wms update demand side working group mary anne brelinsky eagle energy partners

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WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

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2 Voluntary Load Response and Price Certainty Working Group discussed options to improve visibility to RTBES –Matt Mereness from ERCOT provided DSWG with the technical options for providing closer to real-time pricing information when Non-Spinning Reserve Services (NSRS) are deployed PRR650 was effective 9/1/06 which requires ERCOT to: –Send an emergency notification to all QSEs when NSRS is deployed –Send an emergency notification to all QSEs when NSRS is discontinued –Manually recalculate the MCPE when NSRS is deployed and post new MCPE the next business day ERCOT runs a custom program that creates a market file without NSRS schedules (which are combined with the energy schedules) ERCOT re-runs the market clearing process with these modified schedules to generate the adjusted MCPEs Not performed if there are any binding CSC constraints

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Page 1: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

WMS UpdateDemand Side Working Group

                                   Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

Page 2: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

2

DSWG Goals Update

Page 3: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

3

Voluntary Load Response and Price Certainty

• Working Group discussed options to improve visibility to RTBES– Matt Mereness from ERCOT provided DSWG with the technical

options for providing closer to real-time pricing information when Non-Spinning Reserve Services (NSRS) are deployed

• PRR650 was effective 9/1/06 which requires ERCOT to:– Send an emergency notification to all QSEs when NSRS is deployed– Send an emergency notification to all QSEs when NSRS is discontinued– Manually recalculate the MCPE when NSRS is deployed and post new

MCPE the next business day• ERCOT runs a custom program that creates a market file without

NSRS schedules (which are combined with the energy schedules) • ERCOT re-runs the market clearing process with these modified

schedules to generate the adjusted MCPEs• Not performed if there are any binding CSC constraints

Page 4: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

4

Voluntary Load Response and Price Certainty (cont.)

• Modified Competitive Solution Method (MCSM) was removed 10/1/06 by PUCT 31972 which removed price corrections, except for held intervals and shadow price errors

• ERCOT was asked by PUCT staff to look at two alternatives to provide a pricing signal closer to real-time:

1. Running two Market Clearing Engines (MCE) in parallel, one for dispatch, one for pricing» 1a) Run two Market Clearing Engines in parallel, one for dispatch, one for pricing» 1b) Run two passes of the Market Clearing Engine with two different SPD files» 1c) Have vendor modify MCE to add additional step to create separate pricing

2. Post remaining Balancing Energy Services bid stack when NSRS is deployed for Market Participants to download and derive an estimate of revised MCPE

Not pursuing at this time

Page 5: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

5

Price Certainty Option Summary

1c) 1c) Vendor Vendor modify modify engine to engine to add step add step

1b) Run 1b) Run two two passes passes through through one one engineengine

1a) Run 1a) Run parallel parallel enginesengines

OptionOption

More expensive, probably More expensive, probably would slow down market would slow down market solution to run additional solution to run additional pricing steppricing step

CostCost-- 100100--250k?250k?

Would not involve Would not involve resourceresource--constrained constrained ERCOT staff except for ERCOT staff except for testingtesting

Vendor Vendor timingtiming

Slows down market solution to Slows down market solution to run second pass, program run second pass, program only runs when NSRS only runs when NSRS deployed deployed

CostCost-- 5050--100k?100k?

No vendor involvementNo vendor involvement3 mo.3 mo.

Complications of extra engines Complications of extra engines involved in solution, resource involved in solution, resource risks with nodalrisks with nodal

CostCost-- 100100--250k?250k?

No vendor involvement, No vendor involvement, minimal risk of minimal risk of increasing time to reach increasing time to reach market solutionmarket solution

44--6 mo.6 mo.(procurement) (procurement)

RiskRiskBenefitBenefitEst. TimeEst. Time

1c) 1c) Vendor Vendor modify modify engine to engine to add step add step

1b) Run 1b) Run two two passes passes through through one one engineengine

1a) Run 1a) Run parallel parallel enginesengines

OptionOption

More expensive, probably More expensive, probably would slow down market would slow down market solution to run additional solution to run additional pricing steppricing step

CostCost-- 100100--250k?250k?

