www.dol.ks.gov

Labor Market ConditionsPrepared for

Kansas State Workforce BoardOctober 30, 2013

Labor Market Information ServicesKansas Department of Labor

Tyler TenbrinkSenior Labor Economist785-296-5000 Ext. 2593

Tyler.Tenbrink@dol.ks.gov

www.dol.ks.gov

Current ConditionsEmployment and Unemployment

1

www.dol.ks.gov2

Aug-131,372.0

Jan-08138,056

Aug-13136,133

128,000

130,000

132,000

134,000

136,000

138,000

140,000

142,000

144,000

1,250

1,270

1,290

1,310

1,330

1,350

1,370

1,390

Jan-

00

Jun-

00

Nov

-00

Apr

-01

Sep-

01

Feb-

02

Jul-0

2

Dec

-02

May

-03

Oct

-03

Mar

-04

Aug

-04

Jan-

05

Jun-

05

Nov

-05

Apr

-06

Sep-

06

Feb-

07

Jul-0

7

Dec

-07

May

-08

Oct

-08

Mar

-09

Aug

-09

Jan-

10

Jun-

10

Nov

-10

Apr

-11

Sep-

11

Feb-

12

Jul-1

2

Dec

-12

May

-13

US

nonf

arm

(in

tho

usan

ds)

KS n

onfa

rm (i

n th

ousa

nds)

Month-Year

Total Nonfarm EmploymentKansas and U.S.

Jan. 2000 - Aug. 2013

Source: Labor Market Information Services, KansasDepartment of Labor in conjuction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Mar. 2001 to Nov. 2001 Dec. 2007 to Jun. 2009

KS nonfarm, seasonally adjusted

US nonfarm, seasonally adjusted

Aug. '03 129,919

May '081,396.9

Feb. '10129,320

Jan. '101,319.2

May '08 to Jan. '10-77,700 jobs or-5.6%

Feb. '041,308.7

Jan. '10 to Aug. '13+52,800 jobs or +4.0%

Feb. '10 to Aug. '13+6,813,000 jobs or +5.3%

Three and a half years after the employment trough, Kansas has gained back approximately 68% of jobs lost, compared to the US which has gained back 78% of jobs lost.

Jan. '08 to Feb. '10 -8,736,000 jobs or -6.3%

www.dol.ks.gov3

22,000

9,900

8,1007,600

4,7004,200

2,400

800-400 -2,200 -4,300

-5,000

-3,000

-1,000

1,000

3,000

5,000

7,000

9,000

11,000

13,000

15,000

17,000

19,000

21,000

23,000

25,000

Jobs

Industries

Industries Leading the RecoveryKansas

Jobs Gained January 2010 to August 2013

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services in conjuction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

www.dol.ks.gov

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services

4

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

550,000

Lawrence Topeka Wichita Balance of State* KC

Jobs

MSA or Balance of State

Job Growth by Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA)January 2010 to August 2013

Jan-10 Aug-13

(-1,700)

(+1,100)

(+3,500)

(+19,800)(+30,100)

() Job gain Jan. 2010 to Aug. 2013

*Balance of State is not an area estimated by the Current Employment Statistics Program. It is the remaining employment when the Topeka, Kansas City, Lawrence, and Wichita MSAs are deducted from statewide.

Source: Seasonally Adjusted Data, Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics

[-3.4%]

[+1.0%]

[+1.2%]

[+4.4%][+7.1%]

[]Percentage Job gain Jan. 2010 to Aug. 2013

Statewide Job Growth +52,800 Jobs+4.0%

www.dol.ks.gov5

Mar-084.0

Aug-097.5

Feb-135.5

Aug-135.9

May-074.4

Oct-0910.0

Aug-137.3

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

Jan-

00

May

-00

Sep-

00

Jan-

01

May

-01

Sep-

01

Jan-

02

May

-02

Sep-

02

Jan-

03

May

-03

Sep-

03

Jan-

04

May

-04

Sep-

04

Jan-

05

May

-05

Sep-

05

Jan-

06

May

-06

Sep-

06

Jan-

07

May

-07

Sep-

07

Jan-

08

May

-08

Sep-

08

Jan-

09

May

-09

Sep-

09

Jan-

10

May

-10

Sep-

10

Jan-

11

May

-11

Sep-

11

Jan-

12

May

-12

Sep-

12

Jan-

13

May

-13

Une

mpl

oym

ent R

ate

Month - Year

Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment RateKansas and U.S.

