working memory, anxiety, and e*trade mobile pro

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    Running Head: WORKING MEMORY AND E*TRADE MOBILE PRO

    Working Memory, Anxiety, and E*TRADE MOBILE PRO

    Armen J. Chakmakjian

    Bentley University

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    Abstract

    Trading investment vehicles such as stocks and bonds has moved from paper-based

    research and voice over landline phone to the mobile smart device. This disintermediation of

    information retrieval and transaction execution has created the ability for the average consumer to

    act on their investments with increasing ease and speed. This paper studies the working memory

    load that is required to act on the goals of an investor using the iPad application called E*TRADE

    MOBILE PRO. This paper first describes working memory in relation to the other perceptual and

    cognitive functions. Aspects of working memory such as the visual and phonological loops, as

    well as the concept of the central executive and episodic buffer are touched upon. The research

    then attempts to intuit the ease or difficulty that a novice investor encounters when using the iPad

    application to perform research and to execute a trade. Each action is evaluated in the context of

    working memory looking for areas where working memory capacity and emotional load would

    exacerbate pre-existing anxiety or create it. The paper concludes that the application is powerful

    but creates a high cognitive load on a novice investor and possibly exacerbates any anxiety they

    may already have.

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    Working Memory and E*TRADE MOBILE PRO

    Trading investment vehicles such as stocks and bonds has moved from paper-based

    research and voice over landline phone to the mobile smart device. This disintermediation of

    information retrieval and transaction execution has created the ability for the average consumer to

    act on their investments with increasing ease and speed. This paper studies the working memory

    load that is required to act on the goals of an investor using the iPad application called E*TRADE

    MOBILE PRO. In order to perform a complex set of actions such as trading equity shares based

    on research, an investor relies on the perceptual and cognitive capabilities that have evolved in

    humans. In particular, an investor uses working memory to make decisions and execute against

    their goal of buying or selling shares. Applications such as the E*TRADE app present an

    interesting cognitive and emotional load on an investor, especially to novice investors who are

    presented with all the tools and information in one place.

    This paper first describes working memory in relation to the other perceptual and

    cognitive functions. Aspects of working memory such as the visual and phonological loops, as

    well as the concept of the central executive and episodic buffer are touched upon. The research

    then attempts to intuit the ease or difficulty for a novice investor presented with the iPad

    application to perform research and to execute a trade. Each action is evaluated in the context of

    working memory looking for areas where working memory capacity and emotional load would

    exacerbate pre-existing anxiety or create it. The paper concludes that the application is powerful

    but creates a high cognitive load on a novice investor and possibly exacerbates any anxiety they

    may already have.

    Working Memory

    Baddeleys described his working memory model in 1974. In that model working

    memory sits between sensory memory and long-term memory. Baddeley proposes a limited

    capacity work space which has two components, storage and processing. (Baddeley & Hitch,

    1974) Within that description Baddeley posits that there is also a visual sketchpad and a

    phonological loop that interact through a central executive. (Baddeley, 2000) Neurological

    research has shown the central executive function in action. When two tasks were attempted at

    the same time, different parts of the brain (depending on task) were activated in order to help with

    Figure 1: Baddeley's model of working memory (Baddeley, 2000)

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    the processing whereas those same parts of the brain were not activated when only one task was

    attempted. (DEsposito, Detre, Alsop, Shin et al., 1995) The fact that the brain activates other

    parts of the brain as a part of load balancing means that the brain is somehow manipulating

    limited resources. Research indicates that there is a trade-off between the amount of storage

    required and the speed of processing and also shows that slow or error-prone processing tends to

    use up resources otherwise available for tasks. (Baddeley & Hitch, 1986, Just & Carpenter, 1992)

    Baddeley proposes that there is an episodic component to working memory that works

    along with the visual and phonological and central executive. (Figure 1) It is described as a

    limited-capacity cache that integrates information from various sources. The episodic buffer is

    controlled by the central executive to exchange information in both directions with long-term

    memory as a part of keeping track of the execution progress of plans against goals. (Baddeley,

    2000, Conway, 2001) Mental models, also known as cognitive chunks, play a role in this episodic

    processing. The episodic buffer is where cognitive chunks are formed or modified and can be

    recalled into working memory later for attentive processing. (Jeffries, Lambon Ralph &

    Baddeley, 2004, Rapp, 2005)

    Working memory is constrained by the fact that it is a limited resource and not

    everything perceived and processed is stored. Research has indicated that visual working memory

    stores integrated objects, where both color and orientation are stored, in a limited fashion. This

    research showed that up to 4 colors were stored for an object even if the object was more colorful.

