wsa corporate presentation august & september 2012
TRANSCRIPT
Western Areas NLCorporate PresentationCorporate Presentation August & September 2012
“Think Nickel, think margins, think Western Areas”
g p
1
Disclaimer and Forward Looking Statements
This presentation is being furnished to you solely for your information and for your use and may not be copied, reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any manner. You agree to keep the contents of this presentation and these materials confidential. The information contained in this presentation does not constitute or form any part of any offer or invitation to purchase any securities and neither the issue of the information nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment on the part of any person to proceed with any transaction.y p y p p y
You must not take or transmit this presentation or a copy of this presentation into the United States or Japan or distribute it, directly or indirectly, in the United States or Japan or to any US persons. By your acceptance of this document, you acknowledge that you are a not a “U.S. person” for the purposes of the US Securities Act. Neither this document, in whole or in part, nor any copy thereof may be taken or transmitted to any other person. The distribution of this document to other persons or in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the federal securities laws of the United States and the laws of other jurisdictions. The distribution of this presentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and persons into whose possession this presentation comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions.
The information contained in this presentation has been prepared by Western Areas NL. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made in or in relation to, and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by Western Areas NL, employees or representatives as to the accuracy or completeness of this information or any other written or oral information made available to any interested party or its advisers and any liability therefore is hereby expressly disclaimed. No party has any obligation to notify opinion changes or if it becomes aware of any inaccuracy in or omission from this presentation. All opinions and projections expressed in this presentation are given as of this date d bj t t h ith t tiand are subject to change without notice.
This document contains forward‐looking statements. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the performance or achievements of Western Areas NL to differ materially from the information set forth herein, although such information reflects forecasts and projections prepared in good faith based upon methods and data that are believed to be reasonable and accurate as at the dates thereof and although all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the facts stated herein are accurate and that the forward‐looking statements, opinions and expectations contained herein are based on fair and reasonable assumptions. Western Areas NL undertakes no obligation to revise these forward‐looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances Individuals should not place undue reliance on forward‐lookingno obligation to revise these forward looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. Individuals should not place undue reliance on forward looking statements and are advised to make their own independent analysis and determination with respect to the forecasted periods, which reflect Western Areas NL’s view only as of the date hereof.
The information within this PowerPoint presentation was compiled by Mr. David Southam, but the information as it relates to mineral resources and reserves was prepared by Mr. Dan Lougher and Mr. John Haywood. Mr. Southam, Mr. Lougher and Mr. Haywood are full time employees of Western Areas. Mr. Lougher and Mr. Haywood are members of AusIMM and have sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which they are undertaking to p y yp p y y gqualify as Competent Persons as defined in the 2004 Edition of the ‘Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves’. Mr. Southam, Mr. Lougher and Mr. Haywood consent to the inclusion in this presentation of the matters based on the information in the form and context in which it appears.
For Purposes of Clause 3.4 (e) in Canadian instrument 43‐101, the Company warrants that Mineral Resources which are not Mineral Reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION TO U.S. NEWSWIRE SERVICES OR FOR DISSEMINATION IN THE U.S.
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Agenda
“Western Areas has an enviable track record of exploring, finding, developing and producing
Introduction
O i
highly profitable mines..”