Jan. 2000 - Aug. 2013

March 2001 to Nov. 2001Dec. 2007 to June 2009

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, In conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics

U.S.

KS

www.dol.ks.gov

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics

6

2010 Q26.9

2013 Q15.1

2013 Q25.3

2011 Q18.1

2012 Q45.8 2013 Q2

6.0

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

Une

mpl

oym

ent R

ate

Year Quarter

Unemployment Rate by Gender (4 qtr. Moving Average)Kansas

2005 Q4 to 2013 Q2

Male

Female

www.dol.ks.gov

Source : Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics

7

0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%5.0%6.0%7.0%8.0%9.0%

10.0%11.0%12.0%13.0%14.0%15.0%16.0%17.0%18.0%19.0%20.0%21.0%22.0%23.0%24.0%

Une

mpl

oym

ent R

ate

Year Quarter

Unemployment Rate by Age Group (4 qtr. Moving Average)Kansas

2005 Q4 to 2013 Q216-19 years

20-34 years

35-54 years

55 years and older

www.dol.ks.gov

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics; Help Wanted Online (HWOL) Job Advertisements

*Number of Online Job Openings, according to Help Wanted Online. Jobs posted non-electronically may not be tabulated.

[1]: Number of unemployed persons are not seasonally adjusted. August unemployment numbers are preliminary.[2]: HWOL jobs not assigned a geographical location are excluded from the county-level analysis and may prevent them from summing to the statewide total.

