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OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September 17, 2003

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Page 1: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

1

Climate Services Partnerships

Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop

Raleigh, North Carolina

Judy Koepsell

September 17, 2003

Page 2: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSOutline

• What do we mean by “climate services”?

• How are we going to get there?

• CSD partnership program

• Role of regional and field offices

Page 3: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSOutline

• What do we mean by “climate services”?

Page 4: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Real-time monitoring

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSElements of Climate Services

Page 5: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Real-time monitoring

– Forecasting products and services

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSElements of Climate Services

Page 6: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Real-time monitoring

– Forecasting products and services

– Models and technology, model output

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSElements of Climate Services

Page 7: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Real-time monitoring

– Forecasting products and services

– Models and technology, model output

– Observations

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSElements of Climate Services

Page 8: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Real-time monitoring

– Forecasting products and services

– Models and technology, model output

– Observations

– Customer education, assistance, and outreach

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSElements of Climate Services

Page 9: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSOutline

• What do we mean by “climate services”?

• How are we going to get there?

Page 10: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSImplementation Plan

Implementing NWS Regional

and Local Climate Services

Page 11: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSImplementation Plan

Implementing NWS Regional

and Local Climate Services

Partnerships

Page 12: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSImplementation Plan

Implementing NWS Regional

and Local Climate Services

Guidelines & Tools

Page 13: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSImplementation Plan

Implementing NWS Regional

and Local Climate Services

Observations & Data

Page 14: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSImplementation Plan

Implementing NWS Regional

and Local Climate Services

Climate Monitoring & Prediction

Products

Page 15: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSImplementation Plan

Implementing NWS Regional

and Local Climate Services

Education & Outreach

Page 16: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSImplementation Plan

Implementing NWS Regional

and Local Climate Services

Guidelines & Tools

Observations & Data

Climate Monitoring & Prediction

Products

Education & Outreach

Partnerships

Page 17: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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Western RCC Desert Research

Institute

RISA – Pacific Northwest

RISA – California

RISA – Arizona - CLIMAS

High Plains RCC University of Nebraska

Midwestern RCC Illinois State Water Survey

InternationalResearch Institute

Northeast RCC Cornell University

Climate PredictionCenter, Climate Services Division

National ClimaticData Center

Southeast RCC S.C. Dept. of Natural

Resources

RISA – Florida

Southern RCC Louisiana State

University

National CenterRegional Center

RISA’s

States ParticipatingIn Two Regions

RISA – Western Water

Climate Diagnostic Center

Pacific ENSOApplications

Center

RISA – NewHampshire

NWS RHQ

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSSome Partners

Page 18: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSOutline

• What do we mean by “climate services”?

• How are we going to get there?

• CSD partnership program

Page 19: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Where?– What?– Who?– Requirements?– When?– Who Pays?– How Do I Apply?– Who Has Participated?

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 20: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Where?

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 21: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Where?– What?

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 22: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Where?– What?– Who?

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 23: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Where?– What?– Who?– Requirements?

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 24: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Where?– What?– Who?– Requirements?– When?

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 25: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Where?– What?– Who?– Requirements?– When?– Who Pays?

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 26: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Where?– What?– Who?– Requirements?– When?– Who Pays?– How Do I Apply?

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 27: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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– Where?– What?– Who?– Requirements?– When?– Who Pays?– How Do I Apply?– Who Has Participated?

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 28: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

28Ryan Boyles, Associate State Climatologist, North Carolina March 2002

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 29: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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Enhanced Climate

Database

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program – Ryan Boyles

Page 30: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION

30Bernie Palmer, MICWFO Columbia, South Carolina

May 2002

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 31: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• About WFO Columbia• How We Currently Use Climatology• Other Proposed Uses of Climatology by

the WFO• Existing Partnerships in Climate Related

Activities• Additional Proposed Partnerships in

Climatology• Importance of Climatology

Outline

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program – Bernie Palmer

Page 32: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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Additional Proposed Partnerships in Climatology

• Put current drought in climatological perspectiveCurrent 30-year normals include wet years of the 1970sConsidering the past 100 years, the current dry period is

not so abnormal

• Develop a flash flood climatology for our County Warning Area

• Compute flash flood return periods for use in forecasting major flood events

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program – Bernie Palmer

Page 33: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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Mike Baker, Assistant Fire Weather Focal PointWFO Denver/Boulder, Colorado

October 2002

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 34: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program – Mike Baker

Page 35: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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Patti Wnek, Senior HAS ForecasterMiddle Atlantic River Forecast Center

State College, PAApril 2003

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program

Page 36: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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Climatology of Mean Areal Precipitation

“I know this is going to be a heavy rain event. Flooding is probable. But how high should I go in my QPF? How much rain should I forecast?”

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program – Patti Wnek

Page 37: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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Climatology of Mean Areal Precipitation

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program – Patti Wnek

Page 38: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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Climatology of Mean Areal Precipitation

• Heavy precip is a rarity in the Mid Atlantic

• Most of the time, when there is precip, there is less than ¼”

• Most record events are with tropical storms

Bottom Line…

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program – Patti Wnek

Page 39: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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Climatology of Mean Areal Precipitation

Reality… • With no updates, climatology became less useful

• Change in staffing at WFOs – users aren’t aware of its existence or even what the impact of QPF is on their operations

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program – Patti Wnek

Page 40: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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Climatology of Mean Areal Precipitation

• Continue collaboration with PSU instructors and students

• Work to update climatology• Automate future updates• Educate users (HAS Forecasters,

Hydrologists, WFO Forecasters, HPC Forecasters

• Share with other RFCs

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSCSD Partnership Program – Patti Wnek

Page 41: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSOutline

• What do we mean by “climate services”?

• How are we going to get there?

• CSD partnership program

• Role of regional and field offices

Page 42: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 43: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 44: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 45: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 46: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 47: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 48: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 49: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 50: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 51: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 52: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 53: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

Page 54: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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• Self training• Familiarity with applicable policies/directives• COMET course• Distance and on-line training

• Training of site staff• “Steward” of data• Develop/expand partnerships• Identify requirements• Downscaling

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSRegional and Field Offices -- Roles

It all begins with you!

Page 55: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPSTopics Covered

• What do we mean by “climate services”?

• How are we going to get there?

• CSD partnership program

• Role of regional and field offices

Page 56: 1 OCWWS -- CLIMATE SERVICES DIVISION Climate Services Partnerships Eastern Region Climate Services Workshop Raleigh, North Carolina Judy Koepsell September

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Any Questions?

CLIMATE SERVICES PARTNERSHIPS