincreaseininstalledcumulativecapacityof12.6%comparedtothepreviousyear.

•GermanyremainstheEUcountrywiththelargestinstalledcapacityfollowedbySpain,theUKandItaly.15MemberStateshavemorethan1GWofinstalledcapacity,includingtwonewerMemberStates,Poland and Romania.

•TherewasgeneralisedgrowthinwindenergyinstallationsacrossEurope,althoughitisexpectedthatanumberoflargemarkets,suchasItalyandSpain,andcertainpreviouslyfastgrowingemergingmarkets,suchasBulgaria,mayslowdownsignificantlyoverthecomingyears.

•Offshoresawarecordgrowthin2012,andthetrendisexpectedtocontinuein2013and2014.•Thewindpowercapacityinstalledbytheendof2012would,inanormalwindyear,produce231TWhofelectricity,enoughtocover7%oftheEU’selectricityconsumption–upfrom6.3%theyearbefore.

Wind power targets•OveralltheEUislaggingby1.6GW(-1.5%)behindits27NationalRenewableenergyActionPlan

forecasts.•EighteenMemberStatesarefallingbehindontheirwindpowercapacitytrajectories,mostnotablySlovakia,Greece,CzechRepublic,Hungary,FranceandPortugal.

•NineMemberStatesareabovetheirtrajectory.•ComparedtoEWEA’s2009forecast,onshoreinstallationsare3GWaboveexpectations(+3%).OffshoreinstallationsarebelowEWEA’sexpectationsby307MW(-6%).

Executive summary

Page 4: Wind in power - The European Wind Energy Association | EWEA

4

WIND IN POWER: 2012 EUROPEAN STATISTICS

ThE EUROPEAN WIND ENERgy ASSOCIATION

PORTUGAL4,525

SPAIN22,796

FRANCE7,564

UNITED KINGDOM

8,445

IRELAND1,738

BELGIUM1,375

NETHERLANDS2,391

LUXEMBOURG*45

GERMANY31,308

POLAND2,497

DENMARK4,162

SWEDEN3,745

FINLAND288

ESTONIA269

LATVIA 68

LITHUANIA* 225

ITALY8,144

AUSTRIA1,378

CZECH REPUBLIC

260 SLOVAKIA 3

HUNGARY329

SLOVENIA0

ROMANIA1,905

BULGARIA684

GREECE1,749

MALTA0

RUSSIA*15

NORWAY703

UKRAINE276

SWITZERLAND 50

CROATIA 180

TURKEY2,312

CYPRUS147

FAROE ISLANDS*4

* Provisional data or estimate. **FormerYugoslavRepublicofMacedoniaNote:duetopreviousyearadjustments,207MWofprojectde-commissioning,re-poweringandroundingoffigures,thetotal2012end-of-yearcumulativecapacityisnotexactlyequivalenttothe sum of the 2011 end-of-year total plus the 2012 additions.

Installed 2011 End 2011 Installed 2012 End 2012Candidate Countries (MW)Croatia 52 131 48 180FYROM** 0 0 0 0Serbia 0 0 0 0Turkey 477 1,806 506 2,312Total 529 1,937 554 2,492EFTA (MW)Iceland 0 0 0 0Liechtenstein 0 0 0 0Norway 99 537 166 703Switzerland 3 46 4 50

Total 88 583 170 753Other (MW)FaroeIslands* 0 4 0 4Ukraine 66 151 125 276Russia* 0 15 0 15Total 66 171 125 296Total Europe 10,361 97,043 12,744 109,581