Ratio of Unemployed vs. Online Openings*

August, 2013

StatewideUnemployment1: 88,251

Online Openings2: 46,406

Finney

3,4981,067

309

6,7134,005

Cherokee

Graham

Brown

Ottawa

Riley

Seward

Hodgeman

Stanton

Osborne

Ford

Sheridan

Logan

Jackson

Grant

Ellis

Anderson

Scott

Chautauqua

Barton

Gray

Edwards

Rice

HamiltonReno

Elk

Bourbon

Clark

Stafford

Barber

Decatur

Lane

Shawnee

Labette

Norton

McPhersonPawnee

Atchison

Greeley

Smith

Morris

LincolnDouglas

Haskell

Clay

NeoshoKiowa

Chase

Wabaunsee

Marshall

Sherman

Pratt

Rooks

Franklin

Jewell

GoveJohnson

Wichita

Sedgwick

Geary

Russell

Linn

Morton Meade

Nemaha

Mitchell

Sumner

Woodson

Pottawatomie

Marion

Phillips

Allen

Washington

Butler

Jefferson

Trego

Crawford

Wallace

Cloud

Comanche

Greenwood

Doniphan

Saline

Stevens

Osage

Lyon

Dickinson

Kingman

Thomas

Cowley

Kearny

Ness

RepublicRawlins

Rush

EllsworthMiami

Harvey

Montgomery

Wilson

Coffey

Cheyenne

Harper

78

9

43

121,285

209

6

3

31

282

3

13

29

34

283

38

20

9

189

22 2

60

6

573

831

8

102

3

4

25

17

1

3,477

130

27

279

30

79

1

25

45

1

2,122

25

41

2985

34

36

36

57

108

39

178

0

712,080

25

9,179

47430

20

18 67

32

29

82

7

105

49

17

124

13

391

424

43

16

386

0

49

4

49

54

919

50

44

229

56

27

75

273

4

4

2513

28

25102

291

314

103

68

10

25814

57

309

1671,842

519

46

46

109

858

52

64

434

175

676

272

102

118

724

127 70

277

57

2,228

1,863

89

463

42

108

127

68

36

5,807

878

114

737

190

669

24

88

178

100

84

246

60558

87

233

255

147

279

133

825

60

5615,718

50

16,724

169

303

77 93

226

127

694

113

632

343

138

459

122

1,984

943

629

68

1,318

48

219

46

194

1,682

113

555

1,255

583

232

195

1,111

86

61

10946

85

149898

995

1,369

366

340

54

150

Leavenworth

Wyandotte

www.dol.ks.gov

Education Jennifer

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services

INDUSTRYTOTAL INITIAL

CLAIMSLESS THAN HIGH

SCHOOLGED OR HIGH

SCHOOLSOME COLLEGE

(NO DEGREE)ASSOCIATE

DEGREEBACHELORS

DEGREEMASTERS DEGREE

DR DEGREE

Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, and Hunting 975 17.4% 51.5% 20.3% 3.5% 6.2% 1.0% 0.0%

Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 1,788 21.9% 56.9% 15.3% 2.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%

Utilities 439 2.7% 43.7% 25.5% 5.2% 9.8% 4.3% 0.0%

Construction 32,815 15.1% 60.1% 18.8% 2.3% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0%

Manufacturing 26,939 14.8% 74.6% 0.0% 3.4% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1%

Wholesale Trade 6,817 11.9% 47.7% 21.0% 3.7% 11.9% 2.5% 0.1%

Retail Trade 9,939 14.6% 66.4% 0.0% 5.3% 11.5% 1.9% 0.3%

Transportation and Warehousing 5,081 15.6% 72.3% 0.0% 3.8% 6.9% 1.2% 0.2%

Information 2,700 2.4% 39.8% 28.3% 4.4% 18.9% 4.6% 0.2%

Finance and Insurance 3,258 2.2% 31.7% 30.5% 4.9% 24.5% 5.2% 0.6%

Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 1,839 10.8% 47.1% 26.1% 4.2% 9.6% 1.7% 0.1%

Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 7,247 4.4% 33.4% 25.8% 5.3% 22.6% 7.0% 1.0%

Management of Companies 434 7.1% 39.4% 23.5% 4.1% 19.4% 5.8% 0.7%

Admin. and Support and Waste Mgmt and Remediation Services 21,027 11.6% 49.4% 24.0% 4.1% 8.2% 1.9% 0.2%

Educational Services 3,329 3.1% 24.1% 23.1% 6.5% 25.1% 15.5% 2.5%

Health Care and Social Assistance 14,529 8.1% 36.8% 30.0% 9.2% 11.2% 3.8% 0.5%

Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 1,207 9.9% 41.2% 25.0% 4.9% 16.0% 2.5% 0.4%

Accommodation and Food Services 9,187 16.8% 50.1% 23.7% 3.3% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1%

Other Services 3,903 11.2% 49.7% 25.4% 3.3% 7.9% 1.9% 0.2%

Federal Government 6,506 1.7% 34.1% 22.9% 5.1% 11.8% 4.4% 0.0%

Total All Industries 159,959 12.0% 54.0% 17.2% 4.2% 8.9% 2.2% 0.2%

Distribution of Unemployment Insurance Claimants by Industry and Education2012

Rows may not equal 100% due to rounding"Information Not Available" data was omitted from this tableSource: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services 13

www.dol.ks.gov

Looking Ahead

www.dol.ks.gov

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

Jan-

01

May

-01

Sep-

01

Jan-

02

May

-02

Sep-

02

Jan-

03

May

-03

Sep-

03

Jan-

04

May

-04

Sep-

04

Jan-

05

May

-05

Sep-

05

Jan-

06

May

-06

Sep-

06

Jan-

07

May

-07

Sep-

07

Jan-

08

May

-08

Sep-

08

Jan-

09

May

-09

Sep-

09

Jan-

10

May

-10

Sep-

10

Jan-

11

May

-11

Sep-

11

Jan-

12

May

-12

Sep-

12

Jan-

13

May

-13

Ave

rage

Wee

kly

Hou

rs a

nd E

mpl

oym

ent

(tho

usan

ds)

Build

ing

Perm

its

Month-Year

Building Permits and Construction EmploymentKansas

January 2001 to August 2013

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics and Census Bureau.

