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General Electric:Financial Analysis
Anthony Arola, Nathan Gadberry, Suzanne LeMere, Trinity Gibbons, Landon Heidenreich
Finance for Managers, BUSA 302Professor Wolf
December 10, 2007
Table of Contents
Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Business Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
The Balance Sheet. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
The Income Statement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Ratio Analysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Liquidity Ratios. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11
Profitability Ratios. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14
Activity Ratios. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15
Leverage Ratios. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17
Valuation Ratios. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19
Sales Forecast. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20
Risk Analysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22
Financial Restructuring. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
Discussion Conclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25
Recommendations to Management. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
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Executive Summary
GE has been in business for over a hundred years. They are a large slow-growth
company. Their ROE is 18.5%, while ROA is 3%. ROA is relatively low, however, this
is not surprising given the type of industry they are in, like building nuclear reactors.
They have strong financial leverage at 6.2%.
Our regression analysis forecasts that the sales growth for GE will be 5.2% in
2007, and 6.9% in 2008. Their sustainable growth rate is approximately 9%. One of the
ways they could increase their growth rate potential is to change their retention rate,
which is a little less than 50%, however this might not be an option for them as one of the
ways they’re able to attract new investors is by paying dividends.
One area of weakness appears when a current ratio is calculated. The typical
acceptable standard is 2:1, but GE’s is very small at .40. Generally this is a red flag to
investors, because incase of failure, the company would be unable to pay off its
obligations.
However, in the case of GE, two important factors must be taken into
consideration. (1) GE is a large and mature company that has a fairly predictable and
reliable revenue stream, and (2) the company is involved heavily in financial services,
which means their physical assets alone understate the value of the company. Also, none
of the financing receivable were calculated as part of the assets, as we considered them
long term. For these reasons, the small ratios are not as big as a concern as they would be
for a different company.
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Company Overview
General Electric was created in the year 1892 when Edison General Electric
Company formed with it competitor, Thomson Huston Company. Since that time
General Electric has grown into a worldwide multi billion dollar organization that leads
many fields in both research and development. GE is often at the forefront in industries
that include transportation, electronics, broadcasting, and energy.
General Electric has around 390,000 employees, who work in 215 manufacturing
plants throughout the United States with an additional 80 manufacturing plants in 20
other countries. They run a “highly decentralized company with over 300 operating
departments.” There are about 60 managers who supervise these departments which are
organized into 10 groups.
A nineteen member board of directors elects the corporate executive officers. It is
these officers that determine the overall strategy of the company and determine its
policies. The board of directors is determined by the 530,000 shareholders who hold
182,147,498 shares of voting stock within the company.
Nuclear?
General Electric is one of the few companies that have the ability and the
resources to put together a nuclear reactor. With all the talk about global warming and the
energy crisis that we have in today’s world, nuclear energy has huge growth potential.
There are only a few companies that can provide this form of energy, General Electric
being one of them. So we will pay special attention to General Electric and see if it is a
good company to invest in. Since it is difficult to get the financials from General
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Electric’s energy department we will be doing an analysis on the entire company in hope
of determining whether or not it will be a profitable to invest in.
Financial Statement
Since the financial statements often can disclose information about the company
that on first glance would not be obvious, we will closely examine the financial statement
in order to gain a better understanding of General Electric’s financial position.