Operations
Financial Summary
E l i & G h O l k Exploration & Growth Outlook
Nickel IndustryExplore Developp
3ProduceSales
Introduction – Corporate Summary
%1 T Streeter 14.362 Colonial Group 8.583 M& A Greenwell 5 45
Top 15 ShareholdersListings: Member of S&P ASX 200
Shares on Issue: 179 7M 3 M & A Greenwell 5.454 Northwards Capital 3.195 Giovanni Santalucia 3.186 Sydney Fund Manager 3.027 UBS Asset Management 2.828 Celeste Funds Management 2.56
Shares on Issue: 179.7M
Options:(varying strike prices >$7.00)
2.0M
g9 State Street Corporation 2.4410 Paradice Asset Management 2.3911 Antares Asset Management 2.3312 Concise Asset Management 1.9213 Independent Asset Management 1.80
Share Price: ~ A$4.20 (August2012)
Market Cap:(undiluted)
A$750 million
14 Vanguard 1.7415 Mount Kellet 1.70
TOTAL 57.48Cash: A$165M at 30 June 2012
WSA 25 Month Share Price
$4 00
$6.00
$8.00
$0.00
$2.00
$4.00
J l 10 O 10 J 11 A 11 J l 11 O 11 J 12 A 12 J l 12
4
Jul‐10 Oct‐10 Jan‐11 Apr‐11 Jul‐11 Oct‐11 Jan‐12 Apr‐12 Jul‐12
Closing Share Price
Board of Directors
Proven Depth & Experience
Terry Streeter and Julian Hanna Terry Streeter and Julian Hanna founders of Western Areas
Extensive experience in nickel exploration, mining and p , gprocessing
Global expertise in project sourcing, exploration and mine development
Strong banking, financial, M&A and corporate governance backgrounds
Left to right: David Southam (Exec Director – Corporate), Dan Lougher (Managing Director),Rick Yeates (Non‐Exec Director), Terry Streeter (Non‐Exec Chairman), Ian Macliver (Non‐Exec Director) JulianHanna (Non‐Exec Director), Robin Dunbar (Non‐Exec Director) & Joseph Belladonna (Company Secretary)
backgrounds
Involvement with other successful nickel companies (Jubilee Mines) Hanna (Non Exec Director), Robin Dunbar (Non Exec Director) & Joseph Belladonna (Company Secretary)(Jubilee Mines)
Solid understanding of Chinese markets, project financing and offtakes
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Powering through the Cycle
Western Areas is:
Australia’s lowest cash cost nickel producer
A proven explorer, developer and operator led by an experienced management team
An S&P ASX 200 index memberAn S&P ASX 200 index member
Market cap ~ $740 million at current prices
Profitable, even at the current low A$ nickel price
A di id d ith t b l h t A proven dividend payer, with a strong balance sheet
Australia’s third largest producer of nickel at 31,000 tonnes of nickel mined and 25,000 tonnes of nickel in concentrate produced
No 1 = BHP‐B Nickel West and No 2 = Glencore
Employer of approx 500 staff, either directly or through contractors
Into its sixth consecutive year of production, eight consecutive quarter with no downside surprises
First production 26 October 2006
Committed to stable organic growth from the current solid platform
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Strong Asset Base
Production Exploration Assets & Growth
Flying Fox•1st nickel mine•15,000 Ni tonnes per annum
Forrestania & WA Regional
per annum
Spotted Quoll• 2nd nickel mine•10,000 Ni tonnes per annum
Canadian Assets
Cosmic Boy•Nickel concentrator – treats ore from
Finland
7
both mines
Operations
8
Location
WSA concentrate to BHP Billiton
WSA operations
WSA concentrate exports
9
Flying Fox Mine
Summary
Continuous high grade Nickel to 1300m. Open at depthdepth
Resource ore grades increase at depth from 3.9% to 5.8% Nickel
Announced intersection T7: 34.7m @ 8.9% NickelAnnounced intersection T7: 34.7m @ 8.9% Nickel
Production FY2012 – 373,726t @ 5.0% nickel for 18.5kt nickel
Low cash cost operation <US$3/lb Low cash cost operation <US$3/lb
Purchase of Kagara Nickel Assets Combined Total High Grade Resource now stands at around 115,000t of Nickelaround 115,000t of Nickel
Major drilling program commenced at Lounge Lizard for next 6 months
T5/ T6 & T7 down dip extensions cross into Lounge Lizard and remain open at depth
Flying Fox now approaching a 10 year mine life
Purchase includes 300sqkm of tenements adjacent t F t i tito Forrestania operations
10
Spotted Quoll Mine
Summary Ore reserve was upgraded in June 2012 by 94% with an exceptional 88% conversion ratio:
3.095mt @ 4.20% containing 131,360t nickel
R i t d th Remains open at depth