Construction Employment (Seasonally Adjusted) [Right Axis]

Building Permits (12-Month Moving Average) [Left Axis]

Average Weekly Hours (Construction) [Right Axis]

www.dol.ks.gov

Mar-08189.4

Dec-09158.6 38.0

40.0

42.0

44.0

46.0

48.0

50.0

155.0

160.0

165.0

170.0

175.0

180.0

185.0

190.0

195.0

200.0

205.0

Jan-

08

Mar

-08

May

-08

Jul-0

8

Sep-

08

Nov

-08

Jan-

09

Mar

-09

May

-09

Jul-0

9

Sep-

09

Nov

-09

Jan-

10

Mar

-10

May

-10

Jul-1

0

Sep-

10

Nov

-10

Jan-

11

Mar

-11

May

-11

Jul-1

1

Sep-

11

Nov

-11

Jan-

12

Mar

-12

May

-12

Jul-1

2

Sep-

12

Nov

-12

Jan-

13

Mar

-13

May

-13

Jul-1

3

Ave

rage

Wee

kly

Hou

rs o

f Pro

ducti

on W

orke

rs in

Man

ufac

turi

ng

Empl

oym

ent,

Sea

sona

lly A

djus

ted

(tho

usan

ds)

Month-Year

Manufacturing Employment and Average Weekly Hours of Production Workers in Manufacturing Kansas

January 2008 to August 2013

Average Weekly Hours6 per. Mov. Avg. (Average Weekly Hours)

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Dec. 2007-Jun. 2009

Manufacturing Employment, (Seasonally Adjusted)

August 2013:

Average weekly hours = 42.6 hoursOver The Month Change -0.2 hours

Seasonally Adj. Employment= 163,900Over The Month -700 or -0.4%

Employment decline from March 2008 to December 2009 was -30,800 jobs or-16.3% growth

www.dol.ks.gov

1,020.0

1,040.0

1,060.0

1,080.0

1,100.0

1,120.0

1,140.0

1,160.0

1,180.0

1,200.0

31.0

31.5

32.0

32.5

33.0

33.5

34.0

34.5

35.0

35.5

36.0

Priv

ate

Empl

oym

ent

Ave

rage

Wee

kly

Hou

rs

Month - Year

Total Private Employment and Average Weekly Hours of All Private EmployeesKansas

January 2007 to August 2013

Average Weekly Hours Private Employment 12 per. Mov. Avg. (Average Weekly Hours) 12 per. Mov. Avg. (Private Employment)

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services, in conjuction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

www.dol.ks.gov8

Feb-04

May-08

Jan-10

May-03

May-07

Jul-09

90

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

108

110

1,260

1,280

1,300

1,320

1,340

1,360

1,380

1,400

1,420

1,440

1,460

Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13

Kans

as I

ndex

of L

eadi

ng I

ndic

ator

s

Month-Year

Kans

as T

otal

Non

farm

Em

ploy

men

t Se

ason

ally

Adj

uste

d (in

tho

usan

ds)

Kansas Index of Leading IndicatorsJanuary 2001 to August 2013

9 months

12 months

6 months

Kansas Index of Leading Indicators (right axis)