The Balance Sheet
At December 31 (In millions, except share 2006.00 2005.00
amounts)
ASSETS
Cash and equivalents $14,275 $8,825
Investment securities (note 10) 47,826 42,148
Current receivables (note 11) 13,954 14,851
Inventories (note 12) 11,401 10,474
Financing receivables - net (notes 13 and 14) 334,205 287,639
Other GECS receivables 17,067 14,332
Property, plant and equipment - net (note 15) 74,966 67,528
Investment in GECS 0 0
Intangible assets - net (note 16) 86,433 81,630
All other assets (note 17) 97,112 84,828
Assets of discontinued operations (note 2) 0 61,066
Total assets $697,239 $673,321
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Short-term borrowings (note 18) $172,153 $158,156
Accounts payable, principally trade accounts 21,697 21,183
Progress collections and price adjustments 5,248 4,456
accrued
Dividends payable 2,878 2,623
Other GE current liabilities 18,538 18,552
Long-term borrowings (note 18) 260,804 212,281
Investment contracts, insurance liabilities 34,499 33,097
and insurance annuity benefits (note 19)
All other liabilities (note 20) 46,884 39,833
Deferred income taxes (note 21) 14,171 16,208
Liabilities of discontinued operations 475 49,527
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(note 2)
Total liabilities 577,347 555,916
Minority interest in equity of consolidated 7,578 8,054
affiliates (note 22)
Common stock (10,277,373,000 and 10,484,268,000
shares outstanding at year-end 2006 and 669 669
2005, respectively)
Accumulated gains (losses) - net
Investment securities 1,608 1,831
Currency translation adjustments 6,181 2,532
Cash flow hedges (129) (352)
Benefit plans (4,406) (874)
Other capital 25,486 25,227
Retained earnings 107,798 97,644
Less common stock held in treasury (24,893) (17,326)
Total shareowners equity (notes 23 and 24) 112,314 109,351
Total liabilities and equity $697,239 $673,321
General Electric’s (GE) Net Tangible Assets, or Book Value, is $610,806(million)
in 2006. They currently have $697,239 (million) in Total Assets, minus $86,433(million)
in Intangible Assets which equals their current Book Value. This leaves us with the
abstract value of all of the company's tangible assets, the nuts and bolts of General
Electric (buildings, computers, telephones, and office chairs), looking very good.
In 2006, GE’s current position is excellent. Their existing working capital is
$112,314 (million). GE currently has $697,239 (million) in current assets and $584,925
in current liabilities. Compared to the industry standard, GE is in a very good position.
In theory, the more working capital a company has the less financial strain that company
will experience.
GE is a very diverse organization. As we talk about debt, we discover that GE
has an extreme amount of debt. Our group covered two very important ratios on the
Balance Sheet; the Debt-to-Assets ratio and the Debt-to-Equity ratio. These ratios are the
most common measures of financial leverage used to evaluate a company’s book value of
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liabilities to the book value of assets or equity. If you would look at table 1, it will
describe GE’s debt-to-equity ratio for 2004 through 2006. This ratio (520.79%) says
Table 1
that creditors supply $520.79 for every $1 supplied by shareholders. Because GE is a
very large organization and it is extremely diversified, it does not bother us that they are
that highly leveraged. GE is in the process of producing and marketing the Advanced
Advanced Water Boiling Reactor
Water Boiling Reactor. The ABWR design is already licensed in three countries: the
United States, Japan and Taiwan. These reactors are extremely costly manufactured
goods, and in order to produce it GE cannot rely on investors alone.
The second ratio we looked at as we analyzed the balance sheet was the Debt-to-
Assets ratio. Table 2 outlines GE’s Debt-to-Assets ratios from 2004 through 2006. This
ratio states that in (2006) 83.89% of GE’s assets come from creditors of one type or
another.
Table 2
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Market Capitalization is the total dollar market value of all of a company's
outstanding shares and is calculated by multiplying a company's shares outstanding
by the current market price of one share. GE’s shares outstanding are 10,277.4(million),
and as of close of business on December 5th the market price of one share is $36.93. With
those numbers GE’s current Market Capitalization is $37,954.38(million).
The Income Statement
For the years ended December 31 (In millions; 2006.00 2005.00
per-share amounts in dollars)
REVENUES
Sales of goods $62,336 $57,378
Sales of services 36,772 33,052
Other income (note 3) 2,690 1,764
GECS earnings from continuing operations 10,495 9,527
GECS revenues from services (note 4) 0 0
GECS commercial paper interest rate swap 0 0
adjustment
Total revenues 112,293 101,721
COSTS AND EXPENSES (note 5)
Cost of goods sold 48,808 43,870
Cost of services sold 23,891 20,945
Interest and other financial charges 1,834 1,432
Investment contracts, insurance losses
and
insurance annuity benefits 0 0
Provision for losses on financing receivables 0 0
(note 14)
Other costs and expenses 13,841 13,279
Minority interest in net earnings of consolidated 673 784
affiliates
Total costs and expenses 89,047 80,310
EARNINGS FROM CONTINUING
OPERATIONS BEFORE INCOME TAXES 23,246 21,411
Provision for income taxes (note 8) (2,580) (2,750)
EARNINGS FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS 20,666 18,661
Earnings (loss) from discontinued operations,
net of taxes (note 2) 163 (1,950)
NET EARNINGS $20,829 $16,711
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Return on equity (ROE) reveals how much profit a company earned in
comparison to the total amount of shareholder equity found on the balance sheet. A
business that has a high return on equity is more likely to be one that is capable of
generating cash internally. For the most part, the higher a company’s return on equity
compared to its industry, the better Return on Assets. As shown in table 3, GE’s ROE is
not as high as the industry average.
