world nuclear energy perspectives - ifnec - home · 2017-02-09 · department of nuclear energy...
TRANSCRIPT
Mikhail Chudakov
Deputy Director General
Department of Nuclear Energy
International Atomic Energy Agency
IFNEC Latin American Nuclear Energy Stakeholders Conference
25 October 2016
World nuclear energy perspectives
Energy 2016
1.1 B people no access to energy
2.6 B people rely on biomass
1 B people no health care
due to energy poverty
IAEA & SDGs
Energy challenge
Population
Energy demand
Energy security
4
Environment
Climate change
NP Reactors (October 2016)
6
450 in operation 392 GW(e) Capacity
60 under construction (2/3 in Asia)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
GW
(e)
High
Low
history
7
2030 Projections
112 92
60
112,6 119 131
157
0
100
200
300
400
500
2013 2020 2030 2050
GW
(e)
Year
North America
4,5 7 13 4,1 5,8 15
59
0
100
200
300
400
500
2013 2020 2030 2050
GW
(e)
Year
Latin America
101
68
33
113,5 112 120 131
0
100
200
300
400
500
2013 2020 2030 2050G
W(e
) Year
Western Europe
1,9 1,9 7 1,9 1,9 10
42
0
100
200
300
400
500
2013 2020 2030 2050
GW
(e)
Year
Africa
12 28
48
6,9 17
55
142
0
100
200
300
400
500
2013 2020 2030 2050
GW
(e)
Year
Middle East & South Asia
100
140
181
84,1
140
255
399
0
100
200
300
400
500
2013 2020 2030 2050
GW
(e)
Year
Far East
60 64 66 48,6
68
103
142
0
100
200
300
400
500
2013 2020 2030 2050
GW
(e)
Year
Eastern Europe
0 5 4 20
0
100
200
300
400
500
2013 2020 2030 2050
GW
(e)
Year
South East Asia & the Pacific
NP Development
in Different Regions Current Capacity
Low Estimate
High Estimate
IAEA Assistance to Newcomers
9
2015, Kenya
2016, Philippines
Stakeholder Involvement
11
Innovation & Technology
Development
Capacity Building
13
Knowledge Management
Nuclear Energy Management Schools
Oct 2016, Cape Town
Sept 2016, St. Petersburg
Networks
Thank you!
…atoms for peace
at your service…
www.iaea.org/nuclearenergy 14