Would not involve Would not involve resourceresource--constrained constrained ERCOT staff except for ERCOT staff except for testingtesting

Vendor Vendor timingtiming

Slows down market solution to Slows down market solution to run second pass, program run second pass, program only runs when NSRS only runs when NSRS deployed deployed

CostCost-- 5050--100k?100k?

No vendor involvementNo vendor involvement3 mo.3 mo.

Complications of extra engines Complications of extra engines involved in solution, resource involved in solution, resource risks with nodalrisks with nodal

CostCost-- 100100--250k?250k?

No vendor involvement, No vendor involvement, minimal risk of minimal risk of increasing time to reach increasing time to reach market solutionmarket solution

44--6 mo.6 mo.(procurement) (procurement)

RiskRiskBenefitBenefitEst. TimeEst. Time

Page 6: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

6

October 26th Price Adjustments and Next Steps

• This summer ERCOT employed a desk procedure that deploys NSRS when reserves are diminishing resulting in more common scenarios of NSRS deploying before the hitting the 95% bid stack (on October 17th prices decreased)

• ERCOT’s use of Replacement Reserves may be minimizing the amount of Non-Spin deployed due to bid stack depletion. October 26 was first case of NSRS depletion since PRR650

• ERCOT’s intra-day updates (via the ROS exploder) publicize shortfalls in supply. This may be resulting in market behavior that is minimizing the amount of Non-Spin deployed

• ERCOT needs market participants to formulate PRRs to facilitate desired outcome

n/a$102.7520:15

n/a$1,000.0020:00

n/a$1,000.0019:45

n/a$1,000.0019:30

n/a$77.0819:15

n/a$72.739:30

$54.31$51.879:15

$295.00$295.009:00

$87.93$77.088:45

$71.43$68.778:30

$76.02$69.908:15

$88.13$85.018:00

$95.01$85.017:45

$295.00$200.007:30

n/a$295.007:15

n/a$200.017:00

Corrected per

PRR650Original MCPE26-Oct-06

n/a$102.7520:15

n/a$1,000.0020:00

n/a$1,000.0019:45

n/a$1,000.0019:30

n/a$77.0819:15

n/a$72.739:30

$54.31$51.879:15

$295.00$295.009:00

$87.93$77.088:45

$71.43$68.778:30

$76.02$69.908:15

$88.13$85.018:00

$95.01$85.017:45

$295.00$200.007:30

n/a$295.007:15

n/a$200.017:00

Corrected per

PRR650Original MCPE26-Oct-06

Page 7: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

7

Current LaaR Participation

Page 8: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

8

Full Market Subscription of LaaR at 1150 MWs

Page 9: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

9

October 3rd LaaR Performance Highlights

22 minutes to reach

complianceOne LaaR trips at 59.8

LaaR manually deployed 17:37:43

Page 10: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

10

LaaR Response 10/3/06from IDR Data

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00 21:00 22:00 23:00 0:00

Time

Res

pons

e (M

W)

Aggregate LaaR Response Using IDR Data

Page 11: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

11

ERCOT Requesting Update to LaaR Qualification

• Initial Qualification Enhancements:– Actual interruption required during first 90 days– No notification prior to test

• Annual Recertification of LaaR Resources:– Actual interruption once a year– Response to Operator VDI that complies with Protocols in lieu of

testing

• Periodic Command and Control Tests:– Hot line call to QSEs with response verification back from party

that actually trips the load

• Formalize Disqualification Criteria:– Failure to meet 10 minute response (two occurrences in 365 day

period)

Page 12: WMS Update Demand Side Working Group Mary Anne Brelinsky Eagle Energy Partners

12

Next DSWG Meeting

• At our last meeting we scheduled our final DSWG meeting for the year on December 8th

• Subsequently, the PUC has scheduled additional workshops regarding Demand Response Programs in ERCOT on Friday December 8th, Monday December 18th, and Tuesday December 19th beginning at 9:30 in the Commissioners Hearing Room

• DSWG will be rescheduled to Friday December 15th