Table 3: Return on EquityCompany Industry Sector S&P 500
19.83 23.89 23.89 21.60
Where asset turnover tells an investor the total sales for each $1 of assets, return
on assets (ROA) tells an investor how much profit a company generated for each $1 in
assets. The return on assets figure is also a sure-fire way to gauge the asset intensity of a
business.
Table 4: Return on AssetsCompany Industry Sector S&P 500
3.08 6.42 6.42 8.72
Ratio Analysis
Financial ratio analysis is the calculation and comparison of
ratios derived from the information in a company's financial
statements. The level of these ratios can be used to make inferences
about a company's financial condition, its operations and
attractiveness as an investment.
For this project we developed a ratio analysis of General Electric
Corporation using their year-end financial statements of 2006. From
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those statements we calculated each of the ratios listed below. Alone,
however, those figures mean nothing, so we chose two other
corporations to compare our figures too.
Koninklijke Philips Electronics (PHG) is one of GE’s direct
competitors within its sector called conglomerates. Therefore
comparison between the two should be a good measure as to how GE
is doing compared to others in their industry. Other companies in this
sector are 3M, Wesco, and Tyco. However, the initial focus of this
project was to choose a company that was involved in the nuclear
energy movement. For that reason we wanted to compare GE to one of
the top companies in the nuclear field. We chose Exelon Corporation,
who has the largest nuclear fleet in the nation, to represent the
energy/utilities sector, in this analysis.
Liquidity Ratios
Liquidity ratios are used to determine the company’s ability to pay off short-term
debts. The higher value the ratio indicates the larger margin of safety that a company has
to cover short-term debts. For our analysis of GE we used three important liquidity ratios,
and compared them with the two competitors to see how they stacked up. The ratios we
used are:
(1) Current Ratio: This ratio determines whether the company can pay their debts
over one year’s time. 2:1 is considered an acceptable ratio.
Current Assets / Current Liabilities
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(2) Quick Ratio/ Acid test: Measures how the company uses its quick assets to cover
their current liabilities. It compares the company's cash and short-term investments to
their financial liabilities that the company is expected to pay within the year.
( Current Assets – Inventory )/ Current Liabilities
(3) Working Capital: This represents the day to day working liquidity within the
company, available to that business.
General ElectricRatio Calculations Result
Current Ratio $87,456 / $220,524 .397Quick Ratio (Acid Test) $87,456 – $11,401
$220,514.345
Working Capital $87,456 – $220,514 ($133,058)
CompetitorsRatio Exelon Co. Philips Electronics
Current Ratio .94 1.13Quick Ratio (Acid Test) .81 1.51
In order to calculate GE’s liquidity ratios, we first needed to decide which of their
assets and liabilities were current. After looking at their balance sheet, we inferred that
the top four lines of their assets were current. They included, (1) cash and equivalents, (2)
investment securities, (3) current receivables, and (4) inventories. By adding these four
categories we came up with the current asset figure of $87,456 million that we used in all
three liquidity ratios.
We calculated the current liabilities as the top five lines on their balance sheet, i.e.
(1) short term borrowings, (2) accounts payable, (3) progress calculations, (4) dividends
payable, and (5) other GE current liabilities. By adding these five balance sheet lines
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together we established the $220,514 million figure that we used for our current
liabilities.