Installed 2011

End 2011

Installed 2012

End 2012

EU Capacity (MW)Austria 73 1084 296 1,378Belgium 191 1,078 297 1,375Bulgaria 28 516 168 684Cyprus 52 134 13 147CzechRepublic 2 217 44 260Denmark 211 3,956 217 4,162Estonia 35 184 86 269Finland 2 199 89 288France 830 6,807 757 7,564Germany 2,100 29,071 2,415 31,308Greece 316 1,634 117 1,749Hungary 34 329 0 329Ireland 208 1,614 125 1,738Italy 1,090 6,878 1,273 8,144Latvia 17 48 21 68Lithuania* 16 179 46 225Luxembourg* 1 45 0 45Malta 0 0 0 0Netherlands 59 2,272 119 2,391Poland 436 1,616 880 2,497Portugal 341 4,379 145 4,525Romania 520 982 923 1,905Slovakia 0 3 0 3Slovenia 0 0 0 0Spain 1,050 21,674 1,122 22,796Sweden 754 2,899 846 3,745UnitedKingdom 1,298 6,556 1,897 8,445Total EU-27 9,664 94,352 11,895 106,040Total EU-15 8,524 90,145 9,714 99,652Total EU-12 1,140 4,207 2,181 6,388

Wind power installed in Europe by end of 2012 (cumulative)

European Union: 106,040 MWCandidate Countries: 2,492 MWEFTA: 753 MWTotal Europe: 109,581 MW

FYROM**0

Page 5: Wind in power - The European Wind Energy Association | EWEA

5THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

2012 annual installations

Wind power capacity installations

During2012,12,744MWofwindpowerwasinstalledacross Europe, of which 11,895 MW was in theEuropean Union.

Of the11,895MW installed in theEU,10,729MWwasonshoreand1,166MWoffshore. Investment inEUwind farmswasbetween€12.8bnand€17.2bn.Onshore wind farms attracted €9.4bn to €12.5bn,while offshore wind farms accounted for €3.4bn to€4.7bn.

In terms of annual installations, Germany was thelargestmarket in2012, installing2,415MWofnewcapacity, 80 MW of which (3.3%) offshore. The UKcame in secondwith 1,897MW, 854MW of which(45%)offshore,followedbyItalywith1,273MW,Spain(1,122MW),Romania (923MW),Poland (880MW),Sweden(845MW)andFrance(757MW).

AmongtheemergingmarketsofCentralandEasternEurope,RomaniaandPolandbothhadrecordyears-both installingaround7.5%of theEU’s totalannualcapacity.Bothmarketsarenowconsistentlyinthetopten in the EU for annual installations.

Itisalsoimportanttonotetheamountofinstallationsin the UK, Italy and Sweden. These three markets

representrespectively16%,11%and7%oftotalEUinstallations in 2012.

Offshore accounted for 10% of total EUwind powerinstallationsin2012,onepercentagepointmorethanin 2011.

FIGURE 1.1 EU MEMBER STATE MARKET SHARES FOR NEW

CAPACITY INSTALLED DURING 2012 IN MW. TOTAL 11,566 MW

Installed 2011 End 2011 Installed 2012 End 2012Candidate Countries (MW)Croatia 52 131 48 180FYROM** 0 0 0 0Serbia 0 0 0 0Turkey 477 1,806 506 2,312Total 529 1,937 554 2,492EFTA (MW)Iceland 0 0 0 0Liechtenstein 0 0 0 0Norway 99 537 166 703Switzerland 3 46 4 50

Total 88 583 170 753Other (MW)FaroeIslands* 0 4 0 4Ukraine 66 151 125 276Russia* 0 15 0 15Total 66 171 125 296Total Europe 10,361 97,043 12,744 109,581

Photo:Siemen

sAG

Ene

rgySec

tor

Romania 923 8%

Poland 8807%

Sweden 8467%

France 7576%

Belgium 297 3%

Austria 296 3%

Germany2,41520 %

UK 1,89716%

Italy 1,273

11%

Spain1,122

9%

Other1,189

10%

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6

WIND IN POWER: 2012 EUROPEAN STATISTICS

THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

Power capacity installations

Windpoweraccountedfor26.5%ofnewinstallationsin 2012, the second biggest share after solar PV(37%)andbeforegas(23%).

Solar PV installed 16 GW (37% of total capacity),followedbywindwith11.9GW(26.5%),andgaswith10.5GW(23%).

Noother technologiescompare towind,PVandgasintermsofnewinstallations.Coalinstalled3GW(7%oftotalinstallations),biomass1.3GW(3%),CSP833MW(2%),hydro424MW(1%),waste50MW,Nuclear22MW,fueloil7MW,oceantechnologies6MW(1) and geothermal5MW.

