young adults and single adults: a look at usa and church of the nazarene trends
TRANSCRIPT
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Young Adults and Single Adults:Young Adults and Single Adults:A Look at USA and ChurchA Look at USA and Church
of the Nazarene Trendsof the Nazarene Trends
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Annual Births in U.S.Annual Births in U.S.
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
3500000
4000000
4500000
5000000
1910
1914
1918
1922
1926
1930
1934
1938
1942
1946
1950
1954
1958
1962
1966
1970
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
1965-1976“Busters”
Now age 32-43
1977-1994Gen. X
Now age 14-31
Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States
1946-1964“Boomers”
Now age 44-62
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Youth & Young Adults in U.S. Youth & Young Adults in U.S. Population – 1986-2025Population – 1986-2025
Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States
-
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,00019
86
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
Youth (12 - 23 Years) Young Adult (24-34 Years)
Young Adult (24-34)
Youth (12-23)
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U.S. Age Group ProjectionsU.S. Age Group Projections
Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States
-
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
140,000,000
1980
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Children (Under 10) Youth (10 - 24)
Younger Adults (25 - 39) Middle Adults (40 - 54)
Prime Time (55 and over)
Projected
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Nazarene Youth Camp AttendanceNazarene Youth Camp AttendanceUSA & CanadaUSA & Canada
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,00019
86
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Source: Pastors’ Reports
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Nazarene Youth Camp Nazarene Youth Camp Percentage ParticipatingPercentage Participating
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%1
98
6
19
87
19
88
19
89
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
Percent of Youth Percent of Churches
Source: Pastors’ Reports
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NYI & Sunday School TrendsNYI & Sunday School Trends
Source: Pastors’ Reports
-20,00040,00060,00080,000
100,000120,000140,000160,000180,000
Total Youth Enrollment 12-23 NYI Members
Average S.S. Attendance of Youth Young Adult Enrollment 24-34
NYI Members
Youth S.S. Enrollment
Youth S.S. Attendance
Young Adult Enrollment
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Nazarene College ChoicesNazarene College Choices
Source: Pastors’ Reports
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Percent of All 19-23 Year Olds Reported Attending Some College
Percent of Reported College Attenders Attending a Nazarene College
Nazarene College Students Choosing a Nazarene College
College Age Nazarenes Attending College
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Research Findings: Soul SearchingResearch Findings: Soul SearchingThe Religious and Spiritual Lives of American TeenagersThe Religious and Spiritual Lives of American Teenagers
Religiously, American teens are complicated and Religiously, American teens are complicated and "all over the map.“"all over the map.“
American teenagers embrace particular religious American teenagers embrace particular religious beliefs and engage in deliberate practices.beliefs and engage in deliberate practices.
Faith for these teenagers is not just general Faith for these teenagers is not just general identity or affiliation or cognitive belief, but also identity or affiliation or cognitive belief, but also activated, practiced, and formed through specific activated, practiced, and formed through specific religious and spiritual practices.religious and spiritual practices.
Very, very few American adolescents are Very, very few American adolescents are "spiritual but not religious"."spiritual but not religious".
Sources: Soul Searching by Christian Smith with Melinda Lundquist Denton, pages 190-191
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Research Findings: Soul SearchingResearch Findings: Soul Searching
We are not highly effective in fostering clarity and We are not highly effective in fostering clarity and articulacy about our beliefs & culture.articulacy about our beliefs & culture.
Where religious faith and practice are important Where religious faith and practice are important teens tend to have religious lives constructed teens tend to have religious lives constructed relationally and institutionally to intersect and relationally and institutionally to intersect and overlap with other important aspects of their overlap with other important aspects of their lives.lives.
Parents and other adults exert huge influence in Parents and other adults exert huge influence in the lives of American adolescents.the lives of American adolescents.
Overall there is a positive association between Overall there is a positive association between greater religious involvement and more positive greater religious involvement and more positive outcomes in life.outcomes in life.
Sources: Soul Searching by Christian Smith with Melinda Lundquist Denton, pages 190-191
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Strong Families:Strong Families:Key to Youth RetentionKey to Youth Retention
Shared religious commitment of Shared religious commitment of parents intentionally passed onparents intentionally passed onPositive relationship between parents Positive relationship between parents and childrenand childrenTraditional family structureTraditional family structureFewer social disruptions (moves, Fewer social disruptions (moves, divorce, etc.)divorce, etc.)Fit of individual’s status and ideology Fit of individual’s status and ideology with religious groupwith religious group
Source: Smith & Sikkink, Review of Religious Research, 2003, 45: 190-191
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Age at First MarriageAge at First Marriage
26.1 25.9 25.1 24.6 24.3 24.322.8 22.8 23.2
24.726.1 26.8
22.0 21.9 21.6 21.2 21.3 21.520.3 20.3 20.8
22.023.9
25.1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Years
Old
Males Females
Source: Infoplease
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Household TypesHousehold Types
40.3%
30.3%
10.6%
5.6%
11.5%
1.7%
30.9%
29.9%
12.9%
8.6%
14.0%
3.6%
26.3%
29.8%
14.8%
9.7%
14.9%
4.6%
24.1%
28.7%
16.0%
10.7%
14.8%
5.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1970 1980 1990 2000
Married couples with own children Married couples without own children
Other family households Men living alone
Women living alone Other nonfamily households
Source: U.S. Census Bureau publication, America’s Families & Living Arrangements 2000, page 3
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U.S. Trends & NazarenesU.S. Trends & Nazarenes
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female
Married Never Married Separated/Divorced
Widowed
U.S. 1970 U.S. 1980 U.S. 1990 U.S. 2000 Nazarene
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau publication, America’s Families & Living Arrangements 2000, page 10 and U.S. Congregational Life Survey, 2001