A current ratio of .397 seems very small, especially when you consider that a ratio
under 1 suggests that the company would be unable to pay off its obligations if they came
due at that point. The current ratio is also very close to the quick ratio, as they are only
different by .052. Intuitively, liquidity ratios this small would be a big red flag to
investors, because in case of failure, the company would not be able to liquidate their
assets and cover their costs.
However, in the case of GE, two important factors must be taken into
consideration. (1) GE is a large and mature company that has a fairly predictable and
reliable revenue stream, and (2) the company is involved heavily in financial services,
which means their physical assets alone understate the value of the company. Also, none
of the financing receivable were calculated as part of the assets, as we considered them
long term. For these reasons, the small ratios are not as big as a concern as they would be
for a different company. In comparison to the two competitors we are discussing in this
analysis, GE’s ratios are still substantially lower. Phillip’s current ratio is 1.13 and
Exelon’s is .94, so GE is still under par.
Profitability Ratios
These ratios are a measurement that assesses a company’s ability to generate
earnings compared to their expenses and other costs during a specific period of time. The
three we compared were:
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(1) Net Profit Margin: This margin is used for an internal comparison within the
company. This sometimes has no real affect on the company but can be used to
benefit internal affairs.
Net Income / Revenue
(2) Return on Assets: This indicates the profitability of a company relative to their
total assets. Gives an investor an idea of how management is using its assets to
generate earnings. This is useful to compare both your company and other companies
worth. It determines how profitable a company is without the leverage.
Net Income / Assets
(3) Return on Equity: This measures the rate of return to the shareholders equity of
the common stock. This is a basic measure of a company’s profitability which shows
how much profit a company can generate with the money shareholders are investing.
Net Earnings / Shareholder’s Equity
General ElectricRatio Calculations Result
Net Profit Margin $ 20,829 / $163,391 12.7%Return on Assets $20,829 / $697,239 3%Return on Equity $20,829 / $112,314 18.5%
CompetitorsRatio Exelon Co. Philips Electronics
Net Profit Margin 15.26% 11.7%Return on Assets 6.31% 8.37%Return on Equity 27.39% 14.81%
Like the liquidity ratios above, having a higher percentage as compared to your
competitor's percentage indicates that the company is doing well. When comparing GE
with Exelon and Phillips, we found GE to be pretty middle of the road. Exelon had higher
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percentages in all three categories, whereas Phillips came in second in net profit margin,
and third in ROA and ROE. All and all, GE seems to be doing well as compared with
A good sign for the investor is a high ROE because it shows the profit a company
generates with the money shareholders have invested. Exelon obviously takes the cake in
this category as their ROE is almost 9% higher than GE and almost 13% above Phillips.
Remember, however, that using ROE as a measurement of management performance
may not always be the most accurate way to analyze a business. If the company is using
mostly leverage to boost their ROE, which may be the case for Exelon, it could be
involved in may be making some high risk decisions.
Activity Ratios
Activity Ratios are also known as accounting ratios. The ratios measure the firm’s
ability to convert different accounts on their balance sheets into their sales and cash. We
compared the following:
(1) Inventory Turnover: This is a ratio that shows how many times the company’s
inventory is sold then replaced over a certain period of time.
Cost of Goods Sold / Ending Inventory
(2) Average Collection Period: This is the average days the customer takes to pay
their bills. This then indicates the effectiveness of credit and collection policies of the
company. It can also determine whether or not the credit terms are realistic.
Accounts Receivable / Credit Sales per Day
(3) Sales to Fixed Assets: This ratio is the total sales divided by the value of the fixed
assets, i.e. property, plant and equipment.
Sales / Fixed Assets
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(4) Total Asset Turnover: This ratio explains the company’s sales generated for every
dollars worth of assets.
Sales / Assets
General ElectricRatio Calculations Result
Inventory Turnover $50,588 / $11,401 4.437Average Collection Period $ 348,159 / $100,700 3.457Sales to Fixed Assets $163,391 / $74,966 2.180Total Asset Turnover $163,391 / $697,239 .234
CompetitorsRatio Exelon Co. Philips Electronics
Inventory Turnover 15.32 4.94Total Asset Turnover .41 .72
For comparison of the activity ratios, it is important again to realize GE is heavily
involved in financial services, which makes its results difficult to compare across sectors.