Drilling is ongoing which will result in furtherconversion of inferred resource to indicated toreserve
Already well over a 10 year mine life
ProductionProduction Stage 1 underground first ore delivered ahead of schedule – (Nov 2011)
Ramp up to 10,000tpa nickel in FY13
Mine optimisation study well advanced forpotential increase in production up to 15,000tpanickel
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Forestannia Nickel Concentrator
Concentrator Summary
f f Current capacity of 550,000tpa of ore
Nickel concentrate output >25,000tpa Ni
Concentrate grades of around 14.0% Ni
Premium blending product (Fe/Mg ratio >15)
14,000t of concentrate storage capacity
Export Infrastructure and Logistics Access to >1400 sealed shipping containers
No Environmental issues
Using 25 trucks for concentrate transportation
Shipping contract in place, FOB Esperance Port
Concentrator Expansion
Preliminary high grade expansion study (750ktpa) completed
Expansion configured for upgrade to 1mtpa of ore
12
Expansion configured for upgrade to 1mtpa of ore
Some items of infrastructure (crusher) already capable of 1mtpa
Concentrate Supply and Offtake Contracts
Concentrate Supply Tightness in smelter supply to be experienced from 2013 900
950
1000Global Smelter Demand vs Global Concentrate Supply
Global nickel sulphide grades in decline
Reliable nickel sulphide concentrate supply dwindling
Laterites and Nickel Pig Iron do not fill the void 650
700
750
800
850
Nickel in Co
nc/ K
t
Offtake Contracts Long term offtake to BHP – 12ktpa nickel in conc
500
550
600
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Nickel in Concentrate Supply Smelter Demand
New Jinchuan contract signed:o 12 month contract extensiono Improved commercial termso Significant uncommitted offtake beyond 2013
Tender process to commence Sept/Oct 2012 WSA in a unique position being an independent producer
Ability to complete spot/ opportunistic sales
NOTE: The graph FORRESTANIA – OFFTAKE CONTRACTS is based on Western Areas’ 10 Year Production Targets. These Targets include estimates and assumptions on production rates of existing ore reserves, conversion of existing mineral resources to ore resources and assumptions on potential extensions to existing mineral resources, based on current information. These
13
Production Targets may vary due to future drilling results, nickel prices, costs and market conditions. Refer to Disclaimer and Forward Looking Statement in Presentation
Financials
Lounge Lizard 10m wide face of 7% Massive Nickel Sulphide
14
Report Card FY2012
Delivering on Objectives
Objectives What's Been Delivered
Pay Dividends 5c interim and 6c final dividend
Cashflow from Operations A$159m cashflow, debt reduction and dividends
Profitable through the cycle Weak nickel price, EBITDA A$185m, NPAT $40m
Cash costs below A$2.50/lb A$2.43/lb
Increase resources at Spotted Quoll 130kt nickel reserve
Increase resources at Flying Fox Purchased KZL nickel assets ‐ Lounge Lizard +40kt Ni
New discovery at Forrestania Sunrise ‐ early encouragement
Mill expansion Study complete awaiting board decisionMill expansion Study complete ‐ awaiting board decision
Tidy up backyard Outokumpu royalty retired
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Financial Highlights
Full Year Highlights ($'000) FY 2011 FY 2012Full Year Highlights ($ 000) FY 2011 FY 2012Mine Production (tonnes Ni) 32,222 31,102Mill Production (tonnes Ni) 25,663 25,641Recovery 91% 92%Recovery 91% 92%Sales Volume (tonnes Ni) 27,498 26,637Cash Costs (US$/lb) 2.11 2.50
h ( $/lb)Cash Costs (A$/lb) 2.12 2.43Exchange Rate USD/ AUD 0.99 1.03Nickel Price (U$/tn) 25,089 17,791 EBITDA ('000) 312,018 186,583EBIT ('000) 231,991 94,902NPAT ('000) 134,973 40,181Cashflow from Operations ('000) 276,235 159,253Net Cashflow ('000) 143,580 (43,446)Cash at Bank 208,948 165,502
16
Dividend (cents) 25.0 11.0
Income Statement
WSA NPAT ‐ Actual FY2011 vs Actual FY2012
$43.0 $13.1$10.0 ‐$1.3 ‐$11.7 ‐$16.5
‐$131.4200
250
WSA NPAT ‐ Actual FY2011 vs Actual FY2012
$135.0
$
100
150
ns
$40.2
0
50
FY11 Tax
altie
s
(Vol)
ther
mort
ther)
rice)
FY12
Million
150
‐100
‐50
Actual F
Roya
Revenu
e (
Ot
Depn
& Am
Revenu
e (Ot
Revenu
e (P
Actual F
‐150
FY12 NPAT would have matched FY11 if not for the nickel price.
