wisconsin statewide model july 26,2006. travel forecasting & analysis section forecasts for...
TRANSCRIPT
Wisconsin Statewide Model
July 26,2006
Travel Forecasting & Analysis Section
Forecasts for Project Development & Design Major Projects and Statewide Corridors System-wide forecasts to Calculate Level-of-Service in Metamanager Statewide Model development for Multi-Modal Planning
VMT Estimation and Forecasting Output to FHWA for Program $ Apportionment Output to DNR for Environmental Air Quality Analysis Output to State Patrol & DTID for Fatality Rate Calculations
Origin & Destination Studies for Local Cost Share
Statewide Modeling Context
• Systems View
• Synchronization
• Applications
Wisconsin Statewide Model
Wisconsin Network Zone
Wisconsin MPO Models
Wisconsin Regional Models
Regional Model
NorthWest Wisconsin
MPO Model
EauClaire / Chippewa Falls
System View
Statewide Model
Regional Model
MPO Model
System Feedback
Statewide Model
Regional Model
MPO Model
Statewide Model Completed October 2004
Statewide Model Provides AADT Estimates to MPO Model
System Feedback
Statewide Model
Regional Model
MPO Model
MPO Model Completed December 2004
MPO Model Provides AADT Estimates back to Statewide Model
Synchronized Models
Synchronized Models Provides AADT Estimates to Region
Statewide Model
Regional Model
MPO Model
Regional Model Completed December 2005
Traffic Analysis Forecasting Information System
Produces and Warehouses AADT Estimates for Analysis
TAFIS
Provide Overrides Capability of Historical Based Forecasts
Regional
Statewide
MPO
TAFIS
Systems Interaction
Source Data for:-WisDOT’s Metamanager System- WisDOT’s Corridor Management- Traffic Impact Analysis
Traffic Analysis Forecasting Information System (TAFIS)
• SAS-based forecasts utilizing historic data
• Produces and warehouses AADT estimatesfor analysis
• Utilizes Box-Cox regression methodfor Interstate, US and Wisconsin State highways
TAFIS Example
Madison, Dane CountyMadison, Dane County
Station Station LocationLocation
Model Application Outputs
• Conceptual Planning ( Alternatives Testing)
• Input into Paramics ( Design)
• Planned Projects within each MPO (Long Range Transportation Plan)
I- 94
Design Concepts I-94 (St. Croix County)
Principles
• Partnership with Consultants
• More robust AADT Estimates
• Realistic Design
• Anticipate Emerging Growth
Urban Travel Models
Sub Consultant
Prime
Sub Consultant
MPO & RPC’s
Wisconsin Statewide Model
Thank you
Questions