For example Exelon’s inventory turnover is almost three times higher at 15.32 as GE’s at
4.437. Though, when compared with Phillips the numbers are essentially the same with
Phillips at 4.94 and GE at 4.447.
GE’s total asset turnover is lower than that of the other two companies, at .234 to
Exelon’s .41 and Phillips .72, but those numbers still seem comparable. At the least they
do not set of red flags that one corporation is heads and tails better than the others.
Remember that asset turnover is one of the three levers of performance, along with profit
margin and financial leverage that combine to form ROE. Low numbers such as the .234
from GE tells the investor, in order for the ROE to be high, either the profit margin or the
financial leverage is picking up the slack.
Leverage Ratios
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These ratios are used basically to calculate the financial leverage of the company and
gain insight on their methods of financing, or, to measure their ability to meet their
financial obligations. We used the following four:
(1) Interest Coverage: This is used to determine how easy/tough a company can pay
interest on their outstanding debt.
(EBIT- interest expense / Interest Expense)
(2) Cash flow to Long term Dept: This ratio basically appraises the amount of
available funds to pay obligations.
Cash from Operations / Long term debt
(3) Long Term Debt to Equity: This lets you know how much debt they will have
even after the certain period of time is up.
Long term debt / Shareholders equity
(4) Debt to Equity: The measure of a company’s financial leverage. This lets you
know what proportion of equity and debt the company is using to finance their assets.
Total Liabilities / Shareholders equity
General ElectricRatio Calculations Result
Interest Coverage (times interest earned)
$24,620-$19,286 $19,286
2.28
Cash flow to Long term Debt
$30, 646 / $260, 804 .118
Long term debt to equity $260,804 / $112,314 2.322Debt to equity $577,347 / $112,314 5.14
CompetitorsRatio Exelon Co. Philips Electronics
Interest Coverage (times interest earned)
4.93
Long term debt to equity 1.13 .06Debt to equity 1.33 .17
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As mentioned above leverage ratios describe how a company establishes its
capital through selling shares, taking out a bank loan, possibly reducing dividend payout,
etc. Because the three companies in this study have large discrepancies in their debt to
equity ratios, different conclusions can be drawn about how they each finance their
business operation,
Phillips Electronics has a very low debt to equity ratio of only .17. This tells the
investor that the company is very much dependent on generating funding through equity.
When number such as this pop up, it is important to look back at the ROE to make sure
that the equity is actually making a return. For Phillips their ROE is 14.81, so although a
D/E ratio of .17 seems very low, that equity is generating revenue for the company.
Exelon’s D/E is middle of the road at 1.33, meaning that the company has almost
equal amount of debt and shareholders equity financing. However, GE’s debt to equity
ratio is very high at 5.14. This shows that the company is taking on large amounts of debt
to cover their costs. This may be due in part to the financing operations mentioned
several times before, but this seems very high compared to Phillips, a representative of
the conglomerates industry. Even compared to Exelon, GE’s debt to equity ratio seems
out of proportion.
Also, the cash flow to long term debt ratio, which appraises the adequacy of
available funds to pay obligations, for GE seems low at only .118. Like I mentioned
before, this may be an adequate business practice for GE, however, because of the
maturity of the corporation and its reliable revenue stream. GE’s creditors probably do
not fear that GE will unable to pay off their debt, so they will continue to loan the
corporation money.
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Valuation Ratios
These ratios are a measure of how cheap or even expensive a security of a business is,
compared to some measure of profit or value. The four ratios below were used to
compare the companies in this study:
(1) Dividend Yield: A return on investment of stock. This ratio shows much a
company pays out in dividends each year relative to their price.
Dividend per Share / Price per Share
(2) Dividend Payout: This is the ratio which shows the percentage of earnings that are
paid to shareholders in their dividends.
Dividends per Share / Earnings per Share
(3) P/E: Measure of price paid for each share relative to their income or profit earned
by the firm per share. With a higher P/E ratio, lets you know that investors are
paying more for each unit of income
Price per Share /Earning per Share
(4) Price to Book: This is a ratio used to compare the certain stock’s market value to
its book value.