FIGURE 1.3 NEW INSTALLED POWER CAPACITY AND DECOMMISSIONED POWER CAPACITY IN MW

FIGURE 1.2 SHARE OF NEW POWER CAPACITY INSTALLATIONS

IN EU. TOTAL 44,601 MW

Gas10,535

23%

Coal 3,065 7%

PV 16,750

37%

Wind11,895

27%

Biomass1,3383%

Hydro424 1%

Wave and Tidal60%

Geothermal50%

CSP8332%

Nuclear220%

Fuel oil70%

Waste500%

16,750

11,895 10,535

3,065

1,338 424 50 22 5

833 7 6 0

-207

-5,495 -5,441

-43 -158

0 0

-1,205

-3,204

-6,000

1,000

4,000

9,000

14,000

19000

PV Wind Gas Coal Biomass Hydro Waste Nuclear CSP Fuel oil Wave and Tidal

New Decommissioned

Geo-thermal

0 0

Overall, during 2012, 44.9 GW of new power gener-ating capacity was installed in the EU, 1.7 GW lessthanin2011,whichwasarecordyearfornewpowercapacity installations.

During2012,5.5GWofgascapacitywasdecommis-sioned,aswere5.4GWofcoal,3.2GWoffueloiland1.2GWofnuclearcapacity.

After two years of installing more capacity than itdecommissioned,coalpowerinstallationsreducedbyalmost2.4GWin2012.

(1) Provisional data.

Page 7: Wind in power - The European Wind Energy Association | EWEA

7THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

FIGURE 2.1 INSTALLED POWER GENERATING CAPACITY PER YEAR IN MW AND RES SHARE (%)

In2000,newrenewablepowercapacity installationstotalledamere3.5GW.Since2010,annual renew-ablecapacityadditionshavebeenbetween24.5GWand33.7GW,seventoeighttimeshigherthanattheturn of the century.

The share of renewables in total new power capacity additions has also grown. In 2000, the 3.5 GW

Renewable power capacity installations

Trends & cumulative installations

FIGURE 2.1 INSTALLED POWER GENERATING CAPACITY PER YEAR IN MW AND RES SHARE (%)

represented 20.7% of new power capacity instal-lations, increasing to 31.3 GW representing 70% in2012.

353 GW of new power capacity has been installedintheEUsince2000.Ofthis,almost28%hasbeenwindpower,51%renewablesand91%renewablesandgas combined.

In2012,atotalof31GWofrenewablepowercapacitywasinstalled.Almost70%ofallnewinstalledcapacityintheEUwasrenewable.Itwas,furthermore,thefifthyearrunningthatover55%ofallnewpowercapacityin the EU was renewable.

Renewable power capacity installations

FIGURE 1.4 2012 SHARE OF NEW RENEWABLE POWER

CAPACITY INSTALLATIONS IN MW. TOTAL 30,968 MW

PV16,750

54%

Wind11,895

38%

Biomass1,3384%

CSP8333%

Hydro4241%

Waste500%

Wave and Tidal6

0%

Geothermal5

0%

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

RES

(70

%)

Peat

Fuel oil Nuclear Coal Gas

CSP

Waste Biomass Geothermal Hydro

PV Wind

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8

WIND IN POWER: 2012 EUROPEAN STATISTICS

THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION8 THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

Total installed power capacity

Wind power’s share of total installed power capacity hasincreasedfive-foldsince2000;from2.2%in2000to11.4%in2012.Overthesameperiod,renewable

FIGURE 2.3 EU POWER MIX 2000 FIGURE 2.4 EU POWER MIX 2012

FIGURE 2.2 NET ELECTRICITY GENERATING INSTALLATIONS IN THE EU 2000-2012 (GW)

Thenet growth since2000of gaspower (121GW),wind (96.7 GW) and solar PV (69 GW) was at theexpenseoffueloil(down17.4GW),nuclear(down14.7GW)andcoal (down12.7GW). Theother renewabletechnologies(hydro,biomass,waste,CSP,geothermalandoceanenergies)havealsobeen increasing theirinstalled capacity over the past decade, albeitmoreslowlythanwindandsolarPV.

