ZimbabweA Study of HIV/AIDS Trends, Behaviors and

Policy

Topic Choice: Why? One of the highest infections rates in the

world

Illustrated several other topics studied in the course, like governance, growth, debt, education, poverty, and urban/rural sectors.

Maps of Zimbabwe

Four Eras of Recent History

1980s: Economic Growth, First Infections

1990s: Bubble Bursts, Infections Rate Spikes

2000-2008: Land Reform, Civil War and Hyperinflation

2008-2012: Tentative Recovery

Independence

Model of Growth

1979 1990

Children in School

831,000 2,200,000

GNI per Capita (ppp)

$740 $1,040

Child Mortality Under Five (per thousand)

106.6 77.6

Life Expectancy

58 60.5

Aid delivered

33 million 509 millionSource: World Bank

1990s

Factors for Spread Physical

Low circumcision levels Existence of other STDs

Behavioral Multiple Partners Low condom usage/misconceptions about use

Demographic Low socio-economic status of women Migration/mobility patterns

Devastating Results

1,000,000 deaths from 1990-2004

Life expectancy drops to 40

1,000,000 orphans

Shocks micro economically and macro economically

Debt

2000s-Further Decline

Land Reform

Civil War in DRC

Hyperinflation

GDP

HIV AIDS during this period

As of 2010, infection rate is 14.3%

How? 40% reduction in respondents with multiple

partners 83% use of condoms rate in men

What caused the decline?

Policy? (dispersion still inconsistent) Poverty (counter-intuitive but possible) Personal Loss (most likely)

Policy Prescriptions Domestic

Get Mugabe Out!

Develop mining resources, but keep control

Work on cross border solutions with infections and antiretroviral

International Continue support, no matter election outcome

Help provide antiretroviral

Conciliatory towards debt demands

Thank You!