    (Luck & Vogel, 1997) Other research shows that children rely primarily on visual working

    memory to process, but adolescents and adults seem to dual-encode visual and phonological

    information, and in fact rely on phonological recall more. (Hitch, Woodin & Baker, 1989)

    However, external issues may also hamper working memory functioning. A 2006 study

    showed that anxiety selectively disrupts the visuospatial loop in particular, while leaving the

    phonological loop untouched. (Shackman et al., 2006). The visuospatial loop is tied to math

    ability and studies show that test performance, a specific use of working memory, is inhibited by

    stereotype threat and math anxiety in general. (Ashcraft & Kirk, 2001, Schmader & Johns, 2003).

    Research shows that financial decision-making puts a significant load on working memory and

    specifically on prefrontal systems. Spinella, et al., show that the affect by any impairment in the

    frontal lobes may subject the individual to impulsivity and poor judgment and in particular with

    regards to purchasing and credit card debt. That impulsivity results anxiety and other health

    problems in the decision-maker. (Spinella, Yang & Lester, 2004, 2007). Anxiety in turn can

    constrain working memory by biasing the attentive response to an apparent source of a threat

    (Luu, Tucker & Derryberry, 1998). It is not difficult to extrapolate that the purchase of a stock

    may then be using the same brain circuitry, subject the decision to inherent impulsivity as well as

    being affected by anxiety.

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    E*TRADE MOBILE PRO, Anxiety and Working Memory

    Figure 2 shows the entry point into the E*TRADE MOBILE PRO application for any

    user. For the purposes of this discussion we will be looking at the application from the point of

    view of a novice investor, with no frontal lobe impairment, who may be familiarizing themselves

    with stock trading. This research does not speculate how the user invested prior to the use of this

    application. The iPad application presents the user with rich visual perceptual information in the

    form of colors and shapes. The users preattentive mechanism will begin to process the page by

    grouping objects for processing priming later functioning with information that pops out. The

    users attention may be drawn to the familiar television-like metaphor for CNBC streaming video

    and a graph of some major investing indexes. From a working memory point of view, the user

    may have one of two goals. They may either want to browse this screen to become familiar with

    it or try an action. They may be drawn to the large blue selection indicator for the articles. At theedges of the visual field they will also see what appear to be occluded sections of information.

    Assuming that they are familiar with swiping on an iPad, they will swipe right or left to expose

    more information. While some of this data is potentially interesting, the user will process the

    generic nature of the information presented and conclude that it is not specific to them. To some

    extent this may be distracting if their goal is to get to their own information.

    Search for Personal Information

    The user will probably attempt want to authenticate their session at this point. They will

    search the visual field for any indication that they can log in. At the bottom left they may notice akey, a familiar metaphor for unlocking something, and the words Log on. The combination of

    text and the icon will create a powerful pair of inputs to working memory in the visual loop.

    Research studies that even though this text is presented visually, familiarity with words uses both

    the visual and phonological loops through the process of subvocalization in silent reading.

    (Daneman & Newson, 1992). The icon and text pair takes advantage of both the visual/spatial

    loop and phonological loop pairing words and icons.

    Figure 2:ETRADE application on an iPad on initial invocation

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    The user will authenticate using the username and password that they previously set up,

    which they stored electronically (such as in an email) or written down, or just from memory.

    Remembering this information or where they kept may cause some anxiety or not. When

    successful they will be presented with what appears to be exactly the same screen. This may be a

    bit disconcerting the user. With a quick scan the user will see that the key has now turned into a

    lock and delayed quotes at the top changed to real time quotes. Along the bottom they see the

    Accounts icon in the form of a folder. They may intuit at this point that this is where their

    information is. Clicking on that icon moves things on the screen such that their portfolios and

    accounts are visible including recent alerts.

    Researching Financial Information

    As Spinella, et al., point out, financial decision-making in healthy individuals brings with

    it a cognitive load laced with the emotional results of reward and punishment. (Spinella, Yang &

    Lester, 2004) That reward or punishment would be gain or loss based on an investment decision

    whether executed or inhibited. At this point the user is looking at a listing of their account

    information including their portfolio(s) and can see the overall value of their assets. For the

    purposes of this discussion, it is assumed that a trade will have to be done with existing assets.