Net changes in EU installed power capacity 2000-2012

The EU’s power sector continues to move away from fuel oil, coal and nuclear while increasing its totalinstalledgeneratingcapacitywithgas,wind,solarPVand other renewables.

8 THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

121

97

69

4 4 2 2 0 0 0

-13 -15 -17 20

20

40

60

80

100

140

Gas Wind PV Biomass Hydro Waste CSP Peat Wave and Tidal

Coal Nuclear Fuel oil Geo-thermal

120

Hydro110,066

19%

Wind12,887

2%

Biomass2,790

1%

Peat1,868

0%

Geothermal1,360

0%Ocean

2480%

PV1250%

Coal159,482

28%

Nuclear128,471

22%

Gas89,80116%

Fuel oil66,51812%

Hydro126,354

14% Wind

106,04111%

PV68,990

7%

Biomass7,315

1%

Waste3,854

0%

CSP1,890

0%

Geothermal1,487

0%Ocean

2600%

Coal227,877

25%

Gas214,993

23%

Nuclear120,261

13%

Fuel oil50,5486%

Peat2,0300%

capacityincreasedby51%from22.5%oftotalpowercapacityin2000to33.9%in2012.

Page 9: Wind in power - The European Wind Energy Association | EWEA

9THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

Total installed power capacity

Annual wind power installations in the EU haveincreased steadily over the past 12 years from 3.2

GWin2000to11.9GWin2012,acompoundannualgrowthrateofover11%.

National breakdown of wind power installations

In 2000, the annual wind power installations of thethree pioneering countries –Denmark,Germany andSpain–represented85%ofallEUwindcapacityaddi-tions.In2012,thissharehaddecreasedto32%.

Moreover,in2000,thecountriesthatmakeup,today,the12newerEUMemberStates(2) hadnowindenergy;in2012,theyrepresented18%oftheEU’stotalmarket.

A closer look at wind power installations

FIGURE 3.2 DENMARK, GERMANY AND SPAIN’S SHARE OF EU WIND POWER MARKET (GW)

FIGURE 3.1 ANNUAL WIND POWER INSTALLATIONS IN EU (GW)

3.2

4.4

5.95.5

5.86.5

7.2

9 8.5

10.3 9.8 9.7

11.9

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

2.7

3.6

3.4 3.8

0.5

2.8

5 6

0 0 1.5 2.2

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2000 2005 2010 2012

NMS Other EU Pioneers

(2) Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia.

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10

WIND IN POWER: 2012 EUROPEAN STATISTICS

THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

Cumulative wind power installations

Atotalof106GWisnowinstalledintheEuropeanUnion,agrowthof12.6%onthepreviousyearandsimilartothegrowthrecordedin2011.GermanyremainstheEUcountrywiththelargestinstalledcapacity,followedbySpain,Italy,theUKandFrance.TenotherEUcountrieshaveover1GWofinstalledcapacity:Austria,Belgium,Denmark, Greece, Ireland, The Netherlands, Poland,Portugal,RomaniaandSweden

Onshore and offshore annual markets

2012wasarecordyearforoffshoreinstallations,with1,166MWofnewcapacitygridconnected.Offshorewindpowerinstallationsrepresent10%oftheannualEUwindenergymarket,upfrom9%in2011.

