1 gfnorte 4q03 results. 2 banorte continues gaining market share now as a national coverage bank dec...
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2
Banorte continues gaining market share now as a national coverage bank
Dec ‘96Dec ‘01
Total Deposit
Traditional Loans
156
2.3
7
14°
Dec ‘96
455
32
6.4
Dec ‘01
BRANCHES AND EMPLOYEES
States
Branches
MS%
DEPOSITS: EXCLUDES FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES AND INCLUDES MUTUAL FUNDS AND SOURCE: ABMLOANS: INCLUDES FOBAPROA, IPAB CREDIT AND SOURCE: DEC ‘96 CNBV; DEC ‘01 AND SEP ‘03 A.B.M.
BTE + BCRBTE
1,182
32
16.6
6° 4°
BTE + BCRBanorte
BANORTE
BANCENTRO
BANPAÍS
BANCRECER
Bank Emp 4,840
1,024
15.1
32
Dec ‘03
13,336
4°
Dec ‘03
8,516 15,099
3.0
3.3
14°
10°
7.8
7.0
5°
6°
11.7
8.6
4°
4°
11.8
12.2
5°
4°
Total Loans 3.3 10° 9.4 3° 15.6 3° 16.6 3°
Non Interest Deposits 6.8 5° 11.4 5° 15.4 5° 16.5 4°
3
The client base and the distribution channels have experienced an important growth
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS
CLIENTS : INCLUDES THE BANKING SECTOR AND THE BROKERAGE HOUSE. * INTERNET. **MILLIONS OF PHONE CALLS FOR THE PERIOD.
CLIENTS (Thousands)
627 889
1,9002,324
‘96 ‘97 ‘98 ‘99
2,818
‘00 ‘01
4,678 4,634
02
3,865
Dec’03
Call Center**
20.6
POS 10,400
PC Banking 22,709
ATM2,524
Branches 1,0292,458
990212157
8.3
‘96 ‘97 ‘98 ‘99 ‘00 ‘01 ‘02 Dec’03
TRANSACTIONS PERDISTRIBUTION CHANNEL
ATM
BRANCHES
POS
TELEPHONEBANKING
3%
23%
6%
PC BANKING & INTERNET
14%
54%
54%
20032002
28%
9%
6%
3%
4
2,219
1,6851,6511,688
1,4221,304
952787
'96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 2003
EXTRAORDINARY INCOME NOT INCLUDED IN GRAPH: 1997: PS 796, 1998 : PS 484, 2000: PS 245 AND 2002: PS 410. MILLIONS AS OF DECEMBER 2003.
GFNorte’s Recurrent Income
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003ROE 21.0% 29.1% 21.5% 15.1% 20.7% 17.2% 15.6% 17.5%CETE 31.4% 19.9% 24.4% 21.6% 15.3% 11.4% 7.1% 6.3%DIFERENCE 5.4 5.8 8.7 11.2
5
GFNorte’s Objectives & Strategy
Objectives
•Provide excellence in financial services
•Maximize shareholder value
Strategy
•We have succeeded in building a national franchise through selective acquisitions. We will now focus on exploiting our leading market position by:
Improving our funding mix
Increasing Non Interest Income
Reducing Non Interest Expense, improving our efficiency ratio
Aggressively growing our credit portfolio, with strict credit risk policies
Further developing our asset recovery business
Multi-channel approach with a cross-sell focus
6
HIGHLIGHTS
GFNORTE1,685*
15.6%
25.5
3.4 *
1.1
14.8%
76.0%
3.1%
118.0%
2,219
17.5%
39.0
4.4
1.5
12.7%
20.4%
2.4%
121.7%
NET INCOME IN MILLION PESOS AS OF 4Q03.EPS & BOOK VALUE ARE PESOS PER SHARE. BOOK VALUE EXCLUDES MINORITY HOLDINGS.•EXCLUDES GENERALI EXTRAORDINARY INCOME OF Ps 410 millions.(1)EXCLUDES THE SHORT-TERM LOAN FOR Ps 6,761 MILLION GRANTED TO A FINANCIAL ENTITY OF THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT IN DECEMBER 2002.
20032002
BANKING SEGMENT
Net Income
Annualized ROE
Stock Price
EPS
P/BV
Capitalization Ratio
Traditional loan growth (1)
Past due loan ratio
Reserve Coverage
31%
53%
7
Profit composition
NET INCOME
BANKING Ps 1,798 81%
8HOLDING 0%
102BROKERAGE 5%
217LONG TERM SAVINGS 10%
93AUXILIARY ORGANIZATIONS 4%
Ps 2,219GFNORTE 100%
2002 20032001
84%
0%
4%
8%
4%
100%
85%
3%
2%
6%
4%
100%
MILLION PESOS
8
Net Interest Margin
CeteTIIE
4.7% 4.9%
4.3%3.9%
4.2%
4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03
TYPE OF ASSET 3Q03 4Q03
Fobaproa / Ipab Notes 85,537 2.2% 79,901 2.5%Loan Portfolio 64,501 8.0% 68,072 8.4%
VOL NIM VOL NIM
Other (1) 42,647 1.1% 46,882 0.9%Total 192,684 3.9% 194,856 4.2%
(1): 4Q03 Includes: Deposits in Central Bank Ps 17,128 millions, Fixed Income Securities Ps 16,764 millions and in other banks Ps 12,990 millions.
