*work in progress
DESCRIPTION
Various Features Influencing Convection Initiation on 12 June 2002 during IHOP_2002* Tammy M. Weckwerth (NCAR). Hanne V. Murphey (UCLA) Cyrille Flamant (CNRS) Crystalyne R. Pettet (US NWS) Roger M. Wakimoto (NCAR) Sophie Bastin (NCAR). *Work in Progress. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Various Features Influencing Convection Initiation on
12 June 2002 during IHOP_2002*
Tammy M. WeckwerthTammy M. Weckwerth (NCAR)
WWRP Symposium on Nowcasting and Very Short Range Forecasting, Toulouse, France, 5-9 September 2005
*Work in Progress
Hanne V. MurpheyHanne V. Murphey (UCLA)Cyrille FlamantCyrille Flamant (CNRS)
Crystalyne R. PettetCrystalyne R. Pettet (US NWS) Roger M. WakimotoRoger M. Wakimoto (NCAR)
Sophie BastinSophie Bastin (NCAR)
GOES 11
Composite Radar
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50 km
101 100o 99 98
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37o
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12 June 2002
Are the intersections between the waves and outflow preferred regions for CI?
Why did CI occur here?
Are the rolls a factor in CI?
Does the mesolow play a role in CI?
2050 UTC
CI 19 km from drop line
• Incomplete soundings – only up to 6 km AGL (445 mb)• No drops in CI air mass
NE SW
Outflow boundary
Dropsonde Leg 2 – CAPE & CIN
ELDORA Observations of Waves
• ELDORA fields @ 900 m AGL
• Gravity waves in all fields: λ = 6-8 km• Consistent with P-3, MIPS, GOES-11 and radar
dBZe vr
div vort
ELDORA and Leandre II Wave Impacts
• ELDORA and Leandre II fields @ 400 m AGL• Periodic signature in q, div and vort: λ=6-8 km
km
OK Mesonet – 18 UTC – Mesolow Impact
• LLJ feeding region of interest• Dewpoints in the high 60s and low 70s
Freedom
Wind Direction
Wind Speed Mixing Ratio
Moisture Convergence
Freedom, OK MesonetMesolow Impact
• Local increase in southerly flow, perhaps due to mesolow – not observed further south
• Increase in moisture convergence
Roll Observations
• ELDORA reflectivity and winds @ 400 m AGL• 1.1 km in situ fields show rolls (λ~3.6 km) SE of TP
qθ
w
10 km
Preliminary results
• Mesolow may have aided in enhancing moisture convergence in CI region.
• Waves sampled by ground-based radar, satellite, in situ P-3, low-level MIPS w, ELDORA. Suggestion of Leandre II mixing ratio modulation caused by waves – may be important for CI.
• Rolls observed near CI location with radar and in-situ P-3 – may be important for CI.*
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1731
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3314
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50 km
101 100o 99 98
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37o
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GOES-11 Cloud Tracking
• 1st clouds formed along rolls
• Northern cloud formed near wave/outflow intersection
Ongoing work
• Closely examine ELDORA and Leandre II measurements near CI location
• Modeling study by Sophie Bastin (presented next)
Thank you.