FIGURE 3.3 ANNUAL ONSHORE AND OFFSHORE INSTALLATIONS (MW)

10 THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

4,377 5,743 5,186 5,749

6,454 7,086

8,648 8,109

9,695 8,964 8,790

10,729 51

170 276

90 90

93

318 373

575 883 874

1,166

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Offshore Onshore

FIGURE 3.4 CUMULATIVE WIND POWER INSTALLATIONS IN THE

EU (GW)

12.917.3

23.128.5

34.440.8

48

56.7

65

75.2

85

94.4

106

20

40

60

80

100

120

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

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11THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

FIGURE 3.5 EU MEMBER STATE MARKET SHARES FOR TOTAL

INSTALLED CAPACITY. TOTAL 106 GW

Germany (31.3 GW) and Spain (22.8 GW) have thelargest cumulative installed wind energy capacity in Europe. Together they represent 52% of total EUcapacity.TheUK,ItalyandFrancefollowwith,respec-tively,8.4GW(8%oftotalEUcapacity),8.1GW(8%)and7.6GW(7%).AmongstthenewerMemberStates,Poland,with2.5GWofcumulativecapacity,isnowinthetop10,infrontoftheNetherlands,andRomaniaiseleventhwith1.9GW(1.8%).

Estimated wind energy production

Thewindcapacityinstalledatend2012will,inanormalwindyear,produce231TWhofelectricity,representing7%oftheEU’sgrossfinalconsumption(3).

According to thismethodology Denmark remains thecountry with the highest penetration of wind power in electricity consumption (27.1%), followed by Portugal(16.8%),Spain(16.3%),Ireland(12.7%)andGermany(10.8%).Of the newerMemberStates,Romania hasthehighestwindenergypenetration(6.9%).

FIGURE 3.6 WIND POWER SHARE OF TOTAL ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN EU (7%) AND IN MEMBER STATES

(3) According to the latest fi gures from Eurostat, gross electricity consumption in the EU was 3,349 TWh in 2010.

Germany31

30%

Spain23

22%

UK88%

Italy88%

France87%

Portugal54%

Denmark44%

Sweden43%

Poland22%

Netherlands22%

Others10

10%

0% 0% 0%

1% 1% 1%

2% 2%

3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4%

4% 5%

5% 6% 6% 6% 6%

7% 7%

11% 13%

16% 17%

27%

5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

DenmarkPortugal

SpainIreland

GermanyEU

RomaniaUK

EstoniaGreeceCyprus

SwedenItaly

NetherlandsLithuania

AustriaBulgariaBelgiumPolandFranceLatvia

HungaryLuxembourg

Czech RepublicFinland

SlovakiaSlovenia

Malta

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12

WIND IN POWER: 2012 EUROPEAN STATISTICS

THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

Note: wind energy penetration levels are calculated using average capacity factors onshore and offshore and Eurostat electricity consumption fi gures (2010). Consequently, Figure 3.6 indicates approximate share of consumption met by the installed wind energy capacity at end 2012. The Figure does not represent real wind

energy production and electricity consumption data over a calendar year. Consequently real national fi gures for any given year can vary. For example, according to the Portuguese TSO (REN), wind energy met over 19% of total consumption during 2012.

FIGURE 3.7 WIND POWER SHARE OF TOTAL ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN CROATIA, NORWAY, SWITZERLAND, TURKEY

12 THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

0.2%

1.1%

2%

2.3%

0.5% 1% 1.5% 2% 2.5%

Turkey

Croatia

Norway

Switzerland

Despite the growth of annual wind energy installations in 2012 and cumulative capacity reaching 106GW,windenergydeployment is laggingbehind theobjec-tivestheEUMemberStatesset themselves in theirNational Renewable Energy Action Plans (NREAPs)(4). Comparison with the NREAPs does not takeinto account any subsequent changes to targets.Interestingly, installations in 2012 were higher thanEWEA’sexpectations.

Wind power targets

In2009,theEWEApublishedagrowthscenario(5) that expectedcumulativecapacityintheEUtobe103GWattheendof2012.However,EWEA’sscenarioreaches230 GW of installed wind energy capacity in 2020,whereas the sum of the Member State’s NREAP’sis213GW. The latter suggests thatwhereasEWEAtook a gradual approach with annual installations increasing slowly at the beginning and more rapidly towards 2020, the Member States, on the whole,“front-loaded”theirtrajectories.

(4) Foreseen by Directive 2009/28/EC of 23 April 2009 on the promotion of the use of energy from renewable sources.(5) Pure Power, wind energy targets for 2020 and 2030 – a report by the European Wind Energy Association.