5.1%4.6%
8.4%
7.4%
9.6%
8.8%
6.8%
6.3%
1.0
0.50.4
5.4%
5.8%
9
2,228
2,991
3,798
2001 2002 2003
Non Interest Income
Recovery 875
Service 2,086
Trading 837
TOTAL 3,798
739
1,965
288
2,991
MILLION PESOS AS OF 4Q03
39% 27%
1,020
865
342
2,228
467 478504 522
585
4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03
Service Fees
10
Service Fees
The Service Fee Income accumulated through the year rose by 6% vs. 2002 as a result of the new clients that were attracted and which show the following rise in fee collecting: Credit Cards, 11%; Account Management fees, 7%; and Electronic Banking Services, 2%.
Account Management Fees
Fund Transfers
2003 vs 2002
Fiduciary
NET FEES - SERVICES
Credit Card
Other Fees Net
Electronic Banking
2002 2003
194 178 (8%)
666 710 7%
183 178 (3%)
591 655 11%
254 260 2%
76 106 39%
1,965 2,086 6%
MILLION PESOS
11
The accumulated Non Interest Income from Recovery Banking increase an 18% due to the higher Serfin portfolio income and that of the Fobaproa portfolio.
Recovery Fees
II.- FOBAPROA FEES
NET FEES – RECOVERY
a. Serfin Loans (1)
b. Other Portfolios
Income
- Expense
640 543
397 180
243 363
411 165
296 130
115 35
381 477
739 875 18%
Income
- Expense
(1) COLLECTION RIGHTS.MILLION PESOS
I.- LOAN PORTFOLIOS ACQUIRED 358 398
2003 vs 20022002 2003
12
Recovery Bank
AUM Composition
AUM = ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT(*): FIGURES IN BILLION PESOS.
2001 2002 2003
6560 59Proprietary
Loans Acquired
SERFIN
IPAB
11%11% 7%
17%17% 29%
30%29% 24%
42% 43% 40%
13
Non Interest Expense
MILLION PESOS. (*) FOURTH QUARTER 2001 INCLUDES PROFORMA FOR BANCRECERVAT = VALUE ADDED TAX. AT 2002 VAT=PS 621 MILLIONS AND IPAB=PS 678 MILLIONS. AT 2003 VAT=PS 645 MILLIONS AND IPAB=PS 732 MILLIONS O&AE = OPERATION AND ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES INCLUDING IT.RENT, DEP. & AMORT. = RENT, DEPRECIATION & AMORTIZATION.
2,902
2,437
4Q01 * 4Q03
16%
1,222 1,391
1,299 1,377
2,342 2,379
4,332 4,216
2002 2003
9,195 9,362
PERSONNEL
O&AE
VAT & IPAB
RENT,DEP &AMORT.
=
14
EFFICIENCY RATIO INCLUDES TRADING.* AVERAGE FOR THE PERIOD.
Efficiency ratio has suffered after each acquisition, being Banorte able to return to
adecuate efficiency levels in the following years.
After the acquisition of Bancrecer the efficiency ratio went up to 87%, coming down to an
average for the year of 78% by 2003.
Efficiency Ratio
1992
EfficiencyRatio
1996 1997 2001 Dec 2002
55% 66% 93% 78% 105% 78%87%
2003*
78%
15
Traditional Loan Portfolio
TRADITIONAL LOAN PORTFOLIO 4Q02 3Q03 4Q03QUARTER
Commercial 17,743 20,112 23,036 14.5% 29.8%
Corporate 14,573 12,671 11,859 (6.4)% (18.6)%
Mortgage 10,838 12,681 13,551 6.9% 25.0%
Automobile 3,089 4,651 5,022 8.0% 62.6%
Credit Card 1,729 2,541 2,829 11.3% 63.6%
Electronic Payroll Loans 583 1,018 1,214 19.3% 108.2%
Government Entities 6,054 8,955 9,147 2.1% 51.1%
Financial Entities 3,545(*) 3,706 3,350 (9.6)% (5.5)%
TOTAL 58,155(*) 66,338 70,007 5.5% 20.4%FIGURES = MILLION PESOS. TRADITIONAL LOAN PORTFOLIO DOES NOT INCLUDE NEITHER FOBAPROA / IPAB NOTES NOR RECOVERY BANK BUSINESSGOVERNMENT ENTITIES INCLUDES FEDERAL, STATE & MUNICIPALITIESFINANCIAL ENTITIES = INCLUDES GOVERNMENT AND PRIVATE FINANCIAL ENTITIES LIKE LEASING,FACTORING COMAPNIES AND OTHERS.(*) IT EXCLUDES THE SHORT-TERM LOAN FOR Ps 6,761 MILLION GRANTED TO A FINANCIAL ENTITY F THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT IN DECEMBER 2002.