17
Exploration and Growth Outlook
18
Short Term – Near Mine Exploration
Exploration Budget of A$20M for FY13, majority to be spent on drilling at Forrestania
120km strike length (900 sq km) of prospective Forrestania Nickel Project, within 500km long i k l inickel province
Drilling Priority within 8km long zone (below). New discovery would access existing mine infrastructure
Recent Sunrise discovery (see next slide)
19
New discovery‐Sunrise
WSA’s latest new high grade discovery, 2km from Spotted Quoll and 300m SE of New Morning
Best intersection 4.6m @ 3.7% nickelBest intersection 4.6m @ 3.7% nickel
Major drilling program underway and results to be announced over next 6 months
20
Canada – Mustang Minerals
WSA owns 19.9% of Mustang Minerals ‐ a Canadian listed nickel and PGM company WSA has two of 5 board seats, plus provides technical assistanceMak a Nickel/PGE mine in Manitoba feasibilit in progress targeting 5ktpa Ni in concentrate Makwa Nickel/PGE mine in Manitoba – feasibility in progress targeting 5ktpa Ni in concentrate
Mayville Copper/Nickel deposit in Manitoba – drilling in progress for open pit resource Potentially significant Palladium & Platinum discovery adjacent to Mayville
WSA is earning a 65% interest with Mustang at East Bull LakeWSA is earning a 65% interest with Mustang at East Bull Lake 80km west of Sudbury Highly anomalous Nickel/Copper and Platinum/Palladium in Gabbro intrusion Drill program commenced in 2012
Mayville drill core: 74.7m @ 0.75% Cu & 0.24% NiEast Bull Lake VTEM targeting
21
Finland – FinnAust Mining PLC Projects
81% WSA, planning to list on AIM ‐ dependent on market conditions
300km long base metal province in Finland
Numerous nickel/copper/zinc mines & occurrences
12 j j d illi 12 major project areas, many drilling targets
Geophysics proving very effective in defining targets
ZTEM survey completed ZTEM survey completed
Significant results from historic and FinnAust drilling
Major ramp up of drilling has commenced at Tormala & j p p gHammaslahti
22
Growth Outlook
Short Term < 12 Months
Medium Term 2‐5 years
Long Term >5 years< 12 Months 2‐5 years >5 years
Flying Fox > 10 years – drilling in Spotted Quoll & Flying Fox Base Case production 40‐progress
Sunrise drilling results
– 30ktpa
Sunrise reserve & production – 5‐10ktpa
50ktpa , plus new mines
Large disseminated resource potential
Mill expansion decision
Cash costs <US$3.00/lb4th mine from Forrestania (New Morning)
FinnAust producing
Base Metals exposureStrong cashflow
Dividends
Mill expanded 750ktpa
First quartile cash costsDividends
Continued exploration New offtake contract – process begin Sept/ Oct
List FinnAust Mining
FinnAust in feasibility
Dividends
upside
Independent producer
Mustang prod – 5ktpa
23
The Portfolio
Kawana JVKawana JV 80%
Bullfinch N h JV
Sandstone JV 70% East Bull
Lake JV 65%
Cosmic Makwa & M ill SpottedNorth JV
70%Boy
Resource
Mt Alexander
New Morning
Mayville Canada
Diggers
SpottedQuoll
Flying FoxKoolyanobbing
Lake King JV 70%
Alexander JV 25%
Mt Gibb JV 70%
South
Spotted Quoll
Underground
Foxy g
BioheapSouthern
Sunrise
jjjjj
JV 70% 70%
Hatters Hill
Underground Upgrade
Cosmic Boy Mill Expansion
Cosmic Boy Mill
Cross Goldfields ‐
OtherFinland –CopperJkjjljljlkj
Mt Jewel 25%
ExpansionFinland –Nickel
= International = WA Regional = Forrestania 24
Nickel Industry
25
When will the Cycle Turn?