KS Total Nonfarm Employment (Seasonally Adjusted) left axis

Source: Labor Market Information Service, Kansas Department of Labor

www.dol.ks.gov

Current and Projected Demand for Labor

14

www.dol.ks.gov

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics

15

610211 195 128 84

421

252521

269 245

489

719 401567 582

528

404 397310 244

284

123 11058

35

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

2,000

2,400

2,800

First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers

RegisteredNurses

Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers

RetailSalespersons

Customer Service Representatives

Top 5 Online Job Openings by Local AreaKansas

September, 2013

Local Area I Local Area II Local Area III Local Area IV Local Area V

Back

www.dol.ks.gov

$27,900

$38,200 $40,400

$48,900$54,000

$64,400 $65,200

$96,800

$-

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

Less than high school

High school diploma or equivalent

Postsecondary non-degree

award

Some college, no degree

Associate's degree

Master's degree Bachelor's degree

Doctoral or professional

degree

Ave

rage

Ann

ual

Wag

e

Educational Classification

Annual Wages Earned by Educational ClassificationKansas

2013 Wage Survey

Average Wage

(73%)

(100%) (106%)

(128%)(141%)

(169%) (171%)

(253%)

() Percent of High School Diploma Wage

Source: Labor Market Information Services, Kansas Department of Labor

www.dol.ks.gov

Employment

Industry TitleBase Year

2010Projection Year

2020 Numerical PercentTotal All Industries 1,428,381 1,606,122 177,741 12.4%Health Care and Social Assistance 179,960 230,109 50,149 27.9%Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 60,426 76,451 16,025 26.5%Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 69,582 86,040 16,458 23.7%Educational Services 140,148 169,238 29,090 20.8%Construction 54,585 65,652 11,067 20.3%Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 9,927 11,627 1,700 17.1%Transportation and Warehousing 41,214 47,605 6,391 15.5%Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 13,389 15,338 1,949 14.6%Finance and Insurance 57,175 62,989 5,814 10.2%Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 14,365 15,787 1,422 9.9%Other Services (Except Government) 55,160 59,036 3,876 7.0%Wholesale Trade 59,646 63,399 3,753 6.3%Accommodation and Food Services 100,148 106,062 5,914 5.9%Retail Trade 140,440 148,670 8,230 5.9%Manufacturing 159,902 169,240 9,338 5.8%Mining 8,406 8,680 274 3.3%Government 109,552 113,048 3,496 3.2%Information 29,467 25,609 -3,858 -13.1%

KansasLong-term Industry Employment Projections

2010 to 2020Employment Change

www.dol.ks.gov

39,074 24,994

236,750

90,157

8,555

85,242

422,348

696,795

31,923 20,466

203,506

77,522 7,360

75,783

378,332

631,478

22.4% 22.1%

16.3% 16.3% 16.2%

12.5%

11.6%10.3%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

Doctoral or professional

degree

Master's degree Bachelor's degree

Associate's degree

Some college, no degree

Postsecondary non-degree

award

Less than high school

High school diploma or equivalent

Perc

ent G

row

th

Empl

oym

ent

Educational Att ainment

Projected Employment Growth by Educational AttainmentKansas

Base Year (2010) to Projected Year (2020)Projection Year (2020) Base Year (2010) Percent Growth

Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services

17

www.dol.ks.govSource: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services 20

Occupations 2013 Score 2012 ScoreRegistered Nurses 30 30Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants 30 30Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists 22 17General and Operations Managers 22 22Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 22 23Carpenters 22 23First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Production and Operating Workers 21 17Electricians 20 22Dental Assistants* 17 14Special Education Teachers, Preschool, Kindergarten, and Elementary School* 16 15

*New to the top 10 l ist this year.

Top 10 High Demand OccupationsKansas

Note: List only includes occupations with education of associates degree or postsecondary non degree award or job training of internship or apprenticeship.

www.dol.ks.gov

Labor Market Information ServicesKansas Department of Labor

Tyler TenbrinkSenior Labor Economist

Labor Market Information Services (LMIS)401 SW Topeka Blvd, Topeka, Kansas 66603

(785) 296-5000 ext. 2593