wrf-lesintherealworld: towardsaseamless ...label real vortex−les 111 m vortex−pbl 3 km 0.00 0.05...

17th WRF Users’ Workshop

WRF-LES in the real world: Towards a seamless

modeling chain for wind industry applications

A. Montornès1 P. Casso1 B. Kosovic2 G. Lizcano1

1Vortex, 2NCAR–RAL

Montornès et. al, [email protected] Vortex

WRF-LES in the real world


◮ Experienced Vortex started its technology development in 2005 byformer Wind Site engineers, atmospheric physicists and computerexperts in a unusual collaborative team of experienced professionalswith active researchers.

◮ Wind industry Vortex provides wind resource maps and seriesoriented for wind resources assessment and forecasting purposes.




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lab Real




2000s - 2010s

1 m 10 m100 m

1 km10 km

100 km

1.000 km

10.000 km

1 h

1 day

1 week

1 Month

1 Year

10 Years

100 Years

1000 Years

10 min

1 min

10 s

1 s


Mesoscale models 2000s - 2010s

F = F̄ + F ′

◮ ∆x ≥ 500 m

◮ Wind resolved at each grid-point of the domain describes the meanstate flow F̄ .

◮ Mixing motions F ′ must be simplified and parameterized.

◮ Model splits the spatial diffusion

◮ Vertical diffusion → PBL schemes.◮ Horizontal diffusion → represented in terms of the

deformation of the large-scale flow.




2000s - 2010s

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2016: Microscale is here

1 m 10 m100 m

1 km10 km

100 km

1.000 km

10.000 km

10 cm1 cm


Large Eddy Simulations

F′ = Large Eddies (> ∆x) + Small Eddies (< ∆x)

◮ Turbulence motions are divided in Large Eddies and Small Eddies.

◮ Large Eddies (> ∆x) are solved as a solution of the Navier-StokesEquations.

◮ Small Eddies (< ∆x) need to be parameterized in subgrid-scalemodels (SGS) and resolved sub-filter scales (SFS).




2016: Real or model?

Serie 1

Serie 2

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lab Real Vortex−LES 111 m





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lab Real Vortex−LES 111 m Vortex−PBL 3 km




Limitations in real simulations

Mesoscale PBL

BC

Microscale LES





Mesoscale PBL

BC





Mesoscale PBL

BC

θnew = θold + θ'

MuñozEsparza (2014)

+Vortex inhouse R+D




Vortex approach

Reanalysis

VortexWRFLESVortex

WRFLES

Mesoscale PBL

Microscale LES

Postprocessing

4 Hz output 10' averages

10' standard deviation

20150 meters above ground

Wind speed, Wind direction,Temperature, Pressure, RichardsonNumber, PBL Fluxes, Wind Veer,

Inflow angle, ...

3'' gust




Site 1 Metmast: 60 m

Vortex-3 km

Vortex-111 m

Bias10' RMSE10' R2

hourly R2

daily

1.0 ms-1 1.7 ms-1

1.0 ms-1 1.7 ms-1

0.87 0.95

0.86 0.94

0.00

0.03

0.06

0.09

0.12

0 10 20 3010' mean wind speed [m/s]

Pro

babili

ty D

ensity

label Real Vortex−LES 111 m Vortex−PBL 3 km

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wrf-lesintherealworld: towardsaseamless ...label real vortex−les 111 m vortex−pbl 3 km 0.00 0.05...

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