# 2 building portfolios
TRANSCRIPT
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Building Portfolios
Strategies that Stand Out
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DisclaimerAlthough the information contained herein is taken from sources believed to be reliable, Claymore Investments Inc. (Claymore) does notguarantee the accuracy or correctness of this information. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made, and noresponsibility or liability is or will be accepted, by Claymore or by any of our respective officers, directors, employees or agents as to or in relationto accuracy or completeness of this material or any other written or oral information made available to any interested party or its advisers and anyliability therefore is hereby expressly disclaimed. In particular, no representation or warranty is given as to the achievement or reasonableness ofany future projections, management estimates, prospects or returns.
This publication does not provide investment advice and is based on publicly available information. The information and opinions herein areprovided for informational purposes only, are subject to change and should not be relied upon for any other purpose. This publication has beenprepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of those who receive it and the securities discussed in thiscommentary may not be suitable for all investors. Tax, investment and all other decisions should be made, as appropriate, only with guidance froma qualified professional. This publication is not and should not be construed as a solicitation or offering of units of any fund or other security in any
jurisdiction.
Any material contained in this presentation should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. There is no assurance anyfund will achieve its investment objective. Index returns do not represent fund returns. Index performance results are hypothetical. Commissions,trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with fund investments. The indicated rates of return are historicalannual compounded total return including changes in unit value and reinvestment of all distributions and do not take into account sales,redemption, distribution or optional charges or income taxes payable by any security holder that would have reduced returns. Funds are notguaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. Please read the prospectus before investing.
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Introduction to RAFI
Research Affiliates Fundamental Indexing
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Problems with Cap-Weighting
What if markets are not perfectly efficient?
Some stocks will be over-valued and some under-valued
The market attempts to seek out true value over time: overvalued stocks willdecrease in value, undervalued stocks will increase in value
Cap-weighting systematically Overweights all over-valued stocks
Underweights all under-valued stocks
Growth biased
Consequence: cap-weighted portfolios tend to be overvalued on aggregate
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The RAFI Approach
Weight holdings based on four fundamental factors of valuation
Total Cash Flow (5-Year Average)
Total Sales (5-Year Average)
Gross Dividends Paid (5-Year Average)
Book Equity Value (Shareholders Equity)
Price indifferent index
Strips away linkage between portfolio weight and any over- or under-valuation
Results in a portfolio that is similar to an equivalent cap-weighted portfolio, with someimportant performance differences
An index that represents companies economic footprints
Companies selected by fundamentals Companies weighted by fundamentals
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Fundamental versus Market Cap Performance
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1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
FTSE RAFI Canada FundamentalIndex (C$)
+45.0% +2.6% 9.4%
S&P/TSX 60 Index (C$) +31.9% +0.3% 8.7%
Difference +13.1% +2.3% +0.7%
FTSE RAFI US 1000 FundamentalIndex (C$)
+22.0% -7.7% -0.6%
S&P 500 Hedged Index (C$) +8.7% -9.0% -2.3%
Difference +13.3% +1.3% +1.7
FTSE RAFI Global ex-US 1000Index (C$)
+22.3% -5.9% 3.9%
MSCI EAFE Index (C$) +13.8% -8.9% 1.2%
Difference +8.5% +3.0% +2.7%
Total Returns, as of December 2009
Source: Bloomberg
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-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
RAFIUSLarge3
-yearAnnualizedReturn
Cap 1000 3-year Annualized Return
For Cap Return< 0%, RAFI
adds value in92% of all
cases
For Cap Return0-10%, RAFI
adds value in83% of all cases
For Cap Return10-20%, RAFI
adds value in78% of all
cases
For Cap Return> 20%, RAFI
adds value in46% of all
cases
Note: The Cap 1000 is an annually rebalanced portfolio of the top 1,000 U.S. stocks by capitalization dating back to 1962. THE INDEX DATA PUBLISHED HEREIN ISSIMULATED, UNMANAGED AND CANNOT BE INVESTED IN DIRECTLY. PAST SIMULATED PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE ANDIS NOT INDICATIVE OF ANY SPECIFIC INVESTMENT. ACTUAL INVESTMENT RESULTS MAY DIFFER. The simulated data contained herein is based on the patent-pending non-capitalization weighted indexing system, method, and computer program product first published in an article written by Robert D. Arnott, Jason Hsu, and PhilipMoore (2005), Fundamental Indexation, Financial Analysts Journal(March/April): 8399.
All data herein prepared by Research Affiliates, based on data from CRSP and Compustat.
Simulated RAFI vs. Cap-Weight
Three-Year Rolling Returns: 1962June 2009
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Asset Allocation as a Portfolio Driver
Numerous studies done to determine how much of a multiple asset class portfolios returndue to asset allocation vs. other factors
Results show that asset allocation decision is single most important factor in multipleasset portfolio
8Source: Financial Analysts Journal quarterly publication
Percentage Of Return Explained by AssetAllocation
Brinson(1986)
Brinson(1991)
Ibbotson-Mutual(2000)
Asset Allocation 93.6% 91.5% 81.4%
Active Return -1.1% -0.08% -0.27%
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Efficient Portfolio Development7 Asset Class Portfolio Construction (Jan 1990 December 2009)
Source: Bloomberg. For Illustrative Purposes Only.
