zee entertainment enterprises ltd - q2fy12 result update

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  • 8/3/2019 Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd - Q2FY12 Result Update

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    Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt Ltd.

    Email: [email protected]

    NG TERM INVESTMENT CALL

    Accumulate19 October 2011

    Company Report | Q2FY12 Result Update

    Q2FY12 Result Highlights

    The ZEEL numbers were little disappointing, in the advertisement front

    with 4% decrease in advertisement revenue on YoY basis from INR

    4121.5 mn to INR 3949.3 mn. Subscription revenue registered a growth

    of ~6% to INR 2910.4 mn from INR 2736.8 mn on YoY basis. Other sales

    and services registered a growth of 26% on YoY basis. However, the

    company registered a higher EBITDA margin of 28.9% from 26.5% in

    2QFY11 driven by lower sport cost. The company registered of growth

    of 23.6% in bottom line driven by lower tax rate and other income. The

    subscription revenue and expenditure for Q2 FY2012 are not

    comparable to those for Q2 FY2011 because of the change in accounting

    treatment of domestic subscription revenues, which are now beingreported net of expenses.

    The advertising revenue registered a growth of ~4% on QoQ basis,

    which was below our expectations. While the non-sports business

    registered a modest growth in of low single digit. Sports revenue

    was also lower as there was some India-centric cricket properties

    showcased in 2QFY11.

    On subscription front, revenues are not comparable as they are being reported as net of expenses basis. The accounting treatment

    was changed after the formation of Media Pro - a Joint venture

    between Star and ZEEL, which pays subscription revenues on net of

    expenses basis. Subscription revenues from international operations

    were down 3% on YoY basis.

    The sports business registered a loss of INR 1.1 bn as compared to a

    loss of INR 1.7 mn in 2QFY11. The company reported a revenue INR

    881 mn in the 2QFY12 as compared to INR 1.1 bn in 2QFY11.

    Outlook & Valuation

    The management has guided a sluggish advertisement growth for the

    H2FY12. In addition lower rating in its flagships channel Zee Tv can put

    pressure on the ad yields. Moreover, the company is increasing original

    weekly programming hours from 28hr to 29hr which can put pressure

    on the margins going forward. At the CMP the stock is trading at 18x

    and 15x for FY11E and FY12E. We maintain Accumulate on the stock

    with price objective of 128. The company is running a buy back programat a maximum price of INR 126 till March 2012, which is expected to act

    as a support for the price.

    Industry Media

    CMP (INR) 113Target (INR) 128

    52 week High/Low (INR) 300/106

    Market Cap (INR BN) 110.5

    3M Avg. Daily Volumes (000) 2083.7

    P/E (FY12e) 18x

    Shareholding Pattern (%)

    Stock Performance

    Performance (%)

    1 Month 3 Months 1 Year

    ZEEL -1.1% -9.9% -17.3%

    NIFTY -0.9% -8.8% -17.1%

    * Source: Bloomberg, Unicon Research

  • 8/3/2019 Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd - Q2FY12 Result Update

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    Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt Ltd.

    Email: [email protected]

    Financials(INR in mn)

    Q2FY12 Q2FY11 Y-o-Y Q1FY12 Q-o-Q

    Net Revenue 7183.8 7115.7 1.0 6983.0 2.9

    Operating Exp. 5108.3 5230.4 -2.3 5422.6 -5.8

    EBITDA 2075.5 1885.3 10.1 1560.4 33.0

    EBITDA (%) 28.9 26.5 240 bps 22.3 655 bps

    Depreciation 78.2 56.3 38.9 89 -11.8

    Other Income 279.3 239.7 16.5 255 9.7

    EBIT 2276.6 2068.7 10.0 1726.2 31.9

    EBIT (%) 31.7 29.1 9 bps 24.7 28 bps

    Interest 55.7 4.7 1085.1 30 83.2

    PBT 2220.9 2064.0 7.6 1695.8 31.0

    Tax Provision 621.2 801.0 -22.4 394.20 57.6

    Tax Rate (%) 28.0 38.8 -27.9 23.2 20.3

    PAT 1599.7 1263.0 26.7 1301.6 22.9

    Minority interest 39.7 0.6 6516.7 -35.20 -212.8

    Reported PAT 1560.0 1262.4 23.6 1336.8 16.7

    Reported PAT (%) 21.7 17.7 22 bps 19.1 13 bps

    Source: Company, Unicon Research*Consolidated

  • 8/3/2019 Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd - Q2FY12 Result Update

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    Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt Ltd.

    Email: [email protected]

    Unicon Investment Ranking Methodology

    Rating Buy Accumulate Hold Reduce Sell

    Return Range >= 20% 10% to 20% -10% to 10% -10% to -20%