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13The european Wind energy associaTion

TABLE 4.1 WIND POWER CAPACITY TARGETS, NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY ACTION PLANS AND REAL (MW)

Onshore 2012 Offshore 2012 Total 2012 Difference 2012

NREAP Real NREAP Real NREAP Real Onshore Offshore Total

Austria 1,435 1,378 0 0 1,435 1,378 -57 0 -57 -4%Belgium 720 996 503 380 1,223 1,375 276 -124 152 12.5%Bulgaria 451 684 0 0 451 684 233 0 233 51.7%Cyprus 114 147 0 0 114 147 33 0 33 28.9%CzechRep 343 260 0 0 343 260 -83 0 -83 -24.2%Denmark 2,985 3,241 856 921 3,841 4,162 256 65 321 8.4%Estonia 311 269 0 0 311 269 -42 0 -42 -13.5%Finland 380 262 0 26 380 288 -118 26 -92 -24.2%France 7,598 7,564 667 0 8,265 7,564 -34 -667 -701 -8.5%Germany 30,566 31,027 792 280 31,358 31,307 461 -512 -51 -0.2%Greece 2,521 1,749 0 0 2,521 1,749 -772 0 -772 -30.6%Hungary 445 329 0 0 445 329 -116 0 - 116 -26.1%Ireland 2,334 1,713 36 25 2,370 1,738 -621 -11 -632 -26.7%Italy 7,040 8,144 0 0 7,040 8,144 1,104 0 1,104 15.7%Latvia 49 68 0 0 49 68 19 0 19 38.8%Lithuania 250 225 0 0 250 225 -25 0 -25 -10%Luxembourg 54 45 0 0 54 45 -9 0 -9 -16.7%Malta 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 0 -2 -100%Netherlands 2,727 2,144 228 247 2,955 2,391 -583 19 -564 -19.1%Poland 2,010 2,497 0 0 2,010 2,497 487 0 487 24.2%Portugal 5,600 4,523 0 2 5,600 4,525 -1,077 2 -1,075 -19.2%Romania 1,850 1,905 0 0 1,850 1,905 55 0 55 3%Slovakia 150 3 0 0 150 3 -147 0 -147 -98%Slovenia 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 0 - 2 -100%Spain 23,555 22,796 0 0 23,555 22,796 -707 0 -707 -3.2%Sweden 2,311 3,582 97 164 2,408 3,745 1,269 67 1,336 55.6%UK 5,970 5,497 2,650 2,948 8,620 8,445 -473 298 - 175 -2%

EU-27 101,773 101,048 5,829 4,993 107,602 106,041 -725 -836 -1,561 -1.5%

EWEA 2009 EU 98,000 5,300 103,300

Difference EWEA 2009 and real

3,048 -307 2,741

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14

WIND IN POWER: 2012 EUROPEAN STATISTICS

THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION14 THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

FIGURE 4.1 WIND POWER CAPACITY TARGETS (NREAPS AND EWEA 2009) AND REAL (MW)

101.8

98

101

5.8

5.3

5

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

108

110

NREAPs EWEA 2009 Real Offshore Onshore

EighteenMemberStatesarefallingbehindtheirwindpower capacity trajectories. Of these, the furthestbehind are Slovakia (-147MW, -98%), Greece (-772MW, -30.6%), Czech Republic (-83 MW, -24.2%),Hungary (-116 MW, -26.1%), Portugal (-1,075 MW,-19%) and France (-701MW, -8.5%). The nine otherMember States are, on the other hand, above theirtrajectory.Swedenisthemostnoteworthywith1,336MWmorethanforecast(+55%).

TheEUoverall is laggingbyalmost1.6GW (-1.5%).Table4.1alsohighlights that it is inoffshorewherethereisthebiggestdiscrepancybetweentheNREAPsandrealinstallations.TheMemberStatesaretrailingby836MW,-14%.

Compared to EWEA’s 2009 forecast, on the otherhand,onshoreinstallationshaveincreasedfasterthanexpected (+3,048 MW or +3%). However, offshoreinstallationsarebelowexpectationsby307MWor-6%.