Canadian Equity
Canadian Bonds
Global Equity
Global Bonds
Emerging Equity
Real Estate
Commodities
ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO 1
Canadian Equity 50%
Canadian Bonds
Global Equity 50%
Global Bonds
Emerging Equity
Real Estate
Commodities
TOTAL 100%
PERFORMANCE
Returns (annualized) 7.27%
RISK
Standard deviation (annualized) 13.39%
RISK ADJUSTED PERFORMANCE
Return/Risk ratio 0.54
Maximum Monthly Drawdown -15.09%
PORTFOLIO 1
50% 50%
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Efficient Portfolio Development7 Asset Class Portfolio Construction (Jan 1990 December 2009)
Source: Bloomberg. For Illustrative Purposes Only.
Canadian Equity
Canadian Bonds
Global Equity
Global Bonds
Emerging Equity
Real Estate
Commodities
ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO 1 PORTFOLIO 2
Canadian Equity 50% 30%
Canadian Bonds 20%
Global Equity 50% 30%
Global Bonds 20%Emerging Equity
Real Estate
Commodities
TOTAL 100% 100%
PERFORMANCE
Returns (annualized) 7.27% 7.96%
RISK
Standard deviation (annualized) 13.39% 8.26%
RISK ADJUSTED PERFORMANCE
Return/Risk ratio 0.54 0.96
Maximum Monthly Drawdown -15.09% -8.59%
PORTFOLIO 2PORTFOLIO 1
50%
20%
30%30%
20%
50%
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Efficient Portfolio Development7 Asset Class Portfolio Construction (Jan 1990 December 2009)
Source: Bloomberg. For Illustrative Purposes Only.
Canadian Equity
Canadian Bonds
Global Equity
Global Bonds
Emerging Equity
Real Estate
Commodities
ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO 1 PORTFOLIO 2 PORTFOLIO 3
Canadian Equity 50% 30% 30%
Canadian Bonds 20% 20%
Global Equity 50% 30% 20%
Global Bonds 20% 20%Emerging Equity 10%
Real Estate
Commodities
TOTAL 100% 100% 100%
PERFORMANCE
Returns (annualized) 7.27% 7.96% 8.60%
RISK
Standard deviation (annualized) 13.39% 8.26% 8.65%
RISK ADJUSTED PERFORMANCE
Return/Risk ratio 0.54 0.96 0.99
Maximum Monthly Drawdown -15.09% -8.59% -9.37%
PORTFOLIO 3PORTFOLIO 2PORTFOLIO 1
50%
20%
30%30%
20%
20%
20%
20%
30%50%
10%
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Efficient Portfolio Development7 Asset Class Portfolio Construction (Jan 1990 December 2009)
Source: Bloomberg. For Illustrative Purposes Only.
Canadian Equity
Canadian Bonds
Global Equity
Global Bonds
Emerging Equity
Real Estate
Commodities
ASSET CLASS PORTFOLIO 1 PORTFOLIO 2 PORTFOLIO 3 PORTFOLIO 4 PORTFOLIO 5
Canadian Equity 50% 30% 30% 25% 20%
Canadian Bonds 20% 20% 20% 20%
Global Equity 50% 30% 20% 15% 15%
Global Bonds 20% 20% 20% 20%Emerging Equity 10% 10% 7.5%
Real Estate 10% 7.5%
Commodities 10%
TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
PERFORMANCE
Returns (annualized) 7.27% 7.96% 8.60% 8.73% 8.40%
RISK
Standard deviation (annualized) 13.39% 8.26% 8.65% 8.14% 7.36%
RISK ADJUSTED PERFORMANCE
Return/Risk ratio 0.54 0.96 0.99 1.07 1.14
Maximum Monthly Drawdown -15.09% -8.59% -9.37% -8.45% -8.27%
PORTFOLIO 5PORTFOLIO 4PORTFOLIO 3PORTFOLIO 2PORTFOLIO 1
50%
20%
30%30%
20%
20%
20%
20%
30%50%
10%
20%
25%
15%
20%
10%10%
20% 15%
20%
7.5%7.5%
10%
20%
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What if We Used RAFI Instead of Market Cap?
RAFI adds significant value by improving return, but more importantly reducing risk
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Using MarketCap*
Using RAFI* RAFI Benefit
Return 8.40% 10.55% 2.15%
Standard Deviation 7.36% 6.96% -0.40%
Risk Adjusted Return 1.14 1.52 0.37
Max Drawdown(Mos) -8.27% -7.00% 1.27%
Source: Bloomberg. For Illustrative Purposes Only *
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Correlations (1990 2009)
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CanadianEquity
CanadianBonds
GlobalEquity
GlobalBonds
EmergingMarkets
GlobalReal
Estate
Commodities
Canadian Equity 1
Canadian Bonds 0.27 1
Global Equity 0.67 0.19 1Global Bonds -0.32 0.24 0.08 1
Emerging Equity 0.67 0.13 0.70 -0.21 1
Global RealEstate
0.35 0.14 0.49 0.09 0.36 1
Commodities 0.18 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.03 0.01 1
Source: Bloomberg
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But Broadly, Correlations are Still Low
Correlations across multiple asset classes remain low
16Source: Bloomberg
-0.20
-0.10
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
Average Correlation Across Asset Classesas of December 31, 2009
36 Month
24 Month
12 Month