VARIATION
ANNUAL
58,155
66,33870,007
4Q02 3Q03 4Q03
16
4,922
3,5173,472
4Q02 3Q03 4Q03
Past Due Loans
MORTGAGE
CORPORATE
COMMERCIAL
AUTOMOBILE
CREDIT CARD
ELECTRONIC PAYROLL
4Q03
1,183
663
419
192
169
87
TOTAL 3,517
RECOVERY LOANS 804
TYPE OF LOAN PDLRatio
0.8%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
2.4%
0.5%
MILLION PESOS
3Q03
1,179
663
405
161
134
89
3,472
841
PDLRatio
0.8%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
2.3%
0.5%
17
Loans & Insurance allocation by quarter
BANCRECERBANORTENUMBER OF LOANS AND INSURANCE POLICIES.
AUTOMOBILE ELECTRONIC PAYROLL LOANS MORTGAGE
LIFE INSURANCE CAR INSURANCE
4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03
32%38%
68%
62%
8,287
9,929
43%
57%
9,894
41%
59%
10,729
42%
58%
10,486
4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03
19% 21%
81% 79%
1,737
1,397
35%
65%
1,867
28% 33%
72% 67%
22,751 22,793
36%
64%
32,978
35%
65%
34,988
39%
61%
2,085
38%
62%
37,813
38%
62%
2,454
4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03
37%42%
63%
58%17,158
29,872
44%
56%
34,930
75%
63%
15,977
20,753
25%37%
60%
19,446
40%45%
55%
36,470
61%
19,317
39%43%
57%
27,732
60%
21,812
40%
18
Fobaproa - IPAB
After Banorte’s expansion strategy, the proportion of Fobaproa / IPAB notes has been reducing since Traditional Loan portfolio started to rise
Traditional Loans
BILLION PESOS AS OF DECEMBER 2003. NET OF FOBAPROA CHECKING ACCOUNT AND LOSS SHARING PROVISIONS.(1) SHORT TERM LOANS TO SOCIEDAD HIPOTECARIA FEDERAL.(2) SALE OF LOANS TO SOLIDA ADMINISTRADORA DE PORTAFOLIOS.
Fobaproa / IPAB Notes Ps 6.7 (1)Ps 1.9 (2)
1996 1997
42
103
2001
149
2002
159
2003
149
21%
71%
66% 59%51%
19
Industry Growth
Twelve month Traditional Loan Portfolio growth (*)
(Excludes Fobaproa / IPAB)
BA
NO
RT
E
BIT
AL
SA
NT
AN
DE
R
SE
RF
IN
BA
NC
OM
ER
SC
OT
IAIN
VE
RL
AT
BA
NA
ME
X
17%
- 2%
-10%
1%16%
20% (1)
(*) FROM 4Q’02 TO 4Q’03.SOURCE: 4Q’03 QUARTERLY REPORTS, EXCEPT BANAMEX.(1) Excludes loans managed by the Recovery Banking unit and excludes the short-term loan for Ps 6,761 million granted to a financial entity of the Federal Government in December 2002.
20
Banorte’s Loan mix is shifting away from the Monterrey region
Dec01 Dec03Loans 27% 31%Branches 22% 23%
Dec01 Dec03Loans 12% 11%Branches 14% 13%
Dec01 Dec03Loans 6% 10%Branches 16% 16%
Dec01 Dec03Loans 39% 29%Branches 16% 17%
Dec01 Dec03Loans 4% 8%Branches 16% 16%
MONTERREY
NORTHEAST
SOUTHEAST
NORTHWEST
Dec01 Dec03Loans 11% 11%Branches 15% 16%
WEST
MEXICO CITY
Dec01 Dec03
100% 100%NATIONAL
SOURCE: ABM. 2001 DOES NOT INCLUDES BANCRECERLOANS EXCLUDES IPAB AND FOBAPROA AND CENTRALIZED OPERATIONS.
……and concentrating more in Mexico City
21
Comparatives to the Industry 4Q’03
SOURCE OF ASSETS AND NUMBER OF BRANCHES: ABMSOURCE OF ROE AND CAPITALIZATION RATIO: PRESS RELEASE OF EACH BANK. INCLUDES MARKET AND CREDIT RISKS. RULES 2003.(1) CALCULATED FOR BANKING SECTOR (*) INFORMATION AS OF 3Q03.
