1. 2 individuals who are caught and sanctioned by the criminal justice system will be less likely...
TRANSCRIPT
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1
Research on Scared Straight Type Programs (1968-1992)
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MI IL* MI2* VA* NJ* CA*
Control
Scared Straight
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2
SPECIFIC DETERRENCE
Individuals who are caught and sanctioned by the criminal justice system will be less likely to re-offend Does prison reduce recidivism? Do “deterrence based” programs reduce
recidivism?▪ BOOT CAMPS▪ INTENSIVE PROBATION
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3
Minneapolis domestic violence study (Sherman and Berk)
Randomly assign d.v. strategies to police officers Arrest, Counsel, or Separate for 8 hours
Findings: Arrest = 10% re-arrested after 3 monthsCounseling = 19%Separate = 24%
Mandatory Arrest Policies spread BUT: Replications in 3 Cities found that
the effect of arrest depended on other things
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4
Conclusions Regarding Empirical Support
Weak empirical support If anything, the certainty of punishment
may have marginal effects on crimeWHY SO WEAK?
Based on “weak” theory—weak assumptions
Limits of deterrence in a democratic society
MARGINAL vs. ABSOLUTE
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5
Informal Sanctions
Fear of Informal Sanctions is not “Deterrence theory.” Deterrence derived from classical school
(legal reform) Informal social control theory (To be
Discussed)
However, formal sanctions may “kick in” informal sanctions.
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6
Policy Implications of Deterrence
Rehabilitation, (unless painful) won’t work, and may “send the wrong message”
Raising the certainty, swiftness or severity of criminal penalties will work
If system cannot be swift, severe and certain enough, then reduce opportunities for offending Incapacitation
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“Rational Choice” Theories and Situational Crime Prevention
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“Rational Choice Theory”Economics (language, theory)
“Expected Utility” = calculation of all risks and rewards
This is much broader than deterrence▪ Includes risks not associated with criminal
justice Same assumptions as deterrence
theory Human nature = rational, calculating,
hedonistic This is because “economic theory”
(supply/demand, rational consumers) has same “classical school” roots
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Rationality Assumption
How “RATIONAL” is the offender? PURE = only expected utility (rational
calculation of risk/reward) matters▪ Few, if any, take this position
LIMITED = then, what else matters?▪ CORNISH AND CLARKE good example
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Cornish and Clarke (1986)
Crime as a Rational Choice
Criminal Involvement: the decision to engage in crime (versus other activity)
Criminal Event: factors that influence the decision to commit a specific crime
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Criminal Involvement
Choices to become involved in crime, to continue in crime, and to desist from crime Each (involvement, continuance,
desistence) need separate explanation Involvement decisions are multistage
and multi-factor, extending over long time periods
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Example of factors that explain initial involvement:
Background Factors temperament, intelligence, cognitive style, sex,
class, education, neighborhood, broken home…Previous experience
Direct and vicarious learning, moral attitudes, self-perception, foresight and planning
Solutions evaluated Degree of effort, amount/immediacy of reward,
likelihood and severity of punishment, moral costs
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Criticisms
What happened to our “rational” offender guided by “free will?” In their models, rational thinking and free will are
very constrained/limited Not much different from other theories of crime▪ Borrow liberally from learning theory,
psychology, social control theory… At what point does their theory cease to be a
“rational choice” model and start to become a learning, social control, IQ theory of crime?
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Example of Continuance in Burglary
Increased Professionalism pride in skills, reduce risk (better planning),
acquire fencing contacts, skill in dealing with criminal justice system
Changes in Lifestyle and Values choose work to facilitate burglaries, enjoy “life in
fast lane,” devalue legitimate work
Changes in Peer group lose contact with prosocial friends, labeled as
criminal, quarrels with family...
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The Criminal Event
Focus on predictors of specific crimes, look at immediate (situational) factors e.g., what might lead a person to commit a
burglaries in middle class neighborhood? Area
Easily accessible, few police patrols, low security Home
anyone home?, especially wealthy, detached, bushes/other cover, dog, security system...
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Evaluating Rational Choice
Empirical Support? Criminal Involvement ▪ Ethnographic research suggests limited (if any)
rational reasoning or weighing of costs/benefits.