Market bottom likely reached – current price uneconomic for many insufficient to bring onuneconomic for many, insufficient to bring on supply
Limited sources of good quality future supply for smelters
“The current nickel market appears to be ignoring the impending impact of
Indonesian legislation…
Nickel Pig Iron constrained due to margin compression
Huge Laterite projects serial underperformers
“We therefore favour bullish positions in nickel on a 3‐6 month forward basis
and in a quarter‐four context.”Huge Laterite projects serial underperformers
Capex blowouts
Not meeting production targets
I d i b d i ill
Citigroup Analysts, 31 May 2012
“We are raising our long‐term nickel price from $7.27/lb to $9.5/lb. …. We
Indonesian ore export ban and tax increase still to bite
Fortunately, not in the business of making predictions
believe that capex inflation remains a significant issue for the nickel
industry.”
predictions
Many analysts tipping next 3 – 6 months for pickup, in conjunction with seasonal demand pickup
BofA Merrill Lynch, 27 July 2012
26
Global Stainless Consumption & Usage
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© Heinz H. Pariser Alloy Metals & Steel Market Research
China’s future?
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0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50GDP (PPP adjusted) per Capita, in Mill US$
28
Energy Intensity
Mature nickel camps contribute ~45% global production
1. Conventional Nickel Sulphide
2 L G d di i t d l hid
global production
NO MAJOR NEW DISCOVERIES
2. Low Grade disseminated sulphide
Increasing reliance on low grade and low quality nickel sulphide production.
HIGH CAPEX, MODERATE ENERGY
3. Nickel LateriteLaterite & Ferro Nickel contribute >40%
,
Chi i k l i
global production
HIGH CAPEX, HIGH ENERGY COST
4. Chinese Nickel Pig Iron
Chinese nickel pig iron, 15% global production. Announced cut backs
ENERGY INTENSIVE, HIGH COST Increasing energy intensity ,
Increasing energy intensity and production cost
and production cost
29
The End
30
Appendices
31
Income Statement
Commentary (FY 2012)
Ni price down 29% year on year (QPEarnings Data ($'000) 1H FY 2012 2H FY 2012 FY 2011 FY 2012 Ni price down 29% year on year (QP ‐A$26.4m FY2012) reducing revenue byA$131.4m.
Despite nickel price, EBITDA marginsremained strong >50%
g ( )Exchange Rate USD/ AUD 1.03 1.03 0.99 1.03Nickel Price (U$/tn avg) 18,761 18,276 24,000 17,791 Revenue 149,106 181,592 468,659 330,698
remained strong >50%.
Switch to two underground mines in Feb2012 – SQ Open Pit was A$1.60/lb
Cost management remained in focus with
EBITDA 96,633 89,950 312,018 186,583Depreciation & Amortisation 43,819 47,862 80,027 91,681EBIT ('000) 52,814 42,088 231,991 94,902Interest Expense ('000) 18 086 19 355 36 721 37 441 unit cash costs at $A2.43/lb.
D&A increases in line with higherinvestment mine development/ capex &KZL nickel purchase.
Interest Expense ( 000) 18,086 19,355 36,721 37,441Tax ('000) 10,626 6,654 60,297 17,280NPAT ('000) 24,102 16,079 134,973 40,181Dividend (cents) 5.0 6.0 25.0 11.0
D&A should stabilise/reduce in FY2013with increased reserves.
Final dividend declaration of 6c (partiallyfranked) reflects 49% of NPAT returned to
( )Earnings per share (cents) 13.4 9.0 75.1 22.4
franked) reflects 49% of NPAT returned toshareholders for FY2012.