Price / (Book Value of Equity / # of Shares Outstanding)
General ElectricRatio Calculations Result
Dividend Yield $1.03 / $37.21 2.8Dividend Payout $1.03 / $2.01 51.2P/E $37.21 / $2.01 18.512Price to Book $37.2 .
$112,314 / 10,359.323.43
CompetitorsRatio Exelon Co. Philips Electronics
Dividend Yield 2.06 1.93Dividend Payout 41.76 15.83
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P/E 21.00 9.62Price to Book 5.42 1.45
In the matter of dividends GE does have the most investor friendly practices.
Their dividend yield and dividend payout are higher than both of the other companies in
this study. In fact, compared to Exelon their payout is 10% higher and compared to
Phillips it is about 35% higher.
GE’s is in the middle as for as P/E with Phillips being lower and Exelon being
higher. Investors can use the P/E ratio to compare the value of stocks: if one stock has a
P/E twice that of another stock, all things being equal, it is a less attractive investment.
These companies are not equal, however, and it is important to remember that they never
really are, so looking at P/E alone is not a good measure of a stocks value.
A low price to book ratio could mean that the stock is undervalued. However, it
could also mean that something is fundamentally wrong with the company. As with most
ratios, be aware this varies by industry. But again GE’s price to book ratio is comparable
with others in the industry and outside of it, so its still a good signal to investors that
value cash returns on their investments.
Sales Forecast
After analyzing the sales data from 2002-2006 our group developed a linear
regression where we projected the future sales for General Electric.
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Projected Sales
0
100000
200000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
Year
Sa
les
($
)Y
Predicted Y
With this regression analyses we determined that General Electric would have a
revenue of $171,987 for 2007 and $183,933.17 for 2008. Which is about a 10% growth in
revenue and using this we began to construct a pro forma spreadsheet. The pro forma
should help management with much of its budgeting and planning and to determine how
much money it needs throughout the next year.
Pro Forma Financial Statement for General Electric ($ millions)
Year 2006 Actual 2007 Net Sales $163,391 Growth rate in net sales 0.1025 Cost of goods sold/net sales 0.3127 Gen., sell., and admin. Expenses/net sales 0.2371 Long-term debt $260,804 $40,290.00 Current portion long-term debt $220,514.00 $220,514.00 Interest rate 0.047 Tax rate 0.1734 Dividend/earnings after tax 0.514 Current assets/net sales 2.62 Net fixed assets $697,239.00 Current liabilities/net sales 2.67 Owners' equity $112,314
Income Statement Year Forecast 2007 Net Sales $180,138.58 Cost of goods sold $56,329.33 Gross profit $123,809.24 Gen., sell., and admin. Exp. $42,710.86 Interest expense $3,146,246.64 Earnings before tax $3,065,148.25
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Tax $531,496.71 Earnings after tax $2,533,651.55 Dividends paid $1,302,296.89 Additions to retained earnings $1,231,354.65
Balance Sheet Current assets $471,963.07 Net fixed assets $225,276.00 Total assets $697,239.00 Current liabilities $480,970.00 Long-term debt $40,290.00 Equity $114,560,280.00 Total liabilities and shareholders' equity $115,357,286.00
External Funding Required $66,680,613.87
So by putting together the pro forma statement we concluded that General Electric
will need $66,680,613.87 in external funding at a 10% growth. This should be enough to
cover all of its additional expenses throughout the year.
Risk Analysis
GE is highly sensitive to interest rates and tax policy changes because its
liabilities are so high; particularly GE’s long-term debt, because they are a large, mature,
slow-growing company. Just think of how much money it takes to finance building a
nuclear reactor, and perhaps that will help you put things into perspective. If interest
rates increased, this would reduce GE’s ability to finance its debt. If taxes decreased, GE
would lose their tax advantage and ROE would decline. Of course, the relationship of
these factors are inverse, in that if interest rates decreased, this would increase their
ability to finance their company, and if taxes increased, so would their tax advantage,
which in turn, increases their ROE.
