1 houston economic club may 18, 2009 matthew k. rose chairman, president and ceo transportation for...

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1 Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009 Matthew K. Rose Chairman, President and CEO Transportation for Tomorrow

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1

Houston Economic ClubMay 18, 2009

Matthew K. RoseChairman, President and CEO

Transportation for Tomorrow

2

BNSF in Texas

3

BNSF in Houston

4

Running a railroad through recession to recovery – Volumes

2006 2007 2008

Percent change Year over Year

0.9%

3.5% 3.3%

0.9%

-2.9%-3.6% -3.3%

-2.2% -2.2% -2.4% -2.5%

-8.9%

-14.4%-16.0%

-14.0%

-12.0%

-10.0%

-8.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2009

U.S. infrastructure supports millions of supply chains

Miles of Supply Chain:46,837 miles of Interstate Highways

173,000+ miles of railroad tracks

Daily Supply Chain Volume:

•43 million tons of goods

•Valued at $29 billion

•12 billion ton-miles

Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Let’s Rebuild America

Class 1 Railroads

Interstate Highways

And keeps the economy running

We know the future will bring more…

2030 Growth Projections

Source: Global Insights, AASHTO, FHWA

U.S. population expected to grow to 364 million VMT to grow by 150 percent Freight rail to increase by 92 percent

Capacity is shrinking

US Highway and Rail Networks System Miles and Volumes

5060708090

100110120130140150160170180190200210

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Highway - VMT Highway - Lane-miles Rail - RTM Rail - Track-miles

Source: National Rail Freight Infrastructure Capacity and Investment Study September 2007 and AAR

Year

600

Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year (through 2015)

Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year (through 2015)

100

200

300

400

500

2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030

Yea

r-o

f-E

xpen

dit

ure

Do

llar

s (

in B

illi

on

s)

Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year (through 2015)

Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year (through 2015)Revenue

Cost toMaintain

Cost toImprove

Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce

We have a national funding gap for all surface transportation

10

Railroad Spending on Way & Structures vs. State Highway Agency Spending

Total (billions)

1. Texas $7.572. Florida $5.693. California $4.19 Union Pacific $4.17

BNSF Railway $3.894. New York $3.595. Pennsylvania $3.306. Illinois $3.30

CSX $2.627. Michigan $2.618. North Carolina $2.489. Ohio $2.14

Norfolk Southern $2.1210. Georgia $1.88

11

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, AAR

Capital Expenditures as % of Revenue: Avg. 1997-2006

Railroads: Far More Capital Intensive Than Other Industries

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

Class I RRs All Mfrg. Nonmet.Min. Prod.

Computers Paper Plastics &Rubber

Chemicals WoodProducts

MotorVehicles

Petr. & CoalProd.

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Engineering Expansion Mechanical Other Locomotive

Capital CommitmentsCapital Commitments with ROIC

$ Millions

$2,258

$2,520

$2,265

$1,763$1,608

$1,505

$1,726

$1,988$2,179

$ Millions

ROIC

6.2% 6.2%

7.6%

9.6%9.5% 9.7%9.4%

7.2%

8.8% $2,670 $2,593

10.8%10.0%

$2,850

2002-2007: ROIC is restated to reflect the change in methodology for discounting operating leases.

10.7%

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Class I RR Cost of Capital vs. Return on Investment

0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%16%18%20%

'81 '83 '85 '87 '89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07

RR Cost of Capital

RR Return on Investment

Note: In 2006, the Surface Transportation Board significantly changed the method by which it calculates the rail industry cost of capital. Source: STB

14

Rational regulation works

15

'81 '83 '85 '87 '89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07

*Average revenue per ton-mile, Class I railroads. Source: AAR

Inflation-Adjusted RR Rates* Down 54% Since 1981

Railroads Keep Goods Affordable for America

16

Freight Rail Works

17

Railroads reduce highway congestion

One BNSF intermodal train removes more than 280 long-haul trucks from our nation’s highways

18

Rail is 2-5 times more fuel efficient than trucks

Ag

Indust. Prod.

Intermodal

*Based on a 1,500 mile truck haul

5.5x

4.3x

2.3x

19

Rail emits a fraction of total U.S. greenhouse gas emissions

Rail = 2.6% of GHG emissions Trucks = 21% of GHG emissions

In 2008, BNSF moved 4.7 million containers and trailers, reducing GHG emissions by more than 7 million metric tons

The rail industry moved 11.5 million containers and trailers, reducing GHG emissions by more than 17.2 million metric tons

20

Call to action

Achieve a state of “good repair”

Mode neutral

Increase funding from all sources - federal, local, state and private - to meet $225-$349 billion a year in needs

Shippers, states, federal government, all transportation sources must work together to sustain our leadership in surface transportation