World Telecommunication Development ConferenceDoha, Qatar

Press Conference March 6, 2006

ICT for Development for All:Current Trends, Analysis &

Regulation

Doreen Bogdan, Head ITU Regulatory Reform Unit&

Vanessa Gray, Telecommunication AnalystMarket, Economics and Finance Unit

More and more digital opportunities…

Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database. Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database.

Telephone subscribers and Internet users, World, billion

0

1

1

2

2

1994 96 98 2000 02 2004

Fixed-line

Mobile

Internet users

The digital divide that separates the developed from the developing world is shrinking

6

4

9

4

15

8

1

3

5

7

9

11

13

15

2000 2004

Mobile

Fixed

Internet

..but major disparities remain and new divides must be addressed!

Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database.Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database. Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database.

Internet penetration by region, 2004

5.6

1.8

8.4

13.2

28.2 28.7

0

10

20

30

Americas Europe World Asia-Pacif ic

Africa ArabStates

%Distribution of broadband subscribers by

region, 2004, in percent

Asia-Pacif ic: 41.6%

North America: 27.9%

LAM & Caribbean: 2.4%

Europe: 27.8%Arab States: 0.2%

Africa: 0.1%

A regulatory framework for developing countries’ broadband

objectives

o Bridging the Digital Divide can be achievedo Today’s broadband challenge requires new

thinking and an end to business as usualo Harness the potential of low cost technologies,

savvy business practices and smart policies and regulations

o Build on mobile success where 1 billion mobile customers (or 58% of today’s 1.8 billion mobile users) are in developing countries

o Regulators have an unprecedented opportunity to speed the uptake of broadband to enable the Information Society

Source: ITU based on submitted regional data

Advantages of new broadband technologies

o Build synergies with other infrastructure sectors, universities and private leased lines to deploy fibre backbones

o Foster local broadband networks by community stakeholders

o Use incremental nature of new technologies to promote broadband deployment as demand grows

o Think beyond national networks operated by legacy operators

o …… but only with the right regulatory framework

Broadband regulation means a new vision of:

o Reduced regulatory burdenso Innovative incentiveso Coordinated efforts by all links in the

broadband value chain to unleash commercial and non-commercial deployment opportunities

o Carefully tailored regulations opening the door to both large and small-scale broadband providers

Broadband regulatory challenges

Spam as a percentage of e-mail worldwide scanned by MessageLabs

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M

2003 2004 2005

Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database and TeleGeography

Source: MessageLabs

-

50.00

100.00

150.00

200.00

250.00

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

VoIP PSTN

International traffic (billions of minutes)

International VoIP traffic grew 35 % in 2004

Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database.Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database and TeleGeography. Source: MessageLabs.

ICTs increase productivity, save time and money, contribute to social development

and much more…

How telework saves British Telecom time and money

20

6

12

3

0

5

10

15

20

Accomodationcost saved

perteleworker,

per annum (inthousands of

GBP)

Increasedproductivity

(%)

Sick days perannum for

teleworkers

Sick days perannum,industryaverage

BT estimates that ICT-enabled telework allows the company to save over GBP 60 million per year

Source: ITU adapted from Broadband Stakeholder Group, 2004 Source: ITU adapted from EU.

Average time saved (in minutes) per e-government transaction, by service, EU 2004

75

6561

76

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Income taxes Car registration Birth/marriagecertif icates

Registration ofa company

minutes

The WSIS’s expectations are high - the promises the Information Society

holds

o WSIS documents include over two dozen references highlighting that ICTs can help• «increase broadly-based economic growth»• «support sustainable development»• «improve socio-economic development»• «achieve the internationally agreed development goals and

objectives, including the Millennium Development Goals»o To exploit the potential of ICTs:

• Increase access to ICTs, including broadband access• Track progress on digital opportunities & the WSIS targets

and identify and evaluate impact of ICTs, including on the MDGs

World Telecommunication/ICT Development Report 2006:Measuring ICT for Social and Economic Development

Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2006: Regulating in a Broadband World

Thank you

Doreen Bogdandoreen.bogdan@itu.int

http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/treg/

Vanessa Grayvanessa.gray@itu.int

http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/