Criminal Event▪ Ethnographic research somewhat supportive,
but many crimes suggest limited appraisals. Parsimony and Scope? Policy Implication?
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Routine Activities Theory
Crime as the Convergence in Time and Space of Three Factors 1. Motivated Offenders 2. Suitable Targets 3. Lack of Capable
Guardianship
Scope: “Direct-Contact Predatory Crimes” Felson in 1990s extended
to white collar crime, drug crime
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Motivated offenders taken for granted
Assumption is that they are always present Criticized for this (really a theory of
crime?)Mostly explains “victimization” or the
“criminal event” Similar to Cornish and Clarke in that
respect
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Suitable Targets
Value ($, ability to fence) Some universal ($) some dependent
upon offenders environmentVisibility (sights and sounds) Inertia (why autos are victimized,
high tech movement)Access (cul-de-sac vs open-ended
street, garage parking vs. street parking)
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Lack of Capable Guardianship
Protection from police?? Less emphasis in this over time
Informal social control “…not usually someone who brandishes
a gun or threatens an offender with quick punishment, but rather someone whose mere presence serves as a gentle reminder that someone is looking.”
Strength in numbersTime spent at home
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Evaluating Routine Activities Theory
Empirical Support Household activity ratio related to crime Criminal “Hotspots” within high crime
areas Prison Studies (% time outside of cell) Victimization Studies
Criticism? Confirming common sense.
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Environmental Criminology and Situational Crime Prevention andEnvironmental Criminology
An umbrella term (catch-all) to describe opportunity theories that focus on the criminal event (e.g., routine activity theory)
Situational Crime Prevention A policy implication of routine
activities/RCT (not a specific theory)
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Policy ImplicationsDeterrence vs. Environmental Crim In deterrence theory, if the CJS (e.g.,
threat of arrest/imprisonment) is not effective, the only other option is incapacitation. This has been the preferred U.S. strategy
Environmental Criminology suggests that we can remove or limit the opportunity to offend This has been the preferred strategy in
the UK Benefit of this approach over
incapacitation??
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Examples of Situational Crime Prevention (Ronald Clarke) Technique Examples
Increase the effort for crime
Harden targets Steering column locks, tamper-proof packaging
Control access to facilities Electronic access to garages
Control tools/weapons Smart guns, plastic beer glasses in taverns
Increase the risks of crime
Extend guardianship Travel in groups at night, carry a phone
Assist natural surveillance Street lighting, defensible space
Utilize place managers Two clerks in convenience stores
Strengthen formal surveillance Burglar alarms, security guards
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Examples of Situational Crime Prevention II
Technique Examples
Reduce Reward
Remove targets Removable car radios, women’s refuges
Identify property Property marking, cattle branding
Reduce Provocations
Reduce emotional arousal Controls on violent pornography
Avoid disputes Fixed cab fares, reduce crowding in bars
Remove Excuses for Crime
Set rules Rental agreements, hotel registration
Control drugs/alcohol Breathalyzers in bars, alcohol-free events
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Does crime just go around the corner?
Study of police crackdowns and “catchment areas” Crime displacement may be less
prevalent than expected There may be some diffusion of benefits
from crime prevention efforts
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Review of Neoclassical Approach
Roots in classical school (1750-1850) Commonality = humans as rational
calculators Renewed interest 1970s-present▪ Fit with conservative ideology
Main Flavors Deterrence Rational Choice Routine Activities
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Deterrence Theory
Formal punishment Swift, Certain, Severe
Types Specific vs. General Absolute vs. Marginal Focused deterrence
Evidence converges on importance of certainty over severity
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Rational Choice Theory
Much broader than deterrence What factors to humans consider when
choosing whether or not to commit crime?▪ Criminal event vs. Criminal Involvement
Most RCT integrate concepts from other theories Common criticism: lots of things in the
theory that limit free will
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Routine Activities Theory
Very similar to “criminal event” decisions in rational choice theory What immediate factors influence
whether a criminal event will occur?▪ Target Suitability▪ Guardianship
Policy implication = situational crime prevention