25.1%
12.8%
Banamex Banorte
10.2%
Bital*Santander
15.1%
4°5.5%
Scotiabank* Banamex BanorteBital SantanderBBVA-Bancomer
Scotiabank
24.4%
15.1%
19.5%
13.6%
20.7%
5.6%
BBVA-Bancomer
30.3%
4°
15.7%(1)17.5%
29.9%
Santander Banamex GFNorte
15.5%(1)
Bital*
24.4%
Scotiabank*
3°
ROEGroup
CAPITALIZATION RATIO16.4%
BBVA -Bancomer
12.4%
Banamex
12.4%
Scotiabank*BBVA-Bancomer
13.3%
Banorte
12.7%
3°
14.7%
Bital* Santander
11.6%
ASSETS NUMBER OF BRANCHES
22
Tot. M.S.Branches 136 24.1 Total Deposits $28,710 27.9Total Loans $7,884 29.0
Market Share by Region
TOTAL M.S.Branches 1,024 15.1% Total Deposits $211,486 11.8%Total Loans $148,627 16.6%
Tot. M.S.Branches 160 17.7 Total Deposits $19,385 14.2Total Loans $7,081 13.9
Tot. M.S. Branches 170 24.2 Total Deposits $55,819 39.0Total Loans $20,340 21.8
Tot. M.S. Branches 162 14.9 Total Deposits $18,226 9.6Total Loans $5,675 12.0
MONTERREY
NORTHEAST
SOUTHEAST
NORTHWEST
Tot. M.S. Branches 159 16.0 Total Deposits $28,678 14.8Total Loans $8,024 16.4
WEST
MILLION PESOS. SOURCE: ABM M.S. MARKET SHARE. BRANCHES: INCLUDES BANKING MODULES AND EXCLUDES REMOTE COUNTERS; TOTAL DEPOSITS: INCLUDES CENTRALIZED OPERATIONS. TOTAL LOANS: INCLUDES IPAB AND FOBAPROA NOTES.
Tot. M.S.Branches 237 14.0Total Deposits $59,680 7.0Total Loans $21,620 6.9
MEXICO CITY
4° 4° 3°
4° 3°3°
1° 1° 2°
1° 1° 1°
5° 6° 6°
5° 5°4°
4°
5°
3°
DECEMBER 2003
23
TENDENCY OF IPC, GFNORTE, GFB (Monthly)
JAN ’02 – FEBRUARY 13th’04
IPC
GFB
44%
20%
GFNORTE
104%
11.89.8
41.8
20.5
Jan'02
Feb'02
Mar
'02
Apr'02
May
'02
Jun'02
Jul'0
2
Aug'02
Sep
'02
Oct'02
Nov'02
Dec
'02
Jan'03
Feb'03
Mar
'03
Apr'03
May
'03
Jun'03
Jul'0
3
Aug'03
Sep
'03
Oct'03
Nov
7/03
Nov
14/03
Nov
21/03
Nov
28/03
Dec
5/03
Dec
11/03
Dec
19/03
Dec
26/03
Jan
2/04
Jan
9/04
Jan
16/04
Jan
23/04
Jan
30/04
Feb 6
/04
Feb 1
3/04
9,982.8
6,928.0
24
Stock Performance
2001 2002 2003Feb 13th
2004
STOCK PRICE 19.1
GROWTH VS 2001
PS -
USD -
P / BV
GFNORTE
BBVA BANCOMER
GFBanorte's P/BV Discount to GFBB's
DAILY VOLUME (USD Million)
0.99
1.91
1.6
25.5
33.5%
17.5%
1.14
1.40
2.1
39.0
104.2%
66.4%
1.46
1.50
2.2
(3)%
41.8
118.8%
83.2%
1.57
1.78
7.7
(12)%(48)% (19)%
25
Dividends
$353
$500
3Q02 3Q03
Payout ratio (1) 33%
(1) Ps 500 millions / Net Income as of 2001 Ps 1,587.9 millions; Ps 353 millions / Net Income as of 2002 Ps 2,016.0 millions(2) $ 1 / Share Price as of Sep’ 2002 $ 22.99; $ 0.70 / Share Price as of Sep’ 2003 $ 33.16
Dividend / Share Ps 1.0
18%
Ps 0.7
Yield (2) 4.4% 2.1%
26
Outlook
Traditional Loan Portfolio growth:
Low Cost Deposit growth:
Asset Quality:
NIM:
Non Interest Income:- Service fees:- Recovery fees:
Capital Management:
improving steadily
improving slowly
stable
improving slowly
improving slowly stable
cash dividend