wmd & emergency planning steps session 12. emergency planning steps vulnerability assessment...
TRANSCRIPT
WMD & Emergency Planning Steps
Session 12
Emergency Planning Steps
Vulnerability Assessment
Mitigation Efforts
Emergency Response Planning
Recovery
Emergency
“Keep in mind that an emergency is an event that requires the response of a limited number of specified professionals in a single, confined setting. There can be several emergencies that result from a single event, such as a large building fire.”
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Disaster
“Generally, emergency services agencies view any situation that combines threats to humans, with destruction of property severe enough to warrant the assistance of several different types of emergency services, a disaster.”
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Vulnerability Analysis
Risk Characterization Assess assets Assign threat level Assign impact level Calculate risk Describe risk
Interchangable?
Threat Risk
NO!
Threat
Threat is something that can be seen (hypothetically – a terrorist for example hides out but can be seen) and has the potential to cause harm, damage, loss of property or death. That potential cannot be measured by just considering threat.
Risk
The mathematical or “relative” probability that a threat will actually cause harm,
damage, loss of property or death.
Is subjective and requires thought and calculation.
Threat
Risk?
Threat
Risk?
Threat?
Risk?
U.S. Government Says
Risk is the probability that a substance or situation would produce harm under specified conditions. Risk is a combination of two factors:
Factors
The probability that an adverse event will occur. (occurrence probability)The consequences of the adverse event. (consequences)
Formula
OP X Impact = Risk
You can determine OP by considering the threat and historical perspective and current
events.
Examples
70-100 High Risk
50-69 Moderate High Risk
30-49 Low Risk
1-29 Very Low Risk
No Such Thing as Zero
Mitigation
Reducing (not removing) risk
Lessening likelihood
Lessening impact
Generally, threats cannot be reduced Only probability of occurrence
Mitigation Methods
Legislation (OP & impact)
Education (OP & impact)
Physical Alterations (OP & impact)
Electronic Alterations
Mitigation Implementation
Highest Risk Areas
Highest Dollar Areas
Highest Lives-Lost Areas
Combination
Theater