    The user can see the overall gain for each portfolio and depending on the previous activity in this

    account this screen can be filled with a significant amount of financial and mathematical

    information to process, such as which portfolios have had the best or worst returns including

    losses. This data will likely strobe any anxiety or euphoria based on the results of previous

    actions.

    If the user taps on a particular portfolio, the screen updates to show two new boxes in the

    carousel at the top, one with the portfolio performance that day as well as a chart for one of the

    stocks in the portfolio. This is rich visual data for an expert with the ability to consume it in large

    spans or chunks. For a novice or anxious investor, the data on this screen can be overwhelming.

    Kalyuga, et al., showed in their research that split-attention presentation of text and graphical data

    requiring the user to relate what appears to be disparate information requires significant working

    memory that may inhibit the learning process by reducing available working memory for schema

    acquisition. (Kalyuga, Chandler & Sweller, 1999). In other words, the novice investor is dealing

    with lots of data in small chunks that can create a high cognitive load. The user can flick the

    carousel right and left and find cells for each of the investments in that portfolio as well as charts

    and news tickers for markets that day. Assuming they have an investment that they need to sell in

    order to have funds to buy a different investment they have in mind, they might fathom to do

    research. The presented information is somewhat limited. However at the bottom of the screen

    there is a research icon next to the accounts icon. The affordance is a chart, which could mean

    more charts, or other information.

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    Assuming for a moment that the user has zeroed in on the data that convinces them that

    they should sell a stock that has done well for them, they might want to investigate a stock that

    they do not own but for which they have some previous information from. They must now figure

    out how to get information about that hunch or stock tip that validates or disproves it. The

    ETRADE program doesnt provide a search function for information on a stock, but it does

    provide a Get Quotes box at the bottom. The user will type in a stock name or ticker in that cell

    and the screen will update the upper and lower carousels to present information about that stock.

    At the top left, a graph of the stocks performance, at the top right, immediate stock data such as

    recent bid/ask prices, 52 week high and lows, and the current price. The lower carousel has news

    stories relevant to that stock. Again this is a lot of rich information to consume and process along

    the whole perceptual and cognitive systems.

    Possible Confirmation Bias

    To some extent, because the user is dealing with an emotional topic such as a financial

    transaction, they may also be subject to confirmation bias. In this particular case, the amount of

    cognitive load, combined with any existing anxiety, may cause a user to make a decision based on

    the data provided that confirms their hunch or the tip they were provided. One research study

    shows that selective exposure to information that is presented in a sequential fashion may lead to

    confirmation bias. (Jonas, Schulz-Hardt, Frey & Thelen, 2001) It can be extrapolated that in this

    case the possible overload of information in ETRADE in concert with a set of articles that is

    walked through sequentially might lead to a novice customer to confirm their hunch, short-

    circuiting any metacognitive checking that might be brought to bear on the decision.

    Executing Transactions

    At this point the user has confirmed that they should trade one stock for another. In both

    the sell and buy scenarios, tapping the Trading icon at the bottom of the page starts the

    transaction. An overlay appears (See figure 3) which allows them to pick an order type, a stock

    and several other parameters. As soon as the stock ticker symbol is typed in, the screen is updated

    Figure 3: Order and Preview Overlays

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    with a real time quote. Once the parameters of a transaction are entered, a green button

    encourages the user to preview the transaction. On the preview screen, the user is allowed to

    review the data and then possibly edit it. The researcher in this case did not execute the

    transaction to buy one share of GM, but in all likelihood a similar pop-up would appear which

    would confirm the order and let the user know if the order had been executed yet.

    Buying and selling of equities uses the same set of affordances and is part of the same

    flow. Within seconds of making the decision to execute the transaction the user would be able to

    both buy and sell stocks. Of all the information presented thus far, this seemed to be the most

    logical, learnable and somewhat free of confusion and load.

    Summary and Conclusion

    This paper first described working memory in relation to the other perceptual and

    cognitive functions. It briefly touched on aspects of working memory such as the visual and

    phonological loops, the central executive and the newer concept of episodic buffer. The research

    then turned to the specific example of a novice investor presented with the ETRADE iPad

    application and how they would perform research and then execute a trade. The conclusions

    presented were that this application would create a great amount of cognitive load for the user

    based on its design and the information provided. Exacerbating this would be any intrinsic

    anxiety that accompanies financial transactions for a novice investor. Finally the paper concluded

    that the least cognitive load and anxiety provoking part of the design application was executing

    the transaction itself.

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    References

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