What’s GE’s Sustainable Growth Rate? A little over 9%
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Sales $163,391,000Net Income $20,829,000Dividends $2,878,000Assets $697,239,00006 Shareholder Equity $112,314,00005 Shareholder Equity $109,351,000Liabilities $577,347,000 Dividends declared per share $1.03Earnings per share $2.00Dividend Payout Ratio 51.50%
Net Income - Dividends/N.I. 86.18% Profit Margin 12.75% Retention Rate 48.50% Asset Turnover 23.43% Asset-to-Equity Ratio 6.38
g*=PRAT 9.24%Sustainable Growth Rate
g*=(1-div)(asset/equity)*roa 9.55%
Sustainable Growth Rate
Return on Assets 2.99%
What does that mean??? It means that in order for GE to maximize profits and
use its resources efficiently, they need to come as close to that growth rate as possible. In
2006, their growth rate from 2005 was less than 1%. This means that GE had a surplus of
cash flow and in order to use it wisely, that cash should be reinvested. It looks like it was
too, because according to their financial statements, it looks like they bought treasury
stock, which means they’re reinvesting into the company and possibly positioning
themselves for a big move in the future.
According to our Regression Analysis, we’ve projected that sales will increase by
5.2% in 2007, and 6.9% in 2008. Based on GE’s financial statements, the external
funding required for 2006 was $7.5M.
What If?
2007 Growth = 1% Sales $165,024,910
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Net Income $21,037,290Assets $704,211,390Liabilities $584,925,000 07 Shareholder Equity $115,357,286.13External Funding Req. $3,929,103.87
Estimated Growth 07 5% Sales $171,887,332
Net Income $21,912,108Assets $733,495,428Liabilities $584,925,000 07 Shareholder Equity $115,357,286.13External Funding Req. $33,213,141.87
2007 Growth = 10% Sales $179,730,100Net Income $22,911,900Assets $766,962,900Liabilities $584,925,000 07 Shareholder Equity $115,357,286.13External Funding Req. $66,680,613.87
There are three ways that GE can move toward the balanced growth line.
1. Change their Growth Rate
2. Alter their Return on Assets
3. Modify Financial Policies
One of the ways to change the growth rate is to increase the retention rate.
Currently, their retention rate is a little less than 50%. However, I’m not sure that this is
an option for GE because they are a large, mature, slow-growing company, and one of the
ways they can attract investors is by paying a dividend. Historically, they have steadily
increased their quarterly dividend payout over the last 31 years. In 2006, their quarterly
dividend payout was a little more than .25 cents per share.
Between the years 2006 – 2007, the market price per share has ranged from the
mid to low $30’s and low $40’s. If you’re interested in becoming an investor of GE, now
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might be a good time to buy, because the stock price has recently fallen. However, this is
a company that you would want to invest in for the long haul. I do not expect high
growth anytime soon, but rather slow steady growth over possibly decades. The added
bonus comes in the form of dividends.
With the threat of global warming looming in the not so distant future and
increased cost of oil, GE has diversified itself by investing in research for a variety of
sources of alternative energy, mainly nuclear. The energy crisis that’s upon us isn’t
going away anytime soon and GE is in a great position to grow their market share
substantially in the coming years.
Financial Restructuring
We have no recommendations for financial restructuring at this time.
Discussion Conclusion
GE is a mature company with decent ratios in all categories and to the average
investor it may be a good investment. They compete very well with other companies in
their industry and offer a good dividend payout ratio to their stockholders. A low risk
investor who wants a consistent dividend payout and low volatility, GE is a great
company to hold stock in. However, if the investor really is looking to make it big in the
nuclear energy sector, a company like Exelon would be a better choice to buy stock in.
They are making high returns in ROE and ROA and are leader in the energy industry.
Recommendations to Management
All four parts of our report, including the financial statement analysis, ratio
analysis, risk analysis, and pro-forma sales forecasting, point to the same conclusion. For
an investor that is looking for a low risk, long-term investment that has a guaranteed
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dividend payout GE is a reliable company to invest in. The company has slow and steady
growth, with little volatility, which leaves little risk in this investment. However, we
know that big risks can lead to big payoffs. So for an investor that is looking for
something with a potential for a big return, we would advise them to look elsewhere.
References:
General Electric. Retrieved September 21, 2007. http://www.GE.com.
Higgins, Robert C. (2007). Analysis for Financial Management.
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