32
Cashflow Statement
Commentary (FY 2012) Cashflow from Operations of A$159 3m
Cashflow Statement ($'000) 1H FY 2012 2H FY 2012 FY 2011 FY 2012 Cashflow from Operations of A$159.3m
2nd half FY12 produced A$4.6m free cashflowdespite a weaker 2nd half nickel price
A$ Ni price down 29% on FY11 ‐A$131.4mimpact
Operating Cashflow 64,412 94,841 276,235 159,253 Less:Exploration (17,860) (15,940) (18,110) (33,800)FinnAust Investment (4 058) (3 307) (1 964) (7,365) impact.
US$15m for Outokumpu Royalty payout.
Exploration spend of A$33.8m delivers Sunriseand significant resource/ reserve extensions
FinnAust Investment (4,058) (3,307) (1,964) (7,365)Acquisition of Mining Interests (1,512) ‐ ‐ (1,512)Mine Development (38,506) (28,911) (70,664) (67,417)Capital Expenditure (8,087) (5,625) (13,417) (13,712)
i i i ( ) ( ) ( ) ( 08 ) KZL nickel purchase costs of A$71.1m includesthe A$3.1m for ore stockpiles.
Proceeds from financing ‐ draw down ofA$45m from ANZ for KZL nickel purchase
Investment activities (274) (811) (1,999) (1,085)Outokumpu Royalty Payout (14,926) ‐ ‐ (14,926)Payment for subsidiary ‐ (71,100) ‐ (71,100)Proceeds from Share Issues ‐ ‐ 380 ‐
Dividend payments reflect 15c final dividendfrom FY11 and 5c interim dividend for FY12.
Proceeds/(Costs) from Financing (319) 44,486 (3,517) 44,167 Dividends Paid (26,962) (8,987) (23,364) (35,949)Net Cashflow (48,092) 4,646 143,580 (43,446)Cash at Bank 160 856 165 502 208 948 165 502Cash at Bank 160,856 165,502 208,948 165,502
33
Free Cashflow Waterfall
WSA Cashflow ‐ Actual FY11 vs Actual FY12
$143 6
$47.7 $10.0 $8.0 $3.2 ‐$4.8 ‐$5.4 ‐$12.6 ‐$14.9‐$15.7
‐$71.1
200
250
$143.6
‐$131.4
50
100
150
Millions
‐$43.4
‐100
‐50
0
Actual FY11
Financing
Sales (Vo
l)
Other
Mine De
v
Op Co
sts
natio
nal Inv
Divide
nds
yalty
Buyou
t
Exploration
KZL Nickel
Sales (Price)
Actual FY12
M
‐150
100 A
Intern
Roy S A
Nickel price has driven the changes from FY11 to FY12 – A$131.4mNickel price has driven the changes from FY11 to FY12 A$131.4m
KZL nickel purchase is a one‐off item – A$71.1m
34
Balance Sheet
Commentary (FY 2012)
Flexible balance sheet with good cash generationBalance Sheet ($'000) FY 2011 FY 2012C h t B k 208 948 165 502 Total Assets continue to grow with mine
development and acquisitions
Repaid A$105.5m bond on 2 July 2012 – wellflagged to market and strong positioning
Cash at Bank 208,948 165,502Receivables 27,719 25,360Stockpiles & Inventory 30,942 42,121PP&E 111 683 107 111 gg g p g
Capital Management has plenty of headroom:
ANZ Facility of A$125m – drawn down $45mfor KZL nickel purchase
PP&E 111,683 107,111Exploration & Evaluation 91,875 133,282Mine Development 209,454 295,634Other 11,705 5,958
Convertible bond July 2014 – A$110.2m
Convertible bond July 2015 – A$125.0m
FY13 capex/mine development likely to be <A$70m
l d $ h d
, ,TOTAL ASSETS 692,326 774,968Trade & Other Payables 59,791 66,444Short Term Borrowings 61 162,656
FY13 exploration around A$20m, with a reductionin regional projects, but full ramp‐up aroundForrestania
Long Term Borrowings 344,016 256,003TOTAL LIABILITES 403,868 485,